Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
06 Oct 2025
Predictive understanding of socioeconomic flood impact in data-scarce regions based on channel properties and storm characteristics: application in High Mountain Asia (HMA)
Mariam Khanam, Giulia Sofia, Wilmalis Rodriguez, Efthymios I. Nikolopoulos, Binghao Lu, Dongjin Song, and Emmanouil N. Anagnostou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3759–3778, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3759-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3759-2025, 2025
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06 Oct 2025
Assessing economic impacts of future GLOFs in Nepal's Everest region under different SSP scenarios using three-dimensional simulations
Wilhelm Furian and Tobias Sauter
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3779–3802, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3779-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3779-2025, 2025
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06 Oct 2025
Mitigating Mazuku Hazards: Implementation and Effectiveness of Local Dry‑Gas Degassing Measures in the Goma Area (Virunga Volcanic Province)
Blaise Mafuko-Nyandwi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4497,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4497, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Oct 2025
Changes in tropical cyclone-associated precipitation of highly damaging Philippine typhoons using high-resolution PGW simulations and multiple-experiment approach
Rafaela Jane Delfino, Gerry Bagtasa, Pier Luigi Vidale, and Kevin Hodges
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4443,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4443, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Oct 2025
Modelling vegetation-induced wave attenuation: the impact of seagrass seasonal variability and biomechanical flexibility
Seimur Shirinov, Ivan Federico, Simone Bonamano, Salvatore Causio, Nicolás Biocca, Viviana Piermattei, Daniele Piazzolla, Jacopo Alessandri, Lorenzo Mentaschi, Giovanni Coppini, Marco Marcelli, and Nadia Pinardi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3737–3758, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3737-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3737-2025, 2025
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02 Oct 2025
Forecasting people exposed to tropical cyclone flooding in Southeast Africa: Lessons learned from recent events
Jeffrey Neal, Anthony Cooper, Stephen Chuter, Leanne Archer, Laura Devitt, Stephen Grey, Laurence Hawker, James Savage, Elisabeth Stephens, Calum Baugh, Tim Sumner, Katherine Marsden, and Tamara Janes
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3473,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3473, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Oct 2025
Drought propagation in the Rhine River basin and its impact on navigation using LAERTES-EU regional climate model dataset
Andrea L. Campoverde, Uwe Ehret, Patrick Ludwig, and Joaquim G. Pinto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3988,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3988, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Oct 2025
An ensemble random forest model for seismic energy forecasting
Sukh Sagar Shukla, Jaya Dhanya, Praveen Kumar, Priyanka, and Varun Dutt
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3713–3736, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3713-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3713-2025, 2025
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01 Oct 2025
| Highlight paper
Insights from hailstorm track analysis in European climate change simulations
Killian P. Brennan, Iris Thurnherr, Michael Sprenger, and Heini Wernli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3693–3712, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3693-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3693-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
30 Sep 2025
Detection and characterization of precipitation extremes and geohydrological hazards over a transboundary Alpine area based on different methods and climate datasets
Alice Crespi, Katharina Enigl, Sebastian Lehner, Klaus Haslinger, and Massimiliano Pittore
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3686,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3686, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Sep 2025
Identifying urban and rural settlement archetypes: clustering for enhanced risk-oriented exposure and vulnerability analysis
Gabriella Tocchi, Massimiliano Pittore, and Maria Polese
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3665–3692, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3665-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3665-2025, 2025
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29 Sep 2025
Simulating avalanche-triggered lake overspill and downstream impacts at Birendra Lake using RAMMS and HEC-RAS
Sujan Thapa, Ragini Vaidya, Mohan Bahadur Chand, and Rijan Bhakta Kayastha
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4454,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4454, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Sep 2025
Use of nonlinear principal components of CHIRPS precipitation data and ocean-atmospheric variables for streamflow forecasting in an area of scarce data. Case study, Tocaría river basin – Orinoquia Colombiana
Jhon Derly Sarria-Ospina, Camilo Ocampo-Marulanda, Lina Maria Ceron-Aramburo, Teresita Canchala, and Tiago Alessandro Ferreira
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3694,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3694, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Sep 2025
Disentangling atmospheric, hydrological, and coupling uncertainties in compound flood modeling within a coupled Earth system model
Dongyu Feng, Zeli Tan, Darren Engwirda, Jonathan D. Wolfe, Donghui Xu, Chang Liao, Gautam Bisht, James J. Benedict, Tian Zhou, Mithun Deb, Hong-Yi Li, and L. Ruby Leung
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3619–3639, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3619-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3619-2025, 2025
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26 Sep 2025
Hillslope torrential hazard cascades in tropical mountains
Maria Isabel Arango-Carmona, Paul Voit, Marcel Hürlimann, Edier Aristizábal, and Oliver Korup
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3641–3663, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3641-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3641-2025, 2025
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26 Sep 2025
Spatiotemporal assessment of landslide risk over large areas: A case study of the Valencian Community (1950–2021)
Isidro Cantarino Martí, Miguel Ángel Carrión Carmona, Eric Gielen, and José-Sergio Palencia-Jiménez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4693,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4693, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Sep 2025
Analysis on Multi-Factor Synergistic Hazards Mechanism of Wet Micro-downburst: Multi-Source Data Fusion Analysis based on Passenger Ship Capsizing Accident in Qianxi Region, Guizhou on May 4th, 2025
Ankun Wu, Xi Guo, Dan Yao, Xiaoling Du, Dongpo He, Jue Li, Shisheng Jin, and Tienan Bai
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4293,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4293, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Sep 2025
Research on the extraction of pre-seismic anomalies in borehole strain data of the Maduo earthquake based on the SVMD-Informer model
Shanzhi Dong, Jie Zhang, Changfeng Qin, Yu Duan, Chenyang Li, Chengquan Chi, and Zhichao Zhang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3603–3618, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3603-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3603-2025, 2025
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24 Sep 2025
The 15 September 2022 floods in northern Marche (Central Italy): disaster analysis, case studies and mitigation strategies for geomorphological- hydraulic risk
Fabrizio Bendia, Margherita Bufalini, Piero Farabollini, and Marco Materazzi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4405,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4405, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Sep 2025
Flood relief logistics planning for coastal cities: a case study in Shanghai, China
Pujun Liang, Jie Yin, Dandan Wang, Yi Lu, Yuhan Yang, Dan Gao, and Jianfeng Mai
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3545–3558, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3545-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3545-2025, 2025
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23 Sep 2025
Review article: Fire emissions in the Brazilian Cerrado – dynamics, estimates, management, and their role in the global carbon budget
Renata Moura da Veiga, Celso von Randow, Chantelle Burton, Douglas I. Kelley, Manoel Cardoso, and Fabiano Morelli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3581–3601, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3581-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3581-2025, 2025
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23 Sep 2025
The Parraguirre ice–rock avalanche 1987, semi-arid Andes, Chile – a holistic revision
Johannes J. Fürst, David Farías-Barahona, Thomas Bruckner, Lucia Scaff, Martin Mergili, Santiago Montserrat, and Humberto Peña
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3559–3579, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3559-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3559-2025, 2025
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23 Sep 2025
Automated urban flood level detection based on flooded bus dataset using YOLOv8
Yanbin Qiu, Xudong Zhou, Jiaquan Wan, Tao Yang, Lvfei Zhang, Yuanzhuo Zhong, Leqi Shen, and Xinwu Ji
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3525–3544, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3525-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3525-2025, 2025
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23 Sep 2025
Predicting the amplitude and runup of the water waves induced by rotational cliff collapse, considering fragmentation
Hasnain Gardezi, Talha Khan, Xingyue Li, Taimur Mazhar Sheikh, Yu Huang, and Zhiyi Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4396,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4396, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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22 Sep 2025
Predicting Soil Salinity in the Red River Delta (Vietnam) Using Machine Learning and Assessing Farmers' Adaptive Capacity
Huu Duy Nguyen, Dinh Kha Dang, Thi Anh Tam Lai, Duc Dung Tran, Himan Shahabi, and Quang-Thanh Bui
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3505–3524, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3505-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3505-2025, 2025
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19 Sep 2025
Landfalling tropical cyclones significantly reduce Bangladesh's energy security
Kieran M. R. Hunt and Hannah C. Bloomfield
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4474,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4474, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Sep 2025
Numerical Experiments of Cloud Seeding for Mitigating Localization of Heavy Rainfall: A Case Study of Mesoscale Convective System in Japan
Yusuke Hiraga, Jacqueline Muthoni Mbugua, Shunji Kotsuki, Yoshiharu Suzuki, Shu-Hua Chen, Atsushi Hamada, Kazuaki Yasunaga, and Takuya Funatomi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3524,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3524, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Sep 2025
Present and future trends of extreme short-term rainfall events in Germany, by downscaling convective environments of ERA5 and a CMIP6 ensemble
Gerd Bürger and Maik Heistermann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3584,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3584, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Sep 2025
Meteotsunami prediction in km-scale regional systems coupled at high frequency
Nefeli Makrygianni, Ségolène Berthou, David L. A. Flack, Cindy Lebeaupin Brossier, Jonathan Beuvier, Juan Manuel Castillo, Emiliano Renzi, Clare O’Neill, Daniel Peláez-Zapata, Frederic Dias, Huw Lewis, and Diego Bruciaferri
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3555,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3555, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Sep 2025
Atmospheric blocking and climate extremes in Germany in present and future climate
Richard Lohmann, Christopher Purr, and Bodo Ahrens
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3670,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3670, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Sep 2025
Constructing physical-based rainfall landslides prediction model: Insights from rainfall threshold curves database of slope units
Kai Wang, Linmao Xie, Shuailong Xie, Shaojie Zhang, Yongyang Jiang, Ji Zhang, Lin Zhu, Zhiliu Wang, and Fuzhou Qi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3651,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3651, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Sep 2025
Flood damage functions for rice: Synthesizing evidence and building data-driven models
Alina Bill-Weilandt, Nivedita Sairam, Dennis Wagenaar, Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Heidi Kreibich, Perrine Hamel, and David Lallemant
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3706,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3706, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Sep 2025
Coupled simulation of landslide, tsunami, and ground deformation for the 2017 Nuugaatsiaq event in Greenland
Hideo Aochi, Masumi Yamada, Tung-Cheng Ho, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Arno Christian Hammann, and Ruth Mottram
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3803,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3803, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Sep 2025
Statistical Evaluation of Well Water Anomalies as Potential Precursors to Large Earthquakes
Yoshiaki Orihara
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4444,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4444, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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17 Sep 2025
Monitoring agricultural and economic drought: the Australian Agricultural Drought Indicators (AADI)
Neal Hughes, Donald Gaydon, Mihir Gupta, Andrew Schepen, Peter Tan, Geoffrey Brent, Andrew Turner, Sean Bellew, Wei Ying Soh, Christopher Sharman, Peter Taylor, John Carter, Dorine Bruget, Zvi Hochman, Ross Searle, Yong Song, Patrick Mitchell, Yacob Beletse, Dean Holzworth, Laura Guillory, Connor Brodie, Jonathon McComb, and Ramneek Singh
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3461–3482, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3461-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3461-2025, 2025
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17 Sep 2025
How are public compensation efforts implemented in multi-hazard events? Insights from the 2020 Gloria storm in Catalonia
Núria Pantaleoni Reluy, Marcel Hürlimann, and Nieves Lantada
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3483–3504, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3483-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3483-2025, 2025
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16 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
The 1538 eruption at the Campi Flegrei resurgent caldera: implications for future unrest and eruptive scenarios
Giuseppe Rolandi, Claudia Troise, Marco Sacchi, Massimo Di Lascio, and Giuseppe De Natale
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3421–3453, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3421-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3421-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
16 Sep 2025
Brief communication: A magma depletion alternative for vent distribution in volcanic fields
Mark S. Bebbington, Melody G. Whitehead, and Gabor Kereszturi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3455–3460, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3455-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3455-2025, 2025
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16 Sep 2025
A coastal geodetic GNSS station for tectonic and sea-level variation study in the South China Sea
Qiang Qiu, Linlin Li, Mai Ye, Hongqiang Yang, Xingyu Song, Tingting Zheng, Jinghe Cao, Peitao Wang, Zhanying Chen, Zhiwen Zhang, Kuilin Xiao, Xing Huang, Yadong Huang, Chuanyang Zheng, Zhiyuan OuYang, Xiaoming Fu, Muzhong Wang, Zhen Wang, Zitao Zhang, and Haiping Cui
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3563,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3563, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Sep 2025
Sectoral vulnerability to drought: exploring the role of blue and green water dependency in mid- and high-latitude regions
Elin Stenfors, Malgorzata Blicharska, Thomas Grabs, and Claudia Teutschbein
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3381–3395, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3381-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3381-2025, 2025
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15 Sep 2025
Implementation of an interconnected fault system in probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA): the Levant fault system
Sarah El Kadri, Céline Beauval, Marlène Brax, and Yann Klinger
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3397–3419, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3397-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3397-2025, 2025
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15 Sep 2025
Brief Communication: Rejuvenating and strengthening the science-policy interface required to implement the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
Joel C. Gill
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3559,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3559, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Sep 2025
Assessment of avalanche hazard of freeride skiing areas
Adam Kupec and Štefan Koco
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4220,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4220, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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12 Sep 2025
The dynamics of peak head responses at Dutch canal dikes and the impact of climate change
Bart Strijker and Matthijs Kok
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3355–3379, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3355-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3355-2025, 2025
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12 Sep 2025
Probabilistic and Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessments of the area comprised between west Gulf of Cádiz and east Alboran Sea
Adrián José Rosario Beltré, Carlos Paredes Bartolomé, and Miguel Llorente Isidro
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3248,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3248, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Sep 2025
The Role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in driving Coastal Hazards in the U.S. Pacific Northwest
Meredith Leung, Peter Ruggiero, Laura Cagigal, Dylan Anderson, and Fernando Mendez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4039,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4039, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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11 Sep 2025
Can model-based avalanche forecasts match the discriminatory skill of human danger-level forecasts? A comparison from Switzerland
Frank Techel, Ross S. Purves, Stephanie Mayer, Günter Schmudlach, and Kurt Winkler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3333–3353, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3333-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3333-2025, 2025
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11 Sep 2025
What if extreme droughts occur more frequently? Mechanisms and limits of forest adaptation in pine monocultures and mixed forests in Berlin–Brandenburg, Germany
Jamir Priesner, Boris Sakschewski, Maik Billing, Werner von Bloh, Sebastian Fiedler, Sarah Bereswill, Kirsten Thonicke, and Britta Tietjen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3309–3331, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3309-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3309-2025, 2025
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11 Sep 2025
Constraining landslide frequency across the United States to inform county-level risk reduction
Lisa V. Luna, Jacob B. Woodard, Janice L. Bytheway, Gina M. Belair, and Benjamin B. Mirus
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3279–3307, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3279-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3279-2025, 2025
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10 Sep 2025
Individual flood risk adaptation in Germany: exploring the role of different types of flooding
Lisa Dillenardt and Annegret H. Thieken
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3257–3278, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3257-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3257-2025, 2025
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10 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
Severe beach erosion induced by shoreline deformation after a large-scale reclamation project for the Samcheok liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal in South Korea
Changbin Lim, Tae Min Lim, and Jung-Lyul Lee
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3239–3255, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3239-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3239-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
10 Sep 2025
Anatomy of a Flash Flood in a Hyperarid Environment: From Atmospheric Masses to Sediment Dispersal in the Sea
Akos Kalman, Timor Katz, Miklos Vincze, Jake Longenecker, Alysse Mathalon, Paul Hill, and Beverly Goodman-Tchernov
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3201–3219, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3201-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3201-2025, 2025
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10 Sep 2025
Extreme heat and mortality in the state of Rio de Janeiro in November 2023: attribution to climate change and ENSO
Soledad Collazo, David Barriopedro, Ricardo García-Herrera, and Santiago Beguería
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3221–3238, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3221-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3221-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
Hail events in Germany: rare or frequent natural hazards?
