Articles | Volume 22, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-4039-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-4039-2022
Research article
 | 
20 Dec 2022
Research article |  | 20 Dec 2022

Statistical modelling of air quality impacts from individual forest fires in New South Wales, Australia

Michael A. Storey and Owen F. Price

Related authors

Local and regional smoke impacts from prescribed fires
Owen F. Price, Bronwyn Horsey, and Ningbo Jiang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 2247–2257, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-2247-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-2247-2016, 2016
Short summary
The spatial domain of wildfire risk and response in the wildland urban interface in Sydney, Australia
O. F. Price and R. A. Bradstock
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 3385–3393, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-13-3385-2013,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-13-3385-2013, 2013

Related subject area

Other Hazards (e.g., Glacial and Snow Hazards, Karst, Wildfires Hazards, and Medical Geo-Hazards)
How hard do avalanche practitioners tap during snow stability tests?
Håvard B. Toft, Samuel V. Verplanck, and Markus Landrø
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2757–2772, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2757-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2757-2024, 2024
Short summary
A large-scale validation of snowpack simulations in support of avalanche forecasting focusing on critical layers
Florian Herla, Pascal Haegeli, Simon Horton, and Patrick Mair
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2727–2756, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2727-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2727-2024, 2024
Short summary
A glacial lake outburst flood risk assessment for the Phochhu river basin, Bhutan
Tandin Wangchuk and Ryota Tsubaki
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2523–2540, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2523-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2523-2024, 2024
Short summary
AutoATES v2.0: Automated Avalanche Terrain Exposure Scale mapping
Håvard B. Toft, John Sykes, Andrew Schauer, Jordy Hendrikx, and Audun Hetland
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1779–1793, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1779-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1779-2024, 2024
Short summary
Modelling the vulnerability of urban settings to wildland–urban interface fires in Chile
Paula Aguirre, Jorge León, Constanza González-Mathiesen, Randy Román, Manuela Penas, and Alonso Ogueda
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1521–1537, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1521-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1521-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Biau, G. and Scornet, E.: A random forest guided tour, TEST, 25, 197–227, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11749-016-0481-7, 2016. 
Boer, M. M., Resco de Dios, V., and Bradstock, R. A.: Unprecedented burn area of Australian mega forest fires, Nat. Clim. Change, 10, 171–172, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0716-1, 2020. 
Borchers-Arriagada, N., Bowman, D. M. J. S., Price, O., Palmer, A. J., Samson, S., Clarke, H., Sepulveda, G., and Johnston, F. H.: Smoke health costs and the calculus for wildfires fuel management: a modelling study, Lancet Planetary Health, 5, e608–e619, https://doi.org/10.1016/s2542-5196(21)00198-4, 2021. 
Bradshaw, S. D., Dixon, K. W., Lambers, H., Cross, A. T., Bailey, J., and Hopper, S. D.: Understanding the long-term impact of prescribed burning in mediterranean-climate biodiversity hotspots, with a focus on south-western Australia, Int. J. Wildland Fire, 27, 643–657, https://doi.org/10.1071/wf18067, 2018. 
Broome, R. A., Johnstone, F. H., Horsley, J., and Morgan, G. G.: A rapid assessment of the impact of hazard reduction burning around Sydney, May 2016, Med. J. Australia, 205, 407–408, https://doi.org/10.5694/mja16.00895, 2016. 
Download
Short summary
Models are needed to understand and predict pollutant output from forest fires so fire agencies can reduce smoke-related risks to human health. We modelled air quality (PM2.5) based on fire area and weather variables. We found fire area and boundary layer height were influential on predictions, with distance, temperature, wind speed and relative humidity also important. The models predicted reasonably accurately in comparison to other existing methods but would benefit from further development.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint