Recent

The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
15 Jul 2026
Spatial Modelling of Ice-Jam Susceptibility in Southern Quebec: An Enhanced Ice Jam Predisposition Index
Elnaz Mirzaei, Karem Chokmani, Rachid Lhissou, and Saeid Homayouni
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2457,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2457, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Jul 2026
Benefits of the simplified MEV for analyzing hourly precipitation extremes in a changing climate
Marc Lennartz, Benjamin Poschlod, and Bruno Merz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3273–3289, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3273-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3273-2026, 2026
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14 Jul 2026
Passive seismic tomography of a gas emitting structure: the case of Nirano Mud Volcanoes (Northern Italy)
Nicolò Carfagna, Albachiara Brindisi, and Dario Albarello
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2797,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2797, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Jul 2026
Review article: Upstream reservoir operation and downstream floodplain risk: A review of hydrodynamic modelling and optimization frameworks and case perspective on the Dong Nai–Sai Gon river basin
Dung Duc Tran, Nguyen Duc Thien, Nguyen Thi Thuy Hang, and Do Quang Linh
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3711,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3711, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Jul 2026
Brief communication: How well are Londoners prepared for flooding? An assessment of risk mitigation actions and a pilot comparison of perceived and modelled flood likelihood
Andrew Russell and Prarthna Kaur Khosa
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3820,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3820, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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14 Jul 2026
How exposed is a mountain road to snow avalanches? A corridor-scale assessment in the southern Andes
Iván Latorre, Marius Schaefer, and Felix Oesterle
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3951,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3951, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Jul 2026
Feature selection for landslide forecasting models in Southern Andes
Manuel Labbé, Millaray Curilem, Ivo Fustos-Toribio, and Mario Pooley
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3253–3272, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3253-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3253-2026, 2026
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13 Jul 2026
Cascading Wildfire–Atmospheric River Hazards: Postfire Flood Risk after the 2025 Eaton Fire
Fehmida Rafi, Daniel Rowland, and Shang Gao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2665,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2665, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Jul 2026
Evolution of the Auckland Volcanic Field (New Zealand) boundary
Craig Andrew Miller, James Muirhead, Emily Judd, Dougal Townsend, Angela Doherty, Jan Lindsay, and Graham Leonard
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2684,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2684, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Jul 2026
Towards a universal hydrologic metric for predicting rainfall-triggered landslide timing
Jacob B. Woodard, Lisa V. Luna, and Benjamin B. Mirus
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3513,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3513, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Jul 2026
County-level disaster resilience to geological hazards in high-altitude mountainous Sichuan, China: an EDE–TA–CCD assessment
Hai Xiao, Xiangyu Dong, Manman Dong, Shaoliang Zhang, Qianshu Zhao, Fengjiao Jiang, Liangzheng Liu, Mengxi Yu, Chenglin Yang, and Minyue Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3640,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3640, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Jul 2026
| Highlight paper
Beyond the 100-year flood: probabilistic flood hazard assessment for King and Pierce Counties under future climate scenarios
Kees Nederhoff, Kai Parker, and Eric Grossman
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3231–3251, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3231-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3231-2026, 2026
Short summary Editorial statement
10 Jul 2026
Improving Europe-wide windstorm damage modeling using insurance loss data
Aditya N. Mishra, Gabriele Messori, Lukas Riedel, Athul Rasheeda Satheesh, and Joaquim Pinto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3099,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3099, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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09 Jul 2026
Usage of normalized soil moisture for improving the performance of rainfall thresholds along transportation corridors
Leila Rahimikhameneh, Abraham Alvarez Reyna, Jack Montgomery, and Frances O'Donnell
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3163–3183, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3163-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3163-2026, 2026
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09 Jul 2026
Representation of meteotsunamis in km-scale regional simulations coupled at high frequency
Nefeli Makrygianni, Ségolène Berthou, David L. A. Flack, Cindy Lebeaupin Brossier, Jonathan Beuvier, Juan Manuel Castillo, Emiliano Renzi, Clare O'Neill, Daniel Peláez-Zapata, Frederic Dias, Huw Lewis, and Diego Bruciaferri
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3185–3211, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3185-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3185-2026, 2026
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08 Jul 2026
Bayesian-Informed Hybrid Deep Learning for GLOF Susceptibility and Hazard Escalation in the HKKH Region (2010–2020)
Farkhanda Abbas and Zhihua Cai
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2333,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2333, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Jul 2026
Development of a National-Scale Rip Current Forecast for Aotearoa New Zealand
