Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 25, issue 3
Articles | Volume 25, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-991-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-991-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 25, issue 3
Research article
 | 
05 Mar 2025
Research article |  | 05 Mar 2025

Towards a harmonized operational earthquake forecasting model for Europe

Marta Han, Leila Mizrahi, and Stefan Wiemer

Viewed

Total article views: 2,562 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
1,927 545 90 2,562 85 81 90
  • HTML: 1,927
  • PDF: 545
  • XML: 90
  • Total: 2,562
  • Supplement: 85
  • BibTeX: 81
  • EndNote: 90
Views and downloads (calculated since 10 Jan 2024)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 10 Jan 2024)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 2,562 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 2,534 with geography defined and 28 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 13 Apr 2026
Download
Short summary
Relying on recent accomplishments of collecting and harmonizing data by the 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model (ESHM20) and leveraging advancements in state-of-the-art earthquake forecasting methods, we develop a harmonized earthquake forecasting model for Europe. We propose several model variants and test them on training data for consistency and on a 7-year testing period against each other, as well as against both a time-independent benchmark and a global time-dependent benchmark.

Read more
Share
Special issue
Harmonized seismic hazard and risk assessment for Europe
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint