Articles | Volume 23, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2475-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2475-2023
Research article
 | 
13 Jul 2023
Research article |  | 13 Jul 2023

Climate-induced storminess forces major increases in future storm surge hazard in the South China Sea region

Melissa Wood, Ivan D. Haigh, Quan Quan Le, Hung Nghia Nguyen, Hoang Ba Tran, Stephen E. Darby, Robert Marsh, Nikolaos Skliris, Joël J.-M. Hirschi, Robert J. Nicholls, and Nadia Bloemendaal

Related authors

Assessment of coastal inundation triggered by multiple drivers in Ca Mau Peninsula, Vietnam
Hung Nghia Nguyen, Quan Quan Le, Dung Viet Nguyen, Tan Hong Cao, Toan Quang To, Hai Do Dac, Melissa Wood, and Ivan D. Haigh
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-107,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-107, 2024
Preprint under review for NHESS
Short summary
Risk of compound flooding substantially increases in the future Mekong River delta
Melissa Wood, Ivan D. Haigh, Quan Quan Le, Hung Nghia Nguyen, Hoang Tran Ba, Stephen E. Darby, Robert Marsh, Nikolaos Skliris, and Joël J.-M. Hirschi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-949,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-949, 2024
Short summary

Related subject area

Sea, Ocean and Coastal Hazards
Global application of a regional frequency analysis to extreme sea levels
Thomas P. Collings, Niall D. Quinn, Ivan D. Haigh, Joshua Green, Izzy Probyn, Hamish Wilkinson, Sanne Muis, William V. Sweet, and Paul D. Bates
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2403–2423, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2403-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2403-2024, 2024
Short summary
Tsunami hazard assessment in the South China Sea based on geodetic locking of the Manila subduction zone
Guangsheng Zhao and Xiaojing Niu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2303–2313, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2303-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2303-2024, 2024
Short summary
The impact of long-term changes in ocean waves and storm surge on coastal shoreline change: a case study of Bass Strait and south-east Australia
Mandana Ghanavati, Ian R. Young, Ebru Kirezci, and Jin Liu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2175–2190, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2175-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2175-2024, 2024
Short summary
Brief communication: Implications of outstanding solitons for the occurrence of rogue waves at two additional sites in the North Sea
Ina Teutsch, Ralf Weisse, and Sander Wahls
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2065–2069, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2065-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2065-2024, 2024
Short summary
A systemic and comprehensive assessment of coastal hazard changes: method and application to France and its overseas territories
Marc Igigabel, Marissa Yates, Michalis Vousdoukas, and Youssef Diab
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1951–1974, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1951-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1951-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Anh, L. T., Takagi, H., Thao, N. D., and Esteban, M.: Investigation of awareness of typhoon and storm surge in the Mekong Delta – Recollection of 1997 Typhoon Linda, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B3 (Ocean Engineering), 73, I_168–I_173, 2017. 
Arns, A., Wahl, T., Wolff, C., Vafeidis, A. T., Haigh, I. D., Woodworth, P., Niehüser, S., and Jensen, J.: Non-linear interaction modulates global extreme sea levels, coastal flood exposure, and impacts, Nat. Commun., 11, 1–9, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15752-5, 2020. 
Bangalore, M., Smith, A., and Veldkamp, T.: Exposure to floods, climate change, and poverty in Vietnam, Economics of Disasters and Climate Change 3, 79–99, https://doi.org/10.1007/s41885-018-0035-4, 2019. 
Baranes, H. E., Woodruff, J. D., Talke, S. A., Kopp, R. E., Ray, R. D., and DeConto, R. M.: Tidally driven interannual variation in extreme sea level frequencies in the Gulf of Maine, J. Geophys. Res.-Oceans, 125, e2020JC016291, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JC016291, 2020. 
Bertin, X., Li, K., Roland, A., Zhang, Y. J., Breilh, J. F., and Chaumillon, E.: A modeling-based analysis of the flooding associated with Xynthia, central Bay of Biscay, Coast. Eng., 94, 80–89, 2014. 
Download
Short summary
We used a novel database of simulated tropical cyclone tracks to explore whether typhoon-induced storm surges present a future flood risk to low-lying coastal communities around the South China Sea. We found that future climate change is likely to change tropical cyclone behaviour to an extent that this increases the severity and frequency of storm surges to Vietnam, southern China, and Thailand. Consequently, coastal flood defences need to be reviewed for resilience against this future hazard.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint