Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
03 Apr 2025
| Highlight paper
Monitoring snow depth variations in an avalanche release area using low-cost lidar and optical sensors
Pia Ruttner, Annelies Voordendag, Thierry Hartmann, Julia Glaus, Andreas Wieser, and Yves Bühler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1315–1330, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1315-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1315-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
03 Apr 2025
The 2018–2023 drought in Berlin: impacts and analysis of the perspective of water resources management
Ina Pohle, Sarah Zeilfelder, Johannes Birner, and Benjamin Creutzfeldt
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1293–1313, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1293-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1293-2025, 2025
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03 Apr 2025
Evaluating Microphysics and Boundary Layer Schemes in WRF: Assessment of 36 Scheme Combinations for 17 Major Storms in Saudi Arabia
Rajesh Kumar Sahu, Hamza Kunhu Bangalath, Suleiman Mostamandi, Jason Evans, Paul A. Kucera, and Hylke E. Beck
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-912,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-912, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Apr 2025
Development of operational decision support tools for mechanized ski guiding using avalanche terrain modeling, GPS tracking, and machine learning
John Sykes, Pascal Haegeli, Roger Atkins, Patrick Mair, and Yves Bühler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1255–1292, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1255-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1255-2025, 2025
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02 Apr 2025
A probabilistic view of extreme sea level events in the Baltic Sea
Seuri Basilio Kuosmanen and Magnus Hieronymus
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1257,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1257, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Apr 2025
Characterizing rockfall hazard with an integrated kinematic analysis and runout model: Skagway, Alaska, USA
Ian D. Wachino, Joshua J. Roering, Reuben Cash, and Annette I. Patton
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1168,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1168, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Apr 2025
Constraining landslide frequency across the United States to inform county-level risk reduction
Lisa V. Luna, Jacob B. Woodard, Janice L. Bytheway, Gina M. Belair, and Benjamin B. Mirus
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-947,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-947, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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31 Mar 2025
Topographic controls on landslide mobility: modeling hurricane-induced landslide runout and debris-flow inundation in Puerto Rico
Dianne L. Brien, Mark E. Reid, Collin Cronkite-Ratcliff, and Jonathan P. Perkins
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1229–1253, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1229-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1229-2025, 2025
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28 Mar 2025
Causes, consequences and implications of the 2023 landslide-induced Lake Rasac glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF), Cordillera Huayhuash, Peru
Adam Emmer, Oscar Vilca, Cesar Salazar Checa, Sihan Li, Simon Cook, Elena Pummer, Jan Hrebrina, and Wilfried Haeberli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1207–1228, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1207-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1207-2025, 2025
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28 Mar 2025
Methodological approach to multi-hazard analysis: the case of the Garrotxa region (Catalonia, Spain)
Arnau Lagresa, Marta López-Saavedra, Mireia Jiménez-Llobet, Joan Martí, Marc Martínez-Sepúlveda, Alba Ocaña, Llorenç Planagumà, and Iris Schneider-Pérez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1226,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1226, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 Mar 2025
Modeling Regional Production Capacity Loss Rates Considering Response Bias: Insights from a Questionnaire Survey on Zhengzhou Flood
Lijiao Yang, Yan Luo, Zilong Li, and Xinyu Jiang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3923,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3923, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Mar 2025
Recent large-inland-lake outbursts on the Tibetan Plateau: processes, causes, and mechanisms
Fenglin Xu, Yong Liu, Guoqing Zhang, Ping Zhao, R. Iestyn Woolway, Yani Zhu, Jianting Ju, Tao Zhou, Xue Wang, and Wenfeng Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1187–1206, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1187-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1187-2025, 2025
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24 Mar 2025
Tsunami detection methods for ocean-bottom pressure gauges
Cesare Angeli, Alberto Armigliato, Martina Zanetti, Filippo Zaniboni, Fabrizio Romano, Hafize Başak Bayraktar, and Stefano Lorito
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1169–1185, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1169-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1169-2025, 2025
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24 Mar 2025
Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C minimises projected global increases in fire weather days, but adaptation to new fire regimes is still needed
Inika Taylor, Douglas I. Kelley, Camilla Mathison, Karina E. Williams, Andrew J. Hartley, Richard A. Betts, and Chantelle Burton
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-720,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-720, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Mar 2025
North Atlantic seasonal climate variability significantly modulates extreme winter Euro-Atlantic extratropical cyclone hazards
Amanda C. Maycock, Christine M. McKenna, Matthew D. K. Priestley, Jacob Perez, and Julia F. Lockwood
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1131,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1131, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Mar 2025
Implementing the Equations of Motion in the Energy Line Principle to Simulate the Runout Zones of Gravitational Natural Hazards
Elisa Marras, Dominik May, Luuk Dorren, and Filippo Giadrossich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-226,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-226, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Mar 2025
Farmers' adaptive capacity towards soil salinity effects using hybrid machine learning in the Red River Delta
Huu Duy Nguyen, Dinh Kha Dang, Thi Anh Tam Lai, Duc Dung Tran, Himan Shahabi, and Quang-Thanh Bui
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1051,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1051, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Mar 2025
Warnings based on risk matrices: a coherent framework with consistent evaluation
Robert J. Taggart and David J. Wilke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-323,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-323, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Mar 2025
Ensemble Random Forest for Tropical Cyclone Tracking
Pradeebane Vaittinada Ayar, Stella Bourdin, Davide Faranda, and Mathieu Vrac
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-252,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-252, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Mar 2025
Preface: Multi-risk assessment in the Andes region
Elisabeth Schoepfer, Rodrigo Cienfuegos, Jörn Lauterjung, Torsten Riedlinger, and Hannes Taubenböck
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1163–1167, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1163-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1163-2025, 2025
17 Mar 2025
Using random forests to forecast daily extreme sea level occurrences at the Baltic Coast
Kai Bellinghausen, Birgit Hünicke, and Eduardo Zorita
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1139–1162, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1139-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1139-2025, 2025
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17 Mar 2025
Brief communication: Depth-averaging of 3D depth-resolved MPM simulation results of geophysical flows for GIS visualization
Hervé Vicari, Michael Lukas Kyburz, and Johan Gaume
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3421,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3421, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Mar 2025
Research on the Extraction of Pre-Seismic Anomalies in Borehole Strain Data of the Mado Earthquake Based on the SVMD-Informer Model
Shanzhi Dong, Jie Zhang, Changfeng Qin, Yu Duan, Chenyang Li, Chengquan Chi, and Zhichao Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1130,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1130, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Mar 2025
Quantifying cascading impacts through road network analysis in an insular volcanic setting: the 2021 Tajogaite eruption of La Palma Island (Spain)
Lucia Dominguez, Sébastien Biass, Corine Frischknecht, Alana Weir, Maria Paz Reyes-Hardy, Luigia Sara Di Maio, Nemesio Pérez, and Costanza Bonadonna
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-986,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-986, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Mar 2025
Comparing Flood Forecasting and Early Warning Systems in Transboundary River Basins
Tim Busker, Daniela Rodriguez Castro, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Jaap Kwadijk, Davide Zoccatelli, Rafaella Loureiro, Heather J. Murdock, Laurent Pfister, Benjamin Dewals, Kymo Slager, Annegret H. Thieken, Jan Verkade, Patrick Willems, and Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-828,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-828, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Mar 2025
Environmental and economic impact of the potential eruptions of Imbabura (VEI = 2) and Cuicocha (VEI = 6) volcanoes in north-central Ecuador
Fabian Rodriguez-Espinosa, Cristina Cabrera-Paladines, Juan Calderón-Tupiza, and Theofilos Toulkeridis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-298,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-298, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Mar 2025
The Avalanche Terrain Exposure Scale (ATES) v.2
Grant Statham and Cam Campbell
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1113–1137, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1113-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1113-2025, 2025
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12 Mar 2025
Assessing atoll island future habitability in the context of climate change using Bayesian networks
Mirna Badillo-Interiano, Jérémy Rohmer, Gonéri Le Cozannet, and Virginie Duvat
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3884,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3884, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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12 Mar 2025
How are public compensation efforts implemented in multi-hazard events? Insights from the 2020 Gloria storm in Catalonia
Núria Pantaleoni Reluy, Marcel Hürlimann, and Nieves Lantada
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1009,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1009, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Mar 2025
Modelling urban stormwater drainage overflows for assessing flood hazards: application to the urban area of Dakar (Senegal)
Laurent Pascal Malang Diémé, Christophe Bouvier, Ansoumana Bodian, and Alpha Sidibé
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1095–1112, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1095-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1095-2025, 2025
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11 Mar 2025
Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis of Batukaras, a tourism village in Indonesia
Wiwin Windupranata, Muhammad Wahyu Al Ghifari, Candida Aulia De Silva Nusantara, Marsyanisa Shafa, Intan Hayatiningsih, Iyan Eka Mulia, and Alqinthara Nuraghnia
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1057–1069, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1057-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1057-2025, 2025
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11 Mar 2025
Dynamics and impacts of monsoon-induced geological hazards: a 2022 flood study along the Swat River in Pakistan
Nazir Ahmed Bazai, Mehtab Alam, Peng Cui, Wang Hao, Adil Poshad Khan, Muhammad Waseem, Yao Shunyu, Muhammad Ramzan, Li Wanhong, and Tashfain Ahmed
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1071–1093, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1071-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1071-2025, 2025
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11 Mar 2025
Nationwide Application of a Rapid Tsunami Inundation Model to New Zealand: Assessing Infrastructure and Land Exposure
Tate Kimpton, Colin Whittaker, Pablo Higuera, and Liam Wotherspoon
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3724,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3724, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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11 Mar 2025
Insights from hailstorm track analysis in European climate change simulations
Killian P. Brennan, Iris Thurnherr, Michael Sprenger, and Heini Wernli
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-918,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-918, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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11 Mar 2025
Review article: Rethinking Preparedness for Coastal Compound Flooding: Insights from a Systematic Review
Dina Vanessa Gomez Rave, Anna Scolobig, and Manuel del Jesus
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-262,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-262, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Mar 2025
| Highlight paper
Characterizing the scale of regional landslide triggering from storm hydrometeorology
Jonathan Perkins, Nina S. Oakley, Brian D. Collins, Skye C. Corbett, and W. Paul Burgess
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1037–1056, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1037-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1037-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
10 Mar 2025
An Updated, Homogeneous, and Declustered Earthquake Catalog for South Korea and Neighboring Regions
Soumya Kanti Maiti and Byungmin Kim
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-197,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-197, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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10 Mar 2025
Automated urban flood level detection based on flooded bus dataset using YOLOv8
Yanbin Qiu, Xudong Zhou, Jiaquan Wan, Tao Yang, Lvfei Zhang, Yuanzhuo Zhong, Leqi Shen, and Xinwu Ji
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4053,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4053, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Mar 2025
Estimating future wildfire burnt area over Greece using the JULES-INFERNO model
Anastasios Rovithakis, Eleanor Burke, Chantelle Burton, Matthew Kasoar, Manolis G. Grillakis, Konstantinos D. Seiradakis, and Apostolos Voulgarakis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-274,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-274, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Mar 2025
Debris Flow Susceptibility in the Jinsha River Basin, China: A Bayesian Assessment Framework Based on Geomorphodynamic Parameters
Zhenkui Gu, Xin Yao, and Xuchao Zhu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4164,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4164, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Mar 2025
Increasing flood risk in the Indian Ganga Basin: A perspective from the night-time lights
Ekta Aggarwal, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Kartikeya S. Sangwan, Rajiv Sinha, Sophie Buijs, Ranjay Shrestha, Sanjeev Gupta, and Alexander C. Whittaker
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3901,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3901, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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06 Mar 2025
Adaptive behavior of farmers under consecutive droughts results in more vulnerable farmers: a large-scale agent-based modeling analysis in the Bhima basin, India
Maurice W. M. L. Kalthof, Jens de Bruijn, Hans de Moel, Heidi Kreibich, and Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1013–1035, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1013-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1013-2025, 2025
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06 Mar 2025
Review article: Stocktaking of methods for assessing dynamic vulnerability in the context of flood hazard research
Julius Schlumberger, Tristian Stolte, Helena Margaret Garcia, Antonia Sebastian, Wiebke Jäger, Philip Ward, Marleen de Ruiter, Robert Šakić Trogrlić, Annegien Tijssen, and Mariana Madruga de Brito
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-850,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-850, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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06 Mar 2025
Invited perspective: Redefining Disaster Risk: The Convergence of Natural Hazards and Health Crises
Nivedita Sairam and Marleen de Ruiter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-920,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-920, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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06 Mar 2025
Extreme precipitation and flooding in Berlin under climate change and effects of selected grey and blue-green measures
Franziska Tügel, Katrin M. Nissen, Lennart Steffen, Yangwei Zhang, Uwe Ulbrich, and Reinhard Hinkelmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-445,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-445, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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05 Mar 2025
Towards a harmonized operational earthquake forecasting model for Europe
Marta Han, Leila Mizrahi, and Stefan Wiemer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 991–1012, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-991-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-991-2025, 2025
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05 Mar 2025
Characteristics and disaster implications of offshore active faults around Nan'ao Island, the northern South China Sea
Hu Yi, Wenhuan Zhan, Xiaodong Yang, Jian Li, Xiaochuan Wu, Jie Sun, Yantao Yao, Jiaxian Huang, and Zelong Ju
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-170,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-170, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Mar 2025
A participatory approach to determine the use of road cut slope design guidelines in Nepal to lessen landslides
Ellen B. Robson, Bhim Kumar Dahal, and David G. Toll
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 949–973, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-949-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-949-2025, 2025
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04 Mar 2025
Monte Carlo-based sensitivity analysis of the RIM2D hydrodynamic model for the 2021 flood event in western Germany
Shahin Khosh Bin Ghomash, Patricio Yeste, Heiko Apel, and Viet Dung Nguyen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 975–990, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-975-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-975-2025, 2025
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04 Mar 2025
Climate change impacts on floods in West Africa: New insight from two large-scale hydrological models
Serigne Bassirou Diop, Job Ekolu, Yves Tramblay, Bastien Dieppois, Stefania Grimaldi, Ansoumana Bodian, Juliette Blanchet, Ponnambalam Rameshwaran, Peter Salamon, and Benjamin Sultan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-130,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-130, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Mar 2025
Review article: Harnessing Machine Learning methods for climate multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment
Davide Mauro Ferrario, Marcello Sanò, Margherita Maraschini, Andrea Critto, and Silvia Torresan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-670,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-670, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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28 Feb 2025
Satellite-based data for agricultural index insurance: a systematic quantitative literature review
Thuy T. Nguyen, Shahbaz Mushtaq, Jarrod Kath, Thong Nguyen-Huy, and Louis Reymondin
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 913–927, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-913-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-913-2025, 2025
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28 Feb 2025
Review article: A scoping review of human factors in avalanche decision-making
Audun Hetland, Rebecca A. Hetland, Tarjei Tveito Skille, and Andrea Mannberg
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 929–948, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-929-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-929-2025, 2025
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28 Feb 2025
Modeling and observing the Lake Albano dynamics
Anita Grezio, Damiano Delrosso, Marco Anzidei, Marco Bianucci, Giovanni Chiodini, Antonio Costa, Antonio Guarnieri, Marina Locritani, Silvia Merlino, Filippo Muccini, Marco Paterni, Dmitri Rouwet, Giancarlo Tamburello, and Georg Umgiesser
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-286,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-286, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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28 Feb 2025
Identifying urban settlement archetypes: clustering for enhanced multi-risk exposure and vulnerability analysis
Gabriella Tocchi, Massimiliano Pittore, and Maria Polese
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-908,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-908, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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27 Feb 2025
Mind the gap: misalignment between drought monitoring and community realities
Sarra Kchouk, Louise Cavalcante, Lieke A. Melsen, David W. Walker, Germano Ribeiro Neto, Rubens Gondim, Wouter J. Smolenaars, and Pieter R. van Oel
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 893–912, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-893-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-893-2025, 2025
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27 Feb 2025
Forecasting agricultural drought: the Australian Agriculture Drought Indicators
Andrew Schepen, Andrew Bolt, Dorine Bruget, John Carter, Donald Gaydon, Mihir Gupta, Zvi Hochman, Neal Hughes, Chris Sharman, Peter Tan, and Peter Taylor
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4129,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4129, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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26 Feb 2025
Content analysis of multi-annual time series of flood-related Twitter (X) data
Nadja Veigel, Heidi Kreibich, Jens A. de Bruijn, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, and Andrea Cominola
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 879–891, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-879-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-879-2025, 2025
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26 Feb 2025
Rockfall triggering and meteorological variables in the Dolomites (Italian Eastern Alps)
Francesca Noemi Bonometti, Giuseppe Dattola, Paolo Frattini, and Giovanni Battista Crosta
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4122,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4122, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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26 Feb 2025
Insights into tectonic zonation models from the clustering analysis of seismicity in South and South-eastern Spain
David Montiel-López, Antonella Peresan, Elisa Varini, and Sergio Molina
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-556,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-556, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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26 Feb 2025
Extreme heat and mortality in the State of Rio de Janeiro in the 2023/24 season: attribution to climate change and ENSO
Soledad Collazo, David Barriopedro, Ricardo García-Herrera, and Santiago Beguería
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-792,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-792, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Feb 2025
Future intensification of compound and cascading drought and heatwave risks in Europe
Samuel Jonson Sutanto, Confidence Duku, Merve Gülveren, Rutger Dankers, and Spyridon Paparrizos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-823,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-823, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Feb 2025
Compound winter low-wind and cold events impacting the French electricity system: observed evolution and role of large-scale circulation
François Collet, Margot Bador, Julien Boé, Laurent Dubus, and Bénédicte Jourdier
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 843–856, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-843-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-843-2025, 2025
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25 Feb 2025
Modeling seismic hazard and landslide occurrence probabilities in northwestern Yunnan, China: exploring complex fault systems with multi-segment rupturing in a block rotational tectonic zone
Jia Cheng, Chong Xu, Xiwei Xu, Shimin Zhang, and Pengyu Zhu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 857–877, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-857-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-857-2025, 2025
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25 Feb 2025
Characterizing Soil Moisture Drought Onset and Termination in Europe
Woon Mi Kim and Santos Jose González-Rojí
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-503,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-503, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Feb 2025
Constitution of a multicentennial multirisk database in a mountainous environment from composite sources: the example of the Vallouise-Pelvoux municipality (Ecrins, France)
Louise Dallons Thanneur, Florie Giacona, Nicolas Eckert, and Philippe Frey
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-761,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-761, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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25 Feb 2025
Shrinking Lakes, Growing Concerns: Exploring perceptions of lake level decline as a prism for understanding socionatural hazards
Thomas Vogelpohl, Desirée Hetzel, Daniel Johnson, Lena Masch, Jesko Hirschfeld, Thorsten Faas, Peter Feindt, and Jörg Niewöhner
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-475,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-475, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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25 Feb 2025
Assessing economic impacts of future GLOFs in Nepal’s Everest region under different SSP scenarios using three-dimensional simulations
Wilhelm Furian and Tobias Sauter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-50,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-50, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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25 Feb 2025
Modelling the effectiveness of GLOF DRM measures – a case study from the Ala-Archa valley, Kyrgyz Republic
Laura Niggli, Holger Frey, Simon Allen, Nazgul Alybaeva, Christian Huggel, Bolot Moldobekov, and Vitalii Zaginaev
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-290,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-290, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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21 Feb 2025
Development of a regional probabilistic seismic hazard model for Central Asia
Valerio Poggi, Stefano Parolai, Natalya Silacheva, Anatoly Ischuk, Kanatbek Abdrakhmatov, Zainalobudin Kobuliev, Vakhitkhan Ismailov, Roman Ibragimov, Japar Karaev, Paola Ceresa, Marco Santulin, and Paolo Bazzurro
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 817–842, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-817-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-817-2025, 2025
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21 Feb 2025
Drought Propagation and Ecosystem Resilience in a Peri-Urban Catchment of Berlin-Brandenburg
Polina Franke, Aryan Goswami, and Márk Somogyvári
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-471,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-471, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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20 Feb 2025
Review article: A comprehensive review of compound flooding literature with a focus on coastal and estuarine regions
Joshua Green, Ivan D. Haigh, Niall Quinn, Jeff Neal, Thomas Wahl, Melissa Wood, Dirk Eilander, Marleen de Ruiter, Philip Ward, and Paula Camus
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 747–816, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-747-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-747-2025, 2025
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18 Feb 2025
Post-wildfire sediment source and transport modeling, empirical observations, and applied mitigation: an Arizona, USA, case study
Edward R. Schenk, Alex Wood, Allen Haden, Gabriel Baca, Jake Fleishman, and Joe Loverich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 727–745, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-727-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-727-2025, 2025
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18 Feb 2025
An integrated method for assessing vulnerability of buildings caused by debris flows in mountainous areas
Chenchen Qiu and Xueyu Geng
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 709–726, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-709-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-709-2025, 2025
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17 Feb 2025
Indigenous Wisdom in Flash Flood Adaptation and Mitigation: Insights from the Gayo Highlands, Indonesia
Cut Azizah, Cut Ayu Lizar, Sarif Robo, Zuraihan, Isma Arsyani, Muhammad Iqbal, Rambang Muharramsyah, and Ismahadi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3774,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3774, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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13 Feb 2025
Probabilistic hazard analysis of the gas emission of Mefite d'Ansanto, southern Italy
Fabio Dioguardi, Giovanni Chiodini, and Antonio Costa
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 657–674, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-657-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-657-2025, 2025
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13 Feb 2025
Are heavy-rainfall events a major trigger of associated natural hazards along the German rail network?
Sonja Szymczak, Frederick Bott, Vigile Marie Fabella, and Katharina Fricke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 683–707, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-683-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-683-2025, 2025
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13 Feb 2025
Brief communication: Forecasting extreme precipitation from atmospheric rivers in New Zealand
Daniel G. Kingston, Liam Cooper, David A. Lavers, and David M. Hannah
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 675–682, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-675-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-675-2025, 2025
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11 Feb 2025
Identifying unrecognised risks to life from debris flows
Mark Bloomberg, Tim Davies, Elena Moltchanova, Tom Robinson, and David Palmer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 647–656, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-647-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-647-2025, 2025
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11 Feb 2025
A quantitative module of avalanche hazard – comparing forecaster assessments of storm and persistent slab avalanche problems with information derived from distributed snowpack simulations
Florian Herla, Pascal Haegeli, Simon Horton, and Patrick Mair
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 625–646, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-625-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-625-2025, 2025
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11 Feb 2025
The record-breaking precipitation event of December 2022 in Portugal
Tiago M. Ferreira, Ricardo M. Trigo, Tomás H. Gaspar, Joaquim G. Pinto, and Alexandre M. Ramos
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 609–623, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-609-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-609-2025, 2025
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11 Feb 2025
Enhancement of state response capability and famine mitigation: a comparative analysis of two drought events in northern China during the Ming dynasty
Fangyu Tian, Yun Su, Xudong Chen, and Le Tao
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 591–607, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-591-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-591-2025, 2025
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11 Feb 2025
Brief communication: How extreme was the thunderstorm rain in Vienna on 17 August 2024? A temporal and spatial analysis
Vinzent Klaus, Johannes Laimighofer, and Fabian Lehner
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-224,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-224, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Feb 2025
Flood exposure of environmental assets
Gabriele Bertoli, Chiara Arrighi, and Enrica Caporali
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 565–580, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-565-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-565-2025, 2025
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10 Feb 2025
| Highlight paper
Causes of the exceptionally high number of fatalities in the Ahr valley, Germany, during the 2021 flood
Belinda Rhein and Heidi Kreibich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 581–589, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-581-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-581-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
10 Feb 2025
Spatial structures of emerging hot & dry compound events over Europe from 1950 to 2023
Joséphine Schmutz, Mathieu Vrac, Bastien François, and Burak Bulut
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-461,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-461, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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07 Feb 2025
Compound events in Germany in 2018: drivers and case studies
Elena Xoplaki, Florian Ellsäßer, Jens Grieger, Katrin M. Nissen, Joaquim G. Pinto, Markus Augenstein, Ting-Chen Chen, Hendrik Feldmann, Petra Friederichs, Daniel Gliksman, Laura Goulier, Karsten Haustein, Jens Heinke, Lisa Jach, Florian Knutzen, Stefan Kollet, Jürg Luterbacher, Niklas Luther, Susanna Mohr, Christoph Mudersbach, Christoph Müller, Efi Rousi, Felix Simon, Laura Suarez-Gutierrez, Svenja Szemkus, Sara M. Vallejo-Bernal, Odysseas Vlachopoulos, and Frederik Wolf
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 541–564, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-541-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-541-2025, 2025
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07 Feb 2025
Computing the time-dependent activity rate using non-declustered and declustered catalogues – a first step towards time-dependent seismic hazard calculations for operational earthquake forecasting
David Montiel-López, Sergio Molina, Juan José Galiana-Merino, Igor Gómez, Alireza Kharazian, Juan Luis Soler-Llorens, José Antonio Huesca-Tortosa, Arianna Guardiola-Villora, and Gonzalo Ortuño-Sáez
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 515–539, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-515-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-515-2025, 2025
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06 Feb 2025
A new method for calculating highway blocking due to high-impact weather conditions
Duanyang Liu, Tian Jing, Mingyue Yan, Ismail Gultepe, Yunxuan Bao, Hongbin Wang, and Fan Zu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 493–513, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-493-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-493-2025, 2025
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05 Feb 2025
Predicting the thickness of shallow landslides in Switzerland using machine learning
Christoph Schaller, Luuk Dorren, Massimiliano Schwarz, Christine Moos, Arie C. Seijmonsbergen, and E. Emiel van Loon
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 467–491, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-467-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-467-2025, 2025
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03 Feb 2025
Unraveling landslide failure mechanisms with seismic signal analysis for enhanced pre-survey understanding
Jui-Ming Chang, Che-Ming Yang, Wei-An Chao, Chin-Shang Ku, Ming-Wan Huang, Tung-Chou Hsieh, and Chi-Yao Hung
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 451–466, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-451-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-451-2025, 2025
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03 Feb 2025
Catastrophic beach erosion induced by littoral drift on nearby beach after Samcheok LNG's massive coastal reclamation project
Changbin Lim, Tae Min Lim, and Jung-Lyul Lee
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-176,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-176, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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03 Feb 2025
Indirect assimilation of radar reflectivity data with an adaptive hydrometer retrieval scheme for the short-term severe weather forecasts
Lixin Song, Feifei Shen, Zhixin He, Dongmei Xu, Aiqing Shu, and Jiajun Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-203,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-203, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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03 Feb 2025
Anatomy of a Flash Flood in a Hyperarid Environment: From Atmospheric Masses to Sediment Dispersal in the Sea
Akos Kalman, Timor Katz, Miklos Vincze, Jake Longenecker, Alysse Mathalon, Paul Hill, and Beverly Goodman-Tchernov
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3354,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3354, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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03 Feb 2025
Analysis of Long-Term Changes in Extreme Waves in the Northwest Pacific Over the Past 60 Years
Yang-Ming Fan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3954,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3954, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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03 Feb 2025
Computing Extreme Storm Surges in Europe Using Neural Networks
Tim H. J. Hermans, Chiheb Ben Hammouda, Simon Treu, Timothy Tiggeloven, Anaïs Couasnon, Julius J. M. Busecke, and Roderik S. W. van de Wal
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-196,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-196, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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03 Feb 2025
Groundwater recharge in Brandenburg is declining – but why?
Till Francke and Maik Heistermann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-222,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-222, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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03 Feb 2025
Review Article: Analysis of sediment disaster risk assessment surveys in Brazil: A critical review and recommendations
Thiago Dutra dos Santos and Taro Uchida
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2255,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2255, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Feb 2025
Modeling wave-vegetation interactions: the impact of seagrass flexibility and seasonal variability
Seimur Shirinov, Ivan Federico, Simone Bonamano, Salvatore Causio, Nicolás Biocca, Viviana Piermattei, Daniele Piazzolla, Jacopo Alessandri, Lorenzo Mentaschi, Giovanni Coppini, Marco Marcelli, and Nadia Pinardi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-321,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-321, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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