A novel approach to assessing nuisance risk from  seismicity induced by UK shale gas development,  with implications for future policy design

Cremen, Gemma; Werner, Maximilian J.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2701-2020

Articles | Volume 20, issue 10

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2701-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2701-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 20, issue 10

Research article

|

12 Oct 2020

Research article |

| 12 Oct 2020

A novel approach to assessing nuisance risk from seismicity induced by UK shale gas development, with implications for future policy design

Gemma Cremen and Maximilian J. Werner

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Final revised paper (published on 12 Oct 2020)
Preprint (discussion started on 07 May 2020)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Comments to the authors', Anonymous Referee #1, 02 Jun 2020
- AC1: 'Response to Reviewer 1', Gemma Cremen, 03 Aug 2020
RC2: 'Comments to the authors', Anonymous Referee #2, 10 Jul 2020
- AC2: 'Response to Reviewer 2', Gemma Cremen, 03 Aug 2020

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (06 Aug 2020) by Filippos Vallianatos

AR by Gemma Cremen on behalf of the Authors (15 Aug 2020) Author's response Manuscript

Short summary

We develop a framework that links the volume of hydraulic fracturing fluid injected during shale gas exploration with the likelihood that resulting seismicity causes a nuisance to nearby populations. We apply the framework to a shale gas site in England and find that the potential of a given injected volume to produce nuisance ground motions is especially sensitive to assumptions about the amount of seismic energy released during operations. The work can inform policy on shale gas exploration.