Articles | Volume 19, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1119-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1119-2019
Research article
 | 
12 Jun 2019
Research article |  | 12 Jun 2019

Taylor's power law in the Wenchuan earthquake sequence with fluctuation scaling

Peijian Shi, Mei Li, Yang Li, Jie Liu, Haixia Shi, Tao Xie, and Chong Yue

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Cited articles

Ballantyne IV, F.: The upper limit for the exponent of Taylor's power law is a consequence of deterministic population growth, Evol. Ecol. Res., 7, 1213–1220, 2005. 
Ballantyne IV, F. and Kerkhoff, A. J.: The observed range for temporal mean–variance scaling exponents can be explained by reproductive correlation, Oikos, 116, 174–180, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2006.0030-1299.15383.x, 2007. 
Burchfiel, B. C., Royden, L. H., van der Hilst, R. D., Hager, B. H., Chen, Z., King, R. W., Li, C., Lu, J., Yao, H., and Kirby, E.: A geological and geophysical context for the Wenchuan earthquake of 12 May 2008, Sichuan, People's Republic of China, GSA Today, 18, 4–11, https://doi.org/10.1130/GSATG18A.1, 2008. 
Chen, Y., Xu, L., Zhang, Y., Du, H., Feng, W., Liu, C., and Li, C.: Report on source characteristics of the larger Wenchuan earthquake source on 12 May 2008, available at: http://www.csi.ac.cn/Sichuan/chenyuntai.pdf, last access: 30 June 2017, 2008. (In Chinese with English abstract) 
Christensen, K., Danon, L., Scanlon, T., and Bak, P.: Unified scaling law for earthquakes, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 99, 2509–2513, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.012581099, 2002. 
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Short summary
A statistical method is tentatively utilized to study distribution properties of aftershocks of the Wenchuan sequence in the view of energy release. The results show that the events in the Wenchuan sequence are not independent but have mutual attraction, their spatio–temporal distribution tends to be nonrandom but definite and deterministic, and imply it is possible for energy release to be predicted, although we cannot accurately predict the occurrence time and locations of the imminent event.
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