Articles | Volume 20, issue 12
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3225–3243, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-3225-2020

Special issue: Advances in extreme value analysis and application to natural...

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3225–3243, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-3225-2020

Research article 01 Dec 2020

Research article | 01 Dec 2020

A nonstationary analysis for investigating the multiscale variability of extreme surges: case of the English Channel coasts

Imen Turki et al.

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We examine the variability of storm surges along the English Channel coasts and their connection with the global atmospheric circulation at the interannual and interdecadal timescales using hybrid approaches combining wavelet techniques and probabilistic generalized extreme value models. Our hypothesis is that the physical mechanisms of the atmospheric circulation change according to the timescales and their connection with the local variability improve the prediction of the extreme surges.
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