Articles | Volume 19, issue 3
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 489–506, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-489-2019
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 489–506, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-489-2019

Research article 13 Mar 2019

Research article | 13 Mar 2019

A hazard model of sub-freezing temperatures in the United Kingdom using vine copulas

Symeon Koumoutsaris

Data sets

NAO Index Data provided by the Climate Analysis Section J. W. Hurrell https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/hurrell-north-atlantic-oscillation-nao-index-station-based

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Short summary
Extended periods of extreme cold weather can cause severe disruptions in human societies, in terms of human health, agriculture, infrastructure, and other factors. A novel statistical model is developed in order to model these extreme cold episodes under different climate conditions. According to the model, the occurrence of extreme cold events has decreased approximately 2 times during the course of the 20th century as a result of anthropogenic climate change.
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