Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS

Preprints

The following lists only preprints without a corresponding final revised paper.
02 Oct 2026
Investigating rupture directivity effects on macroseismic intensity data in Italy
Andrea Antonucci, Giovanni Lanzano, Andrea Rovida, Sara Sgobba, Augusto Antonio Gomez-Capera, and Vera D'Amico
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5621, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
02 Oct 2026
Regression analysis of macroscopic tsunami intensity and offshore wave height in the Mediterranean Sea
Jacopo Selva, Giovanni Zanaboni, and Laura Graziani
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5023, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Oct 2026
Integrating predictive uncertainty into satellite-based flood mapping
Chi-Ju Chen, Chun-Hao Yang, Wei Weng, and Li-Pen Wang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4233, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Oct 2026
Review article: Towards consistent estimation of coastal water levels combining satellite altimetry and hydrodynamic modelling
Bjorn Backeberg, Jemma Johnson, Natalia Aleksandrova, Cornelis Slobbe, Fabio Mangini, Marcello Passaro, Sanne Muis, Pavel Ditmar, Antonio Bonaduce, Gundula Winter, and Michael Hart-Davis
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3916, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Oct 2026
Fire danger and wildfire occurrence in Botswana’s savannas: evaluating fire-danger indices and early-warning thresholds using 2001–2024 observations
Kago E. Maabong, Kgakgamatso M. Mphale, Douglas Letsholathebe, Thuso H. Tlhalerwa, and Oyapo Chimidza
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5586, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Oct 2026
Brief communication: GNSS water-vapour fluctuations read the air mass of the 2024 Rio Grande do Sul and 2022 Recife floods hours ahead of the heaviest rain
Gaël Kermarrec
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5548, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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01 Oct 2026
First multiparametric observation of a mud volcano eruption
Paolo Madonia, Simona Petrosino, Fausto Grassa, Antonio Caracausi, Gioacchino Fertitta, Antonio Costanza, and Paola Cusano
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4985, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Sep 2026
Quantifying the heterogeneous impacts of drought across the distribution of wildfire scale
Kyunghun Kim, Nivedita Sairam, and Bruno Merz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5526, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Sep 2026
Equal Area, Unequal Connectivity: A Random-Field Framework for Liquefaction Hazard Organization
Şahin Çağlar Tuna
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2676, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Sep 2026
Extreme high-water anomalies in southwest coastal Bangladesh: model uncertainty, cyclone-event checks and non-stationarity
Sujoy Biswas, M. Shahjahan Ali, Arpon Roy, Nikhil Ronjon Roy, and Juganto Roy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5598, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Sep 2026
Brief communication: Simulations indicate, the multi-year drought of 2018–2023 could have happened in the 1960s
Oliver Bothe
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5051, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Sep 2026
Road Construction-Triggered Landslides: daily-resolution attribution and pre-construction suitability mapping in the Lali and Baku Gad watersheds of Himalaya, Far-Western Nepal
Bhuwan Awasthi, Sarawut Ninsawat, Nitin Kumar Tripathi, and Kuo-Chieh Chao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4364, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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28 Sep 2026
A catalogue-verified multiverse audit of machine-learning seismic susceptibility modelling in western Yunnan, China
Guowei Wang, Ze Fan, Guodong Wang, Xin Wei, Ye Fan, and Lu Xu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3866, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Sep 2026
Temperature and Rainfall Effects on Rock Slope Dynamics: Evidence from Multi‑Site Monitoring in Czechia, Central Europe
Ondřej Racek, Marco Loche, Filip Hartvich, and Jan Blahůt
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5565, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Sep 2026
How much of a regional Coulomb stress map survives its own uncertainty? An audit with forecast-skill validation for Türkiye
Mehmet Sait Vural
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5171, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Sep 2026
Using soil-compaction rates by the European Ground Motion Service (PS-InSAR) to estimate, at high spatial resolution, the site conditions of the Grenoble basin (French Alps) for its response to earthquakes
Valentin Schindelholz, Aya Cheaib, Emeline Maufroy, Cécile Cornou, and Erwan Pathier
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5011, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Sep 2026
Towards the European Tephra Hazard Map: Methodology and Catalogue of Footprints
Arnau Folch, Laura Sandri, Sara Barsotti, Simone Aguiar, Beatriz Martínez Montesinos, Alejandra Guerrero, Pablo Tierz, Heribert Pascual, Eva Hernandez, Leonardo Mingari, and Antonio Costa
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4485, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Sep 2026
Brief communication: NISAR pixel offsets measure but do not statistically resolve pre-failure motion at the 26 August 2026 Bhote Koshi ice–rock avalanche, Nepal
Sansar Raj Meena
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5462, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Sep 2026
Intensification of a European Storm Cluster in a Warmer Climate: Evidence from Regional Storylines
Felipe de L. L. de Amorim, Frauke Feser, and Ralf Weisse
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5306, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Sep 2026
Nonlinear Event-Space Analysis of Radon and Meteorological Parameters for Seismic Anomaly Identification
Rishabh Bhasin, Preeti Kamra, Vivek Walia, Ching-Chou Fu, Hsaio-Fen Lee, and Shih-Jung Lin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5420, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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23 Sep 2026
Remote HVGD Implying the Seismogenic Positions of 2025 Mandalay Earthquake Sequence
Yu Feng, Wenfei Mao, Jia Li, Yifan Ding, Yuan Qi, Guokun Chen, Busheng Xie, Licheng Sun, Hong Tang, and Lixin Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4946, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Sep 2026
Multi-Resolution Flood Hazard and Exposure Assessment in the Upper Narmada Basin
Pragya Badika, Nithila Devi Nallasamy, Nadja Veigel, Laurens J. N. Oostwegel, Heidi Kreibich, and Ankit Agarwal
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4699, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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23 Sep 2026
Ash Fingers Modify Tephra Sedimentation During a Coarse-Ash-Dominated Eruption: Evidence from the 23 July 2024 Etna Paroxysm
Carolina Díaz-Vecino, Jonathan Lemus, Allan Fries, Riccardo Simionato, Simon Thivet, Simona Scollo, Francesco Amadio, Laura Pioli, Alexandros Panagiotis Poulidis, Valentin Freret-Lorgeril, and Costanza Bonadonna
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4051, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Sep 2026
Climate model ensembles reveal increasing future extreme precipitation in Northern Italy
Yue Lai, Rui Guo, and Alberto Montanari
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5518, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Sep 2026
Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Environments Controls of Non-Typhoon Mesoscale Convective Systems during the Post-flood Rainy Season over South China
Wen Jiang, Yangruixue Chen, Jiafeng Zheng, Chong Wu, Yanyu Gao, Jiatong Liu, and Juan Zhou
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5422, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Sep 2026
Regional spectral decay model for the Sichuan, China: Application in ground motion simulation of the Ms 6.0 Changning earthquake
Pengfei Dang, Bingyan Zhao, Qifang Liu, Jie Cui, and Xinjian Jia
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5413, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Sep 2026
Flood-Disease ABM: A Multi-Pathway Agent-Based Model for Simulating Flood Disruption and Post-Flood Health Impacts Across the Disaster Lifecycle
Obeng A. Addai and Raymond J. Spiteri
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5463, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
15 Sep 2026
Beyond the flood map: an open-source framework for forecasting cascading impacts of natural hazards on people and essential services
Luca Gaetan Severino, Evelyn Mühlhofer, Nishadh Kalladath, and David Niklaus Bresch
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5363, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
Short summary
15 Sep 2026
Comparative Study of HEC-RAS and TELEMAC for Two-Dimensional Flood Simulation in a Densely Built Urban Area
Ardy Nur Ahmadito, Leon Frederik De Vos, Faizal Immaddudin Wira Rohmat, and Muhammad Syahril Badri Kusuma
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4597, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Sep 2026
How map design shapes natural hazard risk understanding and perception: a case study from the Canton of Lucerne
Michèle Marti, Mika Chadzelek, and Donat Fulda
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3789, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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11 Sep 2026
A disruption scoring framework for critical infrastructure exposed to multiple hazard sources: tephra fall on Japan's electricity network
Rui Xue Natalie Teng, Josh L. Hayes, Susanna F. Jenkins, David Lallemant, Mathis Joffrain, Eisuke Fujita, John Wardman, Yousuke Miyagi, and Tomohiro Kubo
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5468, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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09 Sep 2026
Convective environments prone to downbursts, large hail, short-duration precipitation extremes and tornadoes in Spain
Andres Barrio-Martin, Carlos Calvo-Sancho, Nuria P. Plaza-Martin, Cesar Azorin-Molina, Andreas F. Prein, Tim R. McVicar, Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano, Luis Gimeno, Raquel Nieto, Zhenzhong Zeng, Ana Morata, and Deliang Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5202, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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09 Sep 2026
Historical Marmara Tsunamis Reconstruction Through Physics-Based Scenario Selection
Wilfrid Djima and A. Can Zulfikar
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4280, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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09 Sep 2026
Quantitative Modelling of Marine Seismic Hazard Chains: Topology, Core Amplification Nodes, and Implications
Yang Shi, Chunyu Hu, and Zhenguo Zhang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4167, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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08 Sep 2026
A process-based framework for regional landslide debris inundation hazard assessment: application to the West Coast region of New Zealand
Kerry Leith, Chris Massey, Biljana Lukovic, and Volker Wichmann
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.31223/X5150F, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 8 comments)
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07 Sep 2026
Landslide debris inundation risk and uncertainty from a process-based hazard model for the West Coast region of New Zealand
Kerry Leith and Volker Wichmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4834, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Sep 2026
An integrated framework for wildfire risk assessment under climate change: empirical validation and application in Greece
Anna Karali, Maria Hatzaki, Konstantinos V. Varotsos, Aristea Koliou, Nikolaos Fyllas, Varvara Antoniou, and Christos Giannakopoulos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4656, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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04 Sep 2026
The Netherlands flooded by flames: a rapid-response analysis of the Apr/May 2026 simultaneous wildfire events
Cathelijne R. Stoof, Brian Verhoeven, Harm Bartholomeus, Marc Castellnou Ribau, Jelmer Dam, Edwin Kok, Lone Mokkenstorm, Janette Bessembinder, Sjoukje Philip, Nora Schreuder, and Adriana Solovei
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3303, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
Short summary
03 Sep 2026
Territorial deprivation and remotely mapped building damage after the 2026 Colombia earthquake: A multi-city analysis
Gelys Mestre Carrillo, María Isabel Castro-Rebolledo, and Lucia C. Lozano
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5015, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Sep 2026
Advancing seasonal storm surge forecasting through weather pattern–informed ensemble subselection
Anna K. Miesner, Daniel Krieger, and Leonard F. Borchert
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5065, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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02 Sep 2026
Automated landslide detection in SAR wrapped interferograms using a geomorphology-constrained YOLO CNN
Alessandro C. Mondini, Alessandro Simoni, Fabio Bovenga, Alessandro Mercurio, Cristina Reyes-Carmona, Boyun Yu, and Federico Agliardi
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.31223/X51B7T, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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01 Sep 2026
Flood estimation in natural and urban catchments using hydrological simulation and Bayes theorem
Thomas Skaugen, Deborah Lawrence, Matthew Lee Newell, Tiia Pedusaar, Anne Kristine Fleig, and Emmanuel Paquet
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4900, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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31 Aug 2026
MAROR: a multipoint autoregressive network for forcing-driven, uncertainty-calibrated reconstruction of hourly coastal sea level from 1940 to the present
Angel Amores, Roberto Alcaraz, Marta Marcos, Philip Thompson, Ariadna Martín, and Thomas Wahl
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5073, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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31 Aug 2026
Key parameters to improve prediction of the drift and resurfacing of human bodies following drowning in rivers
Clément Delhez, Philippe Boxho, Werner Jacobs, Sébastien Erpicum, Michel Pirotton, Pierre Archambeau, and Benjamin Dewals
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5071, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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28 Aug 2026
High-resolution ensemble projections of ocean warming and sector-specific indices in the North and Baltic Seas
Birte-Marie Ehlers, Jian Su, Frank Janssen, and Kristine Skovgaard Madsen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4212, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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25 Aug 2026
Instantaneous Response of a Tectonic–Fluvial–Lithologic Coupled System to Extreme Rainfall: Evidence From the 2023 Jinyang Torrent Event, China
Zhenkui Gu, Xin Yao, Xuchao Zhu, and Junpeng Lou
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2470, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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24 Aug 2026
Characteristics and Mechanism of the Earthquake-Induced Sand Liquefaction in the January 7, 2025, Dingri MW7.1 Earthquake
Zhichao Li, Zhonghai Wu, Shuai Han, Yang Gao, Ting Huang, Fuxin Fan, Tingting Tian, and Shiming Lu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3290, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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24 Aug 2026
A traceable grid-based framework for earthquake parametric insurance pricing: methodology and case studies in Indonesia
Hartati, Adhitya Ronnie Effendie, Nanang Susyanto, and Wiwit Suryanto
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2681, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Aug 2026
Forecasting the 12 November 2019 Venice Acqua Alta event: the role of baroclinic compounding effects
Anna Chiara Goglio, Emanuela Clementi, Nadia Pinardi, Giulio Boccaletti, Paolo Oddo, and Lorenzo Mentaschi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4734, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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21 Aug 2026
ALERT: A Scalable Cloud-Native Framework for Satellite Rainfall-Driven Landslide Early Warning in Data-Scarce Regions
Ali P. Yunus, Erakkath Faizah, Saju Mukundan, Kochappi Sathyan Sajinkumar, Srikrishnan Siva Subramanian, Raju Attada, and Ashokan Laila Achu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4588, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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21 Aug 2026
Detecting and discriminating rockfall signals from anthropogenic noise using Distributed Acoustic Sensing along a Norwegian railway
Robin André Rørstadbotnen, Kasper Hunnestad, Khanh Truoung, Martin Landrø, Jo Eidsvik, Aadne Ingvald Austigar Pettersen, and Rune Brannfjell
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4460, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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20 Aug 2026
Compound Flooding in Surabaya: A Multi-driver Sensitivity and Interaction Analysis
Agustia Larasari, Johan Reyns, Khin Nawarat, and Ali Dastgheib
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4592, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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19 Aug 2026
Observed and projected changes in extreme precipitation intensity and temporal patterns: a case study of the Misa River Basin (Central Italy)
Dawit Y. Meskele, Antonio Parodi, Anna Napoli, Gianluca Loffredo, and Maurizio Brocchini
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4780, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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19 Aug 2026
National-scale debris-flow hazard indication modelling for Swiss railway infrastructure
Feiko Bernard van Zadelhoff, Yves Bühler, and Michael Bründl
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4604, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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18 Aug 2026
An extensible, algorithmic framework to enumerate, ascertain, and compare mechanical properties from common snowpit observations
Mary Kate Connelly, Philipp Laurens Rosendahl, Valentin Adam, and Samuel V. Verplanck
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4761, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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17 Aug 2026
Seismic risk assessment of schools in Nepal for effective disaster risk reduction practices
Shiba Subedi, György Hetényi, Sarah Houghton, Priyanka Dhami, Aastha Poudel, Shreedhar Dhakal, and Kushal Pokhrel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4706, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Aug 2026
Why has flood risk increased in a millennia-old mountainous town? Engineering-induced transformation of compound flood pathways in Baifusi, China
Hairun Shu, Yi Liu, Jun Guo, Miao Xiao, and Zhenhan Deng
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4327, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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14 Aug 2026
Methodological Framework for Tsunami Risk Assessment in Port Facilities
Sergio Padilla, Ignacio Aguirre-Ayerbe, Mauricio González, Íñigo Aniel-Quiroga, and David Galán Pérez
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4720, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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13 Aug 2026
Integrating Geodetic Constraints into Earthquake Source Characterization for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis: A Dual Statistical–Physical Framework
Yuliastuti Yuliastuti, Irwan Meilano, Nanang T. Puspito, and Suchi Rahmadani
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4242, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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13 Aug 2026
Towards a risk governance framework for reducing the seismic vulnerability of existing buildings: a comparative analysis of national strategies with implications for Algeria
Bachir Benfarhat and Djillali Benouar
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3476, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 18 comments)
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12 Aug 2026
Humanitarian Needs in a Protracted Crisis: Systemic Impact of the June 2026 Venezuelan Earthquakes
Lester Fidel García Guzmán, Mehedi Hasan, Esrom Tekleberhan Weldesilasie, Lucia Durá Vicaria, Yonathan Josué Jiménez Ramírez, and Anneli Eriksson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4524, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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12 Aug 2026
Impact of meteorological conditions on rockfalls: a case study of the Saint Eynard cliff
Sabrine Bouaziz, David Amitrano, Christophe Lin-Kwong-Chon, Nicolas Méger, and Agnès Helmstetter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3939, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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12 Aug 2026
Probabilistic modelling for avalanche hazard and risk assessment
Jan Kleinn, Dörte Aller, Yves Bühler, Julia Glaus, Adrian Peter, and Nils Hählen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3799, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Aug 2026
An Incomplete Interval Analytic Hierarchy Process for Group Decision-Making in Post-Earthquake Emergency Rescue Prioritization
Minlian Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2669, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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07 Aug 2026
Validating Remote-Sensing Measures of Natural Hazards: Granular-Level Links to Insured Loss during a Cyclone
Ke Wang and Ilan Noy
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3539, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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06 Aug 2026
A Statistical-Physical Prior-Guided Framework for Multi-Class Landslide Susceptibility Mapping
Haixia Feng, Qingwu Hu, Yizhou Lan, Daoyuan Zheng, Yuxiang Xu, Jiayuan Li, Shunli Wang, and Pengcheng Zhao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4550, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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05 Aug 2026
Field surveying and numerical simulation of the Typhoon Hato storm surge event in Guangdong province, China
Xianwu Shi, Qichao Chen, Haoxuan Du, Ning Jia, Jian Fang, Mingli Zhao, and Shan Liu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4474, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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04 Aug 2026
Flood nowcasting based on deep learning and radar rainfall estimates: A reliable and efficient framework for diverse flood regimes
Jiawei Hou, Wendy Sharples, Jayaram Pudashine, Mandi Thran, Carlos Velasco-Forero, Paul Fox-Hughes, Elisabetta Carrara, and Holger R. Maier
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3401, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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03 Aug 2026
A globally scalable, light data framework for flood-hazard mapping using open geospatial services
Igor Sieczkowski Moreira, Jonathan Corker, Mehran Eskandari Torbaghan, Fernando Dornelles, and Lélio Antônio Teixeira Brito
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3884, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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03 Aug 2026
Convective Environments Over the Arabian Peninsula in Current and Future Climates: A Machine Learning Approach
Ahmed Homoudi, Henning W. Rust, Klemens Barfus, Christian Bernhofer, and Matthias Mauder
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3288, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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31 Jul 2026
Wildfire Hazard in Germany Under Worst-Case Conditions
Johannes Heisig and Edzer Pebesma
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4416, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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31 Jul 2026
Trends in geo-hydrological risk to the population of Italy
Fausto Guzzetti, Alessandro Cesare Mondini, Paola Salvati, Antonella Bodini, and Antonio Pievatolo
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4342, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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30 Jul 2026
Forecasting different types of avalanches based on snowpack and snowfall/snowmelt conditions on the Southeastern Tibetan Plateau
Xiaoqian Fu, Jiansheng Hao, Peng Cui, Yan Wang, and Guoqing Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4540, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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30 Jul 2026
A nested time-window framework for evaluating sub-daily precipitation extremes in two convection permitting model datasets
Oliver Carlo, Giusy Fedele, Paolo Stocchi, Sandro Calmanti, Mario Raffa, Paola Mercogliano, and Piero Lionello
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4515, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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30 Jul 2026
Evaluating the performance of a numerical weather prediction model for precipitation and temperature in Luxembourg and the Greater Region: insights from WRF and WRFDA 3D-VAR
Haseeb ur Rehman, Felicia Norma Rebecca Teferle, Addisu Hunegnaw, Rohith Muraleedharan Thundathil, Jens Wickert, and Florian Zus
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4222, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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29 Jul 2026
Review article: How hazard-related disruptions become system-wide crises: event-level evidence on failure pathways and continuity functions, 1980–2025
Homa Bahmani
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3753, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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29 Jul 2026
Robust Uneven Shift of Extreme Storm Surges Observed in Data Sparse Northeast Indian Ocean Cities
Md. Rezuanul Islam, Htut Naing Thwin, Hiroshi Takagi, and Yohei Sawada
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.31223/X50X94, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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29 Jul 2026
Three-Dimensional Identification of Compound Heat–Drought Events in Maize in Northeast China Based on the Process-based Cumulative Heat–Drought Index (PCHDI)
Yashu Gao, Cha Ersi, Dan Chen, Sicheng Wei, Ying Guo, Ziyuan Zhou, Zhijun Tong, Xingpeng Liu, Jiquan Zhang, and Chunli Zhao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3379, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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29 Jul 2026
Creating story lines on floods: relating climate-change uplift to (extreme) experienced and future flooding events
Natasha Pullan and Onno Bokhove
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2908, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
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29 Jul 2026
Multi-scale dynamics and mesoscale drivers of the catastrophic September 2022 Marche (central Italy) flood
Matteo Berton, Elenio Avolio, and Mario Marcello Miglietta
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2573, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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28 Jul 2026
Comparing and validating modelled snow stability metrics
Jürg Schweizer, Benjamin Reuter, Christoph Mitterer, Fabiano Monti, and Stephanie Mayer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3913, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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28 Jul 2026
Why are plate suture zones on the Tibetan Plateau hotspots for rockslides: A case study of Jinsha River area
Jinlu Zhou, Ming Wang, Wen Zhang, Changsheng Yu, Quewang Danzeng, Qi Sun, Binxuan Hao, Yuhe Zhang, and Zhenglong Li
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3016, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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24 Jul 2026
Assessing and reducing dry-season water-scarcity risk on a tourism-exposed small island: a multi-source water-balance and robust-optimisation framework for Si Chang Island, Thailand
Uma Seeboonruang, Pinit Tanachaichoksirikun, Virun Chulkaivalsucharit, Jutamas Srisuk, Uba Sirikaew, Mongkol Prasitkumpein, and Walter Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4005, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 3 comments)
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23 Jul 2026
Performance assessment of real-time earthquake localization algorithms for Earthquake Early Warning Systems in the Ibero-Maghrebian Region
Lucía Escudero, Maurizio Mattesini, Aldo Zollo, Grazia De Landro, Luca Elia, and Elisa Buforn
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4270, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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22 Jul 2026
A revision of the Catalogue of tsunamis on the Spanish coast
Elena Ros and Juan V. Cantavella
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4299, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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22 Jul 2026
Future scenarios of thunderstorm environments in Fennoscandia based on a regional climate model
Meri Virman, Terhi K. Laurila, Antti Mäkelä, Petter Lind, Anna Luomaranta, and Hilppa Gregow
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4247, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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22 Jul 2026
Mid-Century Projections of Waves and Water Levels Highlight the Dominant Role of Sea-Level Rise in the Salish Sea
Kai Parker, Kees Nederhoff, Anita Engelstad, Eric Grossman, and Li Erikson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3369, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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22 Jul 2026
A stochastic model of hierarchical sediment transport in watershed
Jun Zhang, Yong Li, Xiaojun Guo, Dongri Song, and Jens M. Turowski
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3226, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 9 comments)
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22 Jul 2026
Complementing drought impact databases with multilingual online sources: A European gap-filling experiment
Monika Hlavsová, Lauro Rossi, Kathrin Szillat, Kerstin Stahl, Mirko D'Andrea, Veit Blauhut, Gabriela Ivaňáková, Livia Labudová, and Miroslav Trnka
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3041, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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22 Jul 2026
Distinct spatiotemporal responses of soil-vegetation-hydrology to warming from 2005–2022 and predicting air temperature of provincial spatial scale using Kolmogorov-Arnold graph convolutional network in mainland China
Junjie Xu, Yilei Yu, Lihu Yang, and Xin Wei
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2673, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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21 Jul 2026
Cross-scale characteristics of extreme precipitation events under climate change
Jingkun Yang, Benjamin Poschlod, and Felix Ament
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4111, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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21 Jul 2026
Identifying regions of Europe which may be less prepared for extreme rainfall
Vikki Thompson, Erin Coughlan de Perez, Dorothy Heinrich, Karin van der Wiel, Ed Hawkins, and Andrew Schurer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4100, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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21 Jul 2026
Medical deserts induced by pluvial flood: emergency medical accessibility loss and population exposure
Yating Yang, Xiaodong Guo, Lu Han, Chenhong Xia, and Zhitao Wang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4082, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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21 Jul 2026
From climatology to hazard: environmental regimes and tornado wind-speed exceedance in peninsular Spain and the Balearic Islands
Gonzalo Agurto Barragán, Javier Aroba Páez, Isidoro Gutiérrez-Álvarez, and Enrique Gutiérrez de San Miguel Herrera
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4053, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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21 Jul 2026
Selection of onset of acceleration points and failure time prediction of landslides based on ground-based radar
Hui Wu, Pingping Huang, Weixian Tan, Yaolong Qi, Wei Xu, and Yuejuan Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4006, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
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21 Jul 2026
Medium-term urban business recovery after COVID-19: cross-country evidence after the outbreak
Yoshio Kajitani, Maria Watson, Stephanie E. Chang, Elsamari Botha, Sophie L. Buijs, Siriporn Darnkachatarn, Sahar Derakhshan, Marleen de Ruiter, Juri Kim, Sanna Malinen, and Bernard Walker
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3993, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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21 Jul 2026
China–Korea Linked Typhoons: A transboundary sequential hazard framework for East Asian tropical cyclones
Hana Na and Woo-Sik Jung
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3205, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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20 Jul 2026
Green Above, Dry Below: Satellite Multi-Indices Reveal Contrasting Drought Trajectories Across the Tekeze Basin (2000–2025)
Bedasa Asefa Jinfessa, Jianjun Zhao, Hongyan Zhang, Zhengxiang Zhang, Xiaoyi Guo, Mebrahtom Zerom Gebreyesus, Yosef Ermiyas Bergene, and Andeptop Sule
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3534, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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16 Jul 2026
The June 2026 heatwave established a new benchmark for early-summer heat in German
Monica Ionita and Viorica Nagavciuc
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4179, 2026
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
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16 Jul 2026
Review article: Global flood research across four decades: An analysis of 57,474 research articles based on a large language model
Jinjun Zhou, Tianyi Huang, Zhanqi Song, Chenrui Qin, Songyun Jin, Jiahong Liu, Weiwei Shao, Yingdong Yu, and Hao Wang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3343, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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