Recent

The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
21 Aug 2026
Impact of extreme rainfall on triggering conditions and susceptibility for shallow landslides: a case study in the Alpes-Maritimes region (France)
Lucie Armand, Guillaume Chambon, Olivier Cerdan, Yannick Thiery, Nathalie Marçot, Louis Ferradou, Nicolas Saby, and Séverine Bernardie
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3987–4012, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3987-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3987-2026, 2026
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21 Aug 2026
Detecting and discriminating rockfall signals from anthropogenic noise using Distributed Acoustic Sensing along a Norwegian railway
Robin André Rørstadbotnen, Kasper Hunnestad, Khanh Truoung, Martin Landrø, Jo Eidsvik, Aadne Ingvald Austigar Pettersen, and Rune Brannfjell
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4460,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4460, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Aug 2026
ALERT: A Scalable Cloud-Native Framework for Satellite Rainfall-Driven Landslide Early Warning in Data-Scarce Regions
Ali P. Yunus, Erakkath Faizah, Saju Mukundan, Kochappi Sathyan Sajinkumar, Srikrishnan Siva Subramanian, Raju Attada, and Ashokan Laila Achu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4588,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4588, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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21 Aug 2026
Forecasting the 12 November 2019 Venice Acqua Alta event: the role of baroclinic compounding effects
Anna Chiara Goglio, Emanuela Clementi, Nadia Pinardi, Giulio Boccaletti, Paolo Oddo, and Lorenzo Mentaschi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4734,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4734, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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20 Aug 2026
Integrating flood-induced population movements into future fluvial flood damage estimates in Japan
Hayata Yanagihara, So Kazama, Kei Gomi, Yusuke Hiraga, and Atsuya Ikemoto
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3969–3986, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3969-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3969-2026, 2026
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20 Aug 2026
Using machine learning for the prediction of flood-related 112 calls
Jordi Morales, Andreas Kaltenbrunner, Àgata Lapedriza, and Xavier Llort
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3943–3967, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3943-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3943-2026, 2026
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20 Aug 2026
Compound Flooding in Surabaya: A Multi-driver Sensitivity and Interaction Analysis
Agustia Larasari, Johan Reyns, Khin Nawarat, and Ali Dastgheib
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4592,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4592, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Aug 2026
Investigating metamodeling capability to predict sea levels and marine flooding maps for early-warning systems: application on the Arcachon Lagoon (France)
Sophie Lecacheux, Jeremy Rohmer, Eva Membrado, Rodrigo Pedreros, Andrea Filippini, Deborah Idier, Servane Gueben-Vénière, Denis Paradis, Alice Dalphinet, and David Ayache
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3919–3942, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3919-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3919-2026, 2026
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19 Aug 2026
National-scale debris-flow hazard indication modelling for Swiss railway infrastructure
Feiko Bernard van Zadelhoff, Yves Bühler, and Michael Bründl
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4604,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4604, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Aug 2026
Observed and projected changes in extreme precipitation intensity and temporal patterns: a case study of the Misa River Basin (Central Italy)
Dawit Y. Meskele, Antonio Parodi, Anna Napoli, Gianluca Loffredo, and Maurizio Brocchini
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4780,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4780, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Aug 2026
Projecting changes in rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility across inhabited areas of China under climate change
Jinqi Wang, Hao Fang, Kai Liu, Yi Yue, Ming Wang, Bohao Li, and Xiaoyi Miao
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3881–3900, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3881-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3881-2026, 2026
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18 Aug 2026
Potential glacier contributions to the 2024 La Bérarde flood
Christophe Ogier, Mauro A. Werder, Olivier Gagliardini, Ilaria Santin, Raphael Moser, Romain Hugonnet, Antoine Blanc, and Daniel Farinotti
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3901–3917, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3901-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3901-2026, 2026
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18 Aug 2026
An extensible, algorithmic framework to enumerate, ascertain, and compare mechanical properties from common snowpit observations
Mary Kate Connelly, Philipp Laurens Rosendahl, Valentin Adam, and Samuel V. Verplanck
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4761,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4761, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Aug 2026
Regional modeling of the impacts of tidal flooding in the context of average sea level rise in low-lying areas of Brazil's semi-arid coast
Thiago Cavalcante Lins Silva, Marco Túlio Mendonça Diniz, Paulo Victor do Nascimento Araújo, José Yure Gomes dos Santos, Bruno Ferreira, and Jucielho Pedro da Silva
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3839–3862, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3839-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3839-2026, 2026
