Preprints

The following lists only preprints without a corresponding final revised paper.
25 Jun 2026
Deep-learning prediction of high-frequency sea-level oscillations in the Adriatic Sea
Iva Međugorac, Nikola Metličić, Jadranka Šepić, Marko Rus, Srđan Čupić, Matej Kristan, and Matjaž Ličer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3411, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
24 Jun 2026
Tracking spatiotemporally contiguous heatwave hazards over mainland China: persistence, severity, spatial extent, and mobility
Hao Guo, Qinghou Hang, Xiangchen Meng, Ye Yuan, Ying Cao, Yunqian Wang, and Philippe De Maeyer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3287, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
24 Jun 2026
Flood dynamics driven by multiple levee breaches: two-dimensional hydrodynamic–morphodynamic modelling of the 16–19 May 2023 Senio River event (Italy)
Francesca Aureli, Sara Carta, Susanna Dazzi, and Paolo Mignosa
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2992, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Jun 2026
2023 Kahramanmaraş Earthquake Doublet: Seismic Performance of RC Buildings, Code Implications and Geotechnical Evaluation
Mehmet Emin Öncü, Sadık Varolgüneş, Onur Onat, Burak Yön, Mesut Gör, Ali Uslu, and İbrahim Baran Karaşin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3178, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Jun 2026
Hurricanes that haven’t happened, yet: Identifying unprecedented tropical cyclone scenarios
Dorothy Heinrich, Erin Coughlan de Perez, Leanne Archer, Nadia Bloemendaal, Kevin I. Hodges, Helen Hooker, Theodore G. Shepherd, Nathan Sparks, Ralf Toumi, and Elisabeth Stephens
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2758, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
22 Jun 2026
The 2022 Rainfall-Triggered Landslide-Tsunami Disaster in Pilar, Abuyog, Leyte, Philippines and its implications for coastal hazard assessment
Likha G. Minimo, Janneli Lea A. Soria, Richard L. Ybañez, Audrei Anne B. Ybañez, Angelu B. Bermas, Kayla Milcah M. Marasigan, Adrian Gelo Tianchon, Jannine Vasquez, Victor M. Romero II, Allan Fitzgerald N. Amistoso, Christer Kim O. Gerona, Genaro A. Cuaresma, and Alfredo Mahar Francisco A. Lagmay
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2543, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
19 Jun 2026
Can bias correction methods improve the statistical characterization of extreme rainfall compound events in climate simulations?
Grégoire Jacquemin, Mathieu Vrac, Xavier Freulon, and Denis Allard
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3269, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
19 Jun 2026
An extended hazard interaction matrix for exploring multi-hazard complexity in data-scarce regions: An application to Kerala, India
Anisha Desai, Marlies Barendrecht, Fatemeh Jalayer, and Faith E. Taylor
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2999, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
18 Jun 2026
Split incentives in property-level flood adaptation across households, insurers and government in the Netherlands
Cees Oerlemans, Zac J. Taylor, Martine van den Boomen, and Matthijs Kok
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3260, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
16 Jun 2026
Detecting Fault Structures from Earthquake Sequences via Unsupervised Learning
Kuan-Ting Tu, Ming-Wey Huang, and Siao-Syun Ke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3012, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
16 Jun 2026
The marine and coastal hazards of Mediterranean cyclones
Sara Pavan, Marco Bajo, Francesco Barbariol, Alvise Benetazzo, Silvio Davison, and Christian Ferrarin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2774, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
16 Jun 2026
The physical and cultural traces of a 19th century volcano-collapse tsunami: New constraints on the magnitude and impacts of the 1888 Ritter Island tsunami, Papua New Guinea
Manuel C. David, Sebastian F. L. Watt, Harrison Gedikile, Simon J. Day, and Hugh L. Davies
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2101, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Jun 2026
Joint Estimation of Creep and Slip for the Xiongba Landslide Based on InSAR Observations
Ying-Hui Yang, Qiang Xu, Qian Xu, Jyr-Ching Hu, Sha-Sha Tan, Qiang Chen, and Lin Li
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2324, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Jun 2026
Assessing Buried Landslide Rupture Surfaces Using Genetic Algorithms and Dynamic Flow Modeling
Hock-Kiet Wong, Yih-Chin Tai, and Ching-Fang Lee
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1605, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Jun 2026
Brief communication: Keeping pace with human factors in avalanche decision‑making—an update to the NHESS scoping review (2023–2026)
Audun Hetland, Olav Kvåle Myksvoll, Tarjei Westerlund, Andrea Mannberg, and Rebecca Anne Hetland
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3189, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
Short summary
12 Jun 2026
Past and future European atmospheric extreme events under climate change – the ClimXtreme program's structure and results
Andreas Hense, Christoph Kottmeier, Petra Friederichs, Sebastian Buschow, Svenja Szemkus, Uwe Ulbrich, Jens Grieger, Joaquim G. Pinto, Hendrik Feldmann, Frank Kaspar, Deborah Niermann, Rike Lorenz, Florian Ruff, and Etor E. Lucio Eceiza
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2697, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
11 Jun 2026
Forecasting threshold exceedance of atmospheric variables at a specific location
Roberta Baggio and Jean-François Muzy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3111, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
11 Jun 2026
Will there be more landslides and slushflows in Norway in a future climate?
Tuomo Mikael Saloranta, Graziella Devoli, Shaochun Huang, and Wai Kwok Wong
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2932, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
11 Jun 2026
Review article: Climate hazards and risk in African cities – knowledge gaps and research needs
Koen De Ridder, Mohammad Alobaidi, Hossein Bonakdari, Tomas Crols, Benjamin Lanssens, Jonathan Leon-Tavares, Alireza Nasseri, Ousmane Seidou, Mohammad Shaheen, Niels Souverijns, Inge Uljee, and Nele Veldeman
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2901, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Jun 2026
Lithosphere–Coversphere–Atmosphere–Ionosphere Coupling with the 2023 Turkey Earthquake Doublet: A Deviation–Time–Space–Frequency Analysis
Rabia Rasheed, Biyan Chen, Yifan Ding, Ziqing Wang, Syed Amer Mahmood, and Lixin Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2310, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
05 Jun 2026
Desired and unintended impacts of managed realignment in a macrotidal estuary under present-day and future compound events
Marta Payo Payo, Constantinos Matsoukis, Jennifer Brown, and Laurent Amoudry
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2536, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
05 Jun 2026
Method for near real-time detection of snow avalanches using Distributed Acoustic Sensing
Pascal Edme, Cristina Pérez-Guillén, Alec van Herwijnen, Johannes Aichele, Andri Simeon, Patrick Paitz, Fabian Walter, and Andreas Fichtner
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2373, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Jun 2026
From text to geoinformation – A modular approach for extraction of disaster information from web text data
Vanessa Rittlinger, Johannes Mast, Stefan Voigt, Christian Geiß, and Hannes Taubenböck
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2361, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
04 Jun 2026
Two-Dimensional Hydrodynamic Modelling of Glacial Lake Outburst Flood Scenarios from Chubda Tsho: Breach Sensitivity and Downstream Flood Dynamics in the Chamkhar Chhu Basin, Bhutan
Tenzin Namgay, Kasun De Silva, Nimal Wijayaratna, and Lalith Rajapakse
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2584, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
Short summary
01 Jun 2026
Mapping uncertainty in flood impacts: a multi-source assessment and catalogue of simulated, remotely sensed and reported floods in Europe
Lorenzo Scarpellini, Andrea Ficchì, Claudia D'Angelo, Andrea Betterle, Peter Salamon, and Andrea Castelletti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2807, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
01 Jun 2026
Modeling seismic site response to improve lacustrine paleoseismic records
Huitong Yang, Katleen Wils, Ariana Molenaar, Jasper Moernaut, Lei Wu, Roberto Urrutia, Mario Pino, and Maarten Van Daele
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2493, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
Short summary
29 May 2026
Evolution of the Unsaturated Permeability and Internal Erosion Characteristics of Ili loess under Rainfall
Abuduwaresi Tuerxun, Kaidierding Wulamu, Zizhao Zhang, Qianli Lv, Runsen Lai, Yanyang Zhang, and Zhiguo Xu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1999, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
28 May 2026
Impact attribution of compound flooding from Tropical Cyclone Idai: Assessing the influence of land cover change and underlying socio-economic drivers using a mixed-methods approach
Poppy E. Webb, Doris Vertegaal, Martha M. Vogel, Chrisopher D. Jack, and Sanne Muis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2454, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 May 2026
Multi-Data Source Based Quantifying Urban Flood Severity in Major Chinese Cities (2000–2024) Using a Hybrid Machine-Learning Weighting Framework
Guoqiang Peng, Yujing Sun, Mao Wang, Min Chen, and Fengyuan Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2501, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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21 May 2026
Urban gullies and their massive economic toll: insights from Kinshasa, the world’s most affected city
Eric Lutete Landu, Guy Ilombe Mawe, Elise Dujardin, Fils Makanzu Imwangana, Charles Bielders, Olivier Dewitte, Jean Poesen, Caroline Michellier, Aurélia Hubert, and Matthias Vanmaercke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1774, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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20 May 2026
Unraveling Spatial Dependencies in Landslide Susceptibility using Directed Acyclic Graphs
Qingkai Meng, Yong Dai, Filippo Catani, Shilong Chen, Qiuhui Wang, Qing Li, Ying Peng, Han Wu, and Ying Meng
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2637, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
20 May 2026
Towards improved integration of hydrological uncertainty and hydraulic model sensitivity in flood hazard mapping
Simon Rusjan, Jasna Donevska, and Matjaž Mikoš
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2602, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
Short summary
20 May 2026
Atmospheric Rivers landfalling in Japan: Climatology and physical characteristics causing heavy rainfall
Yusuke Hiraga, Sohta Tadaki, Ryotaro Tahara, and Jose Angelo Hokson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2597, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
20 May 2026
A robust multi-indicator framework for landslide early warning using complementary statistical physics-based diagnostics
Qinghua Lei and Didier Sornette
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2565, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
20 May 2026
The influence of soil moisture on the heavy precipitation event in July 2021 in Western Europe
Till Fohrmann, Svenja Szemkus, Oliver Heuser, Arianna Valmassoi, and Petra Friederichs
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2424, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
20 May 2026
Storm Gloria (2020): joint probability of multiple flood hazards and compound events in a paradigmatic Mediterranean event
Montserrat Llasat-Botija, Raül Marcos-Matamoros, Maria Aguilera-Vidal, José Antonio Jimenez, and María Carmen Llasat
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2070, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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20 May 2026
Brief Communication: Structured Virtual Expert Panels for Interdisciplinary Ideation in Natural Hazard Science
Jui-Ming Chang, Nativ Ron, Qi Zhou, and Shang Jyh Yiin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-884, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
19 May 2026
From Forecast to Alert: Designing an AI-Driven Flood Early Warning System for the White Volta Basin Using Open Satellite Data
Joseph Junior Obeng and Hongyong Yuan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2168, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
Short summary
19 May 2026
Pluvial flooding damage scenarios using remote sensing and deep learning models for urban object detection
Arianna Cauteruccio, Matteo Maragliano, Roozbeh Rajabi Toostani, Giorgio Boni, and Gabriele Moser
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1625, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 May 2026
An Ensemble-Based Coastal Flooding Index For Early Warning Applications
Chiara Favaretto, Francesco Barbariol, Alvise Benetazzo, Luigi Cavaleri, Francesco Marcello Falcieri, Christian Ferrarin, Rossella Ferretti, Stefano Menegon, Matteo Nastasi, Gianluca Redaelli, Antonio Ricchi, and Piero Ruol
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2285, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
18 May 2026
Explainable Artificial Intelligence for deriving 3D dynamic rainfall thresholds for landslide triggering using Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks
Lukas Schild, Ascanio Rosi, and Filippo Catani
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1796, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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18 May 2026
Revisiting Discharge Envelope Curves: Hydrometeorological Analysis and Lessons from the 4 July 2025 Kerr County Flash Flood
Ayantika R. Bose, Hatim O. Sharif, Marcio Giacomoni, and Jose Brasil
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1750, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 May 2026
The dominant role of latent spatial structure in landslide susceptibility
Edier Aristizábal, Luigi Lombardo, and Oliver Korup
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1749, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
Short summary
13 May 2026
Subseasonal prediction of compound heat and drought events
Rachel Wai-Ying Wu, Dominik Büeler, Maria Pyrina, Jonathan Day, Adel Imamovic, Vincent Humphrey, and Daniela I.V. Domeisen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2465, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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13 May 2026
Mobile weather radar to provide intelligence on wildfire hazards
Adrien Guyot, Hamish McGowan, Jean-Baptiste Filippi, Alberto Alonso-Pinar, Alain Protat, Nicholas McCarthy, Simon Webster, and Amie Taylor
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2256, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 May 2026
Improved Dating of Landslides in Zimbabwe by Combining Satellite Multispectral and Synthetic Aperture Radar Observations
Joanna Noyes, Steven Palmer, Georgina Bennett, Seshagirirao Kolusu, and Caroline Bain
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2418, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
12 May 2026
Reducing False Alarms in Small-Scale Slope Early Warning Systems via Deep Learning-Driven Asynchronous Displacement and Rainfall Data Fusion
Shubing Ouyang, Daichao Li, Minjiang Liu, Fengjian Ge, Xia Zheng, Yuan Li, and Sheng Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2352, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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12 May 2026
Invited perspectives: Uncertainties in natural systems may be uncomfortable, but ignoring them would be absurd
Warner Marzocchi, Alberto Montanari, and the RETURN-uncertainty task force
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2254, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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12 May 2026
The 2024 cascading glacial lake outburst flood in the Thame Valley of Everest region, Nepal: process, impacts and implications
Nitesh Khadka, Vishnu Prasad Pandey, C. Scott Watson, Guoxiong Zheng, Tianpei Wu, Keshab Sharma, Lauren D. Rawlins, Simon Allen, Manish Raj Gouli, and Dibas Shrestha
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2011, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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11 May 2026
A workflow for the identification of earthquake sources from macroseismic data
Veronica Gironelli, Lucia Luzi, Andrea Antonucci, and Andrea Rovida
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2323, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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06 May 2026
Living amidst Mazuku (dry gas vents): linking hazard and impact perceptions to improve risk communication in Goma, Virunga volcanic province
Blaise Mafuko-Nyandwi, Bosco Mushage, Ishala Mayira, Elie Idrissa, Steev Ndimubanzi, Thérèse Mosange, and Claudine Mafuko
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1776, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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05 May 2026
Characteristics of Extreme Snowfall–Wind-Gust Events in Finland (1960–2024): Frequency, Duration, and Intensity
Taru Olsson, Terhi Laurila, Ari Aaltonen, and Kirsti Jylhä
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2363, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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04 May 2026
Spatially distributed water content thresholds for rainfall-induced landslide initiation
Juby Thomas, Rafael L. Bras, Leonardo V. Noto, and Elisa Arnone
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1599, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Apr 2026
Temporally Coherent Modeling of Tropical Cyclone Compound Flooding for Reliable Coastal Hazard Estimation
Min Chung, Ryota Wada, Jeremy Rohmer, and Philip Jonathan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1899, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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29 Apr 2026
Review article: Rainfall-Induced Landslide Early Warning System: Advances, Gaps, and Perspectives
Roquia Salam, Bayes Ahmed, and Peter Sammonds
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2156, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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29 Apr 2026
Application of radar remote sensing for cyclone damage mapping in Bangladesh: A coherence-based approach
Shadmin Islam Prova, Md. Shahoriar Sarker, Rosdania Islam, and Ridad Ibne Mahfuz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1545, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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28 Apr 2026
Predicting Slope Instabilities in Salvador, Brazil, using Machine Learning and Georeferenced Data
Sandro Machado, Guilherme Santana, Miriam de Fátima Carvalho, Jailma Oliveira, Mehran Karimpour-Fard, and Elio Perrone
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2056, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 7 comments)
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28 Apr 2026
Self-Supervised Contrastive Learning in the Context of Volcano-Seismic Datasets
Joe Carthy, Manuel Titos, Flavio Cannavó, Luciano Zuccarello, and Carmen Benítez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1201, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Apr 2026
Brief communication: Contextualizing the September 2024 extreme precipitation in Austria within the climatological record
Sebastian Lehner, Harald Schellander, Theresa Schellander-Gorgas, Matthias Schlögl, and Klaus Haslinger
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1825, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Apr 2026
Analysis of urban-scale typhoon precipitation characteristics and spatiotemporal patterns: A case study of Ningbo, China
Caiming Wu, Yi Lu, Hong-Li Ren, and Fumin Ren
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2046, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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22 Apr 2026
Review article: Hydrologically Enhanced Machine Learning Framework for Urban Flood Inundation Mapping Using Multi-Sensor Remote Sensing Data: A Case Study of Mumbai, India
Ankush S. Pawar and Gayatri M. Phade
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1275, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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20 Apr 2026
ROC-optimized rainfall thresholds for typhoon-induced landslides: environmental and magnitude stratification in Zixing City, China
Weifeng Xiao, Ge Liu, Weimin Huang, Zhenghui Xiao, and Luguuang Luo
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1608, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Apr 2026
Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment at Stromboli volcano: 2. New simulation database and probabilistic inundation maps and curves
Mattia de' Michieli Vitturi, Alessandro Tadini, Andrea Bevilacqua, Juan F. Rodríguez-Gálvez, Matteo Cerminara, Tomaso Esposti Ongaro, Augusto Neri, Matteo Trolese, Jorge Macías, Manuel J. Castro, Cipriano Escalante, Sergio Ortega, José M. González-Vida, and Stefano Lorito
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1602, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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20 Apr 2026
Reservoir-Induced Seismicity in China: Systematic Characterization and Implications for Hazard Assessment
Jiashan Zhang, Changsheng Jiang, Fengling Yin, Yiming Zhu, Hongyu Zhai, Jinmeng Bi, and Yan Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1124, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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17 Apr 2026
Reliability Analysis Method for Soil Slopes Permanent Displacement under Mainshock-Aftershock Sequences
Tianyi Wang, Chengda Zhang, Jiangwei Zhang, Su Chen, and Zhijun Dai
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-638, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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16 Apr 2026
Using artificial intelligence to monitor live fuel moisture content across France, based on a high-resolution land surface analysis
Yann Baehr, Pierre Vanderbecken, Bertrand Bonan, Catherine Robert, Mathieu Regimbeau, François Pimont, Kevyn Raynal, Xiangzhuo Liu, Remi Savazzi, Moncef Garouani, Josiane Mothe, Nemesio Rodriguez-Fernandez, Lionel Jarlan, and Jean-Christophe Calvet
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1247, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Apr 2026
Improved Estimation of Extreme Sea Levels via Non-asymptotic Statistical Methods for Coastal Hazard Assessment
S. Sithara, Chiara Favaretto, Piero Ruol, and Marco Marani
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1243, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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15 Apr 2026
Global Sub-national Impact-based Forecasting for Tropical Cyclones Using Open Data: Combining Machine Learning and Exposure-based Approaches
Federico Moss, Yelena Mejova, Andreas Kaltenbrunner, Tristan Downing, Marc van den Homberg, Pauline Ndirangu, Leonardo Milano, and Kyriaki Kalimeri
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1996, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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14 Apr 2026
Modeling the potential hazard of wildfires under the influence of climatic, vegetative and anthropogenic factors in the Andean and Amazonian regions of Peru
Yerson Ccanchi, Ricardo Zubieta, Josep Prado, and Jose Sinticala
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1902, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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14 Apr 2026
Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment at Stromboli volcano: 1. Review of historical sources and expert elicitation findings
Alessandro Tadini, Andrea Bevilacqua, Mattia de' Michieli Vitturi, Emmie M. Bonilauri, Andrew J. L. Harris, Matteo Cerminara, Tomaso Esposti Ongaro, Augusto Neri, Raphaël Paris, Marco Pistolesi, Matteo Trolese, Juan F. Rodríguez-Gálvez, Daniele Andronico, Antonella Bertagnini, Sonia Calvari, Daniele Casalbore, Michael Cassidy, Riccardo Civico, Elisabetta Del Bello, Alessio Di Roberto, Alessandro Fornaciai, Anita Grezio, Lucia Gurioli, Carl B. Harbitz, Giorgio Lacanna, Finn Løvholt, Michael Marani, Massimo Pompilio, Tullio Ricci, Mauro Rosi, Laura Sandri, Roger Urgeles, and Marija Voloschina
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1310, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Apr 2026
Infra-Net: A Robust Parallel Decision-Making Network for Discriminating Natural Hazards and Anthropogenic Infrasound Events via Multi-View Feature Learning
Hongru Li, Xihai Li, Jihao Liu, Shengjie Luo, and Yun Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1544, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 7 comments)
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10 Apr 2026
Sensitivity analysis and scaling of tsunamis generated by granular flows at Stromboli volcano: A numerical modeling approach
Matteo Trolese, Matteo Cerminara, Tomaso Esposti Ongaro, Mattia de’ Michieli Vitturi, and Alessandro Tadini
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1757, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Apr 2026
Operational damage misclassification in scenario-based ShakeMaps: evidence from station-updated ground-motion fields in a deep-basin urban environment
Fatma İ. Kara
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1523, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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10 Apr 2026
Severe convective weather in Italy: Current understanding and Research Priorities in the TIM campaign