Christopher Stokes, Juliana Albertoni de Miranda, Tim Scott, Gerd Masselink, and Adam Wooler
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3638,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3638, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Jul 2026
High-resolution rain-on-grid hydrodynamic modelling can replace hydrological models for catchment-scale flood simulation: the case of the 2021 Ahr catchment flood
Shahin Khosh Bin Ghomash and Daniel Caviedes-Voullième
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3652,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3652, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Jul 2026
Natural hazards in La Réunion island (France) since the mid-seventeenth century: production and analysis of a geohistory database (HistoRiskRun)
Messie Dupont, Claire Rault, Nicolas Villeneuve, and Marie Chaput
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3653,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3653, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Jul 2026
Evaluation of AI-based seasonal weather ensembles as input for fluvial flood risk estimation: a case study over the Elbe basin
John Ashcroft, Alison Poulston, Marius Koch, Georg Ertl, Kirsty Brown, James Butler, Anthony Hammond, Owen Jordan, Sarah Warren, Rob Lamb, Paul J. Young, and David Wood
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3129–3161, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3129-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3129-2026, 2026
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06 Jul 2026
A Numerical Weather Prediction Model-Based Approach to Assess Fire Weather Conditions over the Northwest Himalayan Forests
Anandu Prabhakaran and Piyush Srivastava
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2474,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2474, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Jul 2026
Long-term evolution and type-specific rainy-season activity of post-seismic geohazards in Southwest China
Hongyu Duan, Guoxiang Tu, and Han Liu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2643,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2643, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Jul 2026
Multiscalar and nonlinear controls of drought impacts in Spain revealed from media-reported data
Ahmed M. El Kenawy, Fernando Domínguez-Castro, Santiago Beguería, Javier Vela-Tambo, Amar Halifa-Marín, Maria Adell-Michavila, Alex Crespillo, Borja Latorre, Magí Franquesa, and Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3003,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3003, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Jul 2026
Sea Level Rise and Artisanal Port Vulnerability in Panama: Projected Operational Disruption and Economic Losses by 2050 Under SSP5-8.5
Stephanie Arango and Gisselle Guerra-Chanis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3325,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3325, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Jul 2026
Automated dock-based UAV systems for geohazard monitoring in mountainous terrain
Alexander Maschler, Sarah Langes, Lukas Schild, Thomas Scheiber, Paula Snook, Jacob Clement Yde, Harald Zandler, and Ueli Sager
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3107–3127, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3107-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3107-2026, 2026
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03 Jul 2026
Enhancing long-term reservoir inflow forecasting: an integrated approach combining switch prediction method, ensemble rainfall forecasts, and machine learning techniques
Hsuan-Yu Lin, Jhih-Huang Wang, and Ming-Jui Chang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3085–3106, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3085-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3085-2026, 2026
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02 Jul 2026
Brief communication: A century of landslide records in Calabria, southern Italy, looking for changes and trends through a dynamic analysis
Stefano Luigi Gariano and Olga Petrucci
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3077–3084, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3077-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3077-2026, 2026
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01 Jul 2026
Rapid flood damage estimation tool for urban pluvial floods with scarce data
Guilherme Samprogna Mohor, Sarah Lindenlaub, and Annegret H. Thieken
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3462,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3462, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Jul 2026
The long-term hazard cascade of an unprecedented wildfire in a tropical mountain ecosystem
William Veness, Martha Day, Anthony C. Ross, Yazidhi Bamutaze, Jiayuan Han, Douglas Mulangwa, Andrew Mwesigwa, Emmanuel Ntale, Callist Tindimugaya, Brian Guma, Elisabeth Stephens, and Wouter Buytaert
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3045–3075, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3045-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3045-2026, 2026
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30 Jun 2026
The catastrophic floods in 2008, 2010 and 2020 in western Ukraine: Hydrometeorological processes and the role of upper-level dynamics
Ellina Agayar, Moshe Armon, Michael Sprenger, and Heini Wernli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3025–3043, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3025-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3025-2026, 2026
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29 Jun 2026
Slope stability modelling in Karongi district, Western Rwanda
Sylvain Barayagwiza, Catherine A. Meriaux, and Alberto Armigliato
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3426,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3426, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Jun 2026
Dynamical and Microphysical Interactions in a Coastal Bow-Echo Producing Extreme Rainfall
Jong-Hoon Jeong, Seung Hee Kim, Su-Bin Oh, Jeong-Eun Lee, Chia-Lun Tasi, and Gyuwon Lee
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1878,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1878, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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26 Jun 2026
Probabilistic Modelling and Prediction of Sea Level Dynamics in the Southern Baltic Sea
Katarzyna Pajak, Magdalena Idzikowska, and Kamil Kowalczyk
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3383,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3383, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Jun 2026
Uncertainty of Rainfall Forecasts for Impact-Based Flood Warning in the Cagayan River Basin, Philippines
Yuta Kurihara and Mamoru Miyamoto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3482,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3482, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Jun 2026
Review article: Harnessing data-driven methods for climate multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment
Davide Mauro Ferrario, Marcello Sanò, Margherita Maraschini, Andrea Critto, and Silvia Torresan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2975–3024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2975-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2975-2026, 2026
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25 Jun 2026
Deep-learning prediction of high-frequency sea-level oscillations in the Adriatic Sea
Iva Međugorac, Nikola Metličić, Jadranka Šepić, Marko Rus, Srđan Čupić, Matej Kristan, and Matjaž Ličer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3411,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3411, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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25 Jun 2026
Exploring seismic mass-movement data with anomaly detection and dynamic time warping
Francois Kamper, Fabian Walter, Patrick Paitz, Matthias Meyer, Michele Volpi, and Mathieu Salzmann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2921–2953, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2921-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2921-2026, 2026
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25 Jun 2026
Managing glacial and periglacial hazards in the Alps: a geohistorical approach
Juliette Bazin, Ludovic Ravanel, and Sandrine Caroly
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2955–2973, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2955-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2955-2026, 2026
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24 Jun 2026
Flood dynamics driven by multiple levee breaches: two-dimensional hydrodynamic–morphodynamic modelling of the 16–19 May 2023 Senio River event (Italy)
Francesca Aureli, Sara Carta, Susanna Dazzi, and Paolo Mignosa
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2992,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2992, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Jun 2026
Tracking spatiotemporally contiguous heatwave hazards over mainland China: persistence, severity, spatial extent, and mobility
Hao Guo, Qinghou Hang, Xiangchen Meng, Ye Yuan, Ying Cao, Yunqian Wang, and Philippe De Maeyer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3287,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3287, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 5 comments)
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24 Jun 2026
Buried and displaced: moving characteristics of building fragments in debris flows
Lei Feng and Dongri Song
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2903–2919, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2903-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2903-2026, 2026
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23 Jun 2026
Hurricanes that haven’t happened, yet: Identifying unprecedented tropical cyclone scenarios
Dorothy Heinrich, Erin Coughlan de Perez, Leanne Archer, Nadia Bloemendaal, Kevin I. Hodges, Helen Hooker, Theodore G. Shepherd, Nathan Sparks, Ralf Toumi, and Elisabeth Stephens
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2758,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2758, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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23 Jun 2026
2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquake Doublet: Seismic Performance of RC Buildings, Code Implications and Geotechnical Evaluation
Mehmet Emin Öncü, Sadık Varolgüneş, Onur Onat, Burak Yön, Mesut Gör, Ali Uslu, and İbrahim Baran Karaşin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3178,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3178, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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23 Jun 2026
Brief communication: “Multi-hazard-to-health-outcome” (MH2O) pathways: the known, the unknown, and ten most urgent priorities
Harriet Moore, Qiuhua Liang, Lee Bosher, John Atanbori, Mark Gussy, Amogh Mudbhatkal, Joe Swift, Jaspreet Phull, Kirsten Guy, Lynsey Collinson, Andy Penny, Maria Athanassiadou, Kaja Milczewska, Ebenezer Amankwaa, Lucy Kennedy, Edward Hanna, Gregory Sutton, Bartholomew Hill, and Colin Hopkirk
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2897–2902, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2897-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2897-2026, 2026
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22 Jun 2026
The 2022 Rainfall-Triggered Landslide-Tsunami Disaster in Pilar, Abuyog, Leyte, Philippines and its implications for coastal hazard assessment
Likha G. Minimo, Janneli Lea A. Soria, Richard L. Ybañez, Audrei Anne B. Ybañez, Angelu B. Bermas, Kayla Milcah M. Marasigan, Adrian Gelo Tianchon, Jannine Vasquez, Victor M. Romero II, Allan Fitzgerald N. Amistoso, Christer Kim O. Gerona, Genaro A. Cuaresma, and Alfredo Mahar Francisco A. Lagmay
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2543,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2543, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Jun 2026
An extended hazard interaction matrix for exploring multi-hazard complexity in data-scarce regions: An application to Kerala, India
Anisha Desai, Marlies Barendrecht, Fatemeh Jalayer, and Faith E. Taylor
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2999,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2999, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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19 Jun 2026
Can bias correction methods improve the statistical characterization of extreme rainfall compound events in climate simulations?
Grégoire Jacquemin, Mathieu Vrac, Xavier Freulon, and Denis Allard
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3269,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3269, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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18 Jun 2026
Split incentives in property-level flood adaptation across households, insurers and government in the Netherlands
Cees Oerlemans, Zac J. Taylor, Martine van den Boomen, and Matthijs Kok
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3260,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3260, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Jun 2026
Predicting spatio-temporal wildfire propagation with dynamic firebreaks
Jiahe Zheng, Zhengsen Xu, Rossella Arcucci, Sandy P. Harrison, Lincoln Linlin Xu, and Sibo Cheng
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2871–2895, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2871-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2871-2026, 2026
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16 Jun 2026
The physical and cultural traces of a 19th century volcano-collapse tsunami: New constraints on the magnitude and impacts of the 1888 Ritter Island tsunami, Papua New Guinea
Manuel C. David, Sebastian F. L. Watt, Harrison Gedikile, Simon J. Day, and Hugh L. Davies
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2101,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2101, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Jun 2026
The marine and coastal hazards of Mediterranean cyclones
Sara Pavan, Marco Bajo, Francesco Barbariol, Alvise Benetazzo, Silvio Davison, and Christian Ferrarin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2774,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2774, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Jun 2026
Detecting Fault Structures from Earthquake Sequences via Unsupervised Learning
Kuan-Ting Tu, Ming-Wey Huang, and Siao-Syun Ke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3012,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3012, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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16 Jun 2026
Psychometric and cultural characterization of relative volcanic risk perception levels of individuals highly exposed to proximal activity from Villarrica volcano, Chile
Rodrigo A. Calderon, Luis E. Lara, Marcelo A. Lagos, and Alfredo A. Vives
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2841–2863, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2841-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2841-2026, 2026
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16 Jun 2026
Brief communication: Drought economic assessments must include human health impacts
Alexandre Cunha Costa, Francisco Gildemir Ferreira da Silva, Rafaella Pessoa Moreira, Eduardo Sávio Passos Rodrigues Martins, Luewton Lemos Felício Agostinho, and Pieter Richard van Oel
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2865–2869, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2865-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2865-2026, 2026
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15 Jun 2026
Assessing Buried Landslide Rupture Surfaces Using Genetic Algorithms and Dynamic Flow Modeling
Hock-Kiet Wong, Yih-Chin Tai, and Ching-Fang Lee
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1605,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1605, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Jun 2026
Joint Estimation of Creep and Slip for the Xiongba Landslide Based on InSAR Observations
Ying-Hui Yang, Qiang Xu, Qian Xu, Jyr-Ching Hu, Sha-Sha Tan, Qiang Chen, and Lin Li
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2324,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2324, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Jun 2026
Past and future European atmospheric extreme events under climate change – the ClimXtreme program's structure and results
Andreas Hense, Christoph Kottmeier, Petra Friederichs, Sebastian Buschow, Svenja Szemkus, Uwe Ulbrich, Jens Grieger, Joaquim G. Pinto, Hendrik Feldmann, Frank Kaspar, Deborah Niermann, Rike Lorenz, Florian Ruff, and Etor E. Lucio Eceiza
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2697,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2697, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Jun 2026
Brief communication: Keeping pace with human factors in avalanche decision‑making—an update to the NHESS scoping review (2023–2026)
Audun Hetland, Olav Kvåle Myksvoll, Tarjei Westerlund, Andrea Mannberg, and Rebecca Anne Hetland
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3189,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3189, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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12 Jun 2026
Unravelling wind-driven impact of storm clusters, a case study for the insurer Generali France
Laura Hasbini, Pascal Yiou, Quentin Hénaff, Laurent Boissier, and Arthur Perringaux
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2817–2839, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2817-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2817-2026, 2026
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12 Jun 2026
Hybrid forest disturbance classification using Sentinel-1 and inventory data: a case-study for Southeastern USA
Franziska Müller, Laura Eifler, Felix Cremer, Pieter Beck, Gustau Camps-Valls, and Ana Bastos
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2785–2815, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2785-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2785-2026, 2026
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11 Jun 2026
Review article: Climate hazards and risk in African cities – knowledge gaps and research needs
Koen De Ridder, Mohammad Alobaidi, Hossein Bonakdari, Tomas Crols, Benjamin Lanssens, Jonathan Leon-Tavares, Alireza Nasseri, Ousmane Seidou, Mohammad Shaheen, Niels Souverijns, Inge Uljee, and Nele Veldeman
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2901,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2901, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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11 Jun 2026
Will there be more landslides and slushflows in Norway in a future climate?
Tuomo Mikael Saloranta, Graziella Devoli, Shaochun Huang, and Wai Kwok Wong
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2932,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2932, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Jun 2026
Forecasting threshold exceedance of atmospheric variables at a specific location
Roberta Baggio and Jean-François Muzy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3111,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3111, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Jun 2026
Multi-hazard susceptibility mapping in a karst context using a machine-learning method (MaxEnt)
Hedieh Soltanpour, Kamal Serrhini, Joel C. Gill, Sven Fuchs, and Solmaz Mohadjer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2743–2763, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2743-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2743-2026, 2026
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11 Jun 2026
A high-resolution framework for urban pluvial flood risk mapping
Anastasia Vogelbacher, Malte von Szombathely, Marc Lennartz, Benjamin Poschlod, and Jana Sillmann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2765–2783, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2765-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2765-2026, 2026
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10 Jun 2026
Lithosphere–Coversphere–Atmosphere–Ionosphere Coupling with the 2023 Turkey Earthquake Doublet: A Deviation–Time–Space–Frequency Analysis
Rabia Rasheed, Biyan Chen, Yifan Ding, Ziqing Wang, Syed Amer Mahmood, and Lixin Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2310,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2310, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Jun 2026
Assessment of the vulnerability of buildings destroyed during postfire debris flow events in Kule village, Yajiang County, China
Jinshui Wang, Jiangang Chen, Lu Zeng, Fei Yang, Xiao Li, Wanyu Zhao, and Huayong Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2717–2742, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2717-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2717-2026, 2026
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10 Jun 2026
| Highlight paper
The Pluvial Flood Index (PFI): a new instrument for evaluating flash flood hazards and facilitating real-time warning
Markus Weiler, Julia Krumm, Ingo Haag, Hannes Leistert, Max Schmit, Andreas Steinbrich, and Andreas Hänsler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2673–2689, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2673-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2673-2026, 2026
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10 Jun 2026
Development of flood vulnerability functions for cultural heritage buildings and artworks for damage assessment in art cities
Claudia De Lucia and Chiara Arrighi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2653–2672, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2653-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2653-2026, 2026
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10 Jun 2026
Consistency of seismic hazard estimates from a physics-based earthquake simulator: a case study in south-eastern Spain
Octavi Gómez-Novell, Francesco Visini, Paula Herrero-Barbero, José A. Álvarez-Gómez, and Julián García-Mayordomo
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2691–2715, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2691-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2691-2026, 2026
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05 Jun 2026
From text to geoinformation – A modular approach for extraction of disaster information from web text data
Vanessa Rittlinger, Johannes Mast, Stefan Voigt, Christian Geiß, and Hannes Taubenböck
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2361,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2361, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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05 Jun 2026
Method for near real-time detection of snow avalanches using Distributed Acoustic Sensing
Pascal Edme, Cristina Pérez-Guillén, Alec van Herwijnen, Johannes Aichele, Andri Simeon, Patrick Paitz, Fabian Walter, and Andreas Fichtner
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2373,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2373, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Jun 2026
Desired and unintended impacts of managed realignment in a macrotidal estuary under present-day and future compound events
Marta Payo Payo, Constantinos Matsoukis, Jennifer Brown, and Laurent Amoudry
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2536,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2536, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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05 Jun 2026
Quantifying the current and future likelihood of the 2022 extreme wildfire weather conditions in France with anthropogenic climate change
Shengling Zhu, Renaud Barbero, François Pimont, and Benjamin Renard
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2637–2652, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2637-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2637-2026, 2026
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04 Jun 2026
Two-Dimensional Hydrodynamic Modelling of Glacial Lake Outburst Flood Scenarios from Chubda Tsho: Breach Sensitivity and Downstream Flood Dynamics in the Chamkhar Chhu Basin, Bhutan
Tenzin Namgay, Kasun De Silva, Nimal Wijayaratna, and Lalith Rajapakse
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2584,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2584, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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04 Jun 2026
| Highlight paper
Wikimpacts 1.0: a new global climate impact database based on automated information extraction from Wikipedia
Ni Li, Wim Thiery, Shorouq Zahra, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Koffi Worou, Murathan Kurfalı, Seppe Lampe, Paul Muñoz, Clare Flynn, Camila Trigoso, Joakim Nivre, Jakob Zscheischler, and Gabriele Messori
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2609–2636, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2609-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2609-2026, 2026
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04 Jun 2026
Monitoring the displacement of large alpine rock slope instabilities with L-band SAR interferometric techniques
Tazio Strozzi, Nina Jones, Federico Agliardi, Alessandro De Pedrini, Othmar Frey, Philipp Bernhard, Rafael Caduff, Christian Ambrosi, and Andrea Manconi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2579–2607, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2579-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2579-2026, 2026
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03 Jun 2026
Brief communication: Vent opening at Campi Flegrei – clues from dyke propagation patterns
Jacopo Selva and Nello Mangone
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2551–2560, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2551-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2551-2026, 2026
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03 Jun 2026
Multi-level assessment of flood risk perception and flood behaviour
Rocío Coloma, Vicente Saenger, Felipe Link, and Oscar Link
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2525–2550, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2525-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2525-2026, 2026
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03 Jun 2026
Spatiotemporal assessment of landslide risk over large areas: a case study of the Valencian Community (1950–2021)
Isidro Cantarino Martí, Miguel Ángel Carrión Carmona, Eric Gielen, and José-Sergio Palencia-Jiménez
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2505–2523, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2505-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2505-2026, 2026
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03 Jun 2026
Capturing the complete landslide–debris-rich flood continuum for accurate inventory, susceptibility and exposure mapping – lessons from Cyclone Idai
Antoine Dille, Olivier Dewitte, Jente Broeckx, Koen Verbist, Andile Sindiso Dube, Jean Poesen, and Matthias Vanmaercke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2561–2577, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2561-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2561-2026, 2026
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03 Jun 2026
Morphological response of vegetated and urbanized barrier islands to Hurricane Ian
Hassan Ilyas, Ap van Dongeren, Dano Roelvink, Ellen Quataert, and Christopher Daly
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2487–2504, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2487-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2487-2026, 2026
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01 Jun 2026
Modeling seismic site response to improve lacustrine paleoseismic records
Huitong Yang, Katleen Wils, Ariana Molenaar, Jasper Moernaut, Lei Wu, Roberto Urrutia, Mario Pino, and Maarten Van Daele
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2493,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2493, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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01 Jun 2026
Mapping uncertainty in flood impacts: a multi-source assessment and catalogue of simulated, remotely sensed and reported floods in Europe
Lorenzo Scarpellini, Andrea Ficchì, Claudia D'Angelo, Andrea Betterle, Peter Salamon, and Andrea Castelletti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2807,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2807, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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01 Jun 2026
A single framework for assessing flash flood and landslide susceptibility: an application to the Mediterranean Liguria region, Italy
Alessia Riveros, Chamidu Gunaratne, Mario Martinelli, and Frederiek Christianne Sperna Weiland
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2437–2459, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2437-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2437-2026, 2026
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01 Jun 2026
Predicting the risk of individual tree fall along powerlines in Norway with a mechanistic wind risk model and machine learning
Morgane Merlin, Barry Gardiner, and Svein Solberg
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2461–2485, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2461-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2461-2026, 2026
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29 May 2026
Evolution of the Unsaturated Permeability and Internal Erosion Characteristics of Ili loess under Rainfall
Abuduwaresi Tuerxun, Kaidierding Wulamu, Zizhao Zhang, Qianli Lv, Runsen Lai, Yanyang Zhang, and Zhiguo Xu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1999,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1999, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 May 2026
| Highlight paper
The TSUSY Database: a global database of historical tsunami events and a tsunami-occurrence criterion based on historical earthquakes
David Galán Pérez, Iñigo Aniel-Quiroga, Albert Gallego, Ignacio Aguirre-Ayerbe, Mauricio González, Omar Quetzalcóatl, Jose A. Álvarez-Gómez, and Luis Pedraz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2415–2436, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2415-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2415-2026, 2026
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28 May 2026
Impact attribution of compound flooding from Tropical Cyclone Idai: Assessing the influence of land cover change and underlying socio-economic drivers using a mixed-methods approach
Poppy E. Webb, Doris Vertegaal, Martha M. Vogel, Chrisopher D. Jack, and Sanne Muis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2454,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2454, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 May 2026
Evaluating the effects of preprocessing, method selection, and hyperparameter tuning on SAR-based flood mapping and water depth estimation
Jean-Paul Travert, Cédric Goeury, Sébastien Boyaval, Vito Bacchi, and Fabrice Zaoui
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2387–2413, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2387-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2387-2026, 2026
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26 May 2026
Constructing physical-based rainfall landslides prediction model: insights from rainfall threshold curves database of slope units
Kai Wang, Linmao Xie, Shuailong Xie, Shaojie Zhang, Yongyang Jiang, Ji Zhang, Lin Zhu, Zhiliu Wang, and Fuzhou Qi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2367–2385, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2367-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2367-2026, 2026
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26 May 2026
Enhancing hydrological hazard early warning: a 60 d streamflow forecasting framework integrating deep learning and process-based modeling
Zhijie Liu, Hanbo Yang, and Dawen Yang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2353–2366, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2353-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2353-2026, 2026
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22 May 2026
Multi-Data Source Based Quantifying Urban Flood Severity in Major Chinese Cities (2000–2024) Using a Hybrid Machine-Learning Weighting Framework
Guoqiang Peng, Yujing Sun, Mao Wang, Min Chen, and Fengyuan Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2501,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2501, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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21 May 2026
Urban gullies and their massive economic toll: insights from Kinshasa, the world’s most affected city
Eric Lutete Landu, Guy Ilombe Mawe, Elise Dujardin, Fils Makanzu Imwangana, Charles Bielders, Olivier Dewitte, Jean Poesen, Caroline Michellier, Aurélia Hubert, and Matthias Vanmaercke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1774,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1774, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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20 May 2026
Brief Communication: Structured Virtual Expert Panels for Interdisciplinary Ideation in Natural Hazard Science
Jui-Ming Chang, Nativ Ron, Qi Zhou, and Shang Jyh Yiin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-884,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-884, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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20 May 2026
Storm Gloria (2020): joint probability of multiple flood hazards and compound events in a paradigmatic Mediterranean event
Montserrat Llasat-Botija, Raül Marcos-Matamoros, Maria Aguilera-Vidal, José Antonio Jimenez, and María Carmen Llasat
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2070,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2070, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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20 May 2026
The influence of soil moisture on the heavy precipitation event in July 2021 in Western Europe
Till Fohrmann, Svenja Szemkus, Oliver Heuser, Arianna Valmassoi, and Petra Friederichs
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2424,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2424, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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20 May 2026
A robust multi-indicator framework for landslide early warning using complementary statistical physics-based diagnostics
Qinghua Lei and Didier Sornette
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2565,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2565, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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20 May 2026
Atmospheric Rivers landfalling in Japan: Climatology and physical characteristics causing heavy rainfall
Yusuke Hiraga, Sohta Tadaki, Ryotaro Tahara, and Jose Angelo Hokson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2597,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2597, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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20 May 2026
Towards improved integration of hydrological uncertainty and hydraulic model sensitivity in flood hazard mapping
Simon Rusjan, Jasna Donevska, and Matjaž Mikoš
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2602,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2602, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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