Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
06 Sep 2024
An evaluation on the alignment of drought policy and planning guidelines with the contemporary disaster risk reduction agenda
Ilyas Masih
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-163,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-163, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Sep 2024
“More poison than words can describe”: what did people die of after the 1783 Laki eruption in Iceland?
Claudia Elisabeth Wieners and Guðmundur Hálfdanarson
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2971–2994, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2971-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2971-2024, 2024
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04 Sep 2024
| Highlight paper
Precursors and pathways: dynamically informed extreme event forecasting demonstrated on the historic Emilia-Romagna 2023 flood
Joshua Dorrington, Marta Wenta, Federico Grazzini, Linus Magnusson, Frederic Vitart, and Christian M. Grams
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2995–3012, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2995-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2995-2024, 2024
Short summary Executive editor
04 Sep 2024
Demonstrating the use of UNSEEN climate data for hydrological applications: case studies for extreme floods and droughts in England
Alison L. Kay, Nick Dunstone, Gillian Kay, Victoria A. Bell, and Jamie Hannaford
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2953–2970, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2953-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2953-2024, 2024
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04 Sep 2024
An integrated method for assessing vulnerability of buildings caused by debris flows in mountainous areas
Chenchen Qiu and Xueyu Geng
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-156,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-156, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Sep 2024
Enhancement of state response capability and famine mitigation: A comparative analysis of two drought events in northern China during the Ming dynasty
Fangyu Tian, Yun Su, Xudong Chen, and Le Tao
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-159,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-159, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Sep 2024
Global estimates of 100-year return values of daily precipitation from ensemble weather prediction data
Florian Ruff and Stephan Pfahl
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2939–2952, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2939-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2939-2024, 2024
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03 Sep 2024
Recent large inland lake outbursts on the Tibetan Plateau: Processes, causes and mechanisms
Fenglin Xu, Yong Liu, Guoqing Zhang, Ping Zhao, R. Iestyn Woolway, Yani Zhu, Jianting Ju, Tao Zhou, Xue Wang, and Wenfeng Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-127,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-127, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Sep 2024
The 2022 Drought Shows the Importance of Preparedness in European Drought Risk Management 
Riccardo Biella, Anastasiya Shyrokaya, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Daniela Cid, Maria Carmen Llasat, Marthe Wens, Marleen Lam, Elin Stenfors, Samuel Sutanto, Elena Ridolfi, Serena Ceola, Pedro Alencar, Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Monica Ionita, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Scott J. McGrane, Benedetta Moccia, Viorica Nagavciuc, Fabio Russo, Svitlana Krakovska, Andrijana Todorovic, Faranak Tootoonchi, Patricia Trambauer, Raffaele Vignola, and Claudia Teutschbein
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2073,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2073, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Aug 2024
Exploring the use of seasonal forecasts to adapt flood insurance premiums
Viet Dung Nguyen, Jeroen Aerts, Max Tesselaar, Wouter Botzen, Heidi Kreibich, Lorenzo Alfieri, and Bruno Merz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2923–2937, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2923-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2923-2024, 2024
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30 Aug 2024
Content Analysis of Multi-Annual Time Series of Flood-Related Twitter (X) Data
Nadja Veigel, Heidi Kreibich, Jens A. de Bruijn, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, and Andrea Cominola
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2556,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2556, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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30 Aug 2024
Soil conditioner mixtures as an agricultural management alternative to mitigate drought impacts 
Juan F. Dueñas, Edda Kunze, Huiying Li, and Matthias C. Rillig
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2566,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2566, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Aug 2024
Exploring the sensitivity of extreme event attribution of two recent extreme weather events in Sweden using long-running meteorological observations
Erik Holmgren and Erik Kjellström
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2875–2893, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2875-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2875-2024, 2024
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29 Aug 2024
An impact-chain-based exploration of multi-hazard vulnerability dynamics: the multi-hazard of floods and the COVID-19 pandemic in Romania
Andra-Cosmina Albulescu and Iuliana Armaș
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2895–2922, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2895-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2895-2024, 2024
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29 Aug 2024
Measuring extremes-driven direct biophysical impacts in agricultural drought damages
Mansi Nagpal, Jasmin Heilemann, Luis Samaniego, Bernd Klauer, Erik Gawel, and Christian Klassert
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2585,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2585, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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28 Aug 2024
Are 2D shallow-water solvers fast enough for early flood warning? A comparative assessment on the 2021 Ahr valley flood event
Shahin Khosh Bin Ghomash, Heiko Apel, and Daniel Caviedes-Voullième
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2857–2874, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2857-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2857-2024, 2024
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27 Aug 2024
Causes, consequences and implications of the 2023 landslide-induced Lake Rasac GLOF, Cordillera Huayhuash, Peru
Adam Emmer, Oscar Vilca, Cesar Salazar Checa, Sihan Li, Simon Cook, Elena Pummer, Jan Hrebrina, and Wilfried Haeberli
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2316,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2316, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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26 Aug 2024
Review article: A scoping review of human factors in avalanche decision-making 
Audun Hetland, Rebecca Anne Hetland, Tarjei Tveito Skille, and Andrea Mannberg
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1628,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1628, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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26 Aug 2024
The grid-level fixed asset model developed for China from 1951 to 2020
Danhua Xin, James Edward Daniell, Zhenguo Zhang, Friedemann Wenzel, Shaun Shuxun Wang, and Xiaofei Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-138,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-138, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Aug 2024
| Highlight paper
Always on my mind: indications of post-traumatic stress disorder among those affected by the 2021 flood event in the Ahr valley, Germany
Marie-Luise Zenker, Philip Bubeck, and Annegret H. Thieken
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2837–2856, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2837-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2837-2024, 2024
Short summary Executive editor
22 Aug 2024
Probabilistic short-range forecasts of high-precipitation events: optimal decision thresholds and predictability limits
François Bouttier and Hugo Marchal
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2793–2816, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2793-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2793-2024, 2024
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22 Aug 2024
Water depth estimate and flood extent enhancement for satellite-based inundation maps
Andrea Betterle and Peter Salamon
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2817–2836, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2817-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2817-2024, 2024
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22 Aug 2024
Modelling tsunami initial conditions due to rapid coseismic seafloor displacement: efficient numerical integration and a tool to build unit source databases
Alice Abbate, José M. González Vida, Manuel J. Castro Díaz, Fabrizio Romano, Hafize Başak Bayraktar, Andrey Babeyko, and Stefano Lorito
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2773–2791, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2773-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2773-2024, 2024
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22 Aug 2024
Dynamic Fragility of a Slender Rock Pillar in a Sedimentary Rock Mass – from rock mechanics to seismic hazard
Alaa Jbara and Michael Tsesarsky
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-150,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-150, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Aug 2024
The ability of a stochastic regional weather generator to reproduce heavy precipitation events across scales
Xiaoxiang Guan, Dung Viet Nguyen, Paul Voit, Bruno Merz, Maik Heistermann, and Sergiy Vorogushyn
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-143,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-143, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Aug 2024
Review Article: A Comprehensive Review of Compound Flooding Literature with a Focus on Coastal and Estuarine Regions
