Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
17 Nov 2025
Automated tail-informed threshold selection for extreme coastal sea levels
Thomas P. Collings, Callum J. R. Murphy-Barltrop, Conor Murphy, Ivan D. Haigh, Paul D. Bates, and Niall D. Quinn
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4545–4562, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4545-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4545-2025, 2025
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14 Nov 2025
Tsunami-Sediment Interactions Amplify Coastal Hazard and Reshape Inundation Dynamics in Tumaco Bay, Colombia
Ronald E. Sanchez Escobar, Juan Jose Ferrer, Erick R. Velasco-Reyes, and Erick Mas
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4986,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4986, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Nov 2025
Tracing Emotional Evolution along Named Entity Topic Chains: A Mechanistic Study of Chinese Social Media in the 2025 Myanmar Earthquake
Changqi Dong, Kaihang Zhang, and Jida Liu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4507,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4507, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Nov 2025
The EAWS matrix, a decision support tool to determine the regional avalanche danger level (Part A): conceptual development
Karsten Müller, Frank Techel, and Christoph Mitterer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4503–4525, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4503-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4503-2025, 2025
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13 Nov 2025
Assessing atoll island future habitability in the context of climate change using Bayesian networks
Mirna Badillo-Interiano, Jérémy Rohmer, Gonéri Le Cozannet, and Virginie Duvat
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4527–4543, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4527-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4527-2025, 2025
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13 Nov 2025
Monitoring the displacement of large alpine rock slope instabilities with L-band SAR interferometric techniques
Tazio Strozzi, Nina Jones, Federico Agliardi, Alessandro De Pedrini, Othmar Frey, Philipp Bernhard, Rafael Caduff, Christian Ambrosi, and Andrea Manconi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5347,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5347, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Nov 2025
Building-level exposed asset value modelling for Germany
Aaron Buhrmann, Cecilia I. Nievas, Nivedita Sairam, James E. Daniell, Heidi Kreibich, and Seth Bryant
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5172,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5172, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Nov 2025
The 2022 drought needs to be a turning point for European drought risk management
Riccardo Biella, Anastasiya Shyrokaya, Monica Ionita, Raffaele Vignola, Samuel J. Sutanto, Andrijana Todorovic, Claudia Teutschbein, Daniela Cid, Maria Carmen Llasat, Pedro Alencar, Alessia Matanó, Elena Ridolfi, Benedetta Moccia, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Anne van Loon, Doris E. Wendt, Elin Stenfors, Fabio Russo, Jean-Philippe Vidal, Lucy Barker, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Marleen Lam, Monika Bláhová, Patricia Trambauer, Raed Hamed, Scott J. McGrane, Serena Ceola, Sigrid J. Bakke, Svitlana Krakovska, Viorica Nagavciuc, Faranak Tootoonchi, Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Sandra Hauswirth, Shreedhar Maskey, Svitlana Zubkovych, Marthe Wens, and Lena M. Tallaksen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4475–4501, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4475-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4475-2025, 2025
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12 Nov 2025
Community-driven natural hazard and physical vulnerability assessment in a disaster-prone urban neighborhood
Alejandro Builes-Jaramillo, Annie E. G. Winson, Emma Bee, Nancy Quirós, Dairo Urán, James Rúa, Luis Alejandro Rivera-Flórez, Camilo Restrepo-Estrada, Ingry Natalia Gómez-Miranda, Claire Dashwood, and João Porto de Albuquerque
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4451–4473, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4451-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4451-2025, 2025
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12 Nov 2025
Invited perspectives: Towards usable compound event research
Kai Kornuber, Emanuele Bevacqua, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Wiebke S. Jäger, Pauline Rivoire, Cassandra D. W. Rogers, Fabiola Banfi, Fulden Batibeniz, James Carruthers, Carlo de Michele, Silvia de Angeli, Christina Deidda, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Andreas H. Fink, Henrique M. D. Goulart, Katharina Küpfer, Patrick Ludwig, Douglas Maraun, Gabriele Messori, Shruti Nath, Fiachra O’Loughlin, Joaquim G. Pinto, Benjamin Poschlod, Alexandre M. Ramos, Colin Raymond, Andreia F. S. Ribeiro, Deepti Singh, Laura Suarez Gutierrez, Philip J. Ward, and Christopher J. White
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4683,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4683, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Nov 2025
Predicting spatio-temporal wildfire propagation with dynamic firebreaks
Jiahe Zheng, Zhengsen Xu, Rossella Arcucci, Sandy P. Harrison, Lincoln Linlin Xu, and Sibo Cheng
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4007,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4007, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Nov 2025
Buried and displaced: moving characteristics of building fragments in debris flows
Lei Feng and Dongri Song
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5236,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5236, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Nov 2025
Hybrid forest disturbance classification using Sentinel-1 and inventory data: a case-study for Southeastern USA
Franziska Müller, Laura Eifler, Felix Cremer, Pieter Beck, Gustau Camps-Valls, and Ana Bastos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4880,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4880, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Nov 2025
Attribution of the impact of the February 2018 sudden stratospheric warming on mortality in the Nordics and United Kingdom
Philip Rupp, Liliana Vázquez Fernández, William J. M. Seviour, and Thomas Birner
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4587,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4587, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Nov 2025
Assessment of current and future heat in a large hospital complex based on continuous indoor measurements and climate simulations
Katharina Epp, Markus Sulzer, Daniel Steinmann, Matthias Zeeman, Andreas Matzarakis, and Andreas Christen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3871,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3871, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Nov 2025
Beyond the 100-Year Flood: Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment for King and Pierce Counties under Future Climate Scenarios
Kees Nederhoff, Kai Parker, and Eric Grossman
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4909,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4909, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Nov 2025
From Worst-Case Scenarios to Extreme Value Statistics: Local Counterfactuals in Flood Frequency Analysis
Paul Voit, Felix Fauer, and Maik Heistermann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4951,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4951, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Nov 2025
Combining hazard, exposure and vulnerability data to predict historical North Atlantic hurricane damage
Alexander F. Vessey, Alexander J. Baker, Vernie Marcellin-Honore, and James Michelin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5161,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5161, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
Tracing the evolving actor network: a social network analysis of the 2018 Mayotte crisis in the press
Louise Le Vagueresse, Marion Le Texier, and Maud Helene Devès
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4423–4450, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4423-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4423-2025, 2025
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10 Nov 2025
Shaping shallow landslide susceptibility as a function of rainfall events
Micol Fumagalli, Alberto Previati, Paolo Frattini, and Giovanni B. Crosta
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4405–4422, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4405-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4405-2025, 2025
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10 Nov 2025
Indirect costs of floods: a case study of highways road users
Manuel Contreras-Jara, Tomás Echaveguren, Eduardo Allen, Alondra Chamorro, and José Vargas-Baecheler
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4016,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4016, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
Composition, frequency and magnitude of future rain-on-snow floods in Germany
Christian Czakay, Larisa Tarasova, and Bodo Ahrens
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3532,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3532, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
Evaluating the effects of preprocessing, method selection, and hyperparameter tuning on SAR-based flood mapping and water depth estimation
Jean-Paul Travert, Cédric Goeury, Sébastien Boyaval, Vito Bacchi, and Fabrice Zaoui
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3726,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3726, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
Multi-level assessment of flood risk perception and flood behaviour
Rocío Coloma, Vicente Saenger, Felipe Link, and Oscar Link
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4496,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4496, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
Climate and impact attribution of compound flooding induced by tropical cyclone Idai in Mozambique
Doris M. Vertegaal, Bart J. J. M. van den Hurk, Anaïs Couasnon, Natalia Aleksandrova, Tycho Bovenschen, Fernaldi Gradiyanto, Tim W. B. Leijnse, Henrique M. D. Goulart, and Sanne Muis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4502,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4502, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
An ensemble groundwater prediction (EGP) system to forecast groundwater levels in alluvial aquifers in Switzerland
Raoul A. Collenteur, Konrad Bogner, Massimiliano Zappa, Mario Schirmer, and Christian Moeck
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4653,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4653, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
Unveiling the Link Between Extreme Precipitation Events and Flood Disasters in China: From 3D Perspective
Jie Wang, Sixuan Li, Xiaodan Guan, Yongli He, Chenyu Cao, Lulu Lian, and Lihui Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4728,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4728, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Nov 2025
A Fluvial Flood Risk Model for Quantifying the Benefit of Mitigation Measures under Uncertainty
Mara Ruf, Amelie Hoffmann, and Daniel Straub
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4875,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4875, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Nov 2025
Machine learning for automated avalanche terrain exposure scale (ATES) classification
Kalin Markov, Andreas Huber, Momchil Panayotov, Christoph Hesselbach, Paula Spannring, Jan-Thomas Fischer, and Michaela Teich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4375–4403, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4375-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4375-2025, 2025
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07 Nov 2025
Integrating Nature-Based Solutions (NbS) for Enhanced Flood Resilience under a Changing Climate: The Case of the Cologne District, Germany
Udo Nehren, Ali Cara Barrett, Paola Saenz Quiros, and Alexander Fekete
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4888,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4888, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Nov 2025
Human Decision-Making in Crowds in a Virtual Flood Scenario
Booloot Arshaghi, Glyn Lawson, Riccardo Briganti, and Peer-Olaf Siebers
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5312,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5312, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Nov 2025
A thorough review of the May 5, 1990 earthquake (southern Italy): constraints from macroseismology and insights from hydrology
Andrea Antonucci, Corrado Castellano, Luigi Cucci, and Andrea Tertulliani
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5343,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5343, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Nov 2025
Identification of nighttime urban flood inundation extent using deep learning
Jiaquan Wan, Xing Wang, Yannian Cheng, Cuiyan Zhang, Fengchang Xue, Tao Yang, Fei Tong, and Quan J. Wang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4361–4373, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4361-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4361-2025, 2025
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04 Nov 2025
Reevaluating flood protection: disaster risk reduction for urbanized alluvial fans
Tamir Grodek and Gerardo Benito
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4343–4360, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4343-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4343-2025, 2025
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04 Nov 2025
INSYDE-content: a synthetic, multi-variable flood damage model for household contents
Pradeep Acharya, Mario Di Bacco, Daniela Molinari, and Anna Rita Scorzini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4317–4330, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4317-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4317-2025, 2025
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04 Nov 2025
Indonesia tornado database: tornado climatology of Indonesia
Irfans Maulana Firdaus, Takeshi Yamazaki, Muhammad Rais Abdillah, and Edi Riawan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4331–4341, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4331-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4331-2025, 2025
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04 Nov 2025
Hydrological drought prediction and its influencing features analysis based on a machine learning model
Min Li, Yuhang Yao, Zilong Feng, and Ming Ou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4299–4316, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4299-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4299-2025, 2025
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03 Nov 2025
Assessing effects of nature-based and other municipal adaptation measures on insured heavy rain damages
Vylon Ooms, Thijs Endendijk, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, W. J. Wouter Botzen, and Peter J. Robinson
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4283–4298, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4283-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4283-2025, 2025
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03 Nov 2025
Pan-European assessment of coastal flood hazards
Camila Cotrim, Alexandra Toimil, Iñigo J. Losada, Sara Novo, and Iria Suárez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4892,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4892, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Nov 2025
Towards an operational European Drought Impacts Database (EDID)
Kerstin Stahl, Kathrin Szillat, Veit Blauhut, Monika Hlavsova, Lauro Rossi, Dario Masante, and Andrea Toreti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4806,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4806, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Nov 2025
Exposure of Settlements to Wildfires in a Transboundary Wildland-Urban-Interface Region in Central Europe
Evripidis Avouris, Christopher Marrs, Kristina Beetz, Lucie Kudláčková, Markéta Poděbradská, Miroslav Trnka, and Matthias Forkel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4859,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4859, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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31 Oct 2025
Review article: Towards multi-hazard and multi-risk indicators – a review and recommendations for development and implementation
Christopher J. White, Mohammed Sarfaraz Gani Adnan, Marcello Arosio, Stephanie Buller, YoungHwa Cha, Roxana Ciurean, Julia M. Crummy, Melanie Duncan, Joel Gill, Claire Kennedy, Elisa Nobile, Lara Smale, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4263–4281, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4263-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4263-2025, 2025
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30 Oct 2025
Kinetic characteristics investigation of the Yingxingping rockslide based on discrete element method combined with discrete fracture network
Bo Liu, Yufang Zhang, Xiewen Hu, Jian Li, Kun Yuan, Kun He, Jian Cui, and Zhenhua Yin
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4247–4262, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4247-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4247-2025, 2025
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30 Oct 2025
Brief communication: 'Multi-hazard-to-health-outcome' (MH2O) pathways: the known, the unknown, and ten most urgent priorities.
Harriet Moore, Qiuhua Liang, Lee Bosher, John Atanbori, Mark Gussy, Amogh Madbhatkal, Joe Swift, Jaspreet Phull, Kirsten Guy, Lynsey Collinson, Andy Penny, Maria Athanassiadou, Kaja Milczewska, Ebenezer Amankwaa, Lucy Kennedy, Edward Hanna, Gregory Sutton, Bartholomew Hill, and Colin Hopkirk
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4062,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4062, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Oct 2025
Assessment of coastal inundation triggered by multiple drivers in Ca Mau Peninsula, Vietnam
Hung Nghia Nguyen, Quan Quan Le, Viet Dung Nguyen, Hai Dac Do, Hung Duc Pham, Tan Hong Cao, Toan Quang To, Melissa Wood, and Ivan D. Haigh
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4227–4246, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4227-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4227-2025, 2025
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29 Oct 2025
Wikimpacts 1.0: A new global climate impact database based on automated information extraction from Wikipedia
Ni Li, Wim Thiery, Shorouq Zahra, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Koffi Worou, Murathan Kurfalı, Seppe Lampe, Paul Muñoz, Clare Flynn, Camila Trigoso, Joakim Nivre, Jakob Zscheischler, and Gabriele Messori
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4891,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4891, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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28 Oct 2025
Particle and front tracking in experimental and computational avalanche dynamics
Michael Neuhauser, Anselm Köhler, Anna Wirbel, Felix Oesterle, Wolfgang Fellin, Johannes Gerstmayr, Falko Dressler, and Jan-Thomas Fischer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4185–4202, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4185-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4185-2025, 2025
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28 Oct 2025
Understanding extreme-wave hazards on high-energy coasts requires a standardised approach to field data collection: analysis and recommendations
Rónadh Cox, Mary C. Bourke, Max Engel, Andrew B. Kennedy, Annie Lau, Serge Suanez, Sarah J. Boulton, Maria Alexandra Oliveira, Raphaël Paris, Dimitra Salmanidou, Michaela Spiske, Wayne Stephenson, Storm Roberts, Adam D. Switzer, Nadia Mhammdi, Niamh D. Cullen, and Masashi Watanabe
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4203–4226, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4203-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4203-2025, 2025
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27 Oct 2025
Preface on “Natural hazards' impact on natural and built heritage and infrastructure in urban and rural zones”
Maria Bostenaru Dan, Mara Popescu, Orsolya Kegyes-Brassai, Margherita D'Ayala, Cerasella Crăciun, and Animesh Gain
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4181–4183, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4181-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4181-2025, 2025
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27 Oct 2025
Signals Without Action: A Value Chain Analysis of Luxembourg’s 2021 Flood Disaster
Jeff Da Costa, Elizabeth Ebert, David Hoffmann, Hannah Louise Cloke, and Jessica Neumann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3892,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3892, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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27 Oct 2025
Assessing the predictability of rockfall simulations constrained to simple objective input parameters
François Noël and Synnøve Flugekvam Nordang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4635,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4635, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Oct 2025
Temporal persistence of postfire flood hazards under present and future climate conditions in southern Arizona, USA
Tao Liu, Luke A. McGuire, Ann M. Youberg, Charles J. Abolt, and Adam L. Atchley
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4135–4151, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4135-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4135-2025, 2025
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24 Oct 2025
Review article: Analysis of sediment disaster risk assessment surveys in Brazil: a critical review and recommendations
Thiago D. dos Santos and Taro Uchida
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4153–4180, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4153-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4153-2025, 2025
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23 Oct 2025
Capture of near-critical debris flows by flexible barriers: an experimental investigation
Miao Huo, Stéphane Lambert, Firmin Fontaine, and Guillaume Piton
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4115–4134, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4115-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4115-2025, 2025
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22 Oct 2025
Unbalanced relationship between flood risk perception and flood preparedness from the perspective of response intention and socio-economic factors: a case study of Nanjing, China
Yabo Li and Peng Wang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4071–4088, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4071-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4071-2025, 2025
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22 Oct 2025
A pathways analysis dashboard prototype for multi-risk systems
Julius Schlumberger, Robert Šakić Trogrlić, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Jung-Hee Hyun, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Marleen de Ruiter, and Marjolijn Haasnoot
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4089–4113, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4089-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4089-2025, 2025
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22 Oct 2025
Capturing the complete landslide–debris-rich flood continuum for accurate inventory, susceptibility and exposure mapping – lessons from Cyclone Idai
Antoine Dille, Olivier Dewitte, Jente Broeckx, Koen Verbist, Andile Sindiso Dube, Jean Poesen, and Matthias Vanmaercke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5056,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5056, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Oct 2025
Forecasting agricultural drought: the Australian Agricultural Drought Indicators
Andrew Schepen, Andrew Bolt, Dorine Bruget, John Carter, Donald Gaydon, Mihir Gupta, Zvi Hochman, Neal Hughes, Chris Sharman, Peter Tan, and Peter Taylor
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4053–4070, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4053-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4053-2025, 2025
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21 Oct 2025
Brief communication: What do we need to know? Ten questions about climate and water challenges in Berlin-Brandenburg
Pedro Henrique Lima Alencar, Saskia Arndt, Kei Namba, Márk Somogyvári, Frederik Bart, Fabio Brill, Juan F. Dueñas, Peter Feindt, Daniel Johnson, Nariman Mahmoodi, Christoph Merz, Subham Mukherjee, Katrin Nissen, Eva Nora Paton, Tobias Sauter, Dörthe Tetzlaff, Franziska Tügel, Thomas Vogelpohl, Stenka Valentinova Vulova, Behnam Zamani, and Hui Hui Zhang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4043–4051, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4043-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4043-2025, 2025
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20 Oct 2025
An updated, homogeneous, and declustered earthquake catalog for South Korea and neighboring regions
Soumya Kanti Maiti and Byungmin Kim
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4021–4041, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4021-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4021-2025, 2025
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20 Oct 2025
High-resolution monitoring of the Günz River: Assessing water quality risks for managed aquifer recharge
Lea Augustin and Thomas Baumann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4003–4020, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4003-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4003-2025, 2025
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17 Oct 2025
Review article: Rethinking preparedness for coastal compound flooding: insights from a systematic review
Dina Vanessa Gomez Rave, Anna Scolobig, and Manuel del Jesus
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3977–4002, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3977-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3977-2025, 2025
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16 Oct 2025
Debris flow susceptibility in the Jinsha River Basin, China: a Bayesian assessment framework based on geomorphodynamic parameters
Zhenkui Gu, Xin Yao, and Xuchao Zhu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3957–3975, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3957-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3957-2025, 2025
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16 Oct 2025
Global Forecasting of Extreme Weather and Insurance Losses Using an LSTM-Based, Audit-Ready Framework
Hongbo Guo, Shuotian Li, Guojun Long, Qiqi Liang, and Haochi Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4203,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4203, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Oct 2025
Flood vulnerability models for damage assessment of artworks and cultural heritage buildings
Claudia De Lucia and Chiara Arrighi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4297,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4297, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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16 Oct 2025
Brief communication: First field observations of basal slip velocities in natural debris flows
Georg Nagl, Maximilian Ender, Felix Klein, Brian McArdell, Stefan Boss, Jordan Aaron, Friedrich Zott, Johannes Hübl, and Roland Kaitna
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4872,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4872, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Oct 2025
Seasonal influence on post-fire debris flow likelihood after the 2020 Lake Fire
Jeng-Hann Chong, Adit Ghosh, Brandon T. Page, Gregory Jesmok, Denise V. Berg, Marlene Lopez, Deepshika Upadhyay, David J. Stone, Scott C. Hauswirth, Eric O. Lindsey, and Louis A. Scuderi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4671,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4671, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Oct 2025
Leveraging hillslope connectivity for improved large-scale assessments of landslide risk
Rafael Jan Pablo Schmitt, Shikshita Bhandari, Adrian Vogl, and Odin Marc
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3733,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3733, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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15 Oct 2025
Study on Critical Rainfall for Flash Flood Disasters in Small Watersheds of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area: A Case Study of Futian Small Watershed in Wushan County of Chongqing
Qu Guo, Qin Yang, Jun Kang, Yi Liu, Baogang Yang, Huigen He, Chuan Liu, and Wanhong Gao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3833,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3833, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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15 Oct 2025
Harnessing multi-source hydro-meteorological data for flood modelling in a partially glacierized Himalayan basin
Domenico De Santis, Silvia Barbetta, Sumit Sen, Viviana Maggioni, Farhad Bahmanpouri, Ashutosh Sharma, Ankit Agarwal, Sagar Gupta, Francesco Avanzi, and Christian Massari
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4933,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4933, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Oct 2025
Impact-based early warning of mass movements – A dynamic spatial modelling approach for the Alpine region
Stefan Steger, Raphael Spiekermann, Mateo Moreno, Sebastian Lehner, Katharina Enigl, Alice Crespi, and Matthias Schlögl
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4940,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4940, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Oct 2025
How to communicate and educate more effectively on natural risk issues to improve disaster risk management through serious games
Mercedes Vázquez-Vílchez, Rocío Carmona-Molero, and Tania Ouariachi-Peralta
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3939–3955, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3939-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3939-2025, 2025
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14 Oct 2025
Flood exposure in Rotterdam's unembanked areas from 1970 to 2150: sensitivities to urban development, sea level rise, and adaptation
Cees Oerlemans, Martine van den Boomen, Ties Rijcken, and Matthijs Kok
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3921–3937, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3921-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3921-2025, 2025
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14 Oct 2025
Energy and structural evolution process of high-altitude and long-runout landslides induced by a strong earthquake
Yunfeng Ge, Bin Hu, Huiming Tang, Xiaodong Fu, and Lei Zhu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4506,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4506, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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14 Oct 2025
Monitoring Diffuse Volcanic Degassing with Seismic Ambient Noise
Helena Seivane and Martin Schimmel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5031,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5031, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Oct 2025
Indirect assimilation of radar reflectivity data with an adaptive hydrometer retrieval scheme for severe short-term weather forecasts
Lixin Song, Feifei Shen, Zhixin He, Lu Yang, Dongmei Xu, Aiqing Shu, and Jiajun Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3905–3920, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3905-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3905-2025, 2025
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13 Oct 2025
