Quantifying the effect of sea level rise and flood defence  &ndash;  a point process perspective on coastal flood damage

Boettle, M.; Rybski, D.; Kropp, J. P.

doi:10.5194/nhess-16-559-2016

Articles | Volume 16, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-559-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-559-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 16, issue 2

Research article

|

29 Feb 2016

Research article |

| 29 Feb 2016

Quantifying the effect of sea level rise and flood defence – a point process perspective on coastal flood damage

M. Boettle, D. Rybski, and J. P. Kropp

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Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
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Nov 2015	46	17	0	63
Dec 2015	28	12	0	40
Jan 2016	46	17	0	63
Feb 2016	112	51	2	165
Mar 2016	663	286	31	980
Apr 2016	120	41	3	164
May 2016	55	35	2	92
Jun 2016	40	17	1	58
Jul 2016	35	16	3	54
Aug 2016	20	11	0	31
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Oct 2016	38	18	0	56
Nov 2016	21	11	3	35
Dec 2016	29	12	2	43
Jan 2017	30	22	1	53
Feb 2017	31	17	3	51
Mar 2017	65	25	7	97
Apr 2017	59	24	0	83
May 2017	72	35	0	107
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Jul 2017	56	20	3	79
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Oct 2017	30	37	4	71
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Dec 2017	30	41	0	71
Jan 2018	40	46	6	92
Feb 2018	49	47	4	100
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Apr 2018	30	43	1	74
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Apr 2020	11	21	1	33
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Apr 2021	21	31	0	52
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Jun 2021	23	17	1	41
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Aug 2022	23	29	2	54
Sep 2022	18	14	1	33
Oct 2022	19	15	1	35
Nov 2022	22	20	1	43
Dec 2022	12	10	2	24
Jan 2023	21	51	3	75
Feb 2023	30	19	0	49
Mar 2023	36	17	1	54
Apr 2023	8	11	0	19
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Feb 2024	19	21	0	40
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Apr 2024	22	17	3	42
May 2024	16	17	1	34
Jun 2024	12	16	2	30
Jul 2024	17	22	5	44
Aug 2024	18	10	4	32
Sep 2024	16	22	2	40
Oct 2024	44	13	1	58
Nov 2024	32	12	0	44
Dec 2024	31	16	7	54
Jan 2025	20	30	4	54
Feb 2025	27	10	0	37
Mar 2025	17	22	1	40
Apr 2025	17	27	0	44
May 2025	25	16	1	42
Jun 2025	43	22	1	66
Jul 2025	29	22	4	55
Aug 2025	26	13	0	39
Sep 2025	43	7	1	51
Oct 2025	25	32	4	61
Nov 2025	24	33	1	58
Dec 2025	2	4	0	6

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 13 Oct 2015)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Oct 2015	75	45	1	121
Nov 2015	46	17	0	63
Dec 2015	28	12	0	40
Jan 2016	46	17	0	63
Feb 2016	112	51	2	165
Mar 2016	663	286	31	980
Apr 2016	120	41	3	164
May 2016	55	35	2	92
Jun 2016	40	17	1	58
Jul 2016	35	16	3	54
Aug 2016	20	11	0	31
Sep 2016	23	7	0	30
Oct 2016	38	18	0	56
Nov 2016	21	11	3	35
Dec 2016	29	12	2	43
Jan 2017	30	22	1	53
Feb 2017	31	17	3	51
Mar 2017	65	25	7	97
Apr 2017	59	24	0	83
May 2017	72	35	0	107
Jun 2017	36	9	1	46
Jul 2017	56	20	3	79
Aug 2017	43	35	3	81
Sep 2017	58	45	1	104
Oct 2017	30	37	4	71
Nov 2017	36	45	1	82
Dec 2017	30	41	0	71
Jan 2018	40	46	6	92
Feb 2018	49	47	4	100
Mar 2018	58	55	2	115
Apr 2018	30	43	1	74
May 2018	30	48	4	82
Jun 2018	43	31	1	75
Jul 2018	27	42	0	69
Aug 2018	38	32	3	73
Sep 2018	28	34	2	64
Oct 2018	31	53	4	88
Nov 2018	24	42	0	66
Dec 2018	17	34	0	51
Jan 2019	16	31	2	49
Feb 2019	18	29	1	48
Mar 2019	11	98	0	109
Apr 2019	17	115	0	132
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Jun 2019	11	72	0	83
Jul 2019	12	98	0	110
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Oct 2019	11	111	1	123
Nov 2019	9	90	1	100
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Jan 2020	22	21	3	46
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May 2022	20	52	1	73
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Oct 2022	19	15	1	35
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Jan 2023	21	51	3	75
Feb 2023	30	19	0	49
Mar 2023	36	17	1	54
Apr 2023	8	11	0	19
May 2023	32	19	4	55
Jun 2023	34	5	0	39
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Aug 2023	19	6	2	27
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Oct 2023	15	21	1	37
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Dec 2023	21	9	1	31
Jan 2024	20	29	1	50
Feb 2024	19	21	0	40
Mar 2024	12	28	1	41
Apr 2024	22	17	3	42
May 2024	16	17	1	34
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Sep 2024	16	22	2	40
Oct 2024	44	13	1	58
Nov 2024	32	12	0	44
Dec 2024	31	16	7	54
Jan 2025	20	30	4	54
Feb 2025	27	10	0	37
Mar 2025	17	22	1	40
Apr 2025	17	27	0	44
May 2025	25	16	1	42
Jun 2025	43	22	1	66
Jul 2025	29	22	4	55
Aug 2025	26	13	0	39
Sep 2025	43	7	1	51
Oct 2025	25	32	4	61
Nov 2025	24	33	1	58
Dec 2025	2	4	0	6

Latest update: 06 Dec 2025

Short summary

We provide simple functional expressions to characterise the development of coastal flood damage for rising mean sea levels as well as implemented flood protection levels. Furthermore, we are able to quantify the aleatory uncertainty of our estimates. All results are mathematically proven and their usability confirmed by employing two case study regions. Thus, we gain fundamental insights into the interplay of coastal flood damage, the mean sea level, and flood defence.