The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
28 Jan 2026
Bedrock ledges, colluvial wedges, and ridgetop wetlands: characterizing geomorphic and atmospheric controls on the 2023 Wrangell landslide to inform landslide assessment in Southeast Alaska, USA
Joshua J. Roering, Margaret M. Darrow, Annette I. Patton, and Aaron Jacobs
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 587–610, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-587-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-587-2026, 2026
Short summary
27 Jan 2026
| Highlight paper
Review article: Social media for managing disasters triggered by natural hazards: a critical review of data collection strategies and actionable insights
Lakshmi S. Gopal, Rekha Prabha, Hemalatha Thirugnanam, Maneesha Vinodini Ramesh, and Bruce D. Malamud
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 215–250, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-215-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-215-2026, 2026
Short summary Executive editor
27 Jan 2026
Large discrepancies between event- and response-based compound flood hazard estimates
Sara Santamaria-Aguilar, Pravin Maduwantha, Alejandra R. Enriquez, and Thomas Wahl
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 571–586, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-571-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-571-2026, 2026
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27 Jan 2026
Integrating multidimensional factors through Bayesian Belief Networks for landslide and debris-flow risk reduction in subtropical zones
Kinh Bac Dang, Hieu Nguyen, Thanh Dat Do, Thi Phuong Nga Pham, Tuan Linh Giang, Thi Dieu Linh Nguyen, Huu Hao Ngo, and Giuseppe Forino
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-160,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-160, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
26 Jan 2026
Land subsidence dynamics and their interplay with spatial and temporal land-use transitions in the Douala coastland, Cameroon
Gergino Chounna Yemele, Philip S. J. Minderhoud, Leonard Osadebamwen Ohenhen, Katharina Seeger, Manoochehr Shirzaei, and Pietro Teatini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 551–570, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-551-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-551-2026, 2026
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26 Jan 2026
Review article: Deep learning for potential landslide identification: data, models, applications, challenges, and opportunities
Pan Jiang, Zhengjing Ma, and Gang Mei
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 487–529, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-487-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-487-2026, 2026
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26 Jan 2026
Quantifying the influence of coastal flood hazards on building habitability following Hurricane Irma
Benjamin Nelson-Mercer, Tessa Swanson, Seth Guikema, and Jeremy Bricker
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 531–550, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-531-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-531-2026, 2026
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23 Jan 2026
Soil moisture monitoring with cosmogenic neutrons: an asset for the development and assessment of soil moisture products in the state of Brandenburg (Germany)
Maik Heistermann, Daniel Altdorff, Till Francke, Martin Schrön, Peter M. Grosse, Arvid Markert, Albrecht Bauriegel, Peter Biró, Sabine Attinger, Frank Beyrich, Peter Dietrich, Rebekka Eichstädt, Jakob Terschlüsen, Ariane Walz, Steffen Zacharias, and Sascha E. Oswald
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 465–486, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-465-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-465-2026, 2026
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23 Jan 2026
Dynamic analysis of flowlike landslides at Brienz/Brinzauls, Graubünden, Switzerland
Jordan Aaron, Larissa de Palézieux, Jake Langham, Valentin Gischig, Reto Thoeny, and Daniel Figi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 449–464, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-449-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-449-2026, 2026
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23 Jan 2026
A Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS)-based synthetic event set of U.S. tornado outbreaks
Kelsey Malloy and Michael K. Tippett
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 433–448, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-433-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-433-2026, 2026
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23 Jan 2026
Learning from the past to inform flood risk management: Analysis of public survey data in Belgium on flood early warning and response during the July 2021 flood
Heather J. Murdock, Daniela Rodriguez Castro, Benjamin Dewals, Anna Heidenreich, and Annegret H. Thieken
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6376,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6376, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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23 Jan 2026
Rating telecommunication towers by social importance and physical vulnerability to wildfire
Carter S. Kuiper and Jen L. Beverly
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-276,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-276, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Jan 2026
Autonomous and efficient large-scale snow avalanche monitoring with an Unmanned Aerial System (UAS)
Jaeyoung Lim, Elisabeth Hafner-Aeschbacher, Florian Achermann, Rik Girod, David Rohr, Nicholas Lawrance, Yves Bühler, and Roland Siegwart
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 411–431, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-411-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-411-2026, 2026
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22 Jan 2026
Assessing the spatial correlation of potential compound flooding in the United States
Huazhi Li, Robert A. Jane, Dirk Eilander, Alejandra R. Enríquez, Toon Haer, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 391–409, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-391-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-391-2026, 2026
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22 Jan 2026
Semi-Supervised Segmentation for Mapping Urban Expansion and Hazard Exposure in Lima, Peru
Javier Jaimes, Luis Moya, Marta Vilela, María Santa María, Sandra Santa Cruz, and Carlos Gonzales
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5987,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5987, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Jan 2026
Quantifying the current and future likelihood of the 2022 extreme wildfires weather conditions in France with anthropogenic climate change
Shengling Zhu, Renaud Barbero, François Pimont, and Benjamin Renard
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-136,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-136, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Jan 2026
Areal Reduction Factors from High-Resolution Rain Gauges in Austria
Golbarg Goshtasbpour, Jannick Alpers, Kai Schröter, and Hannes Müller-Thomy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-186,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-186, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Jan 2026
Predicting the amplitude and runup of the water waves induced by rotational cliff collapse, considering fragmentation
Hasnain Gardezi, Talha Khan, Xingyue Li, Taimur Mazhar Sheikh, Yu Huang, and Zhiyi Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 367–389, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-367-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-367-2026, 2026
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20 Jan 2026
| Highlight paper
The first Earthquake Early Warning System for the high-speed railway in Italy: enhancing rapidness and operational efficiency during seismic events
Simona Colombelli, Aldo Zollo, Francesco Carotenuto, Alessandro Caruso, Luca Elia, Gaetano Festa, Sergio Gammaldi, Antonio Giovanni Iaccarino, Giovanni Iannaccone, Alberto Mauro, Matteo Picozzi, Giulia Polimanti, Rosario Riccio, Stefania Tarantino, Francesco Cirillo, Andrea Vecchi, and Franco Iacobini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 299–314, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-299-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-299-2026, 2026
Short summary Executive editor
20 Jan 2026
Meteorological Drought Trend Analysis and Forecasting Using a Hybrid SG-CEEMDAN-ARIMA-LSTM Model Based on SPI from Rain Gauge Data
Siphamandla Sibiya, Shaun Ramroop, Sileshi Melesse, and Nkanyiso Mbatha
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 315–342, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-315-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-315-2026, 2026
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20 Jan 2026
Signals without action: a value chain analysis of Luxembourg's 2021 flood disaster
Jeff Da Costa, Elizabeth Ebert, David Hoffmann, Hannah L. Cloke, and Jessica Neumann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 343–366, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-343-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-343-2026, 2026
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20 Jan 2026
Blue-green infrastructure for climate adaptation: a socio-economic assessment of decentralised rain-water management measures in the urban environment
Flora Dicke, Hannes Schritt, Ulf Stein, and Jenny Tröltzsch
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6344,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6344, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Jan 2026
Econometric modelling for estimating direct flood damage to firms: a micro-scale approach using post-event records in Italy
Marta Ballocci, Daniela Molinari, Giovanni Marin, Marta Galliani, Alessio Domeneghetti, Giovanni Menduni, Simone Sterlacchini, and Francesco Ballio
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 251–270, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-251-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-251-2026, 2026
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19 Jan 2026
Hourly Precipitation Patterns and Extremization over Italy using convection-permitting reanalysis data
Francesco Cavalleri, Cristian Lussana, Francesca Viterbo, Michele Brunetti, Riccardo Bonanno, Veronica Manara, Matteo Lacavalla, and Maurizio Maugeri
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 279–297, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-279-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-279-2026, 2026
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19 Jan 2026
| Highlight paper
Brief Communication: Rejuvenating and strengthening the science–policy interface required to implement the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction
Joel C. Gill
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 271–278, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-271-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-271-2026, 2026
Short summary Executive editor
19 Jan 2026
Global Fatal Coastal Landslides
Malia N Reiss, Adam P Young, and Jessica Carilli
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-96,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-96, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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19 Jan 2026
An internally consistent framework for calculating cascading probabilistic earthquake risk and its application to a case study in New Zealand
Jose Moratalla, David Burbidge, Jean Roger, Katie Jones, Angela Griffin, Christof Mueller, Uma Ashok, Finn Scheele, Yaseen Mahmood, and Edith Bretherton
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5884,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5884, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Jan 2026
Rockfall triggering and meteorological variables in the Dolomites (Italian Eastern Alps)
Francesca N. Bonometti, Giuseppe Dattola, Paolo Frattini, and Giovanni B. Crosta
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 187–213, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-187-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-187-2026, 2026
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16 Jan 2026
Deciphering the drivers of direct and indirect damages to companies from an unprecedented flood event: A data-driven, multivariate probabilistic approach
Ravikumar Guntu, Guilherme Samprogna Mohor, Annegret H. Thieken, Meike Müller, and Heidi Kreibich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 163–186, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-163-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-163-2026, 2026
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15 Jan 2026
Invited perspectives: Redefining disaster risk – the convergence of natural hazards and health crises
Nivedita Sairam and Marleen C. de Ruiter
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 119–130, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-119-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-119-2026, 2026
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15 Jan 2026
Paleoseismic history of the intermountain Rieti Basin (Central Apennines, Italy)
Franz A. Livio, Anna M. Blumetti, Valerio Comerci, Maria F. Ferrario, Gilberto Binda, Marco Caciagli, Michela Colombo, Pio Di Manna, Fernando Ferri, Fiorenzo Fumanti, Roberto Gambillara, Maurizio Guerra, Luca Guerrieri, Paolo Lorenzoni, Valerio Materni, Francesco Miscione, Rosa Nappi, Rosella Nave, Kathleen Nicoll, Alba Peiro, Marco Pizza, Roberto Pompili, Luca M. Puzzilli, Mauro Roma, Aurora Rossi, Valerio Ruscito, Vincenzo Sapia, Argelia Silva Fragoso, Emanuele Scaramuzzo, Frank Thomas, Giorgio Tringali, Stefano Urbini, Andrea Zerboni, and Alessandro M. Michetti
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 131–162, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-131-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-131-2026, 2026
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15 Jan 2026
Brief communication: Atmospheric moisture and near-surface temperature anomalies: key drivers in the 2022 European mega-drought
José C. Fernández-Alvarez, Raquel Nieto, Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano, David Carvalho, and Luis Gimeno
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-57,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-57, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Jan 2026
Dynamic and Thermal Analysis of Sandstorm Processes Based on Vertical Observation Data
Yifei Wang, Wen Huo, Yongqiang Liu, Mayibaier Maihamuti, Fan Yang, Chenglong Zhou, Xinghua Yang, and Ali Mamtimin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4569,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4569, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Jan 2026
Balancing wetland conservation under disease risk in Indonesia: A spatial MCDA approach
Yiting Zhu, Marleen de Ruiter, Sophie Buijs, and Nicole van Maanen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-94,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-94, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Jan 2026
Hourly-Scale Modeling of Storm Transitions in Southern Brazil with Markov Chains
Camilo Ocampo-Marulanda, Jefferson Vieira Santos, Julian David Mera-Franco, Alvaro Avila-Diaz, Tiago A. E. Ferreira, David Henriques da Matta, and Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5114,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5114, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Jan 2026
A Process-Based Four-Stage Framework for Seismic Resilience Assessment of Urban Water Distribution Networks through Multi-Attribute Metrics
Huiquan Miao, Ya'nan Liu, Benwei Hou, Jie Wei, and Chengshun Xu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5830,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5830, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Jan 2026
The quest for reference stations at the National Observatory of Athens, Greece
Olga-Joan Ktenidou, Erion-Vasilis Pikoulis, Antonia Papageorgiou, Fevronia Gkika, Spyros Liakopoulos, Ziya Cekinmez, Panagiotis Savvaidis, Kalliopi-Elli Fragouli, Fanis Chalaris, and Christos P. Evangelidis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 41–83, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-41-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-41-2026, 2026
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13 Jan 2026
FLEMOflash – Flood Loss Estimation MOdels for companies and households affected by flash floods
Apoorva Singh, Ravikumar Guntu, Nivedita Sairam, Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Anna Buch, Melanie Fischer, Chandrika Thulaseedharan Dhanya, and Heidi Kreibich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 103–118, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-103-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-103-2026, 2026
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13 Jan 2026
Enabling real-time high-resolution flood forecasting for the entire state of Berlin through multi-GPU accelerated physics-based modeling
Shahin Khosh Bin Ghomash, Siqi Deng, and Heiko Apel
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 85–101, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-85-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-85-2026, 2026
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13 Jan 2026
Spatiotemporal reorganization of global earthquake disaster impacts within coupled human-Earth systems
Zekang Zhang, Yingqiao Qiu, Yanjun Ye, and Chaoran Xuan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6499,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6499, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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13 Jan 2026
Variability and persistence of scour at bridges using stochastic simulations
Alonso Pizarro, Oscar Link, and Demetris Koutsoyiannis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6530,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6530, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Jan 2026
A protocol for vulnerability and exposure assessment in rapid extreme event attribution studies
Roop K. Singh, Julie Arrighi, Maja Vahlberg, Annalena Bacher, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, and Maarten van Aalst
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6568,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6568, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Jan 2026
An improved empirical model for predicting postfire debris-flow volume in the western United States
Alexander N. Gorr, Francis K. Rengers, Katherine R. Barnhart, Matthew A. Thomas, and Jason W. Kean
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6572,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6572, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Jan 2026
Predicting the risk of individual tree fall along powerlines in Norway with a mechanistic wind risk model and machine learning
Morgane Merlin, Barry Gardiner, and Svein Solberg
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6363,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6363, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Jan 2026
Review article: Emergency Response Automation (ERA) as a Safety-Critical System: A Systematic Review of Reliability, Architecture, and Evolution (2010–2025)
Jian Liu, Qinlin Chu, and Rui Feng
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5776,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5776, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Jan 2026
A High-Resolution Framework for Urban Pluvial Flood Risk Mapping
Anastasia Vogelbacher, Malte von Szombathely, Marc Lennartz, Benjamin Poschlod, and Jana Sillmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6362,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6362, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Jan 2026
Optimizing SAR Flood Extent Mapping in Central Chile: The Critical Role of Image Timing
Lester Olivares and Gabriel González
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6409,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6409, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Jan 2026
Benefits of the simplified MEV for analyzing hourly precipitation extremes in a changing climate
Marc Lennartz, Benjamin Poschlod, and Bruno Merz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6419,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6419, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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12 Jan 2026
Retreating glaciers and snow cover are amplifying summer droughts in the Adige River Basin (Italy)
Susen Shrestha, Stefano Terzi, Davide Zoccatelli, Mattia Zaramella, Marco Borga, Andrea Galletti, Mattia Callegari, Roberto Dinale, Massimiliano Pittore, and Giacomo Bertoldi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6387,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6387, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Jan 2026
Ballistic projectile hazard of major explosions and paroxysms at Stromboli (Italy) with uncertainty quantification: 1. Mapping method and data analysis
Andrea Bevilacqua, Patrizia Landi, Paola Del Carlo, Augusto Neri, and Massimo Pompilio
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6539,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6539, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Jan 2026
Ballistic projectile hazard of major explosions and paroxysms at Stromboli (Italy) with uncertainty quantification: 2. Conditional and temporal probability maps
Andrea Bevilacqua, Augusto Neri, Patrizia Landi, Paola Del Carlo, Massimo Pompilio, and Peter Baxter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6540,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6540, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Jan 2026
Regional modeling of the impacts of tidal flooding in the context of mean sea level rise on low-lying in the Global South
Thiago Cavalcante Lins Silva, Marco Túlio Mendonça Diniz, Paulo Victor do Nascimento Araújo, José Yure Gomes Dos Santos, Bruno Ferreira, and Jucielho Pedro Da Silva
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4929,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4929, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Jan 2026
Review article: Exploring methods capturing vulnerability dynamics in the context of flood hazard research
Julius Schlumberger, Tristian R. Stolte, Helena M. Garcia, Antonia Sebastian, Wiebke Jäger, Philip J. Ward, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Robert Šakić Trogrlić, Annegien Tijssen, and Mariana Madruga de Brito
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6132,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6132, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Jan 2026
Dynamic analysis of drought propagation in the context of climate change and watershed characterization: a quantitative study based on GAMLSS and Copula models
Min Li, Zilong Feng, Mingfeng Zhang, Lijie Shi, and Yuhang Yao
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 1–20, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1-2026, 2026
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07 Jan 2026
Bridging the gap between weather forecasting and tsunami forecasting: a background model of the open ocean in the tsunami spectrum
Sean R. Santellanes and Diego Melgar
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5764,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5764, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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06 Jan 2026
Evaluation of microphysics and boundary layer schemes for simulating extreme rainfall events over Saudi Arabia using WRF-ARW
Rajesh Kumar Sahu, Hamza Kunhu Bangalath, Suleiman Mostamandi, Jason Evans, Paul A. Kucera, and Hylke E. Beck
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 21–40, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-21-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-21-2026, 2026
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06 Jan 2026
Brief communication: Three dimensional modelling of surfacewaves generated by shallow submarine volcanic eruptions
Manish Kanojia
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6265,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6265, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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06 Jan 2026
Radiative Influence of Dust Aerosols on the Evolution of Tropical Storm Hermine
Alexander Garber, Zhaoxia Pu, and Anna Gannet Hallar
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6413,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6413, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Jan 2026
Unreported mass movements and future hazard in the Warwan basin, Jammu and Kashmir, Western Himalaya
Ashim Sattar, Shashi Kant Rai, Abhinav Alangadan, Adam Emmer, Sunil Dhar, Umesh Haritashya, and Mohd. Farooq Azam
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6281,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6281, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Jan 2026
Hydrodynamic flows during heavy rain events: Scalable algorithmic methods for simulation and sensitivity analysis
Michael Perk, Phillip Keldenich, Tobias Wallner, and Sándor P. Fekete
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6361,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6361, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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04 Jan 2026
Forest fire risk in Croatia under a changing climate
Mislav Anić, Ksenija Cindrić Kalin, Maša Zorana Ostrogović Sever, Doroteja Bitunjac, and Hrvoje Marjanović
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6439,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6439, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Jan 2026
Automated UAV systems for geohazard monitoring: case studies from the Supphellebreen icefall (Norway), the Skjøld instability (Norway), and the Blatten landslide (Switzerland)
Alexander Maschler, Sarah Langes, Lukas Schild, Thomas Scheiber, Paula Snook, Jacob Clement Yde, Harald Zandler, and Ueli Sager
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6432,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6432, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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02 Jan 2026
Attribution of the 2025 Mediterranean Marine Heatwave to Climate Change Using Analogues
Davide Faranda, Thibault Guinaldo, Francisco Pastor, Tommaso Alberti, and Samira Khodayar
External preprint server, https://hal.science/hal-05289765v1,https://hal.science/hal-05289765v1, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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30 Dec 2025
Soil Liquefaction Hazards and Ecological Impacts in Coastal Wetlands of the Pisco River, Peru
Belinia Báez, Alejandra G. Martínez, Adelaida Araníbar, Erick Príncipe, and Juan Carlos Gómez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5792,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5792, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Dec 2025
A ground motion prediction model for the Italian region based on a mixture of experts framework
Jinfeng Dai, Zifa Wang, Dengke Zhao, Xiangying Wang, Jianming Wang, Zhaoyan Li, Zhaodong Wang, and Jintao Xiao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6373,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6373, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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27 Dec 2025
The catastrophic floods in 2008, 2010 and 2020 in western Ukraine: Hydrometeorological processes and the role of upper-level dynamics
Ellina Agayar, Moshe Armon, Michael Sprenger, and Heini Wernli
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5942,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5942, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Dec 2025
The effect of operational discharge capacity of pumps and sluices on flood hazards – A case study on discharging the Rhine and Meuse under sea level rise
Laurie van Gijzen, Alexander M. Bakker, and Sebastiaan N. Jonkman
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5801,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5801, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Dec 2025
Brief communication: Threshold and probability. The conceptual difference between ID thresholds for landslide initiation and IDF curves
Francesco Marra, Eleonora Dallan, Marco Borga, Roberto Greco, and Thom Bogaard
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 5055–5061, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-5055-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-5055-2025, 2025
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22 Dec 2025
Analysis of factors influencing rockfall activity with a new method to estimate the release frequency in case of scarce data
Didier Hantz, Michel Jaboyedoff, Christine Moos, Luuk Dorren, Antoine Guerin, Antoine Guillemot, Jean-Pierre Rossetti, and Marc Janeras
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6247,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6247, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Dec 2025
Longitudinal Wave Power as a Proxy for Coastal Change Detection
Marta Aragón, Óscar Ferreira, Alejandro López-Ruiz, and Miguel Ortega-Sánchez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5773,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5773, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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22 Dec 2025
Consistency of seismic hazard estimates from a physics-based earthquake simulator: a case study in south-eastern Spain
Octavi Gómez-Novell, Francesco Visini, Paula Herrero-Barbero, José Antonio Álvarez-Gómez, and Julián García-Mayordomo
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5485,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5485, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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19 Dec 2025
Assessing the predictive capability of several machine learning algorithms to forecast snow avalanches using numerical weather prediction model in eastern Canada
Francis Gauthier, Jacob Laliberté, and Francis Meloche
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 5033–5053, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-5033-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-5033-2025, 2025
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19 Dec 2025
Probabilistic flood hazard mapping for dike-breach floods via graph neural networks
Roberto Bentivoglio, Sebastiaan Nicolas Jonkman, Elvin Isufi, and Riccardo Taormina
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5582,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5582, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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18 Dec 2025
China's three major cereal crops exposed to compound drought and extreme rainfall events
Hanming Cao, Qiren Yang, Wei Yang, and Lin Zhao
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 5017–5031, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-5017-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-5017-2025, 2025
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17 Dec 2025
Polarization in Flood Risk Management? Sensitivity of Norm Perception and Responsibility Attribution to Frequent Flood Experience
Lisa Köhler, Torsten Masson, Sungju Han, and Christian Kuhlicke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4983–5015, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4983-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4983-2025, 2025
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17 Dec 2025
Eulerian modelling of spotting using a coupled Fire-Atmosphere approach
Alberto Alonso-Pinar, Jean-Baptiste Filippi, Adrien Guyot, Nicholas McCarthy, Pierre Tulet, and Alexander Filkov
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4855,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4855, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Dec 2025
Reducing Risk Together: moving towards a more holistic approach to multi-(hazard-)risk assessment and management
Philip J. Ward, Sophie Buijs, Roxana Ciurean, Judith Claassen, James Daniell, Kelley De Polt, Melanie Duncan, Stefania Gottardo, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Robert Šakić Trogrlić, Julius Schlumberger, Timothy Tiggeloven, Silvia Torresan, Nicole van Maanen, Andrew Warren, Carmen D. Álvarez-Albelo, Vanessa Banks, Benjamin Blanz, Veronica Casartelli, Jordan Correa González, Julia Crummy, Anne Sophie Daloz, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Juan José Díaz-Hernández, Jaime Díaz-Pacheco, Pedro Dorta Antequera, Davide Ferrario, Sara García-González, Joel Gill, Raúl Hernández-Martín, Wiebke Jäger, Abel López-Díez, Lin Ma, Jaroslav Mysiak, Diep Ngoc Nguyen, Noemi Padrón Fumero, Eva-Cristina Petrescu, Karina Reiter, Jana Sillmann, and Lara Smale
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5897,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5897, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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16 Dec 2025
21st-Century Strong Wind and Heavy Precipitation Hazards in the Asian Monsoon Region Driven by Mesoscale Convective Systems: Climatology, Variability, and Trends
Jie Feng, Jian Yang, and Zhongdong Duan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4797,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4797, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Dec 2025
How accurate are operational dust models in predicting Particulate Matter (PM) levels in the Eastern Mediterranean Region? Insights from PM surface concentrations
Andreas Eleftheriou, Petros Mouzourides, Panayiotis Kouis, Nikos Kalivitis, Itzhak Katra, Emily Vasiliadou, Chrysanthos Savvides, Panayiotis Yiallouros, and Marina K.-A. Neophytou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4961–4982, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4961-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4961-2025, 2025
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15 Dec 2025
Understanding the atmospheric lightning risk over Odisha, an east coastal state in India
Nambi Manavalan Rajan, Alok Taori, Degala Venkatesh, Matam Mallikarjun, Sameer Saran, Goru Srinivasa Rao, and Prakash Chauhan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5269,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5269, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Dec 2025
An Uncertainty Quantification Framework for Simulation-based Flood Frequency Analysis
Jonathan Romero-Cuellar, James R. Craig, Bryan A. Tolson, and Rezgar Arabzadeh
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.176126736.60067506/v1,https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.176126736.60067506/v1, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Dec 2025
Identification of rainfall thresholds for debris-flow occurrence through field monitoring data
Elena Ioriatti, Mauro Reguzzoni, Edoardo Reguzzoni, Andreas Schimmel, Luca Beretta, Massimo Ceriani, and Matteo Berti
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4941–4959, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4941-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4941-2025, 2025
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12 Dec 2025
Multi-coupling analysis of temperate glacier stability: A case study of Midui glacier on Tibet, China
Guang Li, Minggao Tang, Huanle Zhao, Daojing Guo, Xiaonan Yang, and Xu Ran
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3648,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3648, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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11 Dec 2025
Influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on annual spatio-temporal lightning clusters in western and central Europe
Markus Augenstein, Susanna Mohr, and Michael Kunz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4921–4939, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4921-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4921-2025, 2025
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11 Dec 2025
Assessment of seismicity and risk from gas injection in the Groningen gas field
Sander Osinga, Olwijn Leeuwenburgh, Bouko Vogelaar, Santiago Pena Clavijo, and Simona Bottero
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6007,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6007, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Dec 2025
Modeling tsunami and seismic waveforms from regional earthquakes to inform system design and data integration for the Tamtam SMART subsea cable
Kwok Fai Cheung, Yoshiki Yamazaki, Thorne Lay, Matthew J. Fouch, John Niroa, and Bruce M. Howe
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5825,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5825, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Dec 2025
Droughts in South East Europe (SEE): current picture, tendencies and impact
Maria Kireeva, Mirjana Radulović, Gordan Mimić, Marthe Wens, and Tijana Nikolić-Lugonja
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5881,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5881, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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11 Dec 2025
Integrating flood-induced population movements into future flood damage estimates in Japan
Hayata Yanagihara, So Kazama, Kei Gomi, Yusuke Hiraga, and Atsuya Ikemoto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5949,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5949, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Dec 2025
| Highlight paper
Constitution of a multicentennial multirisk database in a mountainous environment from composite sources: the example of the Vallouise-Pelvoux municipality (Ecrins, France)
Louise Dallons Thanneur, Florie Giacona, Nicolas Eckert, and Philippe Frey
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4881–4906, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4881-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4881-2025, 2025
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10 Dec 2025
Use of delayed ERA5-Land soil moisture products for improving landslide early warning
Nunziarita Palazzolo, Antonino Cancelliere, Robert D. Zofei, and David J. Peres
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4907–4919, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4907-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4907-2025, 2025
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10 Dec 2025
Revealing the structure of precipitation extremes: a spatio-temporal wavelet approach
Svenja Szemkus, Sebastian Buschow, and Petra Friederichs
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5922,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5922, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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09 Dec 2025
Deep learning-based object detection on LiDAR-derived hillshade images: insights into grain size distribution and longitudinal sorting of debris flows
Paul E. Schmid, Jacob Hirschberg, Raffaele Spielmann, and Jordan Aaron
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4863–4880, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4863-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4863-2025, 2025
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09 Dec 2025
AI based seasonal large ensembles for fluvial flood risk: Evaluation over the Elbe basin
John Ashcroft, Alison Poulston, Marius Koch, Georg Ertl, Kirsty Brown, James Butler, Anthony Hammond, Owen Jordan, Sarah Warren, Rob Lamb, Paul J. Young, and David Wood
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5841,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5841, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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05 Dec 2025
Controls over debris flow initiation in glacio-volcanic environments in the Southern Andes
Ivo Fustos-Toribio, Daniel Basualto, Ardy Gatica, Alvaro Bravo-Alarcón, José-Luis Palma, Gabriel Fuentealba, and Sergio A. Sepúlveda
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4843–4861, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4843-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4843-2025, 2025
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05 Dec 2025
Marine heatwave amplifies extreme multi-hazards of extratropical cyclone Babet
Piyali Goswami, Ségolène Berthou, Theodore G. Shepherd, Ambrogio Volonté, Sana Mahmood, Juan Manuel Castillo, Anne-Christine Péquignet, Yong-June Park, Mark Worsfold, Regina Rodrigues, and Magdalena A. Balmaseda
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5662,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5662, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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04 Dec 2025
Brief communication: How extreme was the thunderstorm rain in Vienna on 17 August 2024? A temporal and spatial analysis
Vinzent Klaus, Johannes Laimighofer, and Fabian Lehner
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4807–4814, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4807-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4807-2025, 2025
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04 Dec 2025
Quantifying cascading impacts through road network analysis in an insular volcanic setting: the 2021 Tajogaite eruption of La Palma Island (Spain)
Lucia Dominguez, Sébastien Biass, Corine Frischknecht, Alana Weir, María-Paz Reyes-Hardy, Luigia Sara Di Maio, Nemesio Pérez, and Costanza Bonadonna
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 4815–4841, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4815-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4815-2025, 2025
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04 Dec 2025
Managing glacial and periglacial hazards in the Alps: a geohistorical approach
Juliette Bazin, Ludovic Ravanel, and Sandrine Caroly
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5614,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5614, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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04 Dec 2025
Morphological Response of Vegetated and Urbanized Barrier Islands to Hurricane Ian
Muhammad Hassan Ilyas, Ap van Dongeren, Dano Roelvink, Ellen Quataert, and Christopher Daly
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5443,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5443, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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04 Dec 2025
A single framework to assess flash flood and landslide susceptibility: an application to the Mediterranean
Alessia Riveros, Chamidu Gunaratne, Mario Martinelli, and Frederiek C. Sperna Weiland
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5572,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5572, 2025
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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