Joshua Green, Ivan Haigh, Niall Quinn, Jeff Neal, Thomas Wahl, Melissa Wood, Dirk Eilander, Marleen de Ruiter, Philip Ward, and Paula Camus
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2247,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2247, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Aug 2024
Invited perspectives: Fostering interoperability of data, models, communication and governance for disaster resilience through transdisciplinary knowledge co-production
Kai Schröter, Pia-Johanna Schweizer, Benedikt Gräler, Lydia Cumiskey, Sukaina Bharwani, Janne Parviainen, Chahan Kropf, Viktor Wattin Hakansson, Martin Drews, Tracy Irvine, Clarissa Dondi, Heiko Apel, Jana Löhrlein, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefano Bagli, Levente Huszti, Christopher Genillard, Silvia Unguendoli, and Max Steinhausen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-135,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-135, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Aug 2024
Proglacial lake evolution and outburst flood hazard at Fjallsjökull glacier, southeast Iceland
Greta Hoe Wells, Þorsteinn Sæmundsson, Finnur Pálsson, Guðfinna Aðalgeirsdóttir, Eyjólfur Magnússon, Reginald L. Hermanns, and Snævarr Guðmundsson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2002,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2002, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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19 Aug 2024
Large-scale assessment of rainfall-induced landslide hazard based on hydrometeorological information: application to Partenio Massif (Italy)
Daniel Camilo Roman Quintero, Pasquale Marino, Abdullah Abdullah, Giovanni Francesco Santonastaso, and Roberto Greco
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2329,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2329, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Aug 2024
Modelling Flood Losses to Microbusinesses in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Anna Buch, Dominik Paprotny, Kasra Rafiezadeh Shahi, Heidi Kreibich, and Nivedita Sairam
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2340,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2340, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Aug 2024
Brief Communication: Rapid high-resolution flood impact-based early warning is possible with RIM2D: a showcase for the 2023 pluvial flood in Braunschweig
Shahin Khosh Bin Ghomash, Heiko Apel, Kai Schröter, and Max Steinhausen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-139,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-139, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Aug 2024
Development of operational decision support tools for mechanized ski guiding using avalanche terrain modelling, GPS tracking, and machine learning
John Sykes, Pascal Haegeli, Roger Atkins, Patrick Mair, and Yves Bühler
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-147,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-147, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Aug 2024
How hard do avalanche practitioners tap during snow stability tests?
Håvard B. Toft, Samuel V. Verplanck, and Markus Landrø
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2757–2772, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2757-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2757-2024, 2024
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16 Aug 2024
Reconstruction of ancient drought in Northwest China and societal responses: A case study of 1759
Zhixin Hao, Meirun Jiang, Haonan Yang, Danyang Xiong, and Jingyun Zheng
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-111,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-111, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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15 Aug 2024
A large-scale validation of snowpack simulations in support of avalanche forecasting focusing on critical layers
Florian Herla, Pascal Haegeli, Simon Horton, and Patrick Mair
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2727–2756, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2727-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2727-2024, 2024
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14 Aug 2024
The 2022 Drought Needs to be a Turning Point for European Drought Risk Management
Riccardo Biella, Ansastasiya Shyrokaya, Monica Ionita, Raffaele Vignola, Samuel Sutanto, Andrijana Todorovic, Claudia Teutschbein, Daniela Cid, Maria Carmen Llasat, Pedro Alencar, Alessia Matanó, Elena Ridolfi, Benedetta Moccia, Ilias Pechlivanidis, Anne van Loon, Doris Wendt, Elin Stenfors, Fabio Russo, Jean-Philippe Vidal, Lucy Barker, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Marleen Lam, Monika Bláhová, Patricia Trambauer, Raed Hamed, Scott J. McGrane, Serena Ceola, Sigrid Jørgensen Bakke, Svitlana Krakovska, Viorica Nagavciuc, Faranak Tootoonchi, Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Sandra Hauswirth, Shreedhar Maskey, Svitlana Zubkovych, Marthe Wens, and Lena Merete Tallaksen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2069,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2069, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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14 Aug 2024
Hail events in Germany, rare or frequent natural hazards?
Tabea Wilke, Katharina Lengfeld, and Markus Schultze
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2507,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2507, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Aug 2024
Typhoon statistics in variable resolution Asia-Pacific CAM-SE
Duofan Zheng, Shao-Yi Lee, Wenting Lin, Qi Ran, and Wenjie Dong
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2415,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2415, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Aug 2024
The miscellaneous synoptic forcings in the four-day widespread extreme rainfall event over North China in July 2023
Jinfang Yin, Feng Li, Mingxin Li, Rudi Xia, Xinghua Bao, Jisong Sun, and Xudong Liang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-145,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-145, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Aug 2024
Earthquake insurance in Iran: solvency of local insurers in light of current market practices
Mohsen Ghafory-Ashtiany and Hooman Motamed
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2707–2726, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2707-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2707-2024, 2024
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13 Aug 2024
Shaping shallow landslide susceptibility as a function of rainfall events
Micol Fumagalli, Alberto Previati, Paolo Frattini, and Giovanni B. Crosta
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-140,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-140, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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13 Aug 2024
Using Random Forests to Predict Extreme Sea-Levels at the Baltic Coast at Weekly Timescales
Kai Bellinghausen, Birgit Hünicke, and Eduardo Zorita
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2222,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2222, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Aug 2024
Relationship between intraseasonal oscillations and abnormal rainfall in Vietnam
Cong Thanh, Quang-Van Doan, Doan Hong Quan, and Do-Anh Tuan
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2219,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2219, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Aug 2024
Book review: Over the seawall: tsunamis, cyclones, drought, and the delusion of controlling nature
Jasper Verschuur
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2705–2706, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2705-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2705-2024, 2024
09 Aug 2024
Temporal clustering of precipitation for detection of potential landslides
Fabiola Banfi, Emanuele Bevacqua, Pauline Rivoire, Sérgio C. Oliveira, Joaquim G. Pinto, Alexandre M. Ramos, and Carlo De Michele
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2689–2704, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2689-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2689-2024, 2024
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08 Aug 2024
Risk-informed representative earthquake scenarios for Valparaíso and Viña del Mar, Chile
Hugo Rosero-Velásquez, Mauricio Monsalve, Juan Camilo Gómez Zapata, Elisa Ferrario, Alan Poulos, Juan Carlos de la Llera, and Daniel Straub
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2667–2687, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2667-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2667-2024, 2024
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08 Aug 2024
The 1538 eruption at Campi Flegrei resurgent caldera: implications for future unrest and eruptive scenarios
Giuseppe Rolandi, Claudia Troise, Marco Sacchi, Massimo Di Lascio, and Giuseppe De Natale
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2035,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2035, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Aug 2024
The effect of slab touchdown on anticrack arrest in propagation saw tests
Philipp L. Rosendahl, Johannes Schneider, Grégoire Bobillier, Florian Rheinschmidt, Bastian Bergfeld, Alec van Herwijnen, and Philipp Weißgraeber
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-122,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-122, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Aug 2024
Assessing the performance and explainability of an avalanche danger forecast model
Cristina Pérez-Guillén, Frank Techel, Michele Volpi, and Alec van Herwijnen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2374,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2374, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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06 Aug 2024
Review article: Understanding the placement of fire emissions from the Brazilian Cerrado biome in the atmospheric carbon budget
Renata Moura da Veiga, Celso von Randow, Chantelle Burton, Douglas Kelley, Manoel Cardoso, and Fabiano Morelli
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2348,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2348, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Aug 2024
Flood relief logistics planning for coastal cities: a case study in Shanghai, China
Pujun Liang, Jie Yin, Dandan Wang, Yi Lu, Yuhan Yang, Dan Gao, and Jianfeng Mai
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-88,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-88, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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02 Aug 2024
Probabilistic flood inundation mapping through copula Bayesian multi-modeling of precipitation products
Francisco Javier Gomez, Keighobad Jafarzadegan, Hamed Moftakhari, and Hamid Moradkhani
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2647–2665, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2647-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2647-2024, 2024
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01 Aug 2024
Surprise floods: the role of our imagination in preparing for disasters
Joy Ommer, Jessica Neumann, Milan Kalas, Sophie Blackburn, and Hannah L. Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2633–2646, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2633-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2633-2024, 2024
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30 Jul 2024
Shallow-landslide stability evaluation in loess areas according to the Revised Infinite Slope Model: a case study of the 7.25 Tianshui sliding-flow landslide events of 2013 in the southwest of the Loess Plateau, China
Jianqi Zhuang, Jianbing Peng, Chenhui Du, Yi Zhu, and Jiaxu Kong
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2615–2631, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2615-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2615-2024, 2024
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29 Jul 2024
Brief Communication: Training of AI-based nowcasting models for rainfall early warning should take into account user requirements
Georgy Ayzel and Maik Heistermann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1945,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1945, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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29 Jul 2024
Has it really stopped? Interplay between rheology, topography and mesh resolution in numerical modelling of snow avalanches
Saoirse Robin Goodwin, Thierry Faug, and Guillaume Chambon
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-123,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-123, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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29 Jul 2024
Comparative Analysis of μ (I) and Voellmy-Type Grain Flow Rheologies in Geophysical Mass Flows: Insights from Theoretical and Real Case Studies
Yu Zhuang, Brian W. McArdell, and Perry Bartelt
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-87,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-87, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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26 Jul 2024
Harmonizing seismicity information in Central Asian countries: earthquake catalogue and active faults
Valerio Poggi, Stefano Parolai, Natalya Silacheva, Anatoly Ischuk, Kanatbek Abdrakhmatov, Zainalobudin Kobuliev, Vakhitkhan Ismailov, Roman Ibragimov, Japar Karaev, Paola Ceresa, and Paolo Bazzurro
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2597–2613, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2597-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2597-2024, 2024
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26 Jul 2024
Flood occurrence and impact models for socioeconomic applications over Canada and the United States
Manuel Grenier, Mathieu Boudreault, David A. Carozza, Jérémie Boudreault, and Sébastien Raymond
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2577–2595, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2577-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2577-2024, 2024
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26 Jul 2024
Review article: Co-creating knowledge for drought impact assessment in socio-hydrology 
Silvia De Angeli, Lorenzo Villani, Giulio Castelli, Maria Rusca, Giorgio Boni, Elena Bresci, and Luigi Piemontese
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2207,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2207, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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25 Jul 2024
Modelling crop hail damage footprints with single-polarization radar: the roles of spatial resolution, hail intensity, and cropland density
Raphael Portmann, Timo Schmid, Leonie Villiger, David N. Bresch, and Pierluigi Calanca
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2541–2558, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2541-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2541-2024, 2024
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25 Jul 2024
Model-based assessment of climate change impact on inland flood risk at the German North Sea coast caused by compounding storm tide and precipitation events
Helge Bormann, Jenny Kebschull, Lidia Gaslikova, and Ralf Weisse
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2559–2576, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2559-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2559-2024, 2024
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25 Jul 2024
What can we learn from global disaster records about multi-hazards and their risk dynamics?
Wiebke S. Jäger, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Timothy Tiggeloven, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-134,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-134, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Jul 2024
Estimating the mass of tephra accumulated on roads to best manage the impact of volcanic eruptions: the example of Mt. Etna, Italy
Luigi Mereu, Manuel Stocchi, Alexander Garcia, Michele Prestifilippo, Laura Sandri, Costanza Bonadonna, and Simona Scollo
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2028,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2028, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Jul 2024
A glacial lake outburst flood risk assessment for the Phochhu river basin, Bhutan
Tandin Wangchuk and Ryota Tsubaki
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2523–2540, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2523-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2523-2024, 2024
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24 Jul 2024
Kinetic characteristics investigation of the Yingxingping rockslide based on discrete element method combined with discrete fracture network
Bo Liu, Yufang Zhang, Xiewen Hu, Jian Li, Kun Yuan, Kun He, Jian Cui, and Zhenhua Yin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2216,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2216, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Jul 2024
From rockfall source areas identification to susceptibility zonation: a proposed workflow tested in El Hierro (Canary Islands, Spain)
Roberto Sarro, Mauro Rossi, Paola Reichenbach, and Rosa María Mateos
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-85,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-85, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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24 Jul 2024
Causes of the exceptionally high number of fatalities in the Ahr valley, Germany, during the 2021 flood
Belinda Rhein and Heidi Kreibich
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2066,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2066, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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23 Jul 2024
Insights into ground strike point properties in Europe through the EUCLID lightning location system
Dieter Roel Poelman, Hannes Kohlmann, and Wolfgang Schulz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2511–2522, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2511-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2511-2024, 2024
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22 Jul 2024
The role of citizen science in assessing the spatiotemporal pattern of rainfall events in urban areas: a case study in the city of Genoa, Italy
Nicola Loglisci, Giorgio Boni, Arianna Cauteruccio, Francesco Faccini, Massimo Milelli, Guido Paliaga, and Antonio Parodi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2495–2510, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2495-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2495-2024, 2024
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22 Jul 2024
The Record-Breaking Precipitation Event of December 2022 in Portugal
Tiago M. Ferreira, Ricardo M. Trigo, Tomás H. Gaspar, Joaquim G. Pinto, and Alexandre M. Ramos
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-130,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-130, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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22 Jul 2024
Brief Communication: Stay local or go global? On the construction of plausible counterfactual scenarios to assess flash flood hazards
Paul Voit and Maik Heistermann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-119,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-119, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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19 Jul 2024
Estuarine hurricane wind can intensify surge-dominated extreme water level in shallow and converging coastal systems
Mithun Deb, James J. Benedict, Ning Sun, Zhaoqing Yang, Robert D. Hetland, David Judi, and Taiping Wang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2461–2479, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2461-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2461-2024, 2024
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19 Jul 2024
Revisiting regression methods for estimating long-term trends in sea surface temperature
Ming-Huei Chang, Yen-Chen Huang, Yu-Hsin Cheng, Chuen-Teyr Terng, Jinyi Chen, and Jyh Cherng Jan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2481–2494, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2481-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2481-2024, 2024
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19 Jul 2024
Optimizing Rainfall-Triggered Landslide Thresholds to Warning Daily Landslide Hazard in Three Gorges Reservoir Area
Bo Peng and Xueling Wu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-109,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-109, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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18 Jul 2024
Precipitation extremes in Ukraine from 1979 to 2019: climatology, large-scale flow conditions, and moisture sources
Ellina Agayar, Franziska Aemisegger, Moshe Armon, Alexander Scherrmann, and Heini Wernli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2441–2459, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2441-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2441-2024, 2024
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17 Jul 2024
Micro-business participation in collective flood adaptation: lessons from scenario-based analysis in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Javier Revilla Diez, Roxana Leitold, Van Tran, and Matthias Garschagen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2425–2440, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2425-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2425-2024, 2024
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17 Jul 2024
Exploring implications of input parameter uncertainties on GLOF modelling results using the state-of-the-art modelling code, r.avaflow
Sonam Rinzin, Stuart Dunning, Rachel Carr, Ashim Sattar, and Martin Mergili
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1819,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1819, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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16 Jul 2024
Comparing components for seismic risk modelling using data from the 2019 Le Teil (France) earthquake
Konstantinos Trevlopoulos, Pierre Gehl, Caterina Negulescu, Helen Crowley, and Laurentiu Danciu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2383–2401, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2383-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2383-2024, 2024
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16 Jul 2024
| Highlight paper
Brief communication: Storm Daniel flood impact in Greece in 2023: mapping crop and livestock exposure from synthetic-aperture radar (SAR)
Kang He, Qing Yang, Xinyi Shen, Elias Dimitriou, Angeliki Mentzafou, Christina Papadaki, Maria Stoumboudi, and Emmanouil N. Anagnostou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2375–2382, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2375-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2375-2024, 2024
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16 Jul 2024
Global application of a regional frequency analysis to extreme sea levels
Thomas P. Collings, Niall D. Quinn, Ivan D. Haigh, Joshua Green, Izzy Probyn, Hamish Wilkinson, Sanne Muis, William V. Sweet, and Paul D. Bates
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2403–2423, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2403-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2403-2024, 2024
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16 Jul 2024
Dynamics and Impacts of Monsoon-Induced Geological Hazards: A 2022 Flood Study along the Swat River in Pakistan
Nazir Ahmed Bazai, Mehtab Alam, Peng Cui, Wang Hao, Adil Poshad Khan, Muhammad Waseem, Yao Shunyu, Muhammad Ramzan, Li Wanhong, and Tashfain Ahmed
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-95,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-95, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Jul 2024
Probabilistic assessment of postfire debris-flow inundation in response to forecast rainfall
Alexander B. Prescott, Luke A. McGuire, Kwang-Sung Jun, Katherine R. Barnhart, and Nina S. Oakley
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2359–2374, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2359-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2359-2024, 2024
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15 Jul 2024
Unravelling the capacity-action gap in flood risk adaptation
Annika Schubert, Anne von Streit, and Matthias Garschagen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-121,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-121, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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12 Jul 2024
Characterizing hail-prone environments using convection-permitting reanalysis and overshooting top detections over south-central Europe
Antonio Giordani, Michael Kunz, Kristopher M. Bedka, Heinz Jürgen Punge, Tiziana Paccagnella, Valentina Pavan, Ines M. L. Cerenzia, and Silvana Di Sabatino
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2331–2357, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2331-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2331-2024, 2024
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11 Jul 2024
Prediction of volume of shallow landslides due to rainfall using data-driven models
Jérémie Tuganishuri, Chan-Young Yune, Manik Das Adhikari, Seung Woo Lee, Gihong Kim, and Sang-Guk Yum
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-90,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-90, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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10 Jul 2024
Flood risk assessment through large-scale modeling under uncertainty
Luciano Pavesi, Elena Volpi, and Aldo Fiori
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-114,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-114, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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10 Jul 2024
Migration as a Hidden Risk Factor in Seismic Fatality: A Spatial Modeling Approach to the Chi-Chi Earthquake and Suburban Syndrome
Tzu-Hsin Karen Chen, Kuan-Hui Elaine Lin, Thung-Hong Lin, Gee-Yu Liu, Chin-Hsun Yeh, and Diana Maria Ceballos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1493,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1493, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Jul 2024
Analysis of Borehole Strain Anomalies Before the 2017 Jiuzhaigou Ms7.0 Earthquake Based on Graph Neural Network
Chenyang Li, Changfeng Qin, Jie Zhang, Yu Duan, and Chengquan Chi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2025, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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09 Jul 2024
Aircraft engine dust ingestion at global airports
Claire L. Ryder, Clément Bézier, Helen F. Dacre, Rory Clarkson, Vassilis Amiridis, Eleni Marinou, Emmanouil Proestakis, Zak Kipling, Angela Benedetti, Mark Parrington, Samuel Rémy, and Mark Vaughan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2263–2284, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2263-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2263-2024, 2024
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09 Jul 2024
An improved dynamic bidirectional coupled hydrologic–hydrodynamic model for efficient flood inundation prediction
Yanxia Shen, Zhenduo Zhu, Qi Zhou, and Chunbo Jiang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2315–2330, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2315-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2315-2024, 2024
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09 Jul 2024
Tsunami hazard assessment in the South China Sea based on geodetic locking of the Manila subduction zone
Guangsheng Zhao and Xiaojing Niu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2303–2313, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2303-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2303-2024, 2024
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09 Jul 2024
Modeling Seismic Hazard and Landslide Potentials in Northwestern Yunnan, China: Exploring Complex Fault Systems with multi-segment rupturing in a Block Rotational Tectonic Zone
Jia Cheng, Chong Xu, Xiwei Xu, Shimin Zhang, and Pengyu Zhu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-96,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-96, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
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