Climate-induced storminess forces major increases in future storm surge hazard in the South China Sea region

Wood, Melissa; Haigh, Ivan D.; Le, Quan Quan; Nguyen, Hung Nghia; Tran, Hoang Ba; Darby, Stephen E.; Marsh, Robert; Skliris, Nikolaos; Hirschi, Joël J.-M.; Nicholls, Robert J.; Bloemendaal, Nadia

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2475-2023

Articles | Volume 23, issue 7

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2475-2023

© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue:

Coastal hazards and hydro-meteorological extremes

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2475-2023

© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 23, issue 7

Research article

|

13 Jul 2023

Research article |

| 13 Jul 2023

Climate-induced storminess forces major increases in future storm surge hazard in the South China Sea region

Melissa Wood, Ivan D. Haigh, Quan Quan Le, Hung Nghia Nguyen, Hoang Ba Tran, Stephen E. Darby, Robert Marsh, Nikolaos Skliris, Joël J.-M. Hirschi, Robert J. Nicholls, and Nadia Bloemendaal

Data sets

Modelled storm surge and total water level return periods along the coastline of China, Vietnam, Cambodia and Thailand (1980-2050) M. L. Wood, I. D. Haigh, L. Quan, N. Hung, S. E. Darby, R. Marsh, N. Skliris, J. Hirschi, R. J. Nicholls, and N. Bloemendaal https://doi.org/10.5285/e17e7db6-4a78-1a89-e053-6c86abc0253d

Model code and software

Modelled storm surge and total water level return periods along the coastline of China, Vietnam, Cambodia and Thailand (1980-2050) M. L. Wood, I. D. Haigh, L. Quan, N. Hung, S. E. Darby, R. Marsh, N. Skliris, J. Hirschi, R. J. Nicholls, and N. Bloemendaal https://doi.org/10.5285/e17e7db6-4a78-1a89-e053-6c86abc0253d

Short summary

We used a novel database of simulated tropical cyclone tracks to explore whether typhoon-induced storm surges present a future flood risk to low-lying coastal communities around the South China Sea. We found that future climate change is likely to change tropical cyclone behaviour to an extent that this increases the severity and frequency of storm surges to Vietnam, southern China, and Thailand. Consequently, coastal flood defences need to be reviewed for resilience against this future hazard.