Articles | Volume 14, issue 3
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 569–588, 2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-569-2014

Special issue: Progress in landslide hazard and risk evaluation

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 569–588, 2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-569-2014

Research article 13 Mar 2014

Research article | 13 Mar 2014

Which data for quantitative landslide susceptibility mapping at operational scale? Case study of the Pays d'Auge plateau hillslopes (Normandy, France)

M. Fressard1, Y. Thiery2, and O. Maquaire1 M. Fressard et al.
  • 1LETG-Caen-Géophen UMR 6554, University of Caen Basse-Normandie, France
  • 2EURO-ENGINEERING, Pau, France

Abstract. This paper aims at assessing the impact of the data set quality for landslide susceptibility mapping using multivariate statistical modelling methods at detailed scale. This research is conducted on the Pays d'Auge plateau (Normandy, France) with a scale objective of 1 / 10 000, in order to fit the French guidelines on risk assessment. Five sets of data of increasing quality (considering accuracy, scale fitting, and geomorphological significance) and cost of acquisition are used to map the landslide susceptibility using logistic regression. The best maps obtained with each set of data are compared on the basis of different statistical accuracy indicators (ROC curves and relative error calculation), linear cross correlation and expert opinion. The results highlight that only high-quality sets of data supplied with detailed geomorphological variables (i.e. field inventory and surficial formation maps) can predict a satisfying proportion of landslides in the study area.

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