Articles | Volume 14, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-2767-2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-2767-2014
Research article
 | 
14 Oct 2014
Research article |  | 14 Oct 2014

An advanced method for flood risk analysis in river deltas, applied to societal flood fatality risk in the Netherlands

K. M. de Bruijn, F. L. M. Diermanse, and J. V. L. Beckers

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Cited articles

Apel, H., Thieken, A. H., Merz, B., and Blöschl, G.: Flood risk assessment and associated uncertainty, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 4, 295–308, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-4-295-2004, 2004.
Apel, H., Merz, B., and Thieken, A. H.: Influence of dike breaches on flood frequency estimation, Comput. Geosci., 35, 907–923, 2009.
Allaix D. L. and Carbone V. I.: An improvement of the response surface method, Struct. Saf., 33, 165–172, 2011.
Beckers, J. V. L. and De Bruijn, K. M.: Analyse van Slachtofferrisico's. Waterveiligheid 21e eeuw. Report 1204144-005, Deltares, Delft, the Netherlands, 2011.
Beckers, J., De Bruijn, K.M., and Riedstra, R.: Life safety criteria for flood protection standards, in: Floods: From Risk to Opportunity, IAHS Publ. 357, 21–25, 2012.
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This paper discusses a new method for flood risk assessment in river deltas. Flood risk analysis of river deltas is complex, because both storm surges and river discharges may cause flooding and the effect of upstream breaches on downstream water levels and flood risk must be taken into account. The new Monte Carlo-based flood risk analysis method enables this. It is applied on societal flood fatality risks in the Rhine-Meuse deltas in the Netherlands.
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