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https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-817-2025
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https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-817-2025
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the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
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Research article
| 
21 Feb 2025
Research article |
| 21 Feb 2025
| 21 Feb 2025
Development of a regional probabilistic seismic hazard model for Central Asia
National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics (OGS), Udine, Italy
Stefano Parolai
Department of Mathematics, Informatics and Geosciences, University of Trieste, Trieste, Italy
National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics (OGS), Udine, Italy
Natalya Silacheva
Institute of Seismology, Ministry of Emergency Situations (MoES) of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Almaty, Kazakhstan
Anatoly Ischuk
Institute of Geology, Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, National Academy of Sciences of Tajikistan, Dushanbe, Tajikistan
Kanatbek Abdrakhmatov
Institute of Seismology, National Academy of Sciences of the Kyrgyz Republic, Bishkek, Kyrgyz Republic
Zainalobudin Kobuliev
Institute of Water Problems, Hydropower and Ecology (IWPHE), Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Tajikistan, Dushanbe, Tajikistan
Vakhitkhan Ismailov
Institute of Seismology of the Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Tashkent, Uzbekistan
Roman Ibragimov
Institute of Seismology of the Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Uzbekistan, Tashkent, Uzbekistan
Japar Karaev
United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Representative Office in Turkmenistan, Ashgabat, Turkmenistan
Paola Ceresa
Risk, Engineering + Development (RED), Pavia, Italy
Marco Santulin
National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics (OGS), Udine, Italy
Paolo Bazzurro
Risk, Engineering + Development (RED), Pavia, Italy
University School for Advanced Studies (IUSS), Pavia, Italy
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Lack of access to science-based natural hazards information impedes the effectiveness of school-based disaster risk reduction education. To address this challenge, we created and classroom tested a series of earthquake education videos that were co-taught by school teachers and Earth scientists in the UK and Tajikistan. Comparison of the results reveals significant differences between students' views on the Earth's interior and why and where earthquakes occur.
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Short summary
A regionally consistent probabilistic risk assessment for multiple hazards and assets was developed under the Strengthening Financial Resilience and Accelerating Risk Reduction in Central Asia (SFRARR) programme, supported by the European Union, the World Bank, and the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery. This paper outlines the preparation of the source model and presents key results of the probabilistic earthquake hazard analysis for the Central Asian countries.
A regionally consistent probabilistic risk assessment for multiple hazards and assets was...
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