Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
01 Sep 2025
Historical changes in drought characteristics and their impact on vegetation cover over Madagascar
Herijaona Hani-Roge Hundilida Randriatsara, Eva Holtanova, Karim Rizwan, Hassen Babaousmail, Mirindra Finaritra Tanteliniaina Rabezanahary, Kokou Romaric Posset, Donnata Alupot, and Brian Odhiambo Ayugi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2939–2961, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2939-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2939-2025, 2025
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29 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Turning regret into future disaster preparedness with no regrets
Joy Ommer, Milan Kalas, Jessica Neumann, Sophie Blackburn, and Hannah L. Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2929–2938, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2929-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2929-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
28 Aug 2025
An efficient method to simulate wildfire propagation using irregular grids
Conor Hackett, Rafael de Andrade Moral, Gourav Misra, Tim McCarthy, and Charles Markham
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2909–2928, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2909-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2909-2025, 2025
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28 Aug 2025
Sustainable risk management of trouble spots caused by heavy rainfall events: Citizen Science app and data analytics for residents and authorities
Jaqueline Hoffmann, Sascha Nau, Sabrina Abler, Vincent Theis, Peter Fischer-Stabel, Julian Janßen, and Andreas Abecker
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3702,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3702, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Impact-based temporal clustering of multiple meteorological hazard types in southwestern Germany
Katharina Küpfer, Alexandre Tuel, and Michael Kunz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2885–2907, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2885-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2885-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
26 Aug 2025
Reask UTC: a machine learning modeling framework to generate climate-connected tropical cyclone event sets globally
Thomas Loridan and Nicolas Bruneau
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2863–2884, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2863-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2863-2025, 2025
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26 Aug 2025
Detection of atmospheric rivers affecting the Mediterranean and producing extreme rainfall over northern-central Italy
Silvio Davolio, Isacco Sala, Alessandro Comunian, Daniele Mastrangelo, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Lucia Drago Pitura, and Federico Grazzini
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3447,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3447, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Aug 2025
Long-term hazard of pyroclastic density currents at Vesuvius (Southern Italy) with maps of impact parameters
Pierfrancesco Dellino, Fabio Dioguardi, Roberto Sulpizio, and Daniela Mele
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2823–2844, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2823-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2823-2025, 2025
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25 Aug 2025
BN-FLEMOΔ: a Bayesian-network-based flood loss estimation model for adaptation planning in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Nivedita Sairam, Lukas Schoppa, Le Thanh Sang, Do Ly Hoai Tan, and Heidi Kreibich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2845–2861, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2845-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2845-2025, 2025
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25 Aug 2025
Assessing the ability of the ECMWF seasonal prediction model to forecast extreme September-to-November rainfall events over Equatorial Africa
Hermann N. Nana, Roméo S. Tanessong, Masilin Gudoshava, and Derbetini A. Vondou
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2656,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2656, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Aug 2025
Investigation of an extreme rainfall event during 8–12 December 2018 over central Vietnam – Part 2: An evaluation of predictability using a time-lagged cloud-resolving ensemble system​​​​​​​
Chung-Chieh Wang, Duc Van Nguyen, Thang Van Vu, Pham Thi Thanh Nga, Pi-Yu Chuang, and Kien Ba Truong
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2803–2822, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2803-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2803-2025, 2025
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22 Aug 2025
Recovery under consecutive disasters: how recovery dynamics shape societal resilience
Sophie L. Buijs, Inga J. Sauer, Chahan M. Kropf, Samuel Juhel, Zélie Stalhandske, and Marleen C. De Ruiter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3200,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3200, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Aug 2025
First 2D record of a tsunami by SWOT satellite: observation data and preliminary numerical simulation of the 19 May 2023 tsunami near the Loyalty Islands
Jean H. M. Roger, Yannice Faugère, Hélène Hébert, Antoine Delepoulle, and Gérald Dibarboure
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3926,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3926, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Groundwater recharge in Brandenburg is declining – but why?
Till Francke and Maik Heistermann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2783–2802, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2783-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2783-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
18 Aug 2025
What can we learn about multi-hazard impacts from global disaster records?
Wiebke S. Jäger, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Timothy Tiggeloven, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2751–2769, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2751-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2751-2025, 2025
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18 Aug 2025
Seismic signal characterization of snow avalanches using distributed acoustic sensing in Grasdalen, western Norway
Franz Kleine, Charlotte Bruland, Andreas Wuestefeld, Volker Oye, and Martin Landrø
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2771–2782, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2771-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2771-2025, 2025
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18 Aug 2025
Brief communication – Vent opening at Campi Flegrei: clues from dyke propagation patterns
Jacopo Selva and Nello Mangone
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3615,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3615, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Aug 2025
Cities near volcanoes: which cities are most exposed to volcanic hazards?
Elinor S. Meredith, Rui Xue Natalie Teng, Susanna F. Jenkins, Josh L. Hayes, Sébastien Biass, and Heather Handley
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2731–2749, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2731-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2731-2025, 2025
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14 Aug 2025
Transformations in exposure to debris flows in post-earthquake Sichuan, China
Isabelle Utley, Tristram Hales, Ekbal Hussain, and Xuanmei Fan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2699–2716, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2699-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2699-2025, 2025
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14 Aug 2025
Large-scale assessment of rainfall-induced landslide hazard based on hydrometeorological information: application to Partenio Massif (Italy)
Daniel Camilo Roman Quintero, Pasquale Marino, Abdullah Abdullah, Giovanni Francesco Santonastaso, and Roberto Greco
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2679–2698, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2679-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2679-2025, 2025
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14 Aug 2025
Modeling regional production capacity loss rates considering response bias: insights from a questionnaire survey on the Zhengzhou flood
Lijiao Yang, Yan Luo, Zilong Li, and Xinyu Jiang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2717–2730, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2717-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2717-2025, 2025
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14 Aug 2025
Community-Scale Assessment of Flood-Related Public Health Vulnerability Using Multi-Criteria AHP in Northwestern Bangladesh
Nafisa Nuari Islam, Tonoy Mahmud, Shamima Ferdousi Sifa, Md. Asif Rafsan, A. S. M. Maksud Kamal, Md. Shakhawat Hossain, and Md. Zillur Rahman
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3693,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3693, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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13 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Warnings based on risk matrices: a coherent framework with consistent evaluation
Robert J. Taggart and David J. Wilke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2657–2677, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2657-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2657-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
11 Aug 2025
From typhoon rainfall to slope failure: optimizing susceptibility models and dynamic thresholds for landslide warnings in Zixing City, China
Weifeng Xiao, Guangchong Yao, Zhenghui Xiao, Luguang Luo, Yunjiang Cao, and Wei Yin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2298,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2298, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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11 Aug 2025
What controls fire size in the South American Gran Chaco? Exploring atmospheric, landscape, and anthropogenic drivers
Rodrigo San Martin, Catherine Ottlé, Anna Sorenssön, Pradeebane Vattinada Ayar, Florent Mouillot, and Marielle Malfante
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3484,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3484, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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08 Aug 2025
A shifting pattern of tropical cyclone induced high river discharges in the Greater Mekong Region, 1970–2019
Stephen E. Darby, Ivan D. Haigh, Melissa Wood, Bui Duong, Tien Le Thuy Du, Thao Phuong Bui, Justin Sheffield, Hal Voepel, and Joël J.-M. Hirschi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3506,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3506, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Aug 2025
| Highlight paper
Invited perspectives: Thunderstorm intensification from mountains to plains
Jannick Fischer, Pieter Groenemeijer, Alois Holzer, Monika Feldmann, Katharina Schröer, Francesco Battaglioli, Lisa Schielicke, Tomáš Púčik, Bogdan Antonescu, Christoph Gatzen, and TIM Partners
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2629–2656, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2629-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2629-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
05 Aug 2025
Is considering (in)consistency between runs so useless for weather forecasting?
Hugo Marchal, François Bouttier, and Olivier Nuissier
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2613–2628, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2613-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2613-2025, 2025
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05 Aug 2025
Event-based analysis of extreme precipitation trends in Italy using hourly convection-permitting reanalyses
Francesco Cavalleri, Cristian Lussana, Francesca Viterbo, Michele Brunetti, Riccardo Bonanno, Veronica Manara, Matteo Lacavalla, and Maurizio Maugeri
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3455,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3455, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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04 Aug 2025
Review article: The growth in compound weather and climate event research in the decade since SREX
Lou Brett, Christopher J. White, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Bart van den Hurk, Philip Ward, and Jakob Zscheischler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2591–2611, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2591-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2591-2025, 2025
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04 Aug 2025
On the intensity and destructive potential of a past extreme, synoptic storm in a future warmer climate
Johanne Kristine Haandbæk Øelund, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Rune Magnus Koktvedgaard Zeitzen, Henrik Vedel, and Henrik Feddersen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3173,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3173, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Aug 2025
Invited perspectives: Advancing knowledge co-creation in drought impact studies
Silvia De Angeli, Lorenzo Villani, Giulio Castelli, Maria Rusca, Giorgio Boni, Elena Bresci, and Luigi Piemontese
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2571–2589, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2571-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2571-2025, 2025
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29 Jul 2025
Preface: Hydro-meteorological extremes and hazards: vulnerability, risk, impacts, and mitigation
Francesco Marra, Nadav Peleg, Elena Cristiano, Efthymios I. Nikolopoulos, Federica Remondi, and Paolo Tarolli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2565–2570, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2565-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2565-2025, 2025
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28 Jul 2025
Drought propagation in high-latitude catchments: insights from a 60-year analysis using standardized indices
Claudia Teutschbein, Thomas Grabs, Markus Giese, Andrijana Todorović, and Roland Barthel
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2541–2564, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2541-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2541-2025, 2025
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28 Jul 2025
Is higher resolution always better? A comparison of open-access DEMs for optimized slope unit delineation and regional landslide prediction
Mahnoor Ahmed, Giacomo Titti, Sebastiano Trevisani, Lisa Borgatti, and Mirko Francioni
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2519–2539, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2519-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2519-2025, 2025
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25 Jul 2025
Exploring the interplay between observed warming, atmospheric circulation, and soil–atmosphere feedbacks on heatwaves in a temperate mountain region
Marc Lemus-Canovas, Sergi Gonzalez-Herrero, Laura Trapero, Anna Albalat, Damian Insua-Costa, Martin Senande-Rivera, and Gonzalo Miguez-Macho
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2503–2518, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2503-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2503-2025, 2025
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24 Jul 2025
How does perceived heat stress differ between urban forms and human vulnerability profiles? Case study Berlin
Nimra Iqbal, Marvin Ravan, Zina Mitraka, Joern Birkmann, Sue Grimmond, Denise Hertwig, Nektarios Chrysoulakis, Giorgos Somarakis, Angela Wendnagel-Beck, and Emmanouil Panagiotakis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2481–2502, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2481-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2481-2025, 2025
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24 Jul 2025
Investigating metamodeling capability to predict sea levels and marine flooding maps for early-warning systems: application on the Arcachon Lagoon (France)
Sophie Lecacheux, Jeremy Rohmer, Eva Membrado, Rodrigo Pedreros, Andrea Filippini, Déborah Idier, Servane Gueben-Vénière, Denis Paradis, Alice Dalphinet, and David Ayache
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3615,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3615, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Jul 2025
Simulating multivariate hazards with generative deep learning
Alison Peard, Yu Mo, and Jim W. Hall
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3217,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3217, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Jul 2025
Brief communication: Hydrological and hydraulic investigation of the extreme September 2024 flood on the Lamone River in Emilia-Romagna, Italy
Alessia Ferrari, Giulia Passadore, Renato Vacondio, Luca Carniello, Mattia Pivato, Elena Crestani, Francesco Carraro, Francesca Aureli, Sara Carta, Francesca Stumpo, and Paolo Mignosa
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2473–2479, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2473-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2473-2025, 2025
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23 Jul 2025
Predicting thunderstorm risk probability at very short time range using deep learning
Mélanie Bosc, Adrien Chan-Hon-Tong, Aurélie Bouchard, and Dominique Béréziat
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2893,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2893, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Jul 2025
Identification of rainfall thresholds for debris-flow occurrence through field monitoring data
Elena Ioriatti, Mauro Reguzzoni, Edoardo Reguzzoni, Andreas Schimmel, Luca Beretta, Massimo Ceriani, and Matteo Berti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3478,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3478, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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22 Jul 2025
Automated rapid estimation of flood depth using a digital elevation model and Earth Observation Satellite (EOS-04)-derived flood inundation
Lakshmi Amani Chimata, Suresh Babu Anuvala Setty Venkata, Shashi Vardhan Reddy Patlolla, Durga Rao Korada Hari Venkata, Sreenivas Kandrika, and Prakash Chauhan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2455–2472, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2455-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2455-2025, 2025
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22 Jul 2025
Modelling flood losses of micro-businesses in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Anna Buch, Dominik Paprotny, Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Heidi Kreibich, and Nivedita Sairam
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2437–2453, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2437-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2437-2025, 2025
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22 Jul 2025
Spatial Shift and Intensification of Compound Drought and Heatwaves (CDHW) towards Southern and Eastern Tropical Regions over India
Debankana Bhattacharjee and Chandrika Thulaseedharan Dhanya
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1886,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1886, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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22 Jul 2025
Developing a Coastal Hazard Prediction System in Ice-Infested Waters, Part 1: High-Resolution Regional Wave Modeling in The Estuary and Gulf of St. Lawrence
Jeremy Baudry, Dany Dumont, David Didier, Pascal Bernatchez, and Sebastien Dugas
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2168,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2168, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Jul 2025
A Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)-based Synthetic Event Set of U.S. Tornado Outbreaks
Kelsey Malloy and Michael K. Tippett
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3145,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3145, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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21 Jul 2025
Simulation of cold-powder snow avalanches considering daily snowpack and weather situations
Julia Glaus, Katreen Wikstrom Jones, Perry Bartelt, Marc Christen, Lukas Stoffel, Johan Gaume, and Yves Bühler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2399–2419, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2399-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2399-2025, 2025
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21 Jul 2025
An automated approach for developing geohazard inventories using news: integrating natural language processing (NLP), machine learning, and mapping
Aydoğan Avcıoğlu, Ogün Demir, and Tolga Görüm
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2421–2435, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2421-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2421-2025, 2025
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21 Jul 2025
Coseismic Surface Rupture Probabilities from Earthquake Cycle Simulations: Influence of Fault Geometry
Octavi Gómez-Novell, Francesco Visini, José A. Álvarez-Gómez, Bruno Pace, and Julián García-Mayordomo
External preprint server, https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.174973163.39901434/v2,https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.174973163.39901434/v2, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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21 Jul 2025
The EAWS matrix, a look-up table to determine the regional avalanche danger level (Part B): Operational testing and use
Frank Techel, Karsten Müller, Christopher Marquardt, and Christoph Mitterer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3349,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3349, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Jul 2025
Assessing extreme total water levels across Europe for large-scale coastal flood analysis
Camila Cotrim, Alexandra Toimil, Iñigo Losada, Melisa Menéndez, and Hector Lobeto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2998,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2998, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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17 Jul 2025
Semi-empirical forecast modelling of rip-current and shore-break wave hazards
Bruno Castelle, Jeoffrey Dehez, Jean-Philippe Savy, Sylvain Liquet, and David Carayon
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2379–2397, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2379-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2379-2025, 2025
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17 Jul 2025
Global sensitivity analysis of large-scale flood loss models
Francesca Pianosi, Georgios Sarailidis, Kirsty Styles, Philip Oldham, Stephen Hutchings, Rob Lamb, and Thorsten Wagener
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3310,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3310, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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17 Jul 2025
Brief communication: Threshold not probability. The conceptual difference between ID thresholds for landslide initiation and IDF curves
Francesco Marra, Eleonora Dallan, Marco Borga, Roberto Greco, and Thom Bogaard
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3378,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3378, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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17 Jul 2025
Usage of normalized soil moisture for improving the performance of rainfall thresholds for landslides along transportation corridors
Leila Rahimikhameneh, Abraham Alvarez Reyna, Jack Montgomery, and Frances O'Donnell
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3419,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3419, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Jul 2025
Advancing Urban Heat Vulnerability Assessment through SAR-Derived Vegetation and Soil Moisture Indicators: A Spatial Modelling Framework for Dhaka, Bangladesh
Aishia Fyruz Aishi, Md. Raffayatul Islam Khan, and Md. Ariful Islam
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3218,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3218, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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15 Jul 2025
Temporal dynamic vulnerability – impact of antecedent events on residential building losses to wind storm events in Germany
Andreas Trojand, Henning W. Rust, and Uwe Ulbrich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2331–2350, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2331-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2331-2025, 2025
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15 Jul 2025
Brief communication: AI-driven rapid landslide mapping following the 2024 Hualien earthquake in Taiwan
Lorenzo Nava, Alessandro Novellino, Chengyong Fang, Kushanav Bhuyan, Kathryn Leeming, Itahisa Gonzalez Alvarez, Claire Dashwood, Sophie Doward, Rahul Chahel, Emma McAllister, Sansar Raj Meena, and Filippo Catani
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2371–2377, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2371-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2371-2025, 2025
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15 Jul 2025
Tracing online flood conversations across borders: a watershed-level analysis of geo-social media topics during the 2021 European flood
Sébastien Dujardin, Dorian Arifi, Sebastian Schmidt, Catherine Linard, and Bernd Resch
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2351–2369, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2351-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2351-2025, 2025
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15 Jul 2025
Unravelling the wind impact of clusters of storms, a case study over the French insurer Generali
Laura Hasbini, Pascal Yiou, Laurent Boissier, and Arthur Perringaux
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3138,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3138, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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15 Jul 2025
Emergence of climate change signal in CMIP6 extreme indices
Nina Schuhen, Carley E. Iles, Marit Sandstad, Viktor Ananiev, and Jana Sillmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3331,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3331, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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14 Jul 2025
An assessment of multiple variables predicting the psychological effects of flooding: Case study in Peninsular Malaysia
Shabir Ahmad Kabirzad, Balqis Mohamed Rehan, Zed Diyana Zulkafli, Badronnisa Yusuf, Bakti Hasan-Basri, Mohd Ekhwan Toriman, and Edmund C. Penning-Rowsell
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2917,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2917, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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14 Jul 2025
Redefining dangerous glacial lakes in Bhutan by integrating hydrodynamic flood mapping and downstream exposure data
Sonam Rinzin, Stuart Dunning, Rachel Joanne Carr, Simon Allen, Sonam Wangchuk, and Ashim Sattar
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3206,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3206, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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11 Jul 2025
A multiscale modelling framework of coastal flooding events for global to local flood hazard assessments
Irene Benito, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Philip J. Ward, Dirk Eilander, and Sanne Muis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2287–2315, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2287-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2287-2025, 2025
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11 Jul 2025
Geophysical fingerprint of the 4–11 July 2024 eruptive activity at Stromboli volcano, Italy
Luciano Zuccarello, Duccio Gheri, Silvio De Angelis, Riccardo Civico, Tullio Ricci, and Piergiorgio Scarlato
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2317–2330, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2317-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2317-2025, 2025
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11 Jul 2025
Early Identification of Reservoir-Bank Landslides in Deeply Incised Mountain Canyon Areas with Interferometric Baseline Optimization
Wenfei Xi, Wenyu Hong, Zhiquan Yang, Guangcai Huang, Junqi Guo, Kunwu Yang, and Tingting Jin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3054,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3054, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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11 Jul 2025
Towards impact-based early warning of drought: a generic framework for drought impact prediction in the UK
Burak Bulut, Eugene Magee, Rachael Armitage, Opeyemi E. Adedipe, Maliko Tanguy, Lucy J. Barker, and Jamie Hannaford
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3176,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3176, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Jul 2025
Integrating SMART Principles in Flood Early Warning System Design in the Himalayas
Sudhanshu Dixit, Sumit Sen, Tahmina Yasmin, Kieran Khamis, Debashish Sen, Wouter Buytaert, and David Hannah
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2081,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2081, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Jul 2025
Deep Learning Emulation of Multivariate Climate Indices: A Case Study of the Fire Weather Index in the Iberian Peninsula
Óscar Mirones, Joaquín Bedia, Pedro M. M. Soares, José M. Gutiérrez, and Jorge Baño-Medina
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2349,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2349, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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08 Jul 2025
Verifying the relationships among the variabilities of summer rainfall extremes over Japan in the d4PDF climate ensemble, Pacific sea surface temperature, and monsoon activity
Shao-Yi Lee, Sicheng He, and Tetsuya Takemi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2225–2253, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2225-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2225-2025, 2025
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08 Jul 2025
Super typhoons Mangkhut (2018) and Saola (2023) during landfall: comparison and insights for wind engineering practice
Yujie Liu, Yuncheng He, Pakwai Chan, Aiming Liu, and Qijun Gao
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2255–2269, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2255-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2255-2025, 2025
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08 Jul 2025
Improving pluvial flood simulations with a multi-source digital elevation model super-resolution method
Yue Zhu, Paolo Burlando, Puay Yok Tan, Christian Geiß, and Simone Fatichi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2271–2286, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2271-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2271-2025, 2025
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08 Jul 2025
An Innovative Hybrid SG-CEEMDAN-ARIMA-LSTM Model for Forecasting Meteorological Drought: Trends and Forecasting
Siphamandla Sibiya, Nkanyiso Mbatha, Shaun Ramroop, and Sileshi Melesse
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2733,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2733, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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07 Jul 2025
Supershear crack propagation in snow slab avalanche release: new insights from numerical simulations and field measurements
Grégoire Bobillier, Bertil Trottet, Bastian Bergfeld, Ron Simenhois, Alec van Herwijnen, Jürg Schweizer, and Johan Gaume
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2215–2223, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2215-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2215-2025, 2025
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07 Jul 2025
Enabling Real-Time High-Resolution Flood Forecasting for the Entire State of Berlin Through RIM2D’s Multi-GPU Processing
Shahin Khosh Bin Ghomash, Siqi Deng, Johannes Spazier, and Heiko Apel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2425,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2425, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Jul 2025
The operational 3DEnVar data assimilation scheme for the Météo-France convective scale model AROME-France
Pierre Brousseau, Valérie Vogt, Etienne Arbogast, Maud Martet, Guillaume Thomas, and Loïk Berre
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2642,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2642, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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07 Jul 2025
Assessing the spatial correlation of potential compound flooding in the United States
Huazhi Li, Robert A. Jane, Dirk Eilander, Alejandra R. Enríquez, Toon Haer, and Philip J. Ward
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2993,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2993, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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04 Jul 2025
Tree fall along railway lines: modelling the impact of wind and other meteorological factors
Rike Lorenz, Nico Becker, Barry Gardiner, Uwe Ulbrich, Marc Hanewinkel, and Benjamin Schmitz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2179–2196, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2179-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2179-2025, 2025
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04 Jul 2025
Dynamic fragility of a slender rock pillar in a carbonate rock mass
Alaa Jbara and Michael Tsesarsky
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2197–2213, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2197-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2197-2025, 2025
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04 Jul 2025
The first Earthquake Early Warning System for the high-speed railway in Italy: enhancing rapidness and operational efficiency during seismic events
Simona Colombelli, Aldo Zollo, Francesco Carotenuto, Alessandro Caruso, Luca Elia, Gaetano Festa, Sergio Gammaldi, Antonio Giovanni Iaccarino, Giovanni Iannaccone, Alberto Mauro, Matteo Picozzi, Giulia Polimanti, Rosario Riccio, Stefania Tarantino, Francesco Cirillo, Andrea Vecchi, and Franco Iacobini
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2668,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2668, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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04 Jul 2025
Enhancing Long-Term Reservoir Inflow Forecasting: An Integrated Approach Combining Switch Prediction Method, Ensemble Rainfall Forecasts, and Machine Learning Techniques
Hsuan-Yu Lin, Jhih-Huang Wang, and Ming-Jui Chang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2703,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2703, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Jul 2025
China's Three Major Cereal Crops Exposure to Compound Drought and Extreme Rainfall Events
Hanming Cao, Qiren Yang, Wei Yang, and Lin Zhao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2732,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2732, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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03 Jul 2025
Recent Baltic Sea storm surge events from a climate perspective
Nikolaus Groll, Lidia Gaslikova, and Ralf Weisse
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2137–2154, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2137-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2137-2025, 2025
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03 Jul 2025
An evaluation of the alignment of drought policy and planning guidelines with the contemporary disaster risk reduction agenda
Ilyas Masih
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2155–2178, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2155-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2155-2025, 2025
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