Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with NHESS-related topics, the recent preprints posted in NHESS’s discussion forum, as well as final revised papers published recently in NHESS.
26 Jul 2024
Harmonizing seismicity information in Central Asian countries: earthquake catalogue and active faults
Valerio Poggi, Stefano Parolai, Natalya Silacheva, Anatoly Ischuk, Kanatbek Abdrakhmatov, Zainalobudin Kobuliev, Vakhitkhan Ismailov, Roman Ibragimov, Japar Karaev, Paola Ceresa, and Paolo Bazzurro
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2597–2613, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2597-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2597-2024, 2024
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26 Jul 2024
Flood occurrence and impact models for socioeconomic applications over Canada and the United States
Manuel Grenier, Mathieu Boudreault, David A. Carozza, Jérémie Boudreault, and Sébastien Raymond
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2577–2595, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2577-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2577-2024, 2024
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26 Jul 2024
Review article: Co-creating knowledge for drought impact assessment in socio-hydrology 
Silvia De Angeli, Lorenzo Villani, Giulio Castelli, Maria Rusca, Giorgio Boni, Elena Bresci, and Luigi Piemontese
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2207,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2207, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Jul 2024
Modelling crop hail damage footprints with single-polarization radar: the roles of spatial resolution, hail intensity, and cropland density
Raphael Portmann, Timo Schmid, Leonie Villiger, David N. Bresch, and Pierluigi Calanca
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2541–2558, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2541-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2541-2024, 2024
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25 Jul 2024
Model-based assessment of climate change impact on inland flood risk at the German North Sea coast caused by compounding storm tide and precipitation events
Helge Bormann, Jenny Kebschull, Lidia Gaslikova, and Ralf Weisse
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2559–2576, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2559-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2559-2024, 2024
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25 Jul 2024
What can we learn from global disaster records about multi-hazards and their risk dynamics?
Wiebke S. Jäger, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Timothy Tiggeloven, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-134,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-134, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Jul 2024
Estimating the mass of tephra accumulated on roads to best manage the impact of volcanic eruptions: the example of Mt. Etna, Italy
Luigi Mereu, Manuel Stocchi, Alexander Garcia, Michele Prestifilippo, Laura Sandri, Costanza Bonadonna, and Simona Scollo
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2028,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2028, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Jul 2024
A glacial lake outburst flood risk assessment for the Phochhu river basin, Bhutan
Tandin Wangchuk and Ryota Tsubaki
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2523–2540, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2523-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2523-2024, 2024
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24 Jul 2024
Kinetic characteristics investigation of the Yingxingping rockslide based on discrete element method combined with discrete fracture network
Bo Liu, Yufang Zhang, Xiewen Hu, Jian Li, Kun Yuan, Kun He, Jian Cui, and Zhenhua Yin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2216,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2216, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Jul 2024
From rockfall source areas identification to susceptibility zonation: a proposed workflow tested in El Hierro (Canary Islands, Spain)
Roberto Sarro, Mauro Rossi, Paola Reichenbach, and Rosa María Mateos
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-85,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-85, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Jul 2024
Causes of the exceptionally high number of fatalities in the Ahr valley, Germany, during the 2021 flood
Belinda Rhein and Heidi Kreibich
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2066,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2066, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Jul 2024
Insights into ground strike point properties in Europe through the EUCLID lightning location system
Dieter Roel Poelman, Hannes Kohlmann, and Wolfgang Schulz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2511–2522, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2511-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2511-2024, 2024
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22 Jul 2024
The role of citizen science in assessing the spatiotemporal pattern of rainfall events in urban areas: a case study in the city of Genoa, Italy
Nicola Loglisci, Giorgio Boni, Arianna Cauteruccio, Francesco Faccini, Massimo Milelli, Guido Paliaga, and Antonio Parodi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2495–2510, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2495-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2495-2024, 2024
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22 Jul 2024
The Record-Breaking Precipitation Event of December 2022 in Portugal
Tiago M. Ferreira, Ricardo M. Trigo, Tomás H. Gaspar, Joaquim G. Pinto, and Alexandre M. Ramos
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-130,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-130, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Jul 2024
Brief Communication: Stay local or go global? On the construction of plausible counterfactual scenarios to assess flash flood hazards
