Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS

Recent

The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
02 Apr 2026
Valuing Salt Marshes as Nature-based Infrastructure for Coastal Flood Mitigation: A Case Study of Chatham County, GA
Xinyu Zeng, Dede Long, Yukiko Hashida, and Matthew V. Bilskie
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1475,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1475, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Apr 2026
Bayesian forecasting of triggered landslides
Flavia Ferriero, Fausto Guzzetti, and Warner Marzocchi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1624,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1624, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Apr 2026
A hybrid model based on Boruta feature selection and neural network for forecasting hydrological drought
Min Li, Yuhang Yao, Ming Ou, and Changman Yin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1033,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1033, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Apr 2026
Floods in the European Union and the Middle East and North Africa region: Socio-economic impacts, characteristics, and public perception
Mélanie Coleman, Andries-Jan de Vries, Caroline Roberts, and Daniela I. V. Domeisen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1827,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1827, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Apr 2026
Brief Communication: Rise of the Guadalupe River- A Multifaceted Post Event Analysis of the July 4, 2025, Flood in Central Texas
Anupal Baruah, Dinuke Munasinghe, Sagy Cohen, Mohamed Abdelkader, Dipsikha Devi, Yixian Chen, and Humberto Vergara
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1847,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1847, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Apr 2026
Reconstruction and forecasting of slow-moving landslide displacement using a Kalman Filter approach
Mohit Mishra, Gildas Besançon, Guillaume Chambon, and Laurent Baillet
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1621–1633, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1621-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1621-2026, 2026
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31 Mar 2026
Development and validation of an Early Warning System for coastal flooding operating on a Mediterranean urban beach
Antonis Chatzipavlis, Daniele Trogu, Andrea Ruju, Juan Montes, Antonio Usai, Marco Porta, Giovanni Coco, Sandro De Muro, and Paolo Ciavola
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1573–1601, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1573-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1573-2026, 2026
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31 Mar 2026
Predicting thunderstorm risk probability at very short time range using deep learning
Mélanie Bosc, Adrien Chan-Hon-Tong, Aurélie Bouchard, and Dominique Béréziat
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1603–1619, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1603-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1603-2026, 2026
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31 Mar 2026
Analysis on Multi-Factor Synergistic Hazards Mechanism of Wet Micro-Downburst: a Multi-Source Data Fusion Analysis Based on Passenger Vessel Capsizing Accident in Qianxi, Guizhou on 4 May 2025
Ankun Wu, Xi Guo, Dan Yao, Xiaoling Du, Dongpo He, Jue Li, Shisheng Jin, and Tienan Bai
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1561–1572, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1561-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1561-2026, 2026
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31 Mar 2026
Can Aerosols improve Urban Flood Prediction? A case study of 2015 Chennai extreme event
Oscar Paul, N. Nithila Devi, Rakesh Teja Konduru, Soumendra Nath Kuiry, Kundan Lal Shrestha, and Chandan Sarangi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1218,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1218, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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31 Mar 2026
A Joint Space-Time Probabilistic Model for Agricultural Droughts, Hydrological Droughts and Fire Weather in France
Benjamin Renard, Renaud Barbero, Issa Goukouni, Jean-Philippe Vidal, Louise Mimeau, Carina Furusho-Percot, Iñaki García de Cortázar-Atauri, Maël Aubry, Thomas Opitz, and Denis Allard
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1406,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1406, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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31 Mar 2026
Short-Term Management of Water-Damage Claim Risk Using Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts
Håkon Otneim, Etienne Dunn-Sigouin, Sondre Hølleland, Mahsa Gorji, and Geir Drage Berentsen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1169,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1169, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Mar 2026
Budget Allocation for Emergency Management in Flood-Prone Mining Regions: A System Dynamics Perspective
Dairo Steven Muñoz Pinzón, Diana Rodríguez Coca, William J. Guerrero Rueda, and Leonardo José González Rodríguez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1145,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1145, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 Mar 2026
Effect of Design Storm Characterization on Flood Exposure and Structure Damage Estimates: A Case Study in South Louisiana, USA
Mohamed ElSaadani, Emad Habib, and Mohamed M. Morsy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1388,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1388, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 Mar 2026
Analysis and modeling of coastal hazards to the desalination plants in the Baltic Sea – disentangling the impacts of a coastal storm in summer 2023
Matteo Masini, Agnes Karlsson, Lars Arneborg, Bengt Karlson, and Inga Monika Koszalka
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1344,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1344, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 Mar 2026
A Study of Pre-earthquake Anomalies in Geomagnetic and Borehole Strain Data Based on the Pyraformer Model
Jie Zhang, Minhao Sun, Changfeng Qin, Feng Mu, Shanzhi Dong, Yu Duan, Dewang Zhang, and Chengquan Chi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1715,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1715, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 Mar 2026
Invited Perspectives: Science for Comprehensive Disaster and Climate Risk Management
Philip J. Ward, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Kees Boersma, Tomris Cesuroglu, Nathan Clark, Tina Comes, Ashok Dahal, Sonja Fransen, Jasper Verschuur, Carmen Anthonj, Srijith Balakrishnan, Jens de Bruijn, Eefje Hendriks, Rodrigo Mena Fluhmann, Goda Perlaviciute, Linda Steg, Marc van den Homberg, Cees van Westen, Funda Atun, Anja Schreijer, and Nicole van Maanen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1331,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1331, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Mar 2026
Tracking the slopes: a spatio-temporal prediction model for backcountry skiing activity in the Swiss Alps using user-generated content
Leonie Schäfer, Frank Techel, Günter Schmudlach, and Ross S. Purves
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1537–1559, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1537-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1537-2026, 2026
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25 Mar 2026
Toward early warning of drought impacts: a framework for predicting drought impacts in the UK
Burak Bulut, Eugene Magee, Rachael Armitage, Opeyemi E. Adedipe, Maliko Tanguy, Lucy J. Barker, and Jamie Hannaford
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1515–1536, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1515-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1515-2026, 2026
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24 Mar 2026
Comparing flood forecasting and early warning systems in northwestern Europe
Tim Busker, Daniela Rodriguez Castro, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Jaap Kwadijk, Davide Zoccatelli, Rafaella G. L. Oliveira, Heather J. Murdock, Laurent Pfister, Benjamin Dewals, Kymo Slager, Annegret H. Thieken, Jan Verkade, Patrick Willems, and Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1457–1478, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1457-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1457-2026, 2026
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24 Mar 2026
What controls fire size in the South American Gran Chaco? Exploring atmospheric and landscape drivers through Remote Sensing
Rodrigo San Martín, Catherine Ottlé, Anna Sörensson, Pradeebane Vaittinada Ayar, Florent Mouillot, and Marielle Malfante
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1479–1513, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1479-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1479-2026, 2026
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24 Mar 2026
Scale-dependent spatial coherence between historical and instrumental earthquake catalogues at the global scale
Antonino D'Alessandro
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-521,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-521, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Mar 2026
The Cold Spell That Never Happened: Climatological Assessment of the Winter 2025/26 Cold and Snowfall Episodes in Bucharest and Their Disproportionate Media Representation
Monica Ionita, Bogdan Antonescu, and Viorica Nagavciuc
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1457,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1457, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Mar 2026
Simulation of sliding deadwood logs in mountain forests: towards a quantitative hazard assessment
Joël Borner, Peter Bebi, Leon Bührle, Adrian Ringenbach, and Remco Ingmar Leine
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-130,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-130, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Mar 2026
Brief communication: Extreme rainfall–driven flooding associated with the equatorial development of Tropical Cyclone Senyar in Aceh, Indonesia
Saumi Syahreza, Muhammad Syukri, Harisa Bilhaqqi Qalbi, Ahmad Farhan, and Eko Cahyo
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-694,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-694, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Mar 2026
Characterizing geologic and climatic controls on rockfall hazards using an inventory and integrated kinematic and runout model: Skagway, Alaska, USA
Ian D. Wachino, Joshua J. Roering, Reuben Cash, and Annette I. Patton
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1435–1456, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1435-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1435-2026, 2026
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20 Mar 2026
Oriented Object Detection for Complex Hydrodynamic Features: A Multi-Platform Rip Current Identification System
Albert Català-Gonell, Jesús Soriano-González, Elena Sánchez-García, Francisco Fabián Criado-Sudau, Josep Oliver-Sansó, Valentin Kozlov, Khadijeh Alibabaei, José Luis Lisani, and Àngels Fernández-Mora
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1138,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1138, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Mar 2026
Attribution of The Record Breaking 2025 European Fire Season to Climate Change
Theodore R. Keeping, Mariam Zachariah, Olivia Haas, Μanolis Grillakis, Clair Barnes, Gareth D. Clay, Bikem Ekberzade, Orjeta Jaupaj, Andreia F. S. Ribeiro, Ricardo M. Trigo, Apostolos Voulgarakis, and Friederike E. L. Otto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1193,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1193, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Mar 2026
Climate and impact attribution of compound flooding induced by tropical cyclone Idai in Mozambique
Doris M. Vertegaal, Bart J. J. M. van den Hurk, Anaïs Couasnon, Natalia Aleksandrova, Tycho Bovenschen, Fernaldi Gradiyanto, Tim W. B. Leijnse, Henrique M. D. Goulart, and Sanne Muis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1417–1433, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1417-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1417-2026, 2026
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19 Mar 2026
Spatio-Temporal Non-Stationarity of Flood Risk in the European Alps over the last 1,450 Years
Hansjörg Albrecher, Maria Laura Battagliola, Martin Bladt, Alaric J. A. Müller, and Tina Swierczynsk
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1016,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1016, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Mar 2026
Mobility of dry granular debris flows over erodible beds: Experimental insights into the influence of flow–bed inertia
Katharina Wetterauer, Sebastian Müller, Michael Krautblatter, Shiva P. Pudasaini, and Ivo Baselt
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1235,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1235, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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19 Mar 2026
Using machine learning for the prediction of flood-related 112 calls
Jordi Morales, Andreas Kaltenbrunner, Àgata Lapedriza, and Xavier Llort
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1253,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1253, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Mar 2026
The role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in driving coastal hazards in the U.S. Pacific Northwest
Meredith Leung, Peter Ruggiero, Laura Cagigal, Dylan Anderson, and Fernando Mendez
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1397–1415, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1397-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1397-2026, 2026
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18 Mar 2026
RHITA: a web tool for real-time detection of extreme weather events
Greta Cazzaniga, Anastasia Akakpo-Numado, Patrick Brockmann, Adrien Burq, Mathieu Vrac, and Davide Faranda
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1175,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1175, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Mar 2026
Automated Avalanche Hazard Indication for Southeast Alaska
Elizabeth Fischer, Gabriel J. Wolken, Yves Bühler, Marc Christen, and Rick Lader
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1345,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1345, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Mar 2026
Fire across frontiers: Satellite-based investigation of climate-fire interactions in the Middle East (West Asia)
Wan Ni Lin, Abdulhakim M. Abdi, and Lina Eklund
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1085,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1085, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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17 Mar 2026
Multi-scale spatial validation and probability calibration of pixel-based landslide susceptibility modeling in the northern Peruvian Andes
Wendy Quiroz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1318,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1318, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Mar 2026
Comprehensive multi-hazard risk assessment in data-scarce regions – a study focused on Burundi
Jess L. Delves, Kathrin Renner, Piero Campalani, Jesica Piñon, Stefan Schneiderbauer, Mateo Moreno, Maria Belen Benito Oterino, Eduardo Perez, and Massimiliano Pittore
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1347–1373, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1347-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1347-2026, 2026
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16 Mar 2026
Topographic profile and morphology analysis of shallow landslides inside and outside of forests with a semi-automatic mapping approach and bi-temporal airborne laser scanning data
Lotte de Vugt, Thomas Zieher, Barbara Schneider-Muntau, Frank Perzl, Marc Adams, and Martin Rutzinger
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1375–1396, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1375-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1375-2026, 2026
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11 Mar 2026
| Highlight paper
Numerical experiments of cloud seeding for mitigating localization of heavy rainfall: a case study of Mesoscale Convective System in Japan
Yusuke Hiraga, Jacqueline Muthoni Mbugua, Shunji Kotsuki, Yoshiharu Suzuki, Shu-Hua Chen, Atsushi Hamada, Kazuaki Yasunaga, and Takuya Funatomi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1287–1303, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1287-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1287-2026, 2026
Short summary Editorial statement
11 Mar 2026
Droughts in South East Europe (SEE): current picture, tendencies and impact
Maria Kireeva, Mirjana Radulović, Gordan Mimić, Marthe Wens, and Tijana Nikolić-Lugonja
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1305–1323, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1305-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1305-2026, 2026
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11 Mar 2026
Reducing risk together: moving towards a more holistic approach to multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment and management
Philip J. Ward, Sophie L. Buijs, Roxana Ciurean, Judith N. Claassen, James Daniell, Kelley De Polt, Melanie Duncan, Stefania Gottardo, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Robert Šakić Trogrlić, Julius Schlumberger, Timothy Tiggeloven, Silvia Torresan, Nicole van Maanen, Andrew Warren, Carmen D. Álvarez-Albelo, Vanessa Banks, Benjamin Blanz, Veronica Casartelli, Jordan Correa, Julia Crummy, Anne Sophie Daloz, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Juan José Díaz-Hernández, Jaime Díaz-Pacheco, Pedro Dorta Antequera, Davide Ferrario, David Geurts, Sara García-González, Joel C. Gill, Raúl Hernández-Martín, Wiebke S. Jäger, Abel López-Díez, Lin Ma, Jaroslav Mysiak, Diep Ngoc Nguyen, Noemi Padrón Fumero, Eva-Cristina Petrescu, Karina Reiter, Jana Sillmann, Lara Smale, and Tristian Stolte
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1325–1345, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1325-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1325-2026, 2026
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11 Mar 2026
Forecasting European temperature-related mortality in Summer 2024: data-driven vs physics-based forecast approaches
Emma Holmberg and Leonardo Olivetti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1144,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1144, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Mar 2026
Critical evaluation of strong ground motions in Izmir and implications for future earthquake simulation results
Şahin Çağlar Tuna
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1231–1250, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1231-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1231-2026, 2026
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10 Mar 2026
Understanding the combined mental health impacts of flooding and COVID-19 in Hue City, Central Vietnam
Thi Dieu My Pham, Paul Hudson, Annegret H. Thieken, and Philip Bubeck
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1207–1230, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1207-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1207-2026, 2026
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10 Mar 2026
Integrating SMART principles in flood early warning system design in the Himalayas
Sudhanshu Dixit, Sumit Sen, Tahmina Yasmin, Kieran Khamis, Debashish Sen, Wouter Buytaert, and David M. Hannah
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1251–1268, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1251-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1251-2026, 2026
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10 Mar 2026
Assessing the ability of the ECMWF seasonal prediction model to forecast extreme September–November rainfall events over Equatorial Africa
Hermann Ngueyon Nana, Roméo Stève Tanessong, Masilin Gudoshava, and Derbetini Appolinaire Vondou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1269–1285, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1269-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1269-2026, 2026
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10 Mar 2026
Historical and Projected Changes in Temperature–Precipitation Compound Hot and Dry Extremes across Africa Based on CMIP5 and CMIP6 Ensemble Simulations
Paul Adigun, Koji Dairaku, Akinwale T. Ogunrinde, Ebiendele Precious, Muhammad Umar Nadeem, Ermias Sisay Brhane, and Xian Xue
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-721,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-721, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Mar 2026
Detection of agricultural flash droughts using impact-informed thresholds
Ingrid Ubeda-Trujillo, Micha Werner, Claudia Bertini, Miriam Coenders-Gerrits, and Graham Jewitt
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1010,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1010, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Mar 2026
The impact of the Canterbury earthquakes on household income and expenditure in the Canterbury region in New Zealand
Quanfu Zhang, Ilan Noy, and Yigit Saglam
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1005,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1005, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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10 Mar 2026
Communication and Education Strategies to Raise Awareness and Understanding of Volcanic Hazard During Times of Quiescence: A Literature Review
Rebeckah S. Hufstetler, Hollie Smith, Emilie E. E. Hooft, and Laura Gattis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1123,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1123, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Mar 2026
A temporally continuous, probabilistic framework for observed multi-decadal flood susceptibility evolution in Canadian watersheds
Heather McGrath
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-528,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-528, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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09 Mar 2026
Identification of hydro-meteorological drivers for forest low greenness events in Europe
Pauline Rivoire, Sonia Dupuis, Antoine Guisan, Pascal Vittoz, and Daniela I. V. Domeisen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1183–1205, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1183-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1183-2026, 2026
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06 Mar 2026
Integrating total water level data and visual evidence to assess coastal flooding in San Diego County
Denali M. Pinto, Antonio Catanzarite, Anshul Govindu, Laura Engeman, Thomas W. Corringham, Julia Fiedler, Alexander Gershunov, and Mark Merrifield
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-820,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-820, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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06 Mar 2026
Compound Drivers and Spatial Connectivity led to the Devastating Debris Flood in the Village of La Bérarde, June 2024, French Alps
Simon Filhol, Clément Misset, Noélie Bontemps, Diego Cusicanqui, Emmanuel Paquet, Marie Dumont, Olivier Gagliardini, Pascal Lacroix, Simon Gascoin, Guillaume Thirel, Julien Brondex, Pascal Hagenmuller, Eric Larose, Philipp Schoeneich, Denis Roy, Emmanuel Thibert, Nicolas Eckert, Félix de Montety, Robin Mainieri, Alexandre Hauet, Frédéric Gottardi, Johan Berthet, Alexandre Baratier, Frédéric Liébault, Małgorzata Chmiel, Guillaume Piton, Guillaume Chambon, Guillaume James, Philippe Frey, Philip Deline, Laurent Astrade, Christian Vincent, Dominique Laigle, Alain Recking, Fatima Karbou, Adrien Mauss, Mylène Bonnefoy-Demongeot, Firmin Fontaine, Mickael Langlais, Etienne Berthier, and Antoine Blanc
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-971,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-971, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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05 Mar 2026
The EAWS matrix, a decision support tool to determine the regional avalanche danger level (Part B): operational testing and use
Frank Techel, Karsten Müller, Christopher Marquardt, and Christoph Mitterer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1161–1181, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1161-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1161-2026, 2026
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05 Mar 2026
The 15 September 2022 floods in northern Marche (Central Italy): disaster analysis, case studies and mitigation strategies for hydro-geomorphological hazard
Fabrizio Bendia, Piero Farabollini, Marco Materazzi, and Margherita Bufalini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1119–1140, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1119-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1119-2026, 2026
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05 Mar 2026
| Highlight paper
Mitigating Mazuku hazards: implementation and effectiveness of local dry-gas degassing measures in the Goma area (Virunga Volcanic Province)
Blaise Mafuko-Nyandwi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1141–1160, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1141-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1141-2026, 2026
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05 Mar 2026
Sequential approach to seismotectonic zonation for South-East France
Victoria Mowbray, Marguerite Mathey, Christian Sue, Stéphane Baize, Anne Lemoine, and Céline Beauval
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-623,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-623, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Mar 2026
Changing drivers of regional large magnitude avalanche frequency throughout Colorado, USA
Erich H. Peitzsch, Justin T. Martin, Ethan M. Greene, Nicolas Eckert, Adrien Favillier, Jason Konigsberg, Nickolas Kichas, Daniel K. Stahle, Karl W. Birkeland, Kelly Elder, and Gregory T. Pederson
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1059–1074, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1059-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1059-2026, 2026
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04 Mar 2026
Harnessing multi-source hydro-meteorological data for high flows modelling in a partially glacierized Himalayan basin
Domenico De Santis, Silvia Barbetta, Sumit Sen, Viviana Maggioni, Farhad Bahmanpouri, Ashutosh Sharma, Ankit Agarwal, Sagar Gupta, Francesco Avanzi, and Christian Massari
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1075–1104, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1075-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1075-2026, 2026
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04 Mar 2026
A thorough review of the 5 May 1990 Potenza (Southern Italy) earthquake: constraints from macroseismology and insights from hydrology
Andrea Antonucci, Corrado Castellano, Luigi Cucci, and Andrea Tertulliani
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1105–1118, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1105-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1105-2026, 2026
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04 Mar 2026
Increasing heat stress across Southeast Asia driven by compound warming and moistening
Dzung Nguyen-Le
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-829,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-829, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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04 Mar 2026
Post-Processing High-Resolution Ensemble Forecasts for Extreme Rainfall: Short-Term Skill Evaluation over Kyushu, Japan
Magfira Syarifuddin, Hamada Atsushi, Houtian He, and Kazuaki Yasunaga
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1052,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1052, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 5 comments)
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03 Mar 2026
| Highlight paper
Advancing glacial lake hazard and risk assessment in Bhutan through hydrodynamic flood mapping and exposure analysis
Sonam Rinzin, Stuart Dunning, Rachel Joanne Carr, Simon Allen, Sonam Wangchuk, and Ashim Sattar
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1015–1037, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1015-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1015-2026, 2026
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03 Mar 2026
Assessing the intensification and impact of a historical storm in a warmer climate
Johanne Kristine Haandbæk Øelund, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Rune Magnus Koktvedgaard Zeitzen, Henrik Vedel, and Henrik Feddersen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1039–1057, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1039-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1039-2026, 2026
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03 Mar 2026
Review article: Flash Floods in Mountainous Regions: Global Research Trends, Process Mechanisms, and Control Measures
Zhenghang Chen, Meili Feng, Matthew F. Johnson, Nigel Wright, Ying Weng, Faith Ka Shun Chan, and Feng Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-937,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-937, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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02 Mar 2026
Constantly renewing glacial lakes in the Kyrgyz Range, northern Tien Shan
Mirlan Daiyrov and Chiyuki Narama
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1001–1014, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1001-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1001-2026, 2026
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02 Mar 2026
Spatial machine learning modelling reveals that soil indicators and tree type best explain shallow landslide release
Denise Christina Rüther, Kristine Flacké Haualand, Iris Louisa Johanna Peeters, and Mark Andrew Kusk Gillespie
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-579,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-579, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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27 Feb 2026
| Highlight paper
Lessons learned in institutional preparedness and response during the 2022 European drought
Riccardo Biella, Anastasiya Shyrokaya, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Daniela Cid, Maria Carmen Llasat, Faranak Tootoonchi, Marthe Wens, Marleen Lam, Elin Stenfors, Samuel Sutanto, Elena Ridolfi, Serena Ceola, Pedro Alencar, Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Monica Ionita, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Scott J. McGrane, Benedetta Moccia, Viorica Nagavciuc, Fabio Russo, Svitlana Krakovska, Andrijana Todorovic, Patricia Trambauer, Raffaele Vignola, and Claudia Teutschbein
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 955–979, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-955-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-955-2026, 2026
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27 Feb 2026
First mapping of a tsunami wavefield by SWOT satellite: observation data and preliminary numerical simulation of the 19 May 2023 tsunami near the Loyalty Islands
Jean H. M. Roger, Yannice Faugère, Hélène Hébert, Antoine Delepoulle, and Gérald Dibarboure
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 943–954, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-943-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-943-2026, 2026
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27 Feb 2026
Human decision-making in crowds in a virtual flood scenario
Booloot Arshaghi, Glyn Lawson, Riccardo Briganti, and Peer-Olaf Siebers
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 981–1000, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-981-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-981-2026, 2026
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27 Feb 2026
Ice jam formation at river confluences: comprehensive field investigation and comparison to laboratory-derived predictive equations
Laurence Charbonneau, Tadros Ghobrial, Jennifer Nafziger, Catherine Blouin, and Gabriel Pelchat
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6452,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6452, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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26 Feb 2026
Flood damage functions for rice: synthesizing evidence and building data-driven models
Alina Bill-Weilandt, Nivedita Sairam, Dennis Wagenaar, Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Heidi Kreibich, Perrine Hamel, and David Lallemant
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 925–942, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-925-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-925-2026, 2026
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24 Feb 2026
Spatial structures of emerging hot and dry compound events over Europe from 1950 to 2023
Joséphine Schmutz, Mathieu Vrac, Bastien François, and Burak Bulut
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 881–900, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-881-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-881-2026, 2026
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24 Feb 2026
Atmospheric Rivers as Triggers of Compound Flooding: quantifying Extreme Joint Events in Western North America Under Climate Change
Andrew Vincent Grgas-Svirac, Mohammad Fereshtehpour, M. Reza Najafi, Alex J. Cannon, and Hamidreza Shirkhani
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 901–923, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-901-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-901-2026, 2026
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24 Feb 2026
Flood Risk Projection Using a Hybrid Simulation Technique
Charles Doktycz, Mark Abkowitz, and Hiba Baroud
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-878,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-878, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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23 Feb 2026
Beyond and beneath displacement time series: towards InSAR-based early warnings and deformation analysis of the Achoma landslide, Peru
Benedetta Dini, Pascal Lacroix, and Marie-Pierre Doin
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 863–879, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-863-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-863-2026, 2026
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23 Feb 2026
A Study of Small-scale Landslides Susceptibility Dynamic Assessment in South Chian: Merging SBAS-InSAR and Machine Learning
Zhu Liang, Jingxin Hou, Yang Liu, Ting Wang, Guochao Liu, Chunshuai Si, and Jun Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-218,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-218, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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23 Feb 2026
Physically Coherent Machine Learning for Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge Emulation
Hamish Wilkinson, Paul Bates, Chris Lucas, Niall Quinn, Ivan D. Haigh, Tom Collings, and Peter Watson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-781,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-781, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Feb 2026
| Highlight paper
Towards an operational European Drought Impacts Database (EDID)
Kerstin Stahl, Kathrin Szillat, Veit Blauhut, Monika Hlavsová, Lauro Rossi, Dario Masante, and Andrea Toreti
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 845–861, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-845-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-845-2026, 2026
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19 Feb 2026
Using seasonal forecasts to enhance our understanding of extreme wind and precipitation impacts from extratropical cyclones
Jacob W. Maddison, Jennifer L. Catto, Sandra Hansen, Ching Ho Justin Ng, and Stefan Siegert
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 827–844, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-827-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-827-2026, 2026
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18 Feb 2026
Short-Term Drought Forecasting in Iran Using Multi-Source Machine Learning: An Assessment of Autoregressive, Teleconnection-Driven, and Hybrid Paradigms
Jun Jian, Peyman Mahmoudi, Pouria Jafari, Alireza Ghaemi, Jing Yang, and Fatemeh Firoozi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5906,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5906, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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17 Feb 2026
Numerical modelling framework for assessing dune effectiveness against coastal inundation
Italo dos Reis Lopes, Ivan Federico, Michalis Vousdoukas, Luisa Perini, Salvatore Causio, Giovanni Coppini, Maurilio Milella, Nadia Pinardi, and Lorenzo Mentaschi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 811–825, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-811-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-811-2026, 2026
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17 Feb 2026
Brief communication: A century of landslide records in Calabria, southern Italy, looking for changes and trends through a dynamic analysis
Stefano Luigi Gariano and Olga Petrucci
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-621,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-621, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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17 Feb 2026
Climate change increases landslide susceptibility in Aotearoa New Zealand: Development and application of a national-scale model using machine learning
Oliver Wigmore
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-768,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-768, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Feb 2026
Quantifying Compounded Economic Impacts and Disease Burden of Flooding in Can Tho, Vietnam
Yamile Villafani, Heiko Apel, Laurens J. N. Oostwegel, Thi Thao Nguyen Huynh, Hong Quan Nguyen, Nigel K. Downes, Andrea Cominola, and Nivedita Sairam
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-850,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-850, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Feb 2026
Collective risk modelling of multi-peril events: correlation of European windstorm gust and precipitation annual severity
Toby P. Jones, David B. Stephenson, and Matthew D. K. Priestley
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 775–789, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-775-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-775-2026, 2026
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13 Feb 2026
Rapid amplification of Compound Drought and Heatwave risk over India: a regime shift from arid northwest to humid southern and eastern hotspots
Debankana Bhattacharjee and Chandrika Thulaseedharan Dhanya
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 791–810, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-791-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-791-2026, 2026
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12 Feb 2026
Brief communication: Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of European windstorms in CMIP6 climate models
Stephen Cusack
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6232,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6232, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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12 Feb 2026
Enhancing hydrological hazard early warning: A 60-day streamflow forecasting framework integrating deep learning and process-based modeling
Zhijie Liu, Hanbo Yang, and Dawen Yang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-393,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-393, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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12 Feb 2026
Brief communication: Drought economic assessments must include human health impacts
Alexandre C. Costa, Francisco G. F. da Silva, Rafaella P. Moreira, Eduardo S. P. R. Martins, Luewton L. F. Agostinho, and Pieter R. van Oel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-678,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-678, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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12 Feb 2026
Unravelling information on impactful geo-hydrological hazard events with HazMiner, a multilingual text mining method developed through a global scale coverage application
Bram Valkenborg, Olivier Dewitte, and Benoît Smets
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-722,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-722, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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11 Feb 2026
Reconstruction of the 1989 Laguna Del Cerro Largo GLOF: an Interdisciplinary Understanding of GLOF Impacts
Jonathan W. Burton, Frederick B. Chambers, Lisa Kelley, and Benjamin Soto Narbona
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5791,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5791, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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11 Feb 2026
Pre-Seismic Geomagnetic Fusion Anomaly Extraction Based on Spatially Weighted Non-Negative Tensor Factorization
Baiyi Yang, Kaiguang Zhu, Ting Wang, Donghua Zhang, WenQi Chen, Yiqun Zhang, Pu Wang, Xingsu Li, and Yuqi Cheng
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-317,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-317, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
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10 Feb 2026
Emergence of climate change signal in CMIP6 extreme indices
Nina Schuhen, Carley E. Iles, Marit Sandstad, Viktor Ananiev, and Jana Sillmann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 753–773, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-753-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-753-2026, 2026
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09 Feb 2026
Potential glacier contributions to the 2024 La Bérarde flood
Christophe Ogier, Mauro A. Werder, Olivier Gagliardini, Ilaria Santin, Raphael Moser, Romain Hugonnet, Antoine Blanc, and Daniel Farinotti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-466,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-466, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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06 Feb 2026
Modelling the effectiveness of GLOF DRM measures – a case study from the Ala-Archa valley, Kyrgyz Republic
Laura Niggli, Holger Frey, Simon Allen, Nazgul Alybaeva, Christian Huggel, Bolot Moldobekov, and Vitalii Zaginaev
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 733–752, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-733-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-733-2026, 2026
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06 Feb 2026
Seasonal shifts in drought characteristics and their drivers in Italian alpine catchments under climate change
Senna Bouabdelli, Martin Morlot, Christian Massari, and Giuseppe Formetta
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-464,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-464, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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06 Feb 2026
Human-Centred Design Approaches to Tsunami Mitigation under Sea Level Rise in Kesennuma, Japan
Hayley Leggett, Muhammad Daffa Al Farizi, Muhammad Rizki Purnama, Anawat Suppasri, and Fumihiko Imamura
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-365,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-365, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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