Articles | Volume 20, issue 12
Research article
01 Dec 2020
Research article |  | 01 Dec 2020

A nonstationary analysis for investigating the multiscale variability of extreme surges: case of the English Channel coasts

Imen Turki, Lisa Baulon, Nicolas Massei, Benoit Laignel, Stéphane Costa, Matthieu Fournier, and Olivier Maquaire

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Short summary
We examine the variability of storm surges along the English Channel coasts and their connection with the global atmospheric circulation at the interannual and interdecadal timescales using hybrid approaches combining wavelet techniques and probabilistic generalized extreme value models. Our hypothesis is that the physical mechanisms of the atmospheric circulation change according to the timescales and their connection with the local variability improve the prediction of the extreme surges.
Final-revised paper