Articles | Volume 25, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-991-2025
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the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
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https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-991-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
05 Mar 2025
Research article |
| 05 Mar 2025
| 05 Mar 2025
Towards a harmonized operational earthquake forecasting model for Europe
Swiss Seismological Service (SED), ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Leila Mizrahi
Swiss Seismological Service (SED), ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Stefan Wiemer
Swiss Seismological Service (SED), ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
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Short summary
Relying on recent accomplishments of collecting and harmonizing data by the 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20) and leveraging advancements in state-of-the-art earthquake forecasting methods, we develop a harmonized earthquake forecasting model for Europe. We propose several model variants and test them on training data for consistency and on a 7-year testing period against each other, as well as against both a time-independent benchmark and a global time-dependent benchmark.
Relying on recent accomplishments of collecting and harmonizing data by the 2020 European...
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