Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
31 Oct 2025
Review article: Towards multi-hazard and multi-risk indicators – a review and recommendations for development and implementation
Christopher J. White, Mohammed Sarfaraz Gani Adnan, Marcello Arosio, Stephanie Buller, YoungHwa Cha, Roxana Ciurean, Julia M. Crummy, Melanie Duncan, Joel Gill, Claire Kennedy, Elisa Nobile, Lara Smale, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4263–4281, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4263-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4263-2025, 2025
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30 Oct 2025
Kinetic characteristics investigation of the Yingxingping rockslide based on discrete element method combined with discrete fracture network
Bo Liu, Yufang Zhang, Xiewen Hu, Jian Li, Kun Yuan, Kun He, Jian Cui, and Zhenhua Yin
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4247–4262, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4247-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4247-2025, 2025
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30 Oct 2025
Brief communication: 'Multi-hazard-to-health-outcome' (MH2O) pathways: the known, the unknown, and ten most urgent priorities.
Harriet Moore, Qiuhua Liang, Lee Bosher, John Atanbori, Mark Gussy, Amogh Madbhatkal, Joe Swift, Jaspreet Phull, Kirsten Guy, Lynsey Collinson, Andy Penny, Maria Athanassiadou, Kaja Milczewska, Ebenezer Amankwaa, Lucy Kennedy, Edward Hanna, Gregory Sutton, Bartholomew Hill, and Colin Hopkirk
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4062,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4062, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Oct 2025
Assessment of coastal inundation triggered by multiple drivers in Ca Mau Peninsula, Vietnam
Hung Nghia Nguyen, Quan Quan Le, Viet Dung Nguyen, Hai Dac Do, Hung Duc Pham, Tan Hong Cao, Toan Quang To, Melissa Wood, and Ivan D. Haigh
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4227–4246, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4227-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4227-2025, 2025
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29 Oct 2025
Wikimpacts 1.0: A new global climate impact database based on automated information extraction from Wikipedia
Ni Li, Wim Thiery, Shorouq Zahra, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Koffi Worou, Murathan Kurfalı, Seppe Lampe, Paul Muñoz, Clare Flynn, Camila Trigoso, Joakim Nivre, Jakob Zscheischler, and Gabriele Messori
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4891,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4891, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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28 Oct 2025
Particle and front tracking in experimental and computational avalanche dynamics
Michael Neuhauser, Anselm Köhler, Anna Wirbel, Felix Oesterle, Wolfgang Fellin, Johannes Gerstmayr, Falko Dressler, and Jan-Thomas Fischer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4185–4202, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4185-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4185-2025, 2025
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28 Oct 2025
Understanding extreme-wave hazards on high-energy coasts requires a standardised approach to field data collection: analysis and recommendations
Rónadh Cox, Mary C. Bourke, Max Engel, Andrew B. Kennedy, Annie Lau, Serge Suanez, Sarah J. Boulton, Maria Alexandra Oliveira, Raphaël Paris, Dimitra Salmanidou, Michaela Spiske, Wayne Stephenson, Storm Roberts, Adam D. Switzer, Nadia Mhammdi, Niamh D. Cullen, and Masashi Watanabe
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4203–4226, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4203-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4203-2025, 2025
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27 Oct 2025
Preface on “Natural hazards' impact on natural and built heritage and infrastructure in urban and rural zones”
Maria Bostenaru Dan, Mara Popescu, Orsolya Kegyes-Brassai, Margherita D'Ayala, Cerasella Crăciun, and Animesh Gain
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4181–4183, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4181-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4181-2025, 2025
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27 Oct 2025
Signals Without Action: A Value Chain Analysis of Luxembourg’s 2021 Flood Disaster
Jeff Da Costa, Elizabeth Ebert, David Hoffmann, Hannah Louise Cloke, and Jessica Neumann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3892,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3892, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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27 Oct 2025
Assessing the predictability of rockfall simulations constrained to simple objective input parameters
François Noël and Synnøve Flugekvam Nordang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4635,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4635, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Oct 2025
Temporal persistence of postfire flood hazards under present and future climate conditions in southern Arizona, USA
Tao Liu, Luke A. McGuire, Ann M. Youberg, Charles J. Abolt, and Adam L. Atchley
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4135–4151, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4135-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4135-2025, 2025
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24 Oct 2025
Review article: Analysis of sediment disaster risk assessment surveys in Brazil: a critical review and recommendations
Thiago D. dos Santos and Taro Uchida
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4153–4180, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4153-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4153-2025, 2025
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23 Oct 2025
Capture of near-critical debris flows by flexible barriers: an experimental investigation
Miao Huo, Stéphane Lambert, Firmin Fontaine, and Guillaume Piton
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4115–4134, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4115-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4115-2025, 2025
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22 Oct 2025
Unbalanced relationship between flood risk perception and flood preparedness from the perspective of response intention and socio-economic factors: a case study of Nanjing, China
Yabo Li and Peng Wang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4071–4088, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4071-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4071-2025, 2025
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22 Oct 2025
A pathways analysis dashboard prototype for multi-risk systems
Julius Schlumberger, Robert Šakić Trogrlić, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Jung-Hee Hyun, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Marleen de Ruiter, and Marjolijn Haasnoot
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4089–4113, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4089-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4089-2025, 2025
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22 Oct 2025
Capturing the complete landslide–debris-rich flood continuum for accurate inventory, susceptibility and exposure mapping – lessons from Cyclone Idai
Antoine Dille, Olivier Dewitte, Jente Broeckx, Koen Verbist, Andile Sindiso Dube, Jean Poesen, and Matthias Vanmaercke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5056,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5056, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Oct 2025
Forecasting agricultural drought: the Australian Agricultural Drought Indicators
Andrew Schepen, Andrew Bolt, Dorine Bruget, John Carter, Donald Gaydon, Mihir Gupta, Zvi Hochman, Neal Hughes, Chris Sharman, Peter Tan, and Peter Taylor
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4053–4070, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4053-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4053-2025, 2025
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21 Oct 2025
Brief communication: What do we need to know? Ten questions about climate and water challenges in Berlin-Brandenburg
Pedro Henrique Lima Alencar, Saskia Arndt, Kei Namba, Márk Somogyvári, Frederik Bart, Fabio Brill, Juan F. Dueñas, Peter Feindt, Daniel Johnson, Nariman Mahmoodi, Christoph Merz, Subham Mukherjee, Katrin Nissen, Eva Nora Paton, Tobias Sauter, Dörthe Tetzlaff, Franziska Tügel, Thomas Vogelpohl, Stenka Valentinova Vulova, Behnam Zamani, and Hui Hui Zhang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4043–4051, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4043-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4043-2025, 2025
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20 Oct 2025
An updated, homogeneous, and declustered earthquake catalog for South Korea and neighboring regions
Soumya Kanti Maiti and Byungmin Kim
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4021–4041, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4021-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4021-2025, 2025
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20 Oct 2025
High-resolution monitoring of the Günz River: Assessing water quality risks for managed aquifer recharge
Lea Augustin and Thomas Baumann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4003–4020, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4003-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4003-2025, 2025
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17 Oct 2025
Review article: Rethinking preparedness for coastal compound flooding: insights from a systematic review
Dina Vanessa Gomez Rave, Anna Scolobig, and Manuel del Jesus
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3977–4002, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3977-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3977-2025, 2025
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16 Oct 2025
Debris flow susceptibility in the Jinsha River Basin, China: a Bayesian assessment framework based on geomorphodynamic parameters
Zhenkui Gu, Xin Yao, and Xuchao Zhu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3957–3975, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3957-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3957-2025, 2025
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16 Oct 2025
Global Forecasting of Extreme Weather and Insurance Losses Using an LSTM-Based, Audit-Ready Framework
Hongbo Guo, Shuotian Li, Guojun Long, Qiqi Liang, and Haochi Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4203,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4203, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Oct 2025
Flood vulnerability models for damage assessment of artworks and cultural heritage buildings
Claudia De Lucia and Chiara Arrighi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4297,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4297, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Oct 2025
Brief communication: First field observations of basal slip velocities in natural debris flows
Georg Nagl, Maximilian Ender, Felix Klein, Brian McArdell, Stefan Boss, Jordan Aaron, Friedrich Zott, Johannes Hübl, and Roland Kaitna
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4872,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4872, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Oct 2025
Seasonal influence on post-fire debris flow likelihood after the 2020 Lake Fire
Jeng-Hann Chong, Adit Ghosh, Brandon T. Page, Gregory Jesmok, Denise V. Berg, Marlene Lopez, Deepshika Upadhyay, David J. Stone, Scott C. Hauswirth, Eric O. Lindsey, and Louis A. Scuderi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4671,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4671, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Oct 2025
Leveraging hillslope connectivity for improved large-scale assessments of landslide risk
Rafael Jan Pablo Schmitt, Shikshita Bhandari, Adrian Vogl, and Odin Marc
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3733,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3733, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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15 Oct 2025
Study on Critical Rainfall for Flash Flood Disasters in Small Watersheds of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area: A Case Study of Futian Small Watershed in Wushan County of Chongqing
Qu Guo, Qin Yang, Jun Kang, Yi Liu, Baogang Yang, Huigen He, Chuan Liu, and Wanhong Gao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3833,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3833, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Oct 2025
Harnessing multi-source hydro-meteorological data for flood modelling in a partially glacierized Himalayan basin
Domenico De Santis, Silvia Barbetta, Sumit Sen, Viviana Maggioni, Farhad Bahmanpouri, Ashutosh Sharma, Ankit Agarwal, Sagar Gupta, Francesco Avanzi, and Christian Massari
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4933,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4933, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Oct 2025
Impact-based early warning of mass movements – A dynamic spatial modelling approach for the Alpine region
Stefan Steger, Raphael Spiekermann, Mateo Moreno, Sebastian Lehner, Katharina Enigl, Alice Crespi, and Matthias Schlögl
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4940,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4940, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Oct 2025
How to communicate and educate more effectively on natural risk issues to improve disaster risk management through serious games
Mercedes Vázquez-Vílchez, Rocío Carmona-Molero, and Tania Ouariachi-Peralta
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3939–3955, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3939-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3939-2025, 2025
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14 Oct 2025
Flood exposure in Rotterdam's unembanked areas from 1970 to 2150: sensitivities to urban development, sea level rise, and adaptation
Cees Oerlemans, Martine van den Boomen, Ties Rijcken, and Matthijs Kok
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3921–3937, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3921-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3921-2025, 2025
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14 Oct 2025
Energy and structural evolution process of high-altitude and long-runout landslides induced by a strong earthquake
Yunfeng Ge, Bin Hu, Huiming Tang, Xiaodong Fu, and Lei Zhu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4506,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4506, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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14 Oct 2025
Monitoring Diffuse Volcanic Degassing with Seismic Ambient Noise
Helena Seivane and Martin Schimmel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5031,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5031, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Oct 2025
Indirect assimilation of radar reflectivity data with an adaptive hydrometer retrieval scheme for severe short-term weather forecasts
Lixin Song, Feifei Shen, Zhixin He, Lu Yang, Dongmei Xu, Aiqing Shu, and Jiajun Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3905–3920, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3905-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3905-2025, 2025
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13 Oct 2025
Brief communication: Towards defining the worst-case breach scenarios and potential flood volumes for moraine-dammed lake outbursts
Adam Emmer, Ashim Sattar, and Jan Hrebrina
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4136,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4136, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Oct 2025
Projections of changes in extreme storm surges for European coasts using statistical downscaling
Maialen Irazoqui Apecechea, Angélique Melet, Melisa Menendez, Hector Lobeto, and Jonathan B. Valle-Rodriguez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3558,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3558, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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09 Oct 2025
Future intensification of compound and consecutive drought and heatwave risks in Europe
Samuel Jonson Sutanto, Confidence Duku, Merve Gülveren, Rutger Dankers, and Spyridon Paparrizos
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3879–3895, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3879-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3879-2025, 2025
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09 Oct 2025
Brief communication: Depth-averaging of 3D depth-resolved MPM simulation results of geophysical flows for GIS visualization
Hervé Vicari, Michael Lukas Kyburz, and Johan Gaume
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3897–3904, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3897-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3897-2025, 2025
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08 Oct 2025
Could seismo-volcanic catalogs be improved or created using weakly supervised approaches with pre-trained systems?
Manuel Titos, Carmen Benítez, Luca D'Auria, Milad Kowsari, and Jesús Miguel Ibáñez
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3827–3851, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3827-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3827-2025, 2025
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08 Oct 2025
Insights into tectonic zonation models from the clustering analysis of seismicity in southern and south-eastern Spain
David Montiel-López, Antonella Peresan, Elisa Varini, and Sergio Molina
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3853–3878, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3853-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3853-2025, 2025
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07 Oct 2025
The effect of community resilience and disaster risk management cycle stages on morbi-mortality following floods: an empirical assessment
Raquel Guimaraes, Reinhard Mechler, Stefan Velev, and Dipesh Chapagain
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3803–3826, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3803-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3803-2025, 2025
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06 Oct 2025
Predictive understanding of socioeconomic flood impact in data-scarce regions based on channel properties and storm characteristics: application in High Mountain Asia (HMA)
Mariam Khanam, Giulia Sofia, Wilmalis Rodriguez, Efthymios I. Nikolopoulos, Binghao Lu, Dongjin Song, and Emmanouil N. Anagnostou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3759–3778, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3759-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3759-2025, 2025
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06 Oct 2025
Assessing economic impacts of future GLOFs in Nepal's Everest region under different SSP scenarios using three-dimensional simulations
Wilhelm Furian and Tobias Sauter
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3779–3802, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3779-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3779-2025, 2025
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06 Oct 2025
Mitigating Mazuku Hazards: Implementation and Effectiveness of Local Dry‑Gas Degassing Measures in the Goma Area (Virunga Volcanic Province)
Blaise Mafuko-Nyandwi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4497,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4497, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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05 Oct 2025
Changes in tropical cyclone-associated precipitation of highly damaging Philippine typhoons using high-resolution PGW simulations and multiple-experiment approach
Rafaela Jane Delfino, Gerry Bagtasa, Pier Luigi Vidale, and Kevin Hodges
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4443,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4443, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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02 Oct 2025
Modelling vegetation-induced wave attenuation: the impact of seagrass seasonal variability and biomechanical flexibility
Seimur Shirinov, Ivan Federico, Simone Bonamano, Salvatore Causio, Nicolás Biocca, Viviana Piermattei, Daniele Piazzolla, Jacopo Alessandri, Lorenzo Mentaschi, Giovanni Coppini, Marco Marcelli, and Nadia Pinardi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3737–3758, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3737-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3737-2025, 2025
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02 Oct 2025
Forecasting people exposed to tropical cyclone flooding in Southeast Africa: Lessons learned from recent events
Jeffrey Neal, Anthony Cooper, Stephen Chuter, Leanne Archer, Laura Devitt, Stephen Grey, Laurence Hawker, James Savage, Elisabeth Stephens, Calum Baugh, Tim Sumner, Katherine Marsden, and Tamara Janes
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3473,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3473, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Oct 2025
Drought propagation in the Rhine River basin and its impact on navigation using LAERTES-EU regional climate model dataset
Andrea L. Campoverde, Uwe Ehret, Patrick Ludwig, and Joaquim G. Pinto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3988,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3988, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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01 Oct 2025
An ensemble random forest model for seismic energy forecasting
Sukh Sagar Shukla, Jaya Dhanya, Praveen Kumar, Priyanka, and Varun Dutt
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3713–3736, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3713-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3713-2025, 2025
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01 Oct 2025
| Highlight paper
Insights from hailstorm track analysis in European climate change simulations
Killian P. Brennan, Iris Thurnherr, Michael Sprenger, and Heini Wernli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3693–3712, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3693-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3693-2025, 2025
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30 Sep 2025
Detection and characterization of precipitation extremes and geohydrological hazards over a transboundary Alpine area based on different methods and climate datasets
Alice Crespi, Katharina Enigl, Sebastian Lehner, Klaus Haslinger, and Massimiliano Pittore
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3686,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3686, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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29 Sep 2025
Identifying urban and rural settlement archetypes: clustering for enhanced risk-oriented exposure and vulnerability analysis
Gabriella Tocchi, Massimiliano Pittore, and Maria Polese
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3665–3692, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3665-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3665-2025, 2025
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29 Sep 2025
Simulating avalanche-triggered lake overspill and downstream impacts at Birendra Lake using RAMMS and HEC-RAS
Sujan Thapa, Ragini Vaidya, Mohan Bahadur Chand, and Rijan Bhakta Kayastha
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4454,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4454, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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29 Sep 2025
Use of nonlinear principal components of CHIRPS precipitation data and ocean-atmospheric variables for streamflow forecasting in an area of scarce data. Case study, Tocaría river basin – Orinoquia Colombiana
Jhon Derly Sarria-Ospina, Camilo Ocampo-Marulanda, Lina Maria Ceron-Aramburo, Teresita Canchala, and Tiago Alessandro Ferreira
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3694,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3694, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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26 Sep 2025
Disentangling atmospheric, hydrological, and coupling uncertainties in compound flood modeling within a coupled Earth system model
Dongyu Feng, Zeli Tan, Darren Engwirda, Jonathan D. Wolfe, Donghui Xu, Chang Liao, Gautam Bisht, James J. Benedict, Tian Zhou, Mithun Deb, Hong-Yi Li, and L. Ruby Leung
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3619–3639, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3619-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3619-2025, 2025
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26 Sep 2025
Hillslope torrential hazard cascades in tropical mountains
Maria Isabel Arango-Carmona, Paul Voit, Marcel Hürlimann, Edier Aristizábal, and Oliver Korup
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3641–3663, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3641-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3641-2025, 2025
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26 Sep 2025
Spatiotemporal assessment of landslide risk over large areas: A case study of the Valencian Community (1950–2021)
Isidro Cantarino Martí, Miguel Ángel Carrión Carmona, Eric Gielen, and José-Sergio Palencia-Jiménez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4693,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4693, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Sep 2025
Analysis on Multi-Factor Synergistic Hazards Mechanism of Wet Micro-downburst: Multi-Source Data Fusion Analysis based on Passenger Ship Capsizing Accident in Qianxi Region, Guizhou on May 4th, 2025
Ankun Wu, Xi Guo, Dan Yao, Xiaoling Du, Dongpo He, Jue Li, Shisheng Jin, and Tienan Bai
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4293,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4293, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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25 Sep 2025
Research on the extraction of pre-seismic anomalies in borehole strain data of the Maduo earthquake based on the SVMD-Informer model
Shanzhi Dong, Jie Zhang, Changfeng Qin, Yu Duan, Chenyang Li, Chengquan Chi, and Zhichao Zhang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3603–3618, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3603-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3603-2025, 2025
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24 Sep 2025
The 15 September 2022 floods in northern Marche (Central Italy): disaster analysis, case studies and mitigation strategies for geomorphological- hydraulic risk
Fabrizio Bendia, Margherita Bufalini, Piero Farabollini, and Marco Materazzi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4405,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4405, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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23 Sep 2025
Flood relief logistics planning for coastal cities: a case study in Shanghai, China
Pujun Liang, Jie Yin, Dandan Wang, Yi Lu, Yuhan Yang, Dan Gao, and Jianfeng Mai
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3545–3558, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3545-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3545-2025, 2025
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23 Sep 2025
Review article: Fire emissions in the Brazilian Cerrado – dynamics, estimates, management, and their role in the global carbon budget
Renata Moura da Veiga, Celso von Randow, Chantelle Burton, Douglas I. Kelley, Manoel Cardoso, and Fabiano Morelli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3581–3601, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3581-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3581-2025, 2025
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23 Sep 2025
The Parraguirre ice–rock avalanche 1987, semi-arid Andes, Chile – a holistic revision
Johannes J. Fürst, David Farías-Barahona, Thomas Bruckner, Lucia Scaff, Martin Mergili, Santiago Montserrat, and Humberto Peña
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3559–3579, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3559-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3559-2025, 2025
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23 Sep 2025
Automated urban flood level detection based on flooded bus dataset using YOLOv8
Yanbin Qiu, Xudong Zhou, Jiaquan Wan, Tao Yang, Lvfei Zhang, Yuanzhuo Zhong, Leqi Shen, and Xinwu Ji
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3525–3544, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3525-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3525-2025, 2025
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23 Sep 2025
Predicting the amplitude and runup of the water waves induced by rotational cliff collapse, considering fragmentation
Hasnain Gardezi, Talha Khan, Xingyue Li, Taimur Mazhar Sheikh, Yu Huang, and Zhiyi Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4396,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4396, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 11 comments)
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22 Sep 2025
Predicting Soil Salinity in the Red River Delta (Vietnam) Using Machine Learning and Assessing Farmers' Adaptive Capacity
Huu Duy Nguyen, Dinh Kha Dang, Thi Anh Tam Lai, Duc Dung Tran, Himan Shahabi, and Quang-Thanh Bui
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3505–3524, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3505-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3505-2025, 2025
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19 Sep 2025
Landfalling tropical cyclones significantly reduce Bangladesh's energy security
Kieran M. R. Hunt and Hannah C. Bloomfield
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4474,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4474, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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19 Sep 2025
Numerical Experiments of Cloud Seeding for Mitigating Localization of Heavy Rainfall: A Case Study of Mesoscale Convective System in Japan
Yusuke Hiraga, Jacqueline Muthoni Mbugua, Shunji Kotsuki, Yoshiharu Suzuki, Shu-Hua Chen, Atsushi Hamada, Kazuaki Yasunaga, and Takuya Funatomi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3524,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3524, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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19 Sep 2025
Present and future trends of extreme short-term rainfall events in Germany, by downscaling convective environments of ERA5 and a CMIP6 ensemble
Gerd Bürger and Maik Heistermann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3584,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3584, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Sep 2025
Meteotsunami prediction in km-scale regional systems coupled at high frequency
Nefeli Makrygianni, Ségolène Berthou, David L. A. Flack, Cindy Lebeaupin Brossier, Jonathan Beuvier, Juan Manuel Castillo, Emiliano Renzi, Clare O’Neill, Daniel Peláez-Zapata, Frederic Dias, Huw Lewis, and Diego Bruciaferri
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3555,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3555, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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19 Sep 2025
Atmospheric blocking and climate extremes in Germany in present and future climate
Richard Lohmann, Christopher Purr, and Bodo Ahrens
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3670,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3670, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Sep 2025
Constructing physical-based rainfall landslides prediction model: Insights from rainfall threshold curves database of slope units
Kai Wang, Linmao Xie, Shuailong Xie, Shaojie Zhang, Yongyang Jiang, Ji Zhang, Lin Zhu, Zhiliu Wang, and Fuzhou Qi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3651,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3651, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Sep 2025
Flood damage functions for rice: Synthesizing evidence and building data-driven models
Alina Bill-Weilandt, Nivedita Sairam, Dennis Wagenaar, Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Heidi Kreibich, Perrine Hamel, and David Lallemant
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3706,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3706, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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18 Sep 2025
Coupled simulation of landslide, tsunami, and ground deformation for the 2017 Nuugaatsiaq event in Greenland
Hideo Aochi, Masumi Yamada, Tung-Cheng Ho, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Arno Christian Hammann, and Ruth Mottram
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3803,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3803, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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18 Sep 2025
Statistical Evaluation of Well Water Anomalies as Potential Precursors to Large Earthquakes
Yoshiaki Orihara
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4444,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4444, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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17 Sep 2025
Monitoring agricultural and economic drought: the Australian Agricultural Drought Indicators (AADI)
Neal Hughes, Donald Gaydon, Mihir Gupta, Andrew Schepen, Peter Tan, Geoffrey Brent, Andrew Turner, Sean Bellew, Wei Ying Soh, Christopher Sharman, Peter Taylor, John Carter, Dorine Bruget, Zvi Hochman, Ross Searle, Yong Song, Patrick Mitchell, Yacob Beletse, Dean Holzworth, Laura Guillory, Connor Brodie, Jonathon McComb, and Ramneek Singh
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3461–3482, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3461-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3461-2025, 2025
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17 Sep 2025
How are public compensation efforts implemented in multi-hazard events? Insights from the 2020 Gloria storm in Catalonia
Núria Pantaleoni Reluy, Marcel Hürlimann, and Nieves Lantada
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3483–3504, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3483-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3483-2025, 2025
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16 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
The 1538 eruption at the Campi Flegrei resurgent caldera: implications for future unrest and eruptive scenarios
Giuseppe Rolandi, Claudia Troise, Marco Sacchi, Massimo Di Lascio, and Giuseppe De Natale
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3421–3453, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3421-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3421-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
16 Sep 2025
Brief communication: A magma depletion alternative for vent distribution in volcanic fields
Mark S. Bebbington, Melody G. Whitehead, and Gabor Kereszturi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3455–3460, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3455-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3455-2025, 2025
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16 Sep 2025
A coastal geodetic GNSS station for tectonic and sea-level variation study in the South China Sea
Qiang Qiu, Linlin Li, Mai Ye, Hongqiang Yang, Xingyu Song, Tingting Zheng, Jinghe Cao, Peitao Wang, Zhanying Chen, Zhiwen Zhang, Kuilin Xiao, Xing Huang, Yadong Huang, Chuanyang Zheng, Zhiyuan OuYang, Xiaoming Fu, Muzhong Wang, Zhen Wang, Zitao Zhang, and Haiping Cui
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3563,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3563, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Sep 2025
Sectoral vulnerability to drought: exploring the role of blue and green water dependency in mid- and high-latitude regions
Elin Stenfors, Malgorzata Blicharska, Thomas Grabs, and Claudia Teutschbein
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3381–3395, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3381-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3381-2025, 2025
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15 Sep 2025
Implementation of an interconnected fault system in probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA): the Levant fault system
Sarah El Kadri, Céline Beauval, Marlène Brax, and Yann Klinger
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3397–3419, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3397-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3397-2025, 2025
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15 Sep 2025
Brief Communication: Rejuvenating and strengthening the science-policy interface required to implement the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
Joel C. Gill
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3559,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3559, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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15 Sep 2025
Assessment of avalanche hazard of freeride skiing areas
Adam Kupec and Štefan Koco
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4220,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4220, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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12 Sep 2025
The dynamics of peak head responses at Dutch canal dikes and the impact of climate change
Bart Strijker and Matthijs Kok
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3355–3379, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3355-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3355-2025, 2025
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12 Sep 2025
Probabilistic and Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessments of the area comprised between west Gulf of Cádiz and east Alboran Sea
Adrián José Rosario Beltré, Carlos Paredes Bartolomé, and Miguel Llorente Isidro
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3248,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3248, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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12 Sep 2025
The Role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in driving Coastal Hazards in the U.S. Pacific Northwest
Meredith Leung, Peter Ruggiero, Laura Cagigal, Dylan Anderson, and Fernando Mendez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4039,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4039, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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11 Sep 2025
Can model-based avalanche forecasts match the discriminatory skill of human danger-level forecasts? A comparison from Switzerland
Frank Techel, Ross S. Purves, Stephanie Mayer, Günter Schmudlach, and Kurt Winkler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3333–3353, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3333-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3333-2025, 2025
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11 Sep 2025
What if extreme droughts occur more frequently? Mechanisms and limits of forest adaptation in pine monocultures and mixed forests in Berlin–Brandenburg, Germany
Jamir Priesner, Boris Sakschewski, Maik Billing, Werner von Bloh, Sebastian Fiedler, Sarah Bereswill, Kirsten Thonicke, and Britta Tietjen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3309–3331, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3309-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3309-2025, 2025
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11 Sep 2025
Constraining landslide frequency across the United States to inform county-level risk reduction
Lisa V. Luna, Jacob B. Woodard, Janice L. Bytheway, Gina M. Belair, and Benjamin B. Mirus
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3279–3307, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3279-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3279-2025, 2025
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10 Sep 2025
Individual flood risk adaptation in Germany: exploring the role of different types of flooding
Lisa Dillenardt and Annegret H. Thieken
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3257–3278, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3257-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3257-2025, 2025
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10 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
Severe beach erosion induced by shoreline deformation after a large-scale reclamation project for the Samcheok liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal in South Korea
Changbin Lim, Tae Min Lim, and Jung-Lyul Lee
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3239–3255, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3239-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3239-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
10 Sep 2025
Anatomy of a Flash Flood in a Hyperarid Environment: From Atmospheric Masses to Sediment Dispersal in the Sea
Akos Kalman, Timor Katz, Miklos Vincze, Jake Longenecker, Alysse Mathalon, Paul Hill, and Beverly Goodman-Tchernov
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3201–3219, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3201-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3201-2025, 2025
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10 Sep 2025
Extreme heat and mortality in the state of Rio de Janeiro in November 2023: attribution to climate change and ENSO
Soledad Collazo, David Barriopedro, Ricardo García-Herrera, and Santiago Beguería
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3221–3238, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3221-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3221-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
Hail events in Germany: rare or frequent natural hazards?
Tabea Wilke, Katharina Lengfeld, and Markus Schultze
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3141–3159, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3141-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3141-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
Climate change impacts on floods in West Africa: new insight from two large-scale hydrological models
Serigne Bassirou Diop, Job Ekolu, Yves Tramblay, Bastien Dieppois, Stefania Grimaldi, Ansoumana Bodian, Juliette Blanchet, Ponnambalam Rameshwaran, Peter Salamon, and Benjamin Sultan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3161–3184, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3161-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3161-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
Estimating future wildfire burnt area over Greece using the JULES-INFERNO model
Anastasios Rovithakis, Eleanor Burke, Chantelle Burton, Matthew Kasoar, Manolis G. Grillakis, Konstantinos D. Seiradakis, and Apostolos Voulgarakis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3185–3200, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3185-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-3185-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
The Dual-Edged Role of Vegetation in Evaluating Landslide Susceptibility: Evidence from Watershed-Scale and Site-Specific Analyses
Songtang He, Zhenhong Shen, Jeffrey Neal, Zongji Yang, Jiangang Chen, Daojie Wang, Yujing Yang, Peng Zhao, Xudong Hu, Yongming Lin, Youtong Rong, Yanchen Zheng, Xiaoli Su, and Yong Kong
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3004,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3004, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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09 Sep 2025
Exploring seismic mass-movement data with anomaly detection and dynamic time warping
Francois Kamper, Fabian Walter, Patrick Paitz, Matthias Meyer, Michele Volpi, and Mathieu Salzmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3864,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3864, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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