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17 Aug 2026
Revealing the structure of heavy precipitation events: a spatio-temporal wavelet approach
Svenja Szemkus, Sebastian Buschow, and Petra Friederichs
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3863–3879, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3863-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3863-2026, 2026
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17 Aug 2026
Why has flood risk increased in a millennia-old mountainous town? Engineering-induced transformation of compound flood pathways in Baifusi, China
Hairun Shu, Yi Liu, Jun Guo, Miao Xiao, and Zhenhan Deng
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4327,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4327, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Aug 2026
Seismic risk assessment of schools in Nepal for effective disaster risk reduction practices
Shiba Subedi, György Hetényi, Sarah Houghton, Priyanka Dhami, Aastha Poudel, Shreedhar Dhakal, and Kushal Pokhrel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4706,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4706, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Aug 2026
Modeling the combined effects of the 2023 Türkiye–Syria earthquake and an Atmospheric River event on landslide hazard
Hunter N. Jimenez, Erkan Istanbulluoglu, Tolga Gorum, Thomas A. Stanley, Pukar M. Amatya, Hakan Tanyas, Mehmet C. Demirel, Aykut Akgun, and Deniz Bozkurt
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3815–3838, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3815-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3815-2026, 2026
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14 Aug 2026
Methodological Framework for Tsunami Risk Assessment in Port Facilities
Sergio Padilla, Ignacio Aguirre-Ayerbe, Mauricio González, Íñigo Aniel-Quiroga, and David Galán Pérez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4720,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4720, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Aug 2026
Attribution of the record breaking 2025 European fire season to climate change
Theodore R. Keeping, Mariam Zachariah, Olivia Haas, Manolis Grillakis, Clair Barnes, Gareth D. Clay, Bikem Ekberzade, Orjeta Jaupaj, Andreia Ribeiro, Ricardo Trigo, Apostolos Voulgarakis, and Friederike E. L. Otto
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3761–3813, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3761-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3761-2026, 2026
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13 Aug 2026
Towards a risk governance framework for reducing the seismic vulnerability of existing buildings: a comparative analysis of national strategies with implications for Algeria
Bachir Benfarhat and Djillali Benouar
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3476,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3476, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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13 Aug 2026
Integrating Geodetic Constraints into Earthquake Source Characterization for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis: A Dual Statistical–Physical Framework
Yuliastuti Yuliastuti, Irwan Meilano, Nanang T. Puspito, and Suchi Rahmadani
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4242,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4242, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Aug 2026
Can aerosols improve urban flood forecasting? A case study of 2015 Chennai extreme event
Oscar Paul, N. Nithila Devi, Rakesh Teja Konduru, Soumendra Nath Kuiry, Kundan Lal Shrestha, and Chandan Sarangi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3749–3759, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3749-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3749-2026, 2026
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12 Aug 2026
Probabilistic modelling for avalanche hazard and risk assessment
Jan Kleinn, Dörte Aller, Yves Bühler, Julia Glaus, Adrian Peter, and Nils Hählen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3799,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3799, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Aug 2026
Impact of meteorological conditions on rockfalls: a case study of the Saint Eynard cliff
Sabrine Bouaziz, David Amitrano, Christophe Lin-Kwong-Chon, Nicolas Méger, and Agnès Helmstetter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3939,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3939, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Aug 2026
Humanitarian Needs in a Protracted Crisis: Systemic Impact of the June 2026 Venezuelan Earthquakes
Lester Fidel García Guzmán, Mehedi Hasan, Esrom Tekleberhan Weldesilasie, Lucia Durá Vicaria, Yonathan Josué Jiménez Ramírez, and Anneli Eriksson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4524,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4524, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Aug 2026
Brief communication: Atmospheric moisture and near-surface temperature anomalies: key drivers in the 2022 European mega-drought
José C. Fernández-Alvarez, Raquel Nieto, Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano, David Carvalho, and Luis Gimeno
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3741–3748, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3741-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3741-2026, 2026
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11 Aug 2026
Long-Term Satellite Analysis of Summer Heatwaves and Heat Vulnerability in Romania (2000–2025)
Claudiu-Valeriu Angearu, Florinela Georgescu, Anisoara Irimescu, Denis Mihailescu, Vasile Craciunescu, and Marian Neagul
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4415,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4415, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Aug 2026
| Highlight paper
Climate change may increase landslide frequency despite generally drier conditions in the Mediterranean area
Daniel Camilo Roman Quintero, Ruud van der Ent, Thom Bogaard, and Roberto Greco
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3723–3739, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3723-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3723-2026, 2026
Short summary Editorial statement
10 Aug 2026
A database of fatal coastal cliff failures
Malia N. Reiss, Adam P. Young, and Jessica Carilli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3707–3722, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3707-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3707-2026, 2026
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10 Aug 2026
An Incomplete Interval Analytic Hierarchy Process for Group Decision-Making in Post-Earthquake Emergency Rescue Prioritization
Minlian Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2669,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2669, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Aug 2026
Drivers of flash flood frequency and intensity in the United States: a quantitative analysis of hydrometeorological interactions
Ying Hu, Huan Wu, Yiwen Mei, Zhijun Huang, Aihui Wang, Chaoqun Li, and Bing Sui
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3667–3682, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3667-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3667-2026, 2026
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07 Aug 2026
Storm surge dynamics in the northern Adriatic Sea: comparing AI emulators with high-resolution numerical simulations
Rodrigo Campos-Caba, Paula Camus, Andrea Mazzino, Michalis Vousdoukas, Massimo Tondello, Ivan Federico, Salvatore Causio, and Lorenzo Mentaschi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3683–3706, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3683-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3683-2026, 2026
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07 Aug 2026
Validating Remote-Sensing Measures of Natural Hazards: Granular-Level Links to Insured Loss during a Cyclone
Ke Wang and Ilan Noy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3539,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3539, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Aug 2026
Dynamic spatial modelling of mass movement impacts for large areas: a data-driven framework for impact-based early warning
Stefan Steger, Raphael Spiekermann, Mateo Moreno, Sebastian Lehner, Katharina Enigl, Alice Crespi, and Matthias Schlögl
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3637–3665, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3637-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3637-2026, 2026
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06 Aug 2026
A Statistical-Physical Prior-Guided Framework for Multi-Class Landslide Susceptibility Mapping
Haixia Feng, Qingwu Hu, Yizhou Lan, Daoyuan Zheng, Yuxiang Xu, Jiayuan Li, Shunli Wang, and Pengcheng Zhao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4550,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4550, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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05 Aug 2026
Field surveying and numerical simulation of the Typhoon Hato storm surge event in Guangdong province, China
Xianwu Shi, Qichao Chen, Haoxuan Du, Ning Jia, Jian Fang, Mingli Zhao, and Shan Liu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4474,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4474, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Aug 2026
Drought propagation and ecosystem resilience in a peri-urban catchment of Berlin-Brandenburg
Polina Franke, Aryan Goswami, and Márk Somogyvári
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3617–3635, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3617-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3617-2026, 2026
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04 Aug 2026
Basin-scale geometric focusing: a probabilistic-geometric framework for global tsunami exposure assessment and the 2025 Kamchatka Peninsula tsunami
Ali Abdolali, Michael-Angelo Y.-H. Lam, Usama Kadri, Matt Malej, Maxim Filimonov, and Fengyan Shi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3597–3616, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3597-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3597-2026, 2026
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04 Aug 2026
Flood nowcasting based on deep learning and radar rainfall estimates: A reliable and efficient framework for diverse flood regimes
Jiawei Hou, Wendy Sharples, Jayaram Pudashine, Mandi Thran, Carlos Velasco-Forero, Paul Fox-Hughes, Elisabetta Carrara, and Holger R. Maier
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3401,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3401, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Aug 2026
Convective Environments Over the Arabian Peninsula in Current and Future Climates: A Machine Learning Approach
Ahmed Homoudi, Henning W. Rust, Klemens Barfus, Christian Bernhofer, and Matthias Mauder
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3288,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3288, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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03 Aug 2026
A globally scalable, light data framework for flood-hazard mapping using open geospatial services
Igor Sieczkowski Moreira, Jonathan Corker, Mehran Eskandari Torbaghan, Fernando Dornelles, and Lélio Antônio Teixeira Brito
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3884,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3884, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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31 Jul 2026
Impact of warming on rainfall changes in damaging Philippine typhoons using high-resolution convection-permitting models
Rafaela Jane Delfino, Gerry Bagtasa, Pier Luigi Vidale, and Kevin Hodges
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3579–3595, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3579-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3579-2026, 2026
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31 Jul 2026
Trends in geo-hydrological risk to the population of Italy
Fausto Guzzetti, Alessandro Cesare Mondini, Paola Salvati, Antonella Bodini, and Antonio Pievatolo
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4342,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4342, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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31 Jul 2026
Wildfire Hazard in Germany Under Worst-Case Conditions
Johannes Heisig and Edzer Pebesma
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4416,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4416, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Jul 2026
Evaluating the performance of a numerical weather prediction model for precipitation and temperature in Luxembourg and the Greater Region: insights from WRF and WRFDA 3D-VAR
Haseeb ur Rehman, Felicia Norma Rebecca Teferle, Addisu Hunegnaw, Rohith Muraleedharan Thundathil, Jens Wickert, and Florian Zus
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4222,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4222, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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30 Jul 2026
A nested time-window framework for evaluating sub-daily precipitation extremes in two convection permitting model datasets
Oliver Carlo, Giusy Fedele, Paolo Stocchi, Sandro Calmanti, Mario Raffa, Paola Mercogliano, and Piero Lionello
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4515,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4515, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Jul 2026
Forecasting different types of avalanches based on snowpack and snowfall/snowmelt conditions on the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau
Xiaoqian Fu, Jiansheng Hao, Peng Cui, Yan Wang, and Guoqing Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4540,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4540, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Jul 2026
Exploring recovery complexity in the context of consecutive disasters
Sophie L. Buijs, Inga J. Sauer, Chahan M. Kropf, Samuel Juhel, Zélie Stalhandske, Judith N. Claassen, and Marleen C. De Ruiter
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3559–3578, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3559-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3559-2026, 2026
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29 Jul 2026
A ground motion prediction model for the Italian region based on a mixture of experts framework
Jinfeng Dai, Zifa Wang, Dengke Zhao, Xiangying Wang, Jianming Wang, Zhaoyan Li, Zhaodong Wang, and Jintao Xiao
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3541–3558, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3541-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3541-2026, 2026
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29 Jul 2026
Multi-scale dynamics and mesoscale drivers of the catastrophic September 2022 Marche (central Italy) flood
Matteo Berton, Elenio Avolio, and Mario Marcello Miglietta
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2573,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2573, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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29 Jul 2026
Creating story lines on floods: relating climate-change uplift to (extreme) experienced and future flooding events
Natasha Pullan and Onno Bokhove
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2908,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2908, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Jul 2026
Three-Dimensional Identification of Compound Heat–Drought Events in Maize in Northeast China Based on the Process-based Cumulative Heat–Drought Index (PCHDI)
Yashu Gao, Cha Ersi, Dan Chen, Sicheng Wei, Ying Guo, Ziyuan Zhou, Zhijun Tong, Xingpeng Liu, Jiquan Zhang, and Chunli Zhao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3379,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3379, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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29 Jul 2026
Robust Uneven Shift of Extreme Storm Surges Observed in Data Sparse Northeast Indian Ocean Cities
Md. Rezuanul Islam, Htut Naing Thwin, Hiroshi Takagi, and Yohei Sawada
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.31223/X50X94,https://doi.org/10.31223/X50X94, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Jul 2026
Review article: How hazard-related disruptions become system-wide crises: event-level evidence on failure pathways and continuity functions, 1980–2025
Homa Bahmani
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3753,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3753, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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28 Jul 2026
Dynamic and thermal analysis of dust storm processes based on vertical observation data
Yifei Wang, Wen Huo, Yongqiang Liu, Mayibaier Maihamuti, Fan Yang, Chenglong Zhou, Xinghua Yang, and Ali Mamtimin
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3523–3539, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3523-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3523-2026, 2026
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28 Jul 2026
| Highlight paper
Assessment of seismicity and risk from gas injection in the Groningen gas field
Sander Osinga, Olwijn Leeuwenburgh, Bouko Vogelaar, Santiago Pena Clavijo, and Simona Bottero
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3443–3468, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3443-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3443-2026, 2026
Short summary Editorial statement
28 Jul 2026
Why are plate suture zones on the Tibetan Plateau hotspots for rockslides: A case study of Jinsha River area
Jinlu Zhou, Ming Wang, Wen Zhang, Changsheng Yu, Quewang Danzeng, Qi Sun, Binxuan Hao, Yuhe Zhang, and Zhenglong Li
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3016,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3016, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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28 Jul 2026
Comparing and validating modelled snow stability metrics
Jürg Schweizer, Benjamin Reuter, Christoph Mitterer, Fabiano Monti, and Stephanie Mayer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3913,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3913, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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24 Jul 2026
Use of nonlinear principal components of CHIRPS precipitation data and ocean–atmospheric variables for streamflow forecasting in an area of scarce data – case study: Tocaría river basin – Orinoquia Colombiana
Jhon Derly Sarria-Ospina, Camilo Ocampo-Marulanda, Lina Maria Ceron-Aramburo, Teresita Canchala, and Tiago Alessandro Ferreira
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3505–3521, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3505-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3505-2026, 2026
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24 Jul 2026
Assessing and reducing dry-season water-scarcity risk on a tourism-exposed small island: a multi-source water-balance and robust-optimisation framework for Si Chang Island, Thailand
Uma Seeboonruang, Pinit Tanachaichoksirikun, Virun Chulkaivalsucharit, Jutamas Srisuk, Uba Sirikaew, Mongkol Prasitkumpein, and Walter Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4005,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4005, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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23 Jul 2026
A fault-based application to model seismicity rates for seismic hazard assessment in the southern Apennines (Italy)
Giulia Alessandrini, Octavi Gómez-Novell, Silvia Castellaro, Michela Giustiniani, and Umberta Tinivella
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3469–3488, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3469-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3469-2026, 2026
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23 Jul 2026
Hourly-scale modeling of storm transitions in Southern Brazil with Markov Chains
Camilo Ocampo-Marulanda, Jefferson Vieira Santos, Julian David Mera-Franco, Alvaro Avila-Diaz, Tiago Alessandro Espinola Ferreira, David Henriques da Matta, and Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3489–3504, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3489-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3489-2026, 2026
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23 Jul 2026
Performance assessment of real-time earthquake localization algorithms for Earthquake Early Warning Systems in the Ibero-Maghrebian Region
Lucía Escudero, Maurizio Mattesini, Aldo Zollo, Grazia De Landro, Luca Elia, and Elisa Buforn
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4270,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4270, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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22 Jul 2026
| Highlight paper
Europe's transport infrastructure is not ready to face climate change
Cristina Deidda, Arpita Asha Khanna, Wolfgang Schade, Chris Smith, and Wim Thiery
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3345–3394, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3345-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3345-2026, 2026
Short summary Editorial statement
22 Jul 2026
Deep Learning Emulation of Multivariate Climate Indices: A Case Study of the Fire Weather Index in the Iberian Peninsula
Óscar Mirones, Joaquín Bedia, Pedro M. M. Soares, José M. Gutiérrez, and Jorge Baño-Medina
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3417–3442, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3417-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3417-2026, 2026
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22 Jul 2026
Distinct spatiotemporal responses of soil-vegetation-hydrology to warming from 2005–2022 and predicting air temperature of provincial spatial scale using Kolmogorov-Arnold graph convolutional network in mainland China
Junjie Xu, Yilei Yu, Lihu Yang, and Xin Wei
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2673,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2673, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Jul 2026
Complementing drought impact databases with multilingual online sources: A European gap-filling experiment
Monika Hlavsová, Lauro Rossi, Kathrin Szillat, Kerstin Stahl, Mirko D'Andrea, Veit Blauhut, Gabriela Ivaňáková, Livia Labudová, and Miroslav Trnka
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3041,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3041, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Jul 2026
A stochastic model of hierarchical sediment transport in watershed
Jun Zhang, Yong Li, Xiaojun Guo, Dongri Song, and Jens M. Turowski
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3226,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3226, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 5 comments)
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22 Jul 2026
Mid-Century Projections of Waves and Water Levels Highlight the Dominant Role of Sea-Level Rise in the Salish Sea
Kai Parker, Kees Nederhoff, Anita Engelstad, Eric Grossman, and Li Erikson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3369,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3369, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Jul 2026
Future scenarios of thunderstorm environments in Fennoscandia based on a regional climate model
Meri Virman, Terhi K. Laurila, Antti Mäkelä, Petter Lind, Anna Luomaranta, and Hilppa Gregow
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4247,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4247, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Jul 2026
A revision of the Catalogue of tsunamis on the Spanish coast
Elena Ros and Juan V. Cantavella
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4299,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4299, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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21 Jul 2026
Natural hazard events dataset for the Garrotxa Region (Catalonia, Spain): a foundational step toward multi-hazard risk assessment
Arnau Lagresa, Marta López-Saavedra, Iris Schneider-Pérez, Marc Martínez-Sepúlveda, Jordi Mestres-Esteve, Mireia Jiménez-Llobet, Alba Ocaña, Llorenç Planagumà, and Joan Martí
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3327–3343, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3327-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3327-2026, 2026
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21 Jul 2026
Marine heatwave amplifies extreme multi-hazards of extratropical cyclone Babet
Piyali Goswami, Ségolène Berthou, Theodore G. Shepherd, Ambrogio Volonté, Sana Mahmood, Juan Manuel Castillo, Anne-Christine Péquignet, Yong-June Park, Mark Worsfold, Regina Rodrigues, and Magdalena A. Balmaseda
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3213–3230, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3213-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3213-2026, 2026
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21 Jul 2026
Severe convective weather in Italy: Current understanding and Research Priorities in the TIM campaign
Mario Marcello Miglietta, Elenio Avolio, Alessandro Bracci, Massimiliano Burlando, Francesco Cairo, Federico Canepa, Vincenzo Capozzi, Sebastiano Carpentari, Federico Cassola, Alessandro Ceppi, Silvio Davolio, Francesco De Martin, Giorgio Doglioni, Costanza Di Felice Fabrizi, Luca Di Liberto, Francesco Domenichini, Stefano Federico, Massimo Enrico Ferrario, Federico Grazzini, Antonio Iengo, Sante Laviola, Agostino Manzato, Paolo Paganini, Antonio Parodi, Alessandro Pavan, Andrea Piazza, Arturo Pucillo, Giovanni Ravezzani, Francesco Sioni, Barbara Turato, Gianfranco Vulpiani, Marco Zanatta, and Dino Zardi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3395–3415, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3395-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3395-2026, 2026
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21 Jul 2026
China–Korea Linked Typhoons: A transboundary sequential hazard framework for East Asian tropical cyclones
Hana Na and Woo-Sik Jung
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3205,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3205, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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21 Jul 2026
Medium-term urban business recovery after COVID-19: cross-country evidence after the outbreak
Yoshio Kajitani, Maria Watson, Stephanie E. Chang, Elsamari Botha, Sophie L. Buijs, Siriporn Darnkachatarn, Sahar Derakhshan, Marleen de Ruiter, Juri Kim, Sanna Malinen, and Bernard Walker
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3993,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3993, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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21 Jul 2026
Selection of onset of acceleration points and failure time prediction of landslides based on ground-based radar
Hui Wu, Pingping Huang, Weixian Tan, Yaolong Qi, Wei Xu, and Yuejuan Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4006,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4006, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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21 Jul 2026
From climatology to hazard: environmental regimes and tornado wind-speed exceedance in peninsular Spain and the Balearic Islands
Gonzalo Agurto Barragán, Javier Aroba Páez, Isidoro Gutiérrez-Álvarez, and Enrique Gutiérrez de San Miguel Herrera
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4053,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4053, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Jul 2026
Medical deserts induced by pluvial flood: emergency medical accessibility loss and population exposure
Yating Yang, Xiaodong Guo, Lu Han, Chenhong Xia, and Zhitao Wang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4082,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4082, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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21 Jul 2026
Identifying regions of Europe which may be less prepared for extreme rainfall
Vikki Thompson, Erin Coughlan de Perez, Dorothy Heinrich, Karin van der Wiel, Ed Hawkins, and Andrew Schurer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4100,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4100, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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21 Jul 2026
Cross-scale characteristics of extreme precipitation events under climate change
Jingkun Yang, Benjamin Poschlod, and Felix Ament
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4111,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4111, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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20 Jul 2026
Community-scale assessment of flood-related public health vulnerability using multi-criteria AHP in Northwestern Bangladesh
Nafisa Nuari Islam, Tonoy Mahmud, Shamima Ferdousi Sifa, Md. Asif Rafsan, A. S. M. Maksud Kamal, Md. Shakhawat Hossain, and Md. Zillur Rahman
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3305–3326, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3305-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3305-2026, 2026
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20 Jul 2026
Green Above, Dry Below: Satellite Multi-Indices Reveal Contrasting Drought Trajectories Across the Tekeze Basin (2000–2025)
Bedasa Asefa Jinfessa, Jianjun Zhao, Hongyan Zhang, Zhengxiang Zhang, Xiaoyi Guo, Mebrahtom Zerom Gebreyesus, Yosef Ermiyas Bergene, and Andeptop Sule
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3534,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3534, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Jul 2026
Coupled simulation of landslide, tsunami, and ground displacement for the 2017 Nuugaatsiaq event in Greenland
Hideo Aochi, Masumi Yamada, Tung-Cheng Ho, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Arno Christian Hammann, and Ruth Mottram
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3291–3304, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3291-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3291-2026, 2026
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16 Jul 2026
Post-disaster recovery systems: A systematic review of the Wenchuan earthquake
Zulkaif Ahmed Saqib, Ao Yibin, Zhao Jianjun, and Peng Panyu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2334,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2334, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Jul 2026
Tsunami modeling at lake-scale using non-linear shallow water equations
Jana Charlotte Schierjott, Paola Bacigaluppi, and David Florian Vetsch
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2890,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2890, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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16 Jul 2026
Review article: Global flood research across four decades: An analysis of 57,474 research articles based on a large language model
Jinjun Zhou, Tianyi Huang, Zhanqi Song, Chenrui Qin, Songyun Jin, Jiahong Liu, Weiwei Shao, Yingdong Yu, and Hao Wang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3343,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3343, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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16 Jul 2026
The June 2026 heatwave established a new benchmark for early-summer heat in German
Monica Ionita and Viorica Nagavciuc
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4179,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4179, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 8 comments)
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15 Jul 2026
Benefits of the simplified MEV for analyzing hourly precipitation extremes in a changing climate
Marc Lennartz, Benjamin Poschlod, and Bruno Merz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3273–3289, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3273-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3273-2026, 2026
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15 Jul 2026
Spatial Modelling of Ice-Jam Susceptibility in Southern Quebec: An Enhanced Ice Jam Predisposition Index
Elnaz Mirzaei, Karem Chokmani, Rachid Lhissou, and Saeid Homayouni
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2457,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2457, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Jul 2026
Feature selection for landslide forecasting models in Southern Andes
Manuel Labbé, Millaray Curilem, Ivo Fustos-Toribio, and Mario Pooley
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3253–3272, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3253-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3253-2026, 2026
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14 Jul 2026
Passive seismic tomography of a gas emitting structure: the case of Nirano Mud Volcanoes (Northern Italy)
Nicolò Carfagna, Albachiara Brindisi, and Dario Albarello
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2797,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2797, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Jul 2026
Review article: Upstream reservoir operation and downstream floodplain risk: A review of hydrodynamic modelling and optimization frameworks and case perspective on the Dong Nai–Sai Gon river basin
Dung Duc Tran, Nguyen Duc Thien, Nguyen Thi Thuy Hang, and Do Quang Linh
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3711,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3711, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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14 Jul 2026
Brief communication: How well are Londoners prepared for flooding? An assessment of risk mitigation actions and a pilot comparison of perceived and modelled flood likelihood
Andrew Russell and Prarthna Kaur Khosa
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3820,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3820, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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14 Jul 2026
How exposed is a mountain road to snow avalanches? A corridor-scale assessment in the southern Andes
Iván Latorre, Marius Schaefer, and Felix Oesterle
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3951,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3951, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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13 Jul 2026
| Highlight paper
Beyond the 100-year flood: probabilistic flood hazard assessment for King and Pierce Counties under future climate scenarios
Kees Nederhoff, Kai Parker, and Eric Grossman
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3231–3251, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3231-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-3231-2026, 2026
Short summary Editorial statement
13 Jul 2026
Cascading Wildfire–Atmospheric River Hazards: Postfire Flood Risk after the 2025 Eaton Fire
Fehmida Rafi, Daniel Rowland, and Shang Gao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2665,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2665, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Jul 2026
Evolution of the Auckland Volcanic Field (New Zealand) boundary
Craig Andrew Miller, James Muirhead, Emily Judd, Dougal Townsend, Angela Doherty, Jan Lindsay, and Graham Leonard
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2684,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2684, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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13 Jul 2026
Towards a universal hydrologic metric for predicting rainfall-triggered landslide timing
Jacob B. Woodard, Lisa V. Luna, and Benjamin B. Mirus
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3513,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3513, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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