Articles | Volume 20, issue 12
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3225–3243, 2020

Special issue: Advances in extreme value analysis and application to natural...

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3225–3243, 2020

Research article 01 Dec 2020

Research article | 01 Dec 2020

A nonstationary analysis for investigating the multiscale variability of extreme surges: case of the English Channel coasts

Imen Turki et al.

Related authors

Spatiotemporal and cross-scale interactions in hydroclimate variability: a case-study in France
Manuel Fossa, Bastien Dieppois, Nicolas Massei, Matthieu Fournier, Benoit Laignel, and Jean-Philippe Vidal
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 5683–5702,,, 2021
Short summary
Predicting Sediment Discharge at Water Treatment Plant Under Different Land Use Scenarios Coupling Expert-Based GIS Model and Deep Neural Network
Edouard Patault, Valentin Landemaine, Jérôme Ledun, Arnaud Soulignac, Matthieu Fournier, Jean-François Ouvry, Olivier Cerdan, and Benoit Laignel
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.,,, 2020
Revised manuscript accepted for HESS
Understanding and predicting large-scale hydrological variability in a changing environment
Nicolas Massei, Daniel G. Kingston, David M. Hannah, Jean-Philippe Vidal, Bastien Dieppois, Manuel Fossa, Andreas Hartmann, David A. Lavers, and Benoit Laignel
Proc. IAHS, 383, 141–149,,, 2020
Short summary
D. James, A. Collin, A. Mury, and S. Costa
Int. Arch. Photogramm. Remote Sens. Spatial Inf. Sci., XLIII-B2-2020, 675–682,,, 2020
Arctic hydroclimate variability during the last 2000 years: current understanding and research challenges
Hans W. Linderholm, Marie Nicolle, Pierre Francus, Konrad Gajewski, Samuli Helama, Atte Korhola, Olga Solomina, Zicheng Yu, Peng Zhang, William J. D'Andrea, Maxime Debret, Dmitry V. Divine, Björn E. Gunnarson, Neil J. Loader, Nicolas Massei, Kristina Seftigen, Elizabeth K. Thomas, Johannes Werner, Sofia Andersson, Annika Berntsson, Tomi P. Luoto, Liisa Nevalainen, Saija Saarni, and Minna Väliranta
Clim. Past, 14, 473–514,,, 2018
Short summary

Related subject area

Sea, Ocean and Coastal Hazards
Tidal flood area mapping in the face of climate change scenarios: case study in a tropical estuary in the Brazilian semi-arid region
Paulo Victor N. Araújo, Venerando E. Amaro, Leonlene S. Aguiar, Caio C. Lima, and Alexandre B. Lopes
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3353–3366,,, 2021
Short summary
Distribution of coastal high water level during extreme events around the UK and Irish coasts
Julia Rulent, Lucy M. Bricheno, J. A. Mattias Green, Ivan D. Haigh, and Huw Lewis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3339–3351,,, 2021
Short summary
Occurrence of pressure-forced meteotsunami events in the eastern Yellow Sea during 2010–2019
Myung-Seok Kim, Seung-Buhm Woo, Hyunmin Eom, and Sung Hyup You
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3323–3337,,, 2021
Short summary
Tsunami heights and limits in 1945 along the Makran coast estimated from testimony gathered 7 decades later in Gwadar, Pasni and Ormara
Hira Ashfaq Lodhi, Shoaib Ahmed, and Haider Hasan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3085–3096,,, 2021
Short summary
Sea-level rise in Venice: historic and future trends (review article)
Davide Zanchettin, Sara Bruni, Fabio Raicich, Piero Lionello, Fanny Adloff, Alexey Androsov, Fabrizio Antonioli, Vincenzo Artale, Eugenio Carminati, Christian Ferrarin, Vera Fofonova, Robert J. Nicholls, Sara Rubinetti, Angelo Rubino, Gianmaria Sannino, Giorgio Spada, Rémi Thiéblemont, Michael Tsimplis, Georg Umgiesser, Stefano Vignudelli, Guy Wöppelmann, and Susanna Zerbini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2643–2678,,, 2021
Short summary

Cited articles

Akaike, H.: Information theory as an extension of the maximum likelihood principle, edited by: Petrov, B. N. and Csaki, F., in: Second International Symposium on Information Theory, Akademiai Kiado, Budapest, 267–281, 1974. 
Andrade, C., Leite, S. M., and Santos, J. A.: Temperature extremes in Europe: overview of their driving atmospheric patterns, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 12, 1671–1691,, 2012. 
Brown, J., Souza, A., and Wolf, J.: Surge modelling in the eastern Irish Sea: Present and future storm impact, Ocean Dyn., 60, 227–236,, 2010. 
Cassou, C., Terray, L., and Phillips, A. S.: Tropical Atlantic influence on European heat waves, J. Climate, 18, 2805–2810, 2005. 
Colberg, F., McInnes, K. L., O'Grady, J., and Hoeke, R.: Atmospheric circulation changes and their impact on extreme sea levels around Australia, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 1067–1086,, 2019. 
Short summary
We examine the variability of storm surges along the English Channel coasts and their connection with the global atmospheric circulation at the interannual and interdecadal timescales using hybrid approaches combining wavelet techniques and probabilistic generalized extreme value models. Our hypothesis is that the physical mechanisms of the atmospheric circulation change according to the timescales and their connection with the local variability improve the prediction of the extreme surges.
Final-revised paper