Articles | Volume 20, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2365-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2365-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
28 Aug 2020
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 28 Aug 2020
| 28 Aug 2020
Fire Weather Index: the skill provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble prediction system
Francesca Di Giuseppe
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
ECMWF, Reading, UK
Claudia Vitolo
ECMWF, Reading, UK
Blazej Krzeminski
ECMWF, Reading, UK
Christopher Barnard
ECMWF, Reading, UK
Pedro Maciel
ECMWF, Reading, UK
Jesús San-Miguel
ICTP, Ispra, Italy
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Short summary
Forecasting of daily fire weather indices driven by the ECMWF ensemble prediction system is shown to have a good skill up to 10 d ahead in predicting flammable conditions in most regions of the world. The availability of these forecasts through the Copernicus Emergency Management Service can extend early warnings by up to 1–2 weeks, allowing for greater proactive coordination of resource-sharing and mobilization within and across countries.
Forecasting of daily fire weather indices driven by the ECMWF ensemble prediction system is...
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