Articles | Volume 22, issue 4
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1371–1393, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1371-2022
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1371–1393, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1371-2022
Research article
19 Apr 2022
Research article | 19 Apr 2022

A performance-based approach to quantify atmospheric river flood risk

Corinne Bowers et al.

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Cited articles

Albano, C. M., Dettinger, M. D., and Harpold, A. A.: Patterns and Drivers of Atmospheric River Precipitation and Hydrologic Impacts across the Western United States, J. Hydrometeorol., 21, 143–159, https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-19-0119.1, 2020. a, b
Apel, H., Thieken, A. H., Merz, B., and Blöschl, G.: Flood risk assessment and associated uncertainty, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 4, 295–308, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-4-295-2004, 2004. a, b
Apel, H., Aronica, G. T., Kreibich, H., and Thieken, A. H.: Flood risk analyses – How detailed do we need to be?, Nat. Hazards, 49, 79–98, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-008-9277-8, 2009. a
Baker, J. W., Bradley, B. A., and Stafford, P. J.: Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England, ISBN 9781108348157, https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108425056, 2021. a, b, c, d
Barbato, M., Petrini, F., Unnikrishnan, V. U., and Ciampoli, M.: Performance-Based Hurricane Engineering (PBHE) framework, Struct. Safe., 45, 24–35, https://doi.org/10.1016/J.STRUSAFE.2013.07.002, 2013. a
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Atmospheric rivers (ARs) cause significant flooding on the US west coast. We present a new Performance-based Atmospheric River Risk Analysis (PARRA) framework that connects models of atmospheric forcings, hydrologic impacts, and economic consequences to better estimate losses from AR-induced river flooding. We apply the PARRA framework to a case study in Sonoma County, CA, USA, and show that the framework can quantify the potential benefit of flood mitigation actions such as home elevation.
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