Articles | Volume 19, issue 11
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2497–2511, 2019

Special issue: Advances in computational modelling of natural hazards and...

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2497–2511, 2019

Research article 12 Nov 2019

Research article | 12 Nov 2019

Reconstructing patterns of coastal risk in space and time along the US Atlantic coast, 1970–2016

Scott B. Armstrong and Eli D. Lazarus

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Cited articles

AIR Worldwide: The Coastline at Risk: 2016 Update to the Estimated Insured Value, available at: (last access: November 2019), 2016. 
Arkema, K. K., Guannel, G., Verutes, G., Wood, S. A., Guerry, A., Ruckelshaus, M., Kareiva, P., Lacayo, M., and Silver, J. M.: Coastal habitats shield people and property from sea-level rise and storms, Nat. Clim. Change, 3, 913–918,, 2013. 
Armstrong, S. B., Lazarus, E. D., Limber, P. W., Goldstein, E. B., Thorpe, C. and Ballinger, R. C.: Indications of a positive feedback between coastal development and beach nourishment, Earth's Future, 4, 626–635,, 2016. 
Armstrong, S. B. and Lazarus, E. D.: Masked shoreline erosion at large spatial scales as a collective effect of beach nourishment, Earth's Future, 7, 74–84,, 2019. 
Barbier, E. B., Hacker, S. D., Kennedy, C., Koch, E. W., Stier, A. C., and Silliman, B. R.: The value of estuarine and coastal ecosystem services, Ecol. Monogr., 81, 169–193,, 2011. 
Short summary
This work examines relationships between coastal hazard, exposure, and vulnerability to describe trajectories of risk at the county scale along the US Atlantic coast over the past 5 decades. Our findings suggest that modelling efforts to predict future coastal risk need to address feedbacks between hazard, exposure, and vulnerability to capture emergent patterns of risk in space and time.
Final-revised paper