Articles | Volume 19, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-441-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-441-2019
Research article
 | 
01 Mar 2019
Research article |  | 01 Mar 2019

Simulating the effects of weather and climate on large wildfires in France

Renaud Barbero, Thomas Curt, Anne Ganteaume, Eric Maillé, Marielle Jappiot, and Adeline Bellet

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Cited articles

Abadie, J., Dupouey, J.-L., Avon, C., Rochel, X., Tatoni, T., and Bergès, L.: Forest recovery since 1860 in a Mediterranean region: drivers and implications for land use and land cover spatial distribution, Landscape Ecol., 33, 289–305, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-017-0601-0, 2017. a
Abatzoglou, J. T., Williams, A. P., and Barbero, R.: Global emergence of anthropogenic climate change in fire weather indices, Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 326–336, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080959, 2018. a
Alonso-Canas, I. and Chuvieco, E.: Global burned area mapping from ENVISAT-MERIS and MODIS active fire data, Remote Sens. Environ., https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2015.03.011, 2015. a
Barbero, R., Abatzoglou, J., Steel, E., and Larkin, N.: Modeling very large-fire occurrences over the continental United States from weather and climate forcing, Environ. Res. Lett., 9, 124009, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/12/124009, 2014. a, b
Barbero, R., Abatzoglou, J., Kolden, C., Hegewisch, K., Larkin, N., and Podschwit, H.: Multi-scalar influence of weather and climate on very large-fires in the Eastern United States, Int. J. Climatol., 35, 2180–2186, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4090, 2015a. a
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We developed statistical models simulating the probability of large wildfires in France from the climate forcing. The models were able to reproduce both spatial and temporal variability in large wildfires across different environmental regions. The models have wide applications, including improving our understanding of the drivers of large wildfires over the historical period and providing a basis on which to estimate future changes to large wildfires from climate projections.
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