Paul Voit and Maik Heistermann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-119,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-119, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Jul 2024
Estuarine hurricane wind can intensify surge-dominated extreme water level in shallow and converging coastal systems
Mithun Deb, James J. Benedict, Ning Sun, Zhaoqing Yang, Robert D. Hetland, David Judi, and Taiping Wang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2461–2479, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2461-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2461-2024, 2024
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19 Jul 2024
Revisiting regression methods for estimating long-term trends in sea surface temperature
Ming-Huei Chang, Yen-Chen Huang, Yu-Hsin Cheng, Chuen-Teyr Terng, Jinyi Chen, and Jyh Cherng Jan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2481–2494, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2481-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2481-2024, 2024
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19 Jul 2024
Optimizing Rainfall-Triggered Landslide Thresholds to Warning Daily Landslide Hazard in Three Gorges Reservoir Area
Bo Peng and Xueling Wu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-109,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-109, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Jul 2024
Precipitation extremes in Ukraine from 1979 to 2019: climatology, large-scale flow conditions, and moisture sources
Ellina Agayar, Franziska Aemisegger, Moshe Armon, Alexander Scherrmann, and Heini Wernli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2441–2459, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2441-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2441-2024, 2024
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17 Jul 2024
Micro-business participation in collective flood adaptation: lessons from scenario-based analysis in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Javier Revilla Diez, Roxana Leitold, Van Tran, and Matthias Garschagen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2425–2440, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2425-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2425-2024, 2024
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17 Jul 2024
Exploring implications of input parameter uncertainties on GLOF modelling results using the state-of-the-art modelling code, r.avaflow
Sonam Rinzin, Stuart Dunning, Rachel Carr, Ashim Sattar, and Martin Mergili
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1819,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1819, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Jul 2024
Comparing components for seismic risk modelling using data from the 2019 Le Teil (France) earthquake
Konstantinos Trevlopoulos, Pierre Gehl, Caterina Negulescu, Helen Crowley, and Laurentiu Danciu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2383–2401, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2383-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2383-2024, 2024
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16 Jul 2024
| Highlight paper
Brief communication: Storm Daniel flood impact in Greece in 2023: mapping crop and livestock exposure from synthetic-aperture radar (SAR)
Kang He, Qing Yang, Xinyi Shen, Elias Dimitriou, Angeliki Mentzafou, Christina Papadaki, Maria Stoumboudi, and Emmanouil N. Anagnostou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2375–2382, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2375-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2375-2024, 2024
Short summary Executive editor
16 Jul 2024
Global application of a regional frequency analysis to extreme sea levels
Thomas P. Collings, Niall D. Quinn, Ivan D. Haigh, Joshua Green, Izzy Probyn, Hamish Wilkinson, Sanne Muis, William V. Sweet, and Paul D. Bates
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2403–2423, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2403-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2403-2024, 2024
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16 Jul 2024
Dynamics and Impacts of Monsoon-Induced Geological Hazards: A 2022 Flood Study along the Swat River in Pakistan
Nazir Ahmed Bazai, Mehtab Alam, Peng Cui, Wang Hao, Adil Poshad Khan, Muhammad Waseem, Yao Shunyu, Muhammad Ramzan, Li Wanhong, and Tashfain Ahmed
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-95,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-95, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Jul 2024
Probabilistic assessment of postfire debris-flow inundation in response to forecast rainfall
Alexander B. Prescott, Luke A. McGuire, Kwang-Sung Jun, Katherine R. Barnhart, and Nina S. Oakley
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2359–2374, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2359-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2359-2024, 2024
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15 Jul 2024
Unravelling the capacity-action gap in flood risk adaptation
Annika Schubert, Anne von Streit, and Matthias Garschagen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-121,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-121, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Jul 2024
Characterizing hail-prone environments using convection-permitting reanalysis and overshooting top detections over south-central Europe
Antonio Giordani, Michael Kunz, Kristopher M. Bedka, Heinz Jürgen Punge, Tiziana Paccagnella, Valentina Pavan, Ines M. L. Cerenzia, and Silvana Di Sabatino
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2331–2357, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2331-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2331-2024, 2024
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11 Jul 2024
Prediction of volume of shallow landslides due to rainfall using data-driven models
Jérémie Tuganishuri, Chan-Young Yune, Manik Das Adhikari, Seung Woo Lee, Gihong Kim, and Sang-Guk Yum
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-90,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-90, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Jul 2024
Flood risk assessment through large-scale modeling under uncertainty
Luciano Pavesi, Elena Volpi, and Aldo Fiori
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-114,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-114, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Jul 2024
Migration as a Hidden Risk Factor in Seismic Fatality: A Spatial Modeling Approach to the Chi-Chi Earthquake and Suburban Syndrome
Tzu-Hsin Karen Chen, Kuan-Hui Elaine Lin, Thung-Hong Lin, Gee-Yu Liu, Chin-Hsun Yeh, and Diana Maria Ceballos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1493,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1493, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Jul 2024
Analysis of Borehole Strain Anomalies Before the 2017 Jiuzhaigou Ms7.0 Earthquake Based on Graph Neural Network
Chenyang Li, Changfeng Qin, Jie Zhang, Yu Duan, and Chengquan Chi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2025, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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09 Jul 2024
Aircraft engine dust ingestion at global airports
Claire L. Ryder, Clément Bézier, Helen F. Dacre, Rory Clarkson, Vassilis Amiridis, Eleni Marinou, Emmanouil Proestakis, Zak Kipling, Angela Benedetti, Mark Parrington, Samuel Rémy, and Mark Vaughan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2263–2284, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2263-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2263-2024, 2024
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09 Jul 2024
An improved dynamic bidirectional coupled hydrologic–hydrodynamic model for efficient flood inundation prediction
Yanxia Shen, Zhenduo Zhu, Qi Zhou, and Chunbo Jiang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2315–2330, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2315-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2315-2024, 2024
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09 Jul 2024
Tsunami hazard assessment in the South China Sea based on geodetic locking of the Manila subduction zone
Guangsheng Zhao and Xiaojing Niu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2303–2313, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2303-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2303-2024, 2024
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09 Jul 2024
Modeling Seismic Hazard and Landslide Potentials in Northwestern Yunnan, China: Exploring Complex Fault Systems with multi-segment rupturing in a Block Rotational Tectonic Zone
Jia Cheng, Chong Xu, Xiwei Xu, Shimin Zhang, and Pengyu Zhu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-96,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-96, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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08 Jul 2024
Assimilation of temperature and relative humidity observations from personal weather stations in AROME-France
Alan Demortier, Marc Mandement, Vivien Pourret, and Olivier Caumont
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1673,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1673, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Jul 2024
Flood exposure of environmental assets
Gabriele Bertoli, Chiara Arrighi, and Enrica Caporali
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-105,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-105, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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08 Jul 2024
Satellite-based data for agricultural index insurance: a systematic quantitative literature review
Thuy T. Nguyen, Shahbaz Mushtaq, Jarrod Kath, Thong Nguyen-Huy, and Louis Reymondin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1527,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1527, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Jul 2024
Quantifying hazard resilience by modeling infrastructure recovery as a resource-constrained project scheduling problem
Taylor Glen Johnson, Jorge Leandro, and Divine Kwaku Ahadzie
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2285–2302, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2285-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2285-2024, 2024
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04 Jul 2024
Mid-field tsunami hazards in greater Karachi from seven hypothetical ruptures of the Makran subduction thrust
Haider Hasan, Hira Ashfaq Lodhi, Shoaib Ahmed, Shahrukh Khan, Adnan Rais, and Muhammad Masood Rafi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-110,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-110, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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03 Jul 2024
Risk reduction through managed retreat? Investigating enabling conditions and assessing resettlement effects on community resilience in Metro Manila
Hannes Lauer, Carmeli Marie C. Chaves, Evelyn Lorenzo, Sonia Islam, and Jörn Birkmann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2243–2261, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2243-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2243-2024, 2024
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01 Jul 2024
Catchment-scale assessment of drought impact on environmental flow in the Indus Basin, Pakistan
Khalil Ur Rahman, Songhao Shang, Khaled Saeed Balkhair, Hamza Farooq Gabriel, Khan Zaib Jadoon, and Kifayat Zaman
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2191–2214, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2191-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2191-2024, 2024
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01 Jul 2024
Hydrometeorological controls of and social response to the 22 October 2019 catastrophic flash flood in Catalonia, north-eastern Spain
Arnau Amengual, Romu Romero, María Carmen Llasat, Alejandro Hermoso, and Montserrat Llasat-Botija
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2215–2242, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2215-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2215-2024, 2024
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01 Jul 2024
Brief communication: Lessons learned and experiences gained from building up a global survey on societal resilience to changing droughts
Marina Batalini de Macedo, Marcos Roberto Benso, Karina Simone Sass, Eduardo Mario Mendiondo, Greicelene Jesus da Silva, Pedro Gustavo Câmara da Silva, Elisabeth Shrimpton, Tanaya Sarmah, Da Huo, Michael Jacobson, Abdullah Konak, Nazmiye Balta-Ozkan, and Adelaide Cassia Nardocci
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2165–2173, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2165-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2165-2024, 2024
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01 Jul 2024
The impact of long-term changes in ocean waves and storm surge on coastal shoreline change: a case study of Bass Strait and south-east Australia
Mandana Ghanavati, Ian R. Young, Ebru Kirezci, and Jin Liu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2175–2190, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2175-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2175-2024, 2024
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01 Jul 2024
How does perceived heat stress differ between urban forms and human vulnerability profiles? – case study Berlin
Nimra Iqbal, Marvin Ravan, Zina Mitraka, Joern Birkmann, Sue Grimmond, Denise Hertwig, Nektarios Chrysoulakis, Giorgos Somarakis, and Angela Wendnagel-Beck
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1907,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1907, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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28 Jun 2024
Evaluating post-wildfire debris-flow rainfall thresholds and volume models at the 2020 Grizzly Creek Fire in Glenwood Canyon, Colorado, USA
Francis K. Rengers, Samuel Bower, Andrew Knapp, Jason W. Kean, Danielle W. vonLembke, Matthew A. Thomas, Jaime Kostelnik, Katherine R. Barnhart, Matthew Bethel, Joseph E. Gartner, Madeline Hille, Dennis M. Staley, Justin K. Anderson, Elizabeth K. Roberts, Stephen B. DeLong, Belize Lane, Paxton Ridgway, and Brendan P. Murphy
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2093–2114, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2093-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2093-2024, 2024
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27 Jun 2024
Regional seismic risk assessment based on ground conditions in Uzbekistan
Vakhitkhan Alikhanovich Ismailov, Sharofiddin Ismatullayevich Yodgorov, Akhror Sabriddinovich Khusomiddinov, Eldor Makhmadiyorovich Yadigarov, Bekzod Uktamovich Aktamov, and Shuhrat Bakhtiyorovich Avazov
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2133–2146, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2133-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2133-2024, 2024
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27 Jun 2024
| Highlight paper
The risk of synoptic-scale Arctic cyclones to shipping
Alexander Frank Vessey, Kevin I. Hodges, Len C. Shaffrey, and Jonathan J. Day
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2115–2132, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2115-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2115-2024, 2024
Short summary Executive editor
27 Jun 2024
| Highlight paper
A downward-counterfactual analysis of flash floods in Germany
Paul Voit and Maik Heistermann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2147–2164, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2147-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2147-2024, 2024
Short summary Executive editor
27 Jun 2024
Assessment of coastal inundation triggered by multiple drivers in Ca Mau Peninsula, Vietnam
Hung Nghia Nguyen, Quan Quan Le, Dung Viet Nguyen, Tan Hong Cao, Toan Quang To, Hai Do Dac, Melissa Wood, and Ivan D. Haigh
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-107,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-107, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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26 Jun 2024
Classification of North Atlantic and European extratropical cyclones using multiple measures of intensity
Joona Samuel Cornér, Clément Gael Francis Bouvier, Benjamin Doiteau, Florian Pantillon, and Victoria Anne Sinclair
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1749,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1749, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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26 Jun 2024
Brief communication: Forecasting extreme precipitation from atmospheric rivers in New Zealand
Daniel G. Kingston, Liam Cooper, David A. Lavers, and David M. Hannah
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1742,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1742, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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24 Jun 2024
Hyper-resolution flood hazard mapping at the national scale
Günter Blöschl, Andreas Buttinger-Kreuzhuber, Daniel Cornel, Julia Eisl, Michael Hofer, Markus Hollaus, Zsolt Horváth, Jürgen Komma, Artem Konev, Juraj Parajka, Norbert Pfeifer, Andreas Reithofer, José Salinas, Peter Valent, Roman Výleta, Jürgen Waser, Michael H. Wimmer, and Heinz Stiefelmeyer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2071–2091, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2071-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2071-2024, 2024
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24 Jun 2024
Applying recession models for low-flow prediction: a comparison of regression and matching strip approaches
Michael Margreth, Florian Lustenberger, Dorothea Hug Peter, Fritz Schlunegger, and Massimiliano Zappa
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-78,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-78, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Jun 2024
Tsunami detection methods for Ocean-Bottom Pressure Gauges
Cesare Angeli, Alberto Armigliato, Martina Zanetti, Filippo Zaniboni, Fabrizio Romano, Hafize Başak Bayraktar, and Stefano Lorito
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-113,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-113, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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21 Jun 2024
Unveiling transboundary challenges in river flood risk management: learning from the Ciliwung River basin
Harkunti Pertiwi Rahayu, Khonsa Indana Zulfa, Dewi Nurhasanah, Richard Haigh, Dilanthi Amaratunga, and In In Wahdiny
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2045–2064, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2045-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2045-2024, 2024
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21 Jun 2024
Estimation of future rainfall extreme values by temperature-dependent disaggregation of climate model data
Niklas Ebers, Kai Schröter, and Hannes Müller-Thomy
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2025–2043, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2025-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2025-2024, 2024
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21 Jun 2024
Brief communication: Implications of outstanding solitons for the occurrence of rogue waves at two additional sites in the North Sea
Ina Teutsch, Ralf Weisse, and Sander Wahls
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2065–2069, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2065-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2065-2024, 2024
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18 Jun 2024
A participatory approach to determine the use of road cut slope design guidelines in Nepal to lessen landslides
Ellen B. Robson, Bhim Kumar Dahal, and David G. Toll
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1300,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1300, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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17 Jun 2024
Review article: Research progress on influencing factors, data, and methods for early identification of landslide hazards
Heng Lu, Zhengli Yang, Kai Song, Zhijie Zhang, Chao Liu, Ruihua Nie, Lei Ma, Wanchang Zhang, Gang Fan, Chen Chen, and Min Zhang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-68,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-68, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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17 Jun 2024
How can seismo-volcanic catalogues be improved or created using robust neural networks through weakly supervised approaches?
Manuel Titos, Carmen Benítez, Milad Kowsari, and Jesús M. Ibáñez
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-102,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-102, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Jun 2024
Review Article: Leveraging Social Media for Managing Natural Hazard Disasters: A Critical Review of Data Collection Strategies and Actionable Insights
Lakshmi S. Gopal, Rekha Prabha, Hemalatha Thirugnanam, Maneesha Vinodini Ramesh, and Bruce D. Malamud
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1536,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1536, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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14 Jun 2024
Quantitative study of storm surge risk assessment in an undeveloped coastal area of China based on deep learning and geographic information system techniques: a case study of Double Moon Bay
Lichen Yu, Hao Qin, Shining Huang, Wei Wei, Haoyu Jiang, and Lin Mu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2003–2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2003-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2003-2024, 2024
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14 Jun 2024
Simulation of a lithosphere-atmosphere-ionosphere electromagnetic coupling prior to the Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake
Mei Li, Zhuangkai Wang, Chen Zhou, Handong Tan, and Meng Cao
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-94,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-94, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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14 Jun 2024
Quantitative analysis of actors' mention in press coverage of a seismo-volcanic activity in the French overseas
Louise Le Vagueresse, Marion Le Texier, and Maud H. Devès
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1358,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1358, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Jun 2024
Compound droughts under climate change in Switzerland
Christoph Nathanael von Matt, Regula Muelchi, Lukas Gudmundsson, and Olivia Martius
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1975–2001, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1975-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1975-2024, 2024
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13 Jun 2024
2021 Alaska Earthquake: entropy approach to its precursors and aftershock regimes
Eugenio E. Vogel, Denisse Pastén, Gonzalo Saravia, Michel Aguilera, and Antonio Posadas
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-106,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-106, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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12 Jun 2024
A systemic and comprehensive assessment of coastal hazard changes: method and application to France and its overseas territories
Marc Igigabel, Marissa Yates, Michalis Vousdoukas, and Youssef Diab
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1951–1974, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1951-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1951-2024, 2024
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12 Jun 2024
Conversion relationships between Modified Mercalli Intensity and Peak Ground Acceleration for historical shallow crustal earthquakes in Mexico
Quetzalcoatl Rodríguez-Pérez and F. Ramón Zúñiga
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-92,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-92, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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12 Jun 2024
Unravelling Landslide Failure Mechanisms with Seismic Signal Analysis for Enhanced Pre-Survey Understanding
Jui-Ming Chang, Che-Ming Yang, Wei-An Chao, Chin-Shang Ku, Ming-Wan Huang, Tung-Chou Hsieh, and Chi-Yao Hung
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1267,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1267, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Jun 2024
Brief communication: SWM – stochastic weather model for precipitation-related hazard assessments using ERA5-Land data
Melody Gwyneth Whitehead and Mark Stephen Bebbington
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1929–1935, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1929-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1929-2024, 2024
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11 Jun 2024
Climatic characteristics of the Jianghuai cyclone and its linkage with precipitation during the Meiyu period from 1961 to 2020
Ran Zhu and Lei Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1937–1950, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1937-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1937-2024, 2024
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11 Jun 2024
Brief Communication: Monitoring slope acceleration and impending failure with very high spatial and temporal resolution space borne Synthetic Aperture Radars
Andrea Manconi, Yves Bühler, Andreas Stoffel, Johan Gaume, Qiaoping Zhang, and Valentyn Tolpekin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1296,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1296, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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11 Jun 2024
Temporal dynamic vulnerability – Impact of antecedent events on residential building losses to wind storm events in Germany
Andreas Trojand, Henning Rust, and Uwe Ulbrich
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1506,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1506, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Jun 2024
Tangible and intangible ex-post assessment of flood-induced damages to cultural heritage
Claudia De Lucia, Michele Amaddii, and Chiara Arrighi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-104,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-104, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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10 Jun 2024
It could have been much worse: spatial counterfactuals of the July 2021 flood in the Ahr valley, Germany
Sergiy Vorogushyn, Li Han, Heiko Apel, Viet Dung Nguyen, Björn Guse, Xiaoxiang Guan, Oldrich Rakovec, Husain Najafi, Luis Samaniego, and Bruno Merz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-97,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-97, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Jun 2024
The Avalanche Terrain Exposure Scale (ATES) v.2
Grant Statham and Cam Campbell
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-89,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-89, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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10 Jun 2024
Predicting Deep-Seated Landslide Displacements in Mountains through the Integration of Convolutional Neural Networks and Age of Exploration-Inspired Optimizer
Jui-Sheng Chou, Hoang-Minh Nguyen, Huy-Phuong Phan, and Kuo-Lung Wang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-86,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-86, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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06 Jun 2024
Addressing class imbalance in soil movement predictions
Praveen Kumar, Priyanka Priyanka, Kala Venkata Uday, and Varun Dutt
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1913–1928, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1913-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1913-2024, 2024
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06 Jun 2024
Mapping vulnerability to climate change for spatial planning in the region of Stuttgart
Joanna M. McMillan, Franziska Göttsche, Joern Birkmann, Rainer Kapp, Corinna Schmidt, Britta Weisser, and Ali Jamshed
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1407,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1407, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Jun 2024
Regional modelling of extreme sea levels induced by hurricanes
Alisée A. Chaigneau, Melisa Menéndez, Marta Ramírez-Pérez, and Alexandra Toimil
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-100,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-100, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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05 Jun 2024
Flood hazard mapping and disaster prevention recommendations based on detailed topographical analysis in Khovd City, Western Mongolia
Narangerel Serdyanjiv, Suzuki Yasuhiro, Hasegawa Tomonori, and Takaichi Yoshiyuki
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-91,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-91, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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05 Jun 2024
Adaptive Behavior of Over a Million Individual Farmers Under Consecutive Droughts: A Large-Scale Agent-Based Modeling Analysis in the Bhima Basin, India
Maurice W. M. L. Kalthof, Jens de Bruijn, Hans de Moel, Heidi Kreibich, and Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1588,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1588, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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05 Jun 2024
Reconstruction and forecasting of slow-moving landslide displacement using a Kalman Filter approach
Mohit Mishra, Gildas Besançon, Guillaume Chambon, and Laurent Baillet
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1227,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1227, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Jun 2024
Contemporary measurements of the background open ocean tsunami spectrum using the Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami (DART) stations
Sean R. Santellanes and Diego Melgar
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1614,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1614, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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05 Jun 2024
Key learning moments as predictors for understanding snowpack dynamics during a season-long avalanche course?
Tim Dassler, Richard Fjellaksel, and Gerit Pfuhl
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1533,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1533, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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04 Jun 2024
Verifying the relationships among the variabilities of summer precipitation extremes over western Japan in the d4PDF climate ensemble, monsoon activity, and Pacific sea surface temperature
Shao-Yi Lee, Sicheng He, and Tetsuya Takemi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1304,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1304, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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04 Jun 2024
Dynamical changes of seismic properties prior to, during, and after 2014–2015 Holuhraun Eruption, Iceland
Maria R.P. Sudibyo, Eva P. S. Eibl, Sebastian Hainzl, and Matthias Ohrnberger
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1445,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1445, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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03 Jun 2024
Assessing the impact of climate change on landslides near Vejle, Denmark, using public data
Kristian Svennevig, Julian Koch, Marie Keiding, and Gregor Luetzenburg
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1897–1911, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1897-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1897-2024, 2024
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03 Jun 2024
A Holocene alpine seismic chronicle from Lake Aiguebelette (NW French Alps)
Mathilde Banjan, Christian Crouzet, Hervé Jomard, Pierre Sabatier, David Marsan, and Erwan Messager
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-83,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-83, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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31 May 2024
Statistical calibration of probabilistic medium-range fire weather index forecasts in Europe
Stephanie Bohlmann and Marko Laine
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-57,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-57, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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31 May 2024
Review article: Insuring the green economy against natural hazards – charting research frontiers in vulnerability assessment
Harikesan Baskaran, Ioanna Ioannou, Tiziana Rossetto, Jonas Cels, Mathis Joffrain, Nicolas Mortegoutte, Aurelie Fallon Saint-Lo, and Catalina Spataru
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-82,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-82, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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31 May 2024
Sensitive infrastructures and people with disabilities – Key issues when strengthening resilience in reconstruction
Alessa Truedinger, Joern Birkmann, Mark Fleischhauer, and Celso Ferreira
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1607,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1607, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 May 2024
Multisectoral analysis of drought impacts and management responses to the 2008–2015 record drought in the Colorado Basin, Texas
Stephen B. Ferencz, Ning Sun, Sean W. D. Turner, Brian A. Smith, and Jennie S. Rice
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1871–1896, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1871-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1871-2024, 2024
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30 May 2024
A regional analysis of paraglacial landslide activation in southern coastal Alaska
Jane Walden, Mylène Jacquemart, Bretwood Higman, Romain Hugonnet, Andrea Manconi, and Daniel Farinotti
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1086,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1086, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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30 May 2024
Automating tephra fall building damage assessment using deep learning
Eleanor Tennant, Susanna F. Jenkins, Victoria Miller, Richard Robertson, Bihan Wen, Sang-Ho Yun, and Benoit Taisne
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-81,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-81, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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30 May 2024
A methodology to compile multi-hazard interrelationships in a data-scarce setting: an application to Kathmandu Valley, Nepal
Harriet E. Thompson, Joel C. Gill, Robert Šakić Trogrlić, Faith E. Taylor, and Bruce D. Malamud
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-101,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-101, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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27 May 2024
An appraisal of the value of simulated weather data for quantifying coastal flood hazard in the Netherlands
Cees de Valk and Henk van den Brink
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-912,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-912, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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