Articles | Volume 20, issue 10
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2701–2719, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2701-2020
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2701–2719, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2701-2020

Research article 12 Oct 2020

Research article | 12 Oct 2020

A novel approach to assessing nuisance risk from seismicity induced by UK shale gas development, with implications for future policy design

Gemma Cremen and Maximilian J. Werner

Related subject area

Risk Assessment, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies, Socioeconomic and Management Aspects
Comparing an insurer's perspective on building damages with modelled damages from pan-European winter windstorm event sets: a case study from Zurich, Switzerland
Christoph Welker, Thomas Röösli, and David N. Bresch
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 279–299, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-279-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-279-2021, 2021
Short summary
Probabilistic characterisation of coastal storm-induced risks using Bayesian networks
Marc Sanuy and Jose A. Jiménez
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 219–238, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-219-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-219-2021, 2021
A glimpse into the future of exposure and vulnerabilities in cities? Modelling of residential location choice of urban population with random forest
Sebastian Scheuer, Dagmar Haase, Annegret Haase, Manuel Wolff, and Thilo Wellmann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 203–217, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-203-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-203-2021, 2021
Short summary
Invited perspectives: Building sustainable and resilient communities – recommended actions for natural hazard scientists
Joel C. Gill, Faith E. Taylor, Melanie J. Duncan, Solmaz Mohadjer, Mirianna Budimir, Hassan Mdala, and Vera Bukachi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 187–202, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-187-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-187-2021, 2021
Short summary
Design of parametric risk transfer solutions for volcanic eruptions: an application to Japanese volcanoes
Delioma Oramas-Dorta, Giulio Tirabassi, Guillermo Franco, and Christina Magill
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 99–113, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-99-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-99-2021, 2021
Short summary

Cited articles

Ader, T., Chendorain, M., Free, M., Saarno, T., Heikkinen, P., Malin, P. E., Leary, P., Kwiatek, G., Dresen, G., Bluemle, F., and Vuorinen, T.: Design and implementation of a traffic light system for deep geothermal well stimulation in Finland, J. Seismol., 24, 991–1014, 2020. a, b, c
Akkar, S., Sandıkkaya, M., and Bommer, J.: Empirical ground-motion models for point-and extended-source crustal earthquake scenarios in Europe and the Middle East, B. Earthq. Eng., 12, 359–387, 2014. a, b, c, d
Arup: Temporary shale gas exploration, Environmental Statement, Preston New Road, Lancashire, 2014. a, b
Assatourians, K. and Atkinson, G. M.: EqHaz: An open-source probabilistic seismic-hazard code based on the Monte Carlo simulation approach, Seismol. Res. Lett., 84, 516–524, 2013. a
Athanasopoulos, G. and Pelekis, P.: Ground vibrations from sheetpile driving in urban environment: measurements, analysis and effects on buildings and occupants, Soil Dynam. Earthq. Eng., 19, 371–387, 2000. a
Download
Short summary
We develop a framework that links the volume of hydraulic fracturing fluid injected during shale gas exploration with the likelihood that resulting seismicity causes a nuisance to nearby populations. We apply the framework to a shale gas site in England and find that the potential of a given injected volume to produce nuisance ground motions is especially sensitive to assumptions about the amount of seismic energy released during operations. The work can inform policy on shale gas exploration.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint