Articles | Volume 20, issue 10
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2701–2719, 2020
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2701–2719, 2020

Research article 12 Oct 2020

Research article | 12 Oct 2020

A novel approach to assessing nuisance risk from seismicity induced by UK shale gas development, with implications for future policy design

Gemma Cremen and Maximilian J. Werner

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Cited articles

Ader, T., Chendorain, M., Free, M., Saarno, T., Heikkinen, P., Malin, P. E., Leary, P., Kwiatek, G., Dresen, G., Bluemle, F., and Vuorinen, T.: Design and implementation of a traffic light system for deep geothermal well stimulation in Finland, J. Seismol., 24, 991–1014, 2020. a, b, c
Akkar, S., Sandıkkaya, M., and Bommer, J.: Empirical ground-motion models for point-and extended-source crustal earthquake scenarios in Europe and the Middle East, B. Earthq. Eng., 12, 359–387, 2014. a, b, c, d
Arup: Temporary shale gas exploration, Environmental Statement, Preston New Road, Lancashire, 2014. a, b
Assatourians, K. and Atkinson, G. M.: EqHaz: An open-source probabilistic seismic-hazard code based on the Monte Carlo simulation approach, Seismol. Res. Lett., 84, 516–524, 2013. a
Athanasopoulos, G. and Pelekis, P.: Ground vibrations from sheetpile driving in urban environment: measurements, analysis and effects on buildings and occupants, Soil Dynam. Earthq. Eng., 19, 371–387, 2000. a
Short summary
We develop a framework that links the volume of hydraulic fracturing fluid injected during shale gas exploration with the likelihood that resulting seismicity causes a nuisance to nearby populations. We apply the framework to a shale gas site in England and find that the potential of a given injected volume to produce nuisance ground motions is especially sensitive to assumptions about the amount of seismic energy released during operations. The work can inform policy on shale gas exploration.
Final-revised paper