Articles | Volume 22, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-599-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-599-2022
Research article
 | 
25 Feb 2022
Research article |  | 25 Feb 2022

An approach to identify the best climate models for the assessment of climate change impacts on meteorological and hydrological droughts

Antonio-Juan Collados-Lara, Juan-de-Dios Gómez-Gómez, David Pulido-Velazquez, and Eulogio Pardo-Igúzquiza

Related authors

Integrated assessment of future potential global change scenarios and their hydrological impacts in coastal aquifers – a new tool to analyse management alternatives in the Plana Oropesa-Torreblanca aquifer
David Pulido-Velazquez, Arianna Renau-Pruñonosa, Carlos Llopis-Albert, Ignacio Morell, Antonio-Juan Collados-Lara, Javier Senent-Aparicio, and Leticia Baena-Ruiz
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3053–3074, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3053-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3053-2018, 2018
Short summary

Related subject area

Hydrological Hazards
Brief communication: A first hydrological investigation of extreme August 2023 floods in Slovenia, Europe
Nejc Bezak, Panos Panagos, Leonidas Liakos, and Matjaž Mikoš
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3885–3893, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3885-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3885-2023, 2023
Short summary
Multivariate regression trees as an “explainable machine learning” approach to explore relationships between hydroclimatic characteristics and agricultural and hydrological drought severity: case of study Cesar River basin
Ana Paez-Trujilo, Jeffer Cañon, Beatriz Hernandez, Gerald Corzo, and Dimitri Solomatine
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3863–3883, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3863-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3863-2023, 2023
Short summary
Review article: Towards improved drought prediction in the Mediterranean region – modeling approaches and future directions
Bouchra Zellou, Nabil El Moçayd, and El Houcine Bergou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3543–3583, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3543-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3543-2023, 2023
Short summary
Assessing typhoon-induced compound flood drivers: a case study in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Francisco Rodrigues do Amaral, Nicolas Gratiot, Thierry Pellarin, and Tran Anh Tu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3379–3405, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3379-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3379-2023, 2023
Short summary
Assessing the ability of a new seamless short-range ensemble rainfall product to anticipate flash floods in the French Mediterranean area
Juliette Godet, Olivier Payrastre, Pierre Javelle, and François Bouttier
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3355–3377, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3355-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3355-2023, 2023
Short summary

Cited articles

AEMET – Spanish Meteorological Agency: Generación de Escenarios Regionalizados de Cambio Climático Para España, Agencia Estatal de Meteorología, Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Medio Rural y Marino, Madrid, Spain, http://www.aemet.es/es/idi/clima/escenarios_CC (last access: 23 February 2022), 2009. 
Alvarez, J., Sánchez, A., and Quintas, L.: SIMPA, a GRASS based Tool for Hydrological Studies, Int. J. Geoinform., 1, 2005. 
Aryal, Y. and Zhu, J.: Evaluating the performance of regional climate models to simulate the US drought and its connection with El Nino Southern Oscillation, Theor. Appl. Climatol., https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03704-y, in press, 2021. 
Bonaccorso, B., Bordi, I., Cancelliere, A., Rossi, G., and Sutera, A.: Spatial variability of drought: An analysis of the SPI in Sicily, Water Resour. Manage., 17, 273–296, https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1024716530289, 2003. 
Chen, J., Arsenault, R., Brissette, F. P., and Zhang, S.: Climate Change Impact Studies: Should We Bias Correct Climate Model Outputs or Post-Process Impact Model Outputs?, Water Resour. Res., https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR028638, in press, 2021. 
Download
Short summary
This work studies the benefit of using more reliable local climate scenarios to analyse hydrological impacts. It has been applied in the Cenajo basin (south-eastern Spain), where we showed that the best approximations of the historical meteorology also provide the best approximations of the hydrology. The two selected climate models predict worrying changes in precipitation, temperature, streamflows and meteorological and hydrological droughts for the period 2071–2100 under the RCP8.5.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint