Articles | Volume 15, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2143-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2143-2015
Research article
 | 
30 Sep 2015
Research article |  | 30 Sep 2015

Attributing trends in extremely hot days to changes in atmospheric dynamics

J. A. García-Valero, J. P. Montávez, J. J. Gómez-Navarro, and P. Jiménez-Guerrero

Related authors

A new region-aware bias-correction method for simulated precipitation in areas of complex orography
Juan José Gómez-Navarro, Christoph C. Raible, Denica Bozhinova, Olivia Martius, Juan Andrés García Valero, and Juan Pedro Montávez
Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 2231–2247, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-2231-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-2231-2018, 2018
Short summary

Related subject area

Atmospheric, Meteorological and Climatological Hazards
On the potential of using smartphone sensors for wildfire hazard estimation through citizen science
Hofit Shachaf, Colin Price, Dorita Rostkier-Edelstein, and Cliff Mass
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3035–3047, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3035-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3035-2024, 2024
Short summary
Global estimates of 100-year return values of daily precipitation from ensemble weather prediction data
Florian Ruff and Stephan Pfahl
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2939–2952, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2939-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2939-2024, 2024
Short summary
Exploring the sensitivity of extreme event attribution of two recent extreme weather events in Sweden using long-running meteorological observations
Erik Holmgren and Erik Kjellström
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2875–2893, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2875-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2875-2024, 2024
Short summary
Probabilistic short-range forecasts of high-precipitation events: optimal decision thresholds and predictability limits
François Bouttier and Hugo Marchal
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2793–2816, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2793-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2793-2024, 2024
Short summary
Surprise floods: the role of our imagination in preparing for disasters
Joy Ommer, Jessica Neumann, Milan Kalas, Sophie Blackburn, and Hannah L. Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2633–2646, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2633-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2633-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Beniston, M.: The 2003 heat wave in Europe: A shape of things to come?. An analysis based on Swiss climatological data and model simulations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L02202, https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GL018857, 2004.
Bermejo, M. and Ancell, R.: Observed changes in extreme temperatures over Spain during 1957–2002, using Weather Types, Revista de Climatolog\'ia, 9, 45–61, 2009.
Brands, S., Taboada, J., Cofiño, A., Sauter, T., and Schneider, C.: Statistical downscaling of daily temperatures in the NW Iberian Peninsula from global climate models: validation and future scenarios, Clim. Res., 48, 163–176, 2011.
Brunet, M., Jones, P., Sigró, J., Saladié, O., Aguilar, E., Moberg, A., Della-Marta, P., Lister, D., Walther, A., and López, D.: Temporal and spatial temperature variability and change over Spain during 1850–2005, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D12117, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JD008249, 2007.
Download
Short summary
This paper presents a study of extremely hot days (EHDs) in Spain and their connection with atmospheric dynamics. In addition, this work proposes a method that allows the detection of trends in the frequency of extreme events and their attribution to changes in atmospheric dynamics characterized through circulation types (CTs). The main CT-driven EHDs are identified. The increase in the EHD appearance is linked to the increase of the extreme CTs; however this only partially explains the trends.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint