Articles | Volume 19, issue 11
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2497–2511, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-2497-2019

Special issue: Advances in computational modelling of natural hazards and...

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2497–2511, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-2497-2019

Research article 12 Nov 2019

Research article | 12 Nov 2019

Reconstructing patterns of coastal risk in space and time along the US Atlantic coast, 1970–2016

Scott B. Armstrong and Eli D. Lazarus

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Cited articles

AIR Worldwide: The Coastline at Risk: 2016 Update to the Estimated Insured Value, available at: http://airww.co/coastlineatrisk (last access: November 2019), 2016. 
Arkema, K. K., Guannel, G., Verutes, G., Wood, S. A., Guerry, A., Ruckelshaus, M., Kareiva, P., Lacayo, M., and Silver, J. M.: Coastal habitats shield people and property from sea-level rise and storms, Nat. Clim. Change, 3, 913–918, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1944, 2013. 
Armstrong, S. B., Lazarus, E. D., Limber, P. W., Goldstein, E. B., Thorpe, C. and Ballinger, R. C.: Indications of a positive feedback between coastal development and beach nourishment, Earth's Future, 4, 626–635, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000425, 2016. 
Armstrong, S. B. and Lazarus, E. D.: Masked shoreline erosion at large spatial scales as a collective effect of beach nourishment, Earth's Future, 7, 74–84, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001070, 2019. 
Barbier, E. B., Hacker, S. D., Kennedy, C., Koch, E. W., Stier, A. C., and Silliman, B. R.: The value of estuarine and coastal ecosystem services, Ecol. Monogr., 81, 169–193, https://doi.org/10.1890/10-1510.1, 2011. 
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Short summary
This work examines relationships between coastal hazard, exposure, and vulnerability to describe trajectories of risk at the county scale along the US Atlantic coast over the past 5 decades. Our findings suggest that modelling efforts to predict future coastal risk need to address feedbacks between hazard, exposure, and vulnerability to capture emergent patterns of risk in space and time.
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