Articles | Volume 16, issue 2
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 559–576, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-559-2016
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 559–576, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-559-2016

Research article 29 Feb 2016

Research article | 29 Feb 2016

Quantifying the effect of sea level rise and flood defence – a point process perspective on coastal flood damage

M. Boettle et al.

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Cited articles

Barbosa, S. M., Fernandes, M. J., and Silva, M. E.: Long-range dependence in North Atlantic sea level, Physica A, 371, 725–731, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2006.03.046, 2006.
Beichelt, F.: Stochastic Processes in Science, Engineering, and Finance, Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 2006.
Boettle, M., Kropp, J. P., Reiber, L., Roithmeier, O., Rybski, D., and Walther, C.: About the influence of elevation model quality and small-scale damage functions on flood damage estimation, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 3327–3334, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-11-3327-2011, 2011.
Boettle, M., Rybski, D., and Kropp, J. P.: How changing sea level extremes and protection measures alter coastal flood damages, Water Resour. Res., 49, 1199–1210, https://doi.org/10.1002/wrcr.20108, 2013.
Coles, S.: An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values, Springer Series in Statistics, Springer, London, UK, 2001.
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We provide simple functional expressions to characterise the development of coastal flood damage for rising mean sea levels as well as implemented flood protection levels. Furthermore, we are able to quantify the aleatory uncertainty of our estimates. All results are mathematically proven and their usability confirmed by employing two case study regions. Thus, we gain fundamental insights into the interplay of coastal flood damage, the mean sea level, and flood defence.
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