Mario Marcello Miglietta, Elenio Avolio, Alessandro Bracci, Massimiliano Burlando, Francesco Cairo, Federico Canepa, Vincenzo Capozzi, Sebastiano Carpentari, Federico Cassola, Alessandro Ceppi, Silvio Davolio, Francesco De Martin, Giorgio Doglioni, Costanza Di Felice Fabrizi, Luca Di Liberto, Francesco Domenichini, Stefano Federico, Massimo Enrico Ferrario, Federico Grazzini, Antonio Iengo, Sante Laviola, Agostino Manzato, Paolo Paganini, Antonio Parodi, Alessandro Pavan, Andrea Piazza, Arturo Pucillo, Giovanni Ravezzani, Francesco Sioni, Barbara Turato, Gianfranco Vulpiani, Marco Zanatta, and Dino Zardi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1478, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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10 Apr 2026
Atmospheric geopotentials from ERA5 linked to the daily maximum temperature record-breaking in Spain (1960–2023)
Elsa Barrio-Torres, Jesús Abaurrea, Jesús Asín, Jorge Castillo-Mateo, Ana Carmen Cebrián, and Zeus Gracia-Tabuenca
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-832, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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09 Apr 2026
Seismic analysis of bedload discharge at Tagliamento River during flood events
Mario Valerio Gangemi, Julien Barrière, Alfio Marco Borzì, Andrea Cannata, Flavio Cannavò, Adrien Oth, Stefano Parolai, Matteo Picozzi, Concetto Spampinato, Luca Zini, Giulia Barisioni, and Francesco Panzera
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1534, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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09 Apr 2026
FRAME v1.0: Advancing Fire Risk Assessment in Tropical Fragmented Forests with a Machine Learning Environment
Anasuya Barik and Somnath Baidya Roy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1454, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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09 Apr 2026
Managed Aquifer Recharge in Confined Multi-Layer Aquifers: A Scalable Framework for Drought Resilience in Central Europe
Abdelrahman Ahmed Ali Abdelrahman, Hagen Koch, Mobarok Hossain, Ronjon Heim, Clara Hauke, and Irina Engelhardt
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1378, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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08 Apr 2026
Landslide susceptibility mapping with explainable AI techniques: Evidence from Bavaria, Germany
Veronika Buchauer, Marta Sapena, Christian Geiß, Patrick Aravena Pelizari, and Hannes Taubenböck
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1647, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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08 Apr 2026
Outrunning flash floods: XGBoost and sparse impact reports deliver global medium-range probabilistic forecasts of flash flood occurrence
Fatima M. Pillosu, Mariana Claire, Calum Baugh, Florian Pappenberger, Christel Prudhome, and Hannah L. Cloke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1591, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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08 Apr 2026
Forecasting the Flame: Simulating Future Wildfire Regimes in the Northeast Mediterranean
Bikem Ekberzade
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1498, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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08 Apr 2026
Is the volume-frequency distribution of eruptions a power-law? Accounting for volume uncertainty in modeling the size distribution of volcanic eruptions
Salvatore Ferrara, Jacopo Selva, Jacopo Natale, and Warner Marzocchi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1415, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Apr 2026
Southern Germany's 100-year flash flood discharge expected to increase by 30 % under an RCP8.5 climate
Paul Voit, Marie Hundhausen, Larisa Seregina, Hendrik Feldmann, Bodo Ahrens, and Maik Heistermann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1229, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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07 Apr 2026
Linear passive source surface wave dispersion curve picking based on supervised deep learning and ambient noise tomography for the evolution of the internal structure in landslide area
Qifeng Yin, Peiqi Wang, Chi Gao, Yuanyuan Zhou, Hua Zhang, Weilong Jiang, and Yanbiao Yao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1329, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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07 Apr 2026
Universal scaling between precursory duration and event size across mechanically driven geohazards
Qinghua Lei and Didier Sornette
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2601.07404, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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07 Apr 2026
Distinguishing run-up height from pressure distribution during avalanche impact on narrow obstacles: mechanisms and semi-empirical prediction
Michael Josef Kohler, Johan Gaume, Christophe Ancey, and Betty Sovilla
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1181, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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07 Apr 2026
Assessing Financial Risk to Property Portfolios from Physical Rainfall Extremes
Laura C. Dawkins, Freya K. Garry, Dan J. Bernie, Jason A. Lowe, and Theodoros Economou
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1142, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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07 Apr 2026
Applied Machine Learning for Flood Susceptibility Mapping in the Loukkos Basin (Northern Morocco): Validation Using the February 2026 Ksar El Kebir Flood Event
Oussama Mekkaoui, Moad Morarech, Tarik Bouramtane, and Hamza Akka
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1001, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Apr 2026
Brief Communication: Rise of the Guadalupe River- A Multifaceted Post Event Analysis of the July 4, 2025, Flood in Central Texas
Anupal Baruah, Dinuke Munasinghe, Sagy Cohen, Mohamed Abdelkader, Dipsikha Devi, Yixian Chen, and Humberto Vergara
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1847, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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02 Apr 2026
Floods in the European Union and the Middle East and North Africa region: Socio-economic impacts, characteristics, and public perception
Mélanie Coleman, Andries-Jan de Vries, Caroline Roberts, and Daniela I. V. Domeisen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1827, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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02 Apr 2026
Bayesian forecasting of triggered landslides
Flavia Ferriero, Fausto Guzzetti, and Warner Marzocchi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1624, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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02 Apr 2026
Valuing Salt Marshes as Nature-based Infrastructure for Coastal Flood Mitigation: A Case Study of Chatham County, GA
Xinyu Zeng, Dede Long, Yukiko Hashida, and Matthew V. Bilskie
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1475, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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02 Apr 2026
A hybrid model based on Boruta feature selection and neural network for forecasting hydrological drought
Min Li, Yuhang Yao, Ming Ou, and Changman Yin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1033, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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31 Mar 2026
A Joint Space-Time Probabilistic Model for Agricultural Droughts, Hydrological Droughts and Fire Weather in France
Benjamin Renard, Renaud Barbero, Issa Goukouni, Jean-Philippe Vidal, Louise Mimeau, Carina Furusho-Percot, Iñaki García de Cortázar-Atauri, Maël Aubry, Thomas Opitz, and Denis Allard
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1406, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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31 Mar 2026
Can Aerosols improve Urban Flood Prediction? A case study of 2015 Chennai extreme event
Oscar Paul, N. Nithila Devi, Rakesh Teja Konduru, Soumendra Nath Kuiry, Kundan Lal Shrestha, and Chandan Sarangi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1218, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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31 Mar 2026
Short-Term Management of Water-Damage Claim Risk Using Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts
Håkon Otneim, Etienne Dunn-Sigouin, Sondre Hølleland, Mahsa Gorji, and Geir Drage Berentsen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1169, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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30 Mar 2026
Budget Allocation for Emergency Management in Flood-Prone Mining Regions: A System Dynamics Perspective
Dairo Steven Muñoz Pinzón, Diana Rodríguez Coca, William J. Guerrero Rueda, and Leonardo José González Rodríguez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1145, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 Mar 2026
A Study of Pre-earthquake Anomalies in Geomagnetic and Borehole Strain Data Based on the Pyraformer Model
Jie Zhang, Minhao Sun, Changfeng Qin, Feng Mu, Shanzhi Dong, Yu Duan, Dewang Zhang, and Chengquan Chi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1715, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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27 Mar 2026
Effect of Design Storm Characterization on Flood Exposure and Structure Damage Estimates: A Case Study in South Louisiana, USA
Mohamed ElSaadani, Emad Habib, and Mohamed M. Morsy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1388, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 7 comments)
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27 Mar 2026
Analysis and modeling of coastal hazards to the desalination plants in the Baltic Sea – disentangling the impacts of a coastal storm in summer 2023
Matteo Masini, Agnes Karlsson, Lars Arneborg, Bengt Karlson, and Inga Monika Koszalka
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1344, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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