Articles | Volume 19, issue 3
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 489–506, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-489-2019
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 489–506, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-489-2019

Research article 13 Mar 2019

Research article | 13 Mar 2019

A hazard model of sub-freezing temperatures in the United Kingdom using vine copulas

Symeon Koumoutsaris

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Cited articles

Aas, K., Czado, C., Frigessi, A., and Bakken, H.: Pair-copula constructions of multiple dependence,, Tech. rep., Munich University, Institute for Statistics, available at: https://epub.ub.uni-muenchen.de/1855/1/paper_487.pdf (last access: 12 March 2019), 2006. a
Abbara, O. and Zevallos, M.: Assessing stock market dependence and contagion, Quant. Financ., 14, 1627–1641, https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2013.859390, 2014. a
ABI: Industry Data Downloads, Tech. rep., Association of British Insurers, available at: https://www.abi.org.uk/data-and-resources/industry-data/free-industry-data-downloads/ (last access: 1 June 2018), 2017. a, b
AIR: About Catastrophe Models, Tech. rep., AIR Worldwide, available at: https://www.air-worldwide.com/Publications/Brochures/documents/About-Catastrophe-Models/ (last access: 12 March 2019), 2012. a
Barnes, E. A. and Screen, J. A.: The impact of Arctic warming on the midlatitude jet-stream: Can it? Has it? Will it?, WIRES Clim. Change, 6, 277–286, https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.337, 2015. a
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Extended periods of extreme cold weather can cause severe disruptions in human societies, in terms of human health, agriculture, infrastructure, and other factors. A novel statistical model is developed in order to model these extreme cold episodes under different climate conditions. According to the model, the occurrence of extreme cold events has decreased approximately 2 times during the course of the 20th century as a result of anthropogenic climate change.
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