Brief communication: Towards defining the worst-case breach scenarios and potential flood volumes for moraine-dammed lake outbursts
Adam Emmer, Ashim Sattar, and Jan Hrebrina
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4136,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4136, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Oct 2025
Projections of changes in extreme storm surges for European coasts using statistical downscaling
Maialen Irazoqui Apecechea, Angélique Melet, Melisa Menendez, Hector Lobeto, and Jonathan B. Valle-Rodriguez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3558,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3558, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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09 Oct 2025
Future intensification of compound and consecutive drought and heatwave risks in Europe
Samuel Jonson Sutanto, Confidence Duku, Merve Gülveren, Rutger Dankers, and Spyridon Paparrizos
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3879–3895, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3879-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3879-2025, 2025
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09 Oct 2025
Brief communication: Depth-averaging of 3D depth-resolved MPM simulation results of geophysical flows for GIS visualization
Hervé Vicari, Michael Lukas Kyburz, and Johan Gaume
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3897–3904, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3897-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3897-2025, 2025
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08 Oct 2025
Could seismo-volcanic catalogs be improved or created using weakly supervised approaches with pre-trained systems?
Manuel Titos, Carmen Benítez, Luca D'Auria, Milad Kowsari, and Jesús Miguel Ibáñez
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3827–3851, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3827-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3827-2025, 2025
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08 Oct 2025
Insights into tectonic zonation models from the clustering analysis of seismicity in southern and south-eastern Spain
David Montiel-López, Antonella Peresan, Elisa Varini, and Sergio Molina
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3853–3878, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3853-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3853-2025, 2025
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07 Oct 2025
The effect of community resilience and disaster risk management cycle stages on morbi-mortality following floods: an empirical assessment
Raquel Guimaraes, Reinhard Mechler, Stefan Velev, and Dipesh Chapagain
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3803–3826, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3803-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3803-2025, 2025
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06 Oct 2025
Predictive understanding of socioeconomic flood impact in data-scarce regions based on channel properties and storm characteristics: application in High Mountain Asia (HMA)
Mariam Khanam, Giulia Sofia, Wilmalis Rodriguez, Efthymios I. Nikolopoulos, Binghao Lu, Dongjin Song, and Emmanouil N. Anagnostou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3759–3778, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3759-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3759-2025, 2025
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06 Oct 2025
Assessing economic impacts of future GLOFs in Nepal's Everest region under different SSP scenarios using three-dimensional simulations
Wilhelm Furian and Tobias Sauter
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3779–3802, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3779-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3779-2025, 2025
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06 Oct 2025
Mitigating Mazuku Hazards: Implementation and Effectiveness of Local Dry‑Gas Degassing Measures in the Goma Area (Virunga Volcanic Province)
Blaise Mafuko-Nyandwi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4497,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4497, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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05 Oct 2025
Changes in tropical cyclone-associated precipitation of highly damaging Philippine typhoons using high-resolution PGW simulations and multiple-experiment approach
Rafaela Jane Delfino, Gerry Bagtasa, Pier Luigi Vidale, and Kevin Hodges
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4443,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4443, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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02 Oct 2025
Modelling vegetation-induced wave attenuation: the impact of seagrass seasonal variability and biomechanical flexibility
Seimur Shirinov, Ivan Federico, Simone Bonamano, Salvatore Causio, Nicolás Biocca, Viviana Piermattei, Daniele Piazzolla, Jacopo Alessandri, Lorenzo Mentaschi, Giovanni Coppini, Marco Marcelli, and Nadia Pinardi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3737–3758, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3737-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3737-2025, 2025
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02 Oct 2025
Forecasting people exposed to tropical cyclone flooding in Southeast Africa: Lessons learned from recent events
Jeffrey Neal, Anthony Cooper, Stephen Chuter, Leanne Archer, Laura Devitt, Stephen Grey, Laurence Hawker, James Savage, Elisabeth Stephens, Calum Baugh, Tim Sumner, Katherine Marsden, and Tamara Janes
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3473,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3473, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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02 Oct 2025
Drought propagation in the Rhine River basin and its impact on navigation using LAERTES-EU regional climate model dataset
Andrea L. Campoverde, Uwe Ehret, Patrick Ludwig, and Joaquim G. Pinto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3988,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3988, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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01 Oct 2025
An ensemble random forest model for seismic energy forecasting
Sukh Sagar Shukla, Jaya Dhanya, Praveen Kumar, Priyanka, and Varun Dutt
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3713–3736, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3713-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3713-2025, 2025
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01 Oct 2025
| Highlight paper
Insights from hailstorm track analysis in European climate change simulations
Killian P. Brennan, Iris Thurnherr, Michael Sprenger, and Heini Wernli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3693–3712, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3693-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3693-2025, 2025
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30 Sep 2025
Detection and characterization of precipitation extremes and geohydrological hazards over a transboundary Alpine area based on different methods and climate datasets
Alice Crespi, Katharina Enigl, Sebastian Lehner, Klaus Haslinger, and Massimiliano Pittore
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3686,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3686, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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29 Sep 2025
Identifying urban and rural settlement archetypes: clustering for enhanced risk-oriented exposure and vulnerability analysis
Gabriella Tocchi, Massimiliano Pittore, and Maria Polese
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3665–3692, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3665-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3665-2025, 2025
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29 Sep 2025
Simulating avalanche-triggered lake overspill and downstream impacts at Birendra Lake using RAMMS and HEC-RAS
Sujan Thapa, Ragini Vaidya, Mohan Bahadur Chand, and Rijan Bhakta Kayastha
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4454,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4454, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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29 Sep 2025
Use of nonlinear principal components of CHIRPS precipitation data and ocean-atmospheric variables for streamflow forecasting in an area of scarce data. Case study, Tocaría river basin – Orinoquia Colombiana
Jhon Derly Sarria-Ospina, Camilo Ocampo-Marulanda, Lina Maria Ceron-Aramburo, Teresita Canchala, and Tiago Alessandro Ferreira
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3694,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3694, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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26 Sep 2025
Disentangling atmospheric, hydrological, and coupling uncertainties in compound flood modeling within a coupled Earth system model
Dongyu Feng, Zeli Tan, Darren Engwirda, Jonathan D. Wolfe, Donghui Xu, Chang Liao, Gautam Bisht, James J. Benedict, Tian Zhou, Mithun Deb, Hong-Yi Li, and L. Ruby Leung
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3619–3639, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3619-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3619-2025, 2025
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26 Sep 2025
Hillslope torrential hazard cascades in tropical mountains
Maria Isabel Arango-Carmona, Paul Voit, Marcel Hürlimann, Edier Aristizábal, and Oliver Korup
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3641–3663, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3641-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3641-2025, 2025
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26 Sep 2025
Spatiotemporal assessment of landslide risk over large areas: A case study of the Valencian Community (1950–2021)
Isidro Cantarino Martí, Miguel Ángel Carrión Carmona, Eric Gielen, and José-Sergio Palencia-Jiménez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4693,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4693, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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26 Sep 2025
Analysis on Multi-Factor Synergistic Hazards Mechanism of Wet Micro-downburst: Multi-Source Data Fusion Analysis based on Passenger Ship Capsizing Accident in Qianxi Region, Guizhou on May 4th, 2025
Ankun Wu, Xi Guo, Dan Yao, Xiaoling Du, Dongpo He, Jue Li, Shisheng Jin, and Tienan Bai
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4293,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4293, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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