Articles | Volume 23, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2475-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2475-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
13 Jul 2023
Research article |
| 13 Jul 2023
| 13 Jul 2023
Climate-induced storminess forces major increases in future storm surge hazard in the South China Sea region
Melissa Wood
School of Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre
Southampton, University of Southampton, Waterfront Campus, European Way,
Southampton, UK
Ivan D. Haigh
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
School of Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre
Southampton, University of Southampton, Waterfront Campus, European Way,
Southampton, UK
Quan Quan Le
Southern Institute of Water Resources Research (SIWRR), 658th Vo Van
Kiet Avenue, Ward 1, District 5, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Hung Nghia Nguyen
Southern Institute of Water Resources Research (SIWRR), 658th Vo Van
Kiet Avenue, Ward 1, District 5, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Hoang Ba Tran
Southern Institute of Water Resources Research (SIWRR), 658th Vo Van
Kiet Avenue, Ward 1, District 5, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Stephen E. Darby
School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of
Southampton, Highfield, Southampton, UK
Robert Marsh
School of Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre
Southampton, University of Southampton, Waterfront Campus, European Way,
Southampton, UK
Nikolaos Skliris
School of Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre
Southampton, University of Southampton, Waterfront Campus, European Way,
Southampton, UK
Joël J.-M. Hirschi
National Oceanography Centre, European Way, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, UK
Robert J. Nicholls
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East
Anglia, Norwich, UK
Nadia Bloemendaal
Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit
Amsterdam, 1081 HV, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
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12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Contributions of rising mean river level of the Río de la Plata estuary on recorded changes in positive storm surges M. Azkue & E. D’Onofrio 10.1590/2675-2824072.23148
- The SAVEMEDCOASTS-2 webGIS: The Online Platform for Relative Sea Level Rise and Storm Surge Scenarios up to 2100 for the Mediterranean Coasts A. Falciano et al. 10.3390/jmse11112071
- Evaluations of storm tide hazard along the coast of China using synthetic dynamic tropical cyclone events J. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104604
- Enhancing discharge estimation from SWOT satellite data in a tropical tidal river environment F. Rodrigues do Amaral et al. 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000226
- Review article: A comprehensive review of compound flooding literature with a focus on coastal and estuarine regions J. Green et al. 10.5194/nhess-25-747-2025
- Numerical simulation of water environment capacity from wet, normal, and dry years: taking the Luo River as an example Y. Wen & Y. Wang 10.2166/aqua.2023.318
- Risk of compound flooding substantially increases in the future Mekong River delta M. Wood et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-3627-2024
- Sea-level change in Eastern Mediterranean, Aegean and Black seas analyzed at subregional scale of six CORDEX domains P. Uzun & E. Otay 10.1016/j.rsma.2025.104099
- Assessing typhoon-induced compound flood drivers: a case study in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam F. Rodrigues do Amaral et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-3379-2023
- Regional modelling of extreme sea levels induced by hurricanes A. Chaigneau et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-4109-2024
- Projected Changes in Southeast Asian Sea Surface Characteristics Using CMIP6 GCMs O. Salehie et al. 10.1007/s41748-024-00480-3
- Storm surge induced by 2019 Tropical Storm Pabuk and impact on the shoreline in Kuala Nerus Terengganu, east coast of Peninsular Malaysia W. Abd Razak et al. 10.1016/j.rsma.2024.103536
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Contributions of rising mean river level of the Río de la Plata estuary on recorded changes in positive storm surges M. Azkue & E. D’Onofrio 10.1590/2675-2824072.23148
- The SAVEMEDCOASTS-2 webGIS: The Online Platform for Relative Sea Level Rise and Storm Surge Scenarios up to 2100 for the Mediterranean Coasts A. Falciano et al. 10.3390/jmse11112071
- Evaluations of storm tide hazard along the coast of China using synthetic dynamic tropical cyclone events J. Yang et al. 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104604
- Enhancing discharge estimation from SWOT satellite data in a tropical tidal river environment F. Rodrigues do Amaral et al. 10.1371/journal.pwat.0000226
- Review article: A comprehensive review of compound flooding literature with a focus on coastal and estuarine regions J. Green et al. 10.5194/nhess-25-747-2025
- Numerical simulation of water environment capacity from wet, normal, and dry years: taking the Luo River as an example Y. Wen & Y. Wang 10.2166/aqua.2023.318
- Risk of compound flooding substantially increases in the future Mekong River delta M. Wood et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-3627-2024
- Sea-level change in Eastern Mediterranean, Aegean and Black seas analyzed at subregional scale of six CORDEX domains P. Uzun & E. Otay 10.1016/j.rsma.2025.104099
- Assessing typhoon-induced compound flood drivers: a case study in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam F. Rodrigues do Amaral et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-3379-2023
- Regional modelling of extreme sea levels induced by hurricanes A. Chaigneau et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-4109-2024
- Projected Changes in Southeast Asian Sea Surface Characteristics Using CMIP6 GCMs O. Salehie et al. 10.1007/s41748-024-00480-3
Latest update: 08 Mar 2025
Short summary
We used a novel database of simulated tropical cyclone tracks to explore whether typhoon-induced storm surges present a future flood risk to low-lying coastal communities around the South China Sea. We found that future climate change is likely to change tropical cyclone behaviour to an extent that this increases the severity and frequency of storm surges to Vietnam, southern China, and Thailand. Consequently, coastal flood defences need to be reviewed for resilience against this future hazard.
We used a novel database of simulated tropical cyclone tracks to explore whether typhoon-induced...
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