Fire Weather Index: the skill provided by the  European Centre for Medium-Range Weather  Forecasts ensemble prediction system

Di Giuseppe, Francesca; Vitolo, Claudia; Krzeminski, Blazej; Barnard, Christopher; Maciel, Pedro; San-Miguel, Jesús

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2365-2020

Articles | Volume 20, issue 8

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2365-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2365-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 20, issue 8

Research article

| Highlight paper

|

28 Aug 2020

Research article | Highlight paper |

| 28 Aug 2020

Fire Weather Index: the skill provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble prediction system

Francesca Di Giuseppe, Claudia Vitolo, Blazej Krzeminski, Christopher Barnard, Pedro Maciel, and Jesús San-Miguel

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Final revised paper (published on 28 Aug 2020)
Preprint (discussion started on 14 Feb 2020)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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RC1: 'review of nhess-2020-33', Anonymous Referee #1, 23 Mar 2020
- AC1: 'Respnce to review', Francesca Di Giuseppe, 27 May 2020
RC2: 'Review of 'Fire weather index: the skill provided by ECMWF ensemble prediction system'', Anonymous Referee #2, 22 Apr 2020
- AC2: 'Responces to review 2', Francesca Di Giuseppe, 27 May 2020

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (28 May 2020) by Ricardo Trigo

AR by Francesca Di Giuseppe on behalf of the Authors (29 May 2020) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (07 Jul 2020) by Ricardo Trigo

RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (07 Jul 2020)

RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (16 Jul 2020)

ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (17 Jul 2020) by Ricardo Trigo

AR by Francesca Di Giuseppe on behalf of the Authors (20 Jul 2020) Manuscript

Short summary

Forecasting of daily fire weather indices driven by the ECMWF ensemble prediction system is shown to have a good skill up to 10 d ahead in predicting flammable conditions in most regions of the world. The availability of these forecasts through the Copernicus Emergency Management Service can extend early warnings by up to 1–2 weeks, allowing for greater proactive coordination of resource-sharing and mobilization within and across countries.