Tabea Wilke, Katharina Lengfeld, and Markus Schultze
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3141–3159, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3141-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3141-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
Climate change impacts on floods in West Africa: new insight from two large-scale hydrological models
Serigne Bassirou Diop, Job Ekolu, Yves Tramblay, Bastien Dieppois, Stefania Grimaldi, Ansoumana Bodian, Juliette Blanchet, Ponnambalam Rameshwaran, Peter Salamon, and Benjamin Sultan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3161–3184, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3161-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3161-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
Estimating future wildfire burnt area over Greece using the JULES-INFERNO model
Anastasios Rovithakis, Eleanor Burke, Chantelle Burton, Matthew Kasoar, Manolis G. Grillakis, Konstantinos D. Seiradakis, and Apostolos Voulgarakis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3185–3200, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3185-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3185-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
The Dual-Edged Role of Vegetation in Evaluating Landslide Susceptibility: Evidence from Watershed-Scale and Site-Specific Analyses
Songtang He, Zhenhong Shen, Jeffrey Neal, Zongji Yang, Jiangang Chen, Daojie Wang, Yujing Yang, Peng Zhao, Xudong Hu, Yongming Lin, Youtong Rong, Yanchen Zheng, Xiaoli Su, and Yong Kong
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3004,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3004, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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09 Sep 2025
Exploring seismic mass-movement data with anomaly detection and dynamic time warping
Francois Kamper, Fabian Walter, Patrick Paitz, Matthias Meyer, Michele Volpi, and Mathieu Salzmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3864,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3864, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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09 Sep 2025
Bedrock ledges, colluvial wedges, and ridgetop water towers: Characterizing geomorphic and atmospheric controls on the 2023 Wrangell landslide to inform landslide assessment in Southeast Alaska, USA
Joshua J. Roering, Margaret Darrow, Annette Patton, and Aaron Jacobs
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4123,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4123, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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08 Sep 2025
Rainfall analysis in mountain streams affected by torrential floods on Madeira Island, Portugal
Sérgio Lopes, Marcelo Fragoso, and Eusébio Reis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3109–3123, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3109-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3109-2025, 2025
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08 Sep 2025
Impacts of barrier-island breaching on mainland flooding during storm events applied to Moriches, New York
Catherine R. Jeffries, Robert Weiss, Jennifer L. Irish, and Kyle Mandli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3125–3139, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3125-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3125-2025, 2025
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08 Sep 2025
Projecting changes in rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility across China under climate change
Jinqi Wang, Hao Fang, Kai Liu, Yi Yue, Ming Wang, Bohao Li, and Xiaoyi Miao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3834,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3834, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Sep 2025
Invited perspectives: Fostering interoperability of data, models, communication, and governance for disaster resilience through transdisciplinary knowledge co-production
Kai Schröter, Pia-Johanna Schweizer, Benedikt Gräler, Lydia Cumiskey, Sukaina Bharwani, Janne Parviainen, Chahan M. Kropf, Viktor Wattin Håkansson, Martin Drews, Tracy Irvine, Clarissa Dondi, Heiko Apel, Jana Löhrlein, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefano Bagli, Levente Huszti, Christopher Genillard, Silvia Unguendoli, Fred Hattermann, and Max Steinhausen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3055–3073, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3055-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3055-2025, 2025
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05 Sep 2025
The ability of a stochastic regional weather generator to reproduce heavy-precipitation events across scales
Xiaoxiang Guan, Viet Dung Nguyen, Paul Voit, Bruno Merz, Maik Heistermann, and Sergiy Vorogushyn
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3075–3086, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3075-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3075-2025, 2025
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05 Sep 2025
Evaluating Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration flood risk using a hybrid method of automated machine learning and analytic hierarchy process
Yu Gao, Haipeng Lu, Yaru Zhang, Hengxu Jin, Shuai Wu, Yixuan Gao, and Shuliang Zhang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3087–3108, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3087-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3087-2025, 2025
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05 Sep 2025
High-resolution data assimilation for two maritime extreme weather events: a comparison between 3D-Var and EnKF
Diego S. Carrió, Vincenzo Mazzarella, and Rossella Ferretti
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2999–3026, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2999-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2999-2025, 2025
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05 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
Failure of Marmolada Glacier (Dolomites, Italy) in 2022: data-based back analysis of possible collapse mechanisms
Roberto Giovanni Francese, Roberto Valentino, Wilfried Haeberli, Aldino Bondesan, Massimo Giorgi, Stefano Picotti, Franco Pettenati, Denis Sandron, Gianni Ramponi, and Mauro Valt
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3027–3053, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3027-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3027-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
04 Sep 2025
Brief communication: Composite urban resilience to typhoon disasters – an assessment of 27 cities in seven major river basins, China
Zezhao Liu, Jiahui Yang, and Cong Wu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2973–2979, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2973-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2973-2025, 2025
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04 Sep 2025
Brief Communication: Drivers of the recent warming of the Mediterranean Sea, and its implications for hail risk
Stephen Cusack and Tyler Cox
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2963–2972, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2963-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2963-2025, 2025
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04 Sep 2025
The impact of active and capable faults structural complexity on seismic hazard assessment for the design of linear infrastructures
Selina Bonini, Riccardo Asti, Giulio Viola, Giulia Tartaglia, Stefano Rodani, Gianluca Benedetti, Massimo Comedini, and Gianluca Vignaroli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2981–2998, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2981-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2981-2025, 2025
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03 Sep 2025
Compound droughts have become more widespread globally
Marko Kallio, Pihla Seppälä, Lauri Ahopelto, Amy Fallon, Pekka Kinnunen, Matias Heino, and Matti Kummu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3909,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3909, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Sep 2025
Historical changes in drought characteristics and their impact on vegetation cover over Madagascar
Herijaona Hani-Roge Hundilida Randriatsara, Eva Holtanova, Karim Rizwan, Hassen Babaousmail, Mirindra Finaritra Tanteliniaina Rabezanahary, Kokou Romaric Posset, Donnata Alupot, and Brian Odhiambo Ayugi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2939–2961, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2939-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2939-2025, 2025
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29 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Turning regret into future disaster preparedness with no regrets
Joy Ommer, Milan Kalas, Jessica Neumann, Sophie Blackburn, and Hannah L. Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2929–2938, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2929-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2929-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
28 Aug 2025
An efficient method to simulate wildfire propagation using irregular grids
Conor Hackett, Rafael de Andrade Moral, Gourav Misra, Tim McCarthy, and Charles Markham
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2909–2928, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2909-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2909-2025, 2025
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28 Aug 2025
Sustainable risk management of trouble spots caused by heavy rainfall events: Citizen Science app and data analytics for residents and authorities
Jaqueline Hoffmann, Sascha Nau, Sabrina Abler, Vincent Theis, Peter Fischer-Stabel, Julian Janßen, and Andreas Abecker
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3702,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3702, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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27 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Impact-based temporal clustering of multiple meteorological hazard types in southwestern Germany
Katharina Küpfer, Alexandre Tuel, and Michael Kunz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2885–2907, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2885-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2885-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
26 Aug 2025
Reask UTC: a machine learning modeling framework to generate climate-connected tropical cyclone event sets globally
Thomas Loridan and Nicolas Bruneau
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2863–2884, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2863-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2863-2025, 2025
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26 Aug 2025
Detection of atmospheric rivers affecting the Mediterranean and producing extreme rainfall over northern-central Italy
Silvio Davolio, Isacco Sala, Alessandro Comunian, Daniele Mastrangelo, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Lucia Drago Pitura, and Federico Grazzini
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3447,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3447, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Aug 2025
Long-term hazard of pyroclastic density currents at Vesuvius (Southern Italy) with maps of impact parameters
Pierfrancesco Dellino, Fabio Dioguardi, Roberto Sulpizio, and Daniela Mele
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2823–2844, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2823-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2823-2025, 2025
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25 Aug 2025
BN-FLEMOΔ: a Bayesian-network-based flood loss estimation model for adaptation planning in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Nivedita Sairam, Lukas Schoppa, Le Thanh Sang, Do Ly Hoai Tan, and Heidi Kreibich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2845–2861, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2845-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2845-2025, 2025
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25 Aug 2025
Assessing the ability of the ECMWF seasonal prediction model to forecast extreme September-to-November rainfall events over Equatorial Africa
Hermann N. Nana, Roméo S. Tanessong, Masilin Gudoshava, and Derbetini A. Vondou
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2656,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2656, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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22 Aug 2025
Investigation of an extreme rainfall event during 8–12 December 2018 over central Vietnam – Part 2: An evaluation of predictability using a time-lagged cloud-resolving ensemble system​​​​​​​
Chung-Chieh Wang, Duc Van Nguyen, Thang Van Vu, Pham Thi Thanh Nga, Pi-Yu Chuang, and Kien Ba Truong
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2803–2822, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2803-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2803-2025, 2025
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22 Aug 2025
Recovery under consecutive disasters: how recovery dynamics shape societal resilience
Sophie L. Buijs, Inga J. Sauer, Chahan M. Kropf, Samuel Juhel, Zélie Stalhandske, and Marleen C. De Ruiter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3200,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3200, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Aug 2025
First 2D record of a tsunami by SWOT satellite: observation data and preliminary numerical simulation of the 19 May 2023 tsunami near the Loyalty Islands
Jean H. M. Roger, Yannice Faugère, Hélène Hébert, Antoine Delepoulle, and Gérald Dibarboure
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3926,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3926, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Groundwater recharge in Brandenburg is declining – but why?
Till Francke and Maik Heistermann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2783–2802, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2783-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2783-2025, 2025
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18 Aug 2025
What can we learn about multi-hazard impacts from global disaster records?
Wiebke S. Jäger, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Timothy Tiggeloven, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2751–2769, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2751-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2751-2025, 2025
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18 Aug 2025
Seismic signal characterization of snow avalanches using distributed acoustic sensing in Grasdalen, western Norway
Franz Kleine, Charlotte Bruland, Andreas Wuestefeld, Volker Oye, and Martin Landrø
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2771–2782, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2771-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2771-2025, 2025
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18 Aug 2025
Brief communication – Vent opening at Campi Flegrei: clues from dyke propagation patterns
Jacopo Selva and Nello Mangone
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3615,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3615, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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15 Aug 2025
Cities near volcanoes: which cities are most exposed to volcanic hazards?
Elinor S. Meredith, Rui Xue Natalie Teng, Susanna F. Jenkins, Josh L. Hayes, Sébastien Biass, and Heather Handley
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2731–2749, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2731-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2731-2025, 2025
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14 Aug 2025
Large-scale assessment of rainfall-induced landslide hazard based on hydrometeorological information: application to Partenio Massif (Italy)
Daniel Camilo Roman Quintero, Pasquale Marino, Abdullah Abdullah, Giovanni Francesco Santonastaso, and Roberto Greco
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2679–2698, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2679-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2679-2025, 2025
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14 Aug 2025
Transformations in exposure to debris flows in post-earthquake Sichuan, China
Isabelle Utley, Tristram Hales, Ekbal Hussain, and Xuanmei Fan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2699–2716, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2699-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2699-2025, 2025
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14 Aug 2025
Modeling regional production capacity loss rates considering response bias: insights from a questionnaire survey on the Zhengzhou flood
Lijiao Yang, Yan Luo, Zilong Li, and Xinyu Jiang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2717–2730, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2717-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2717-2025, 2025
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14 Aug 2025
Community-Scale Assessment of Flood-Related Public Health Vulnerability Using Multi-Criteria AHP in Northwestern Bangladesh
Nafisa Nuari Islam, Tonoy Mahmud, Shamima Ferdousi Sifa, Md. Asif Rafsan, A. S. M. Maksud Kamal, Md. Shakhawat Hossain, and Md. Zillur Rahman
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3693,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3693, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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13 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Warnings based on risk matrices: a coherent framework with consistent evaluation
Robert J. Taggart and David J. Wilke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2657–2677, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2657-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2657-2025, 2025
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11 Aug 2025
What controls fire size in the South American Gran Chaco? Exploring atmospheric, landscape, and anthropogenic drivers
Rodrigo San Martin, Catherine Ottlé, Anna Sorenssön, Pradeebane Vattinada Ayar, Florent Mouillot, and Marielle Malfante
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3484,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3484, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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11 Aug 2025
From typhoon rainfall to slope failure: optimizing susceptibility models and dynamic thresholds for landslide warnings in Zixing City, China
Weifeng Xiao, Guangchong Yao, Zhenghui Xiao, Luguang Luo, Yunjiang Cao, and Wei Yin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2298,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2298, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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08 Aug 2025
A shifting pattern of tropical cyclone induced high river discharges in the Greater Mekong Region, 1970–2019
Stephen E. Darby, Ivan D. Haigh, Melissa Wood, Bui Duong, Tien Le Thuy Du, Thao Phuong Bui, Justin Sheffield, Hal Voepel, and Joël J.-M. Hirschi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3506,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3506, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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