Articles | Volume 14, issue 10
Research article
14 Oct 2014
Research article |  | 14 Oct 2014

An advanced method for flood risk analysis in river deltas, applied to societal flood fatality risk in the Netherlands

K. M. de Bruijn, F. L. M. Diermanse, and J. V. L. Beckers

Related authors

Review Article: Validation of flood risk models: current practice and innovations
Daniela Molinari, Karin De Bruijn, Jessica Castillo, Giuseppe T. Aronica, and Laurens M. Bouwer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.,,, 2017
Preprint retracted
Short summary
Uncertainty in flood damage estimates and its potential effect on investment decisions
D. J. Wagenaar, K. M. de Bruijn, L. M. Bouwer, and H. de Moel
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1–14,,, 2016
Short summary
Flood fatality hazard and flood damage hazard: combining multiple hazard characteristics into meaningful maps for spatial planning
K. M. de Bruijn, F. Klijn, B. van de Pas, and C. T. J. Slager
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1297–1309,,, 2015
Short summary

Related subject area

Risk Assessment, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies, Socioeconomic and Management Aspects
A regional-scale approach to assessing non-residential building, transportation and cropland exposure in Central Asia
Chiara Scaini, Alberto Tamaro, Baurzhan Adilkhan, Satbek Sarzhanov, Zukhritdin Ergashev, Ruslan Umaraliev, Mustafo Safarov, Vladimir Belikov, Japar Karayev, and Ettore Fagà
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 355–373,,, 2024
Short summary
Towards a global impact-based forecasting model for tropical cyclones
Mersedeh Kooshki Forooshani, Marc van den Homberg, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Andreas Kaltenbrunner, Yelena Mejova, Leonardo Milano, Pauline Ndirangu, Daniela Paolotti, Aklilu Teklesadik, and Monica L. Turner
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 309–329,,, 2024
Short summary
Identifying vulnerable populations in urban society: a case study in a flood-prone district of Wuhan, China
Jia Xu, Makoto Takahashi, and Weifu Li
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 179–197,,, 2024
Short summary
An assessment of potential improvements in social capital, risk awareness, and preparedness from digital technologies
Tommaso Piseddu, Mathilda Englund, and Karina Barquet
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 145–161,,, 2024
Short summary
Spatial accessibility of emergency medical services under inclement weather: a case study in Beijing, China
Yuting Zhang, Kai Liu, Xiaoyong Ni, Ming Wang, Jianchun Zheng, Mengting Liu, and Dapeng Yu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 63–77,,, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Apel, H., Thieken, A. H., Merz, B., and Blöschl, G.: Flood risk assessment and associated uncertainty, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 4, 295–308,, 2004.
Apel, H., Merz, B., and Thieken, A. H.: Influence of dike breaches on flood frequency estimation, Comput. Geosci., 35, 907–923, 2009.
Allaix D. L. and Carbone V. I.: An improvement of the response surface method, Struct. Saf., 33, 165–172, 2011.
Beckers, J. V. L. and De Bruijn, K. M.: Analyse van Slachtofferrisico's. Waterveiligheid 21e eeuw. Report 1204144-005, Deltares, Delft, the Netherlands, 2011.
Beckers, J., De Bruijn, K.M., and Riedstra, R.: Life safety criteria for flood protection standards, in: Floods: From Risk to Opportunity, IAHS Publ. 357, 21–25, 2012.
Short summary
This paper discusses a new method for flood risk assessment in river deltas. Flood risk analysis of river deltas is complex, because both storm surges and river discharges may cause flooding and the effect of upstream breaches on downstream water levels and flood risk must be taken into account. The new Monte Carlo-based flood risk analysis method enables this. It is applied on societal flood fatality risks in the Rhine-Meuse deltas in the Netherlands.
Final-revised paper