Articles | Volume 22, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2879-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2879-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Invited perspectives
| 
01 Sep 2022
Invited perspectives |
| 01 Sep 2022
| 01 Sep 2022
Invited perspectives: Managed realignment as a solution to mitigate coastal flood risks – optimizing success through knowledge co-production
Department of Geography, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, LN6 7TS, United Kingdom
Hannah L. Mossman
Department of Natural Sciences, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, M15 6BH, United Kingdom
Harriet E. Moore
Department of Geography, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, LN6 7TS, United Kingdom
Elizabeth Christie
Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 3EN, United Kingdom
Joshua Kiesel
Department of Geography, Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel, 24118 Kiel, Germany
Publisher's note: Elizabeth Christie was added as co-author to this paper on 6 October 2022. They originally contributed to the manuscript but were missing in the author list upon publication.
Related authors
Athanasios T. Vafeidis, Mark Schuerch, Claudia Wolff, Tom Spencer, Jan L. Merkens, Jochen Hinkel, Daniel Lincke, Sally Brown, and Robert J. Nicholls
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 973–984, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-973-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-973-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
This paper evaluates the effect of surge water level reduction due to land surface characteristics when assessing flood impacts at global scales. Our results show that uncertainties due to not accounting for water attenuation are of similar magnitude to the uncertainties regarding the total amount of sea-level rise expected by 2100, thus highlighting the need for better understanding of the spatial and temporal variation of water levels across floodplains.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Athanasios T. Vafeidis, Mark Schuerch, Claudia Wolff, Tom Spencer, Jan L. Merkens, Jochen Hinkel, Daniel Lincke, Sally Brown, and Robert J. Nicholls
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2017-199, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2017-199, 2017
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary
Short summary
Global assessments of coastal flooding are based on the assumption that water propagation follows a
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
bathtubpattern across the floodplain. Using a global model we find that this assumption can lead to overestimation of impacts, with an uncertainty range that can be of equal magnitude to uncertainties related to future sea-level rise. Our results highlight the importance of improving the representation of the spatial/temporal variation of water levels across floodplains of different landcover.
Joshua Kiesel, Claudia Wolff, and Marvin Lorenz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3841–3849, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3841-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3841-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
In October 2023, one of the strongest storm surges on record hit the southwestern Baltic Sea coast, causing severe impacts in the German federal state of Schleswig-Holstein, including dike failures. Recent studies on coastal flooding from the same region align well with the October 2023 surge, with differences in peak water levels of less than 30 cm. This rare coincidence is used to assess current capabilities and limitations of coastal flood modelling and derive key areas for future research.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Joshua Kiesel, Marvin Lorenz, Marcel König, Ulf Gräwe, and Athanasios T. Vafeidis
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2961–2985, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2961-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2961-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Among the Baltic Sea littoral states, Germany is anticipated to experience considerable damage as a result of increased coastal flooding due to sea-level rise (SLR). Here we apply a new modelling framework to simulate how flooding along the German Baltic Sea coast may change until 2100 if dikes are not upgraded. We find that the study region is highly exposed to flooding, and we emphasise the importance of current plans to update coastal protection in the future.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Athanasios T. Vafeidis, Mark Schuerch, Claudia Wolff, Tom Spencer, Jan L. Merkens, Jochen Hinkel, Daniel Lincke, Sally Brown, and Robert J. Nicholls
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 973–984, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-973-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-973-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
This paper evaluates the effect of surge water level reduction due to land surface characteristics when assessing flood impacts at global scales. Our results show that uncertainties due to not accounting for water attenuation are of similar magnitude to the uncertainties regarding the total amount of sea-level rise expected by 2100, thus highlighting the need for better understanding of the spatial and temporal variation of water levels across floodplains.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Athanasios T. Vafeidis, Mark Schuerch, Claudia Wolff, Tom Spencer, Jan L. Merkens, Jochen Hinkel, Daniel Lincke, Sally Brown, and Robert J. Nicholls
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2017-199, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2017-199, 2017
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary
Short summary
Global assessments of coastal flooding are based on the assumption that water propagation follows a
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
bathtubpattern across the floodplain. Using a global model we find that this assumption can lead to overestimation of impacts, with an uncertainty range that can be of equal magnitude to uncertainties related to future sea-level rise. Our results highlight the importance of improving the representation of the spatial/temporal variation of water levels across floodplains of different landcover.
Related subject area
Risk Assessment, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies, Socioeconomic and Management Aspects
Ready, Set & Go! An anticipatory action system against droughts
Between global risk reduction goals, scientific–technical capabilities and local realities: a modular approach for user-centric multi-risk assessment
Flood risk assessment through large-scale modeling under uncertainty
Migration as a hidden risk factor in seismic fatality: a spatial modeling of the Chi-Chi earthquake and suburban syndrome
Simulating the effects of sea level rise and soil salinization on adaptation and migration decisions in Mozambique
Current status of water-related planning for climate change adaptation in the Spree river basin, Germany
Using a convection-permitting climate model to assess wine grape productivity: two case studies in Italy
Volcanic risk ranking and regional mapping of the Central Volcanic Zone of the Andes
Development of a regionally consistent and fully probabilistic earthquake risk model for Central Asia
Critical infrastructure resilience: a guide for building indicator systems based on a multi-criteria framework with a focus on implementable actions
Where to start with climate-smart forest management? Climatic risk for forest-based mitigation
Dynamic response of pile–slab retaining wall structure under rockfall impact
Urban growth and spatial segregation increase disaster risk: lessons learned from the 2023 disaster on the North Coast of São Paulo, Brazil
Enhancement of state response capability and famine mitigation: A comparative analysis of two drought events in northern China during the Ming dynasty
An impact-chain-based exploration of multi-hazard vulnerability dynamics: the multi-hazard of floods and the COVID-19 pandemic in Romania
Always on my mind: indications of post-traumatic stress disorder among those affected by the 2021 flood event in the Ahr valley, Germany
Earthquake insurance in Iran: solvency of local insurers in light of current market practices
Micro-business participation in collective flood adaptation: lessons from scenario-based analysis in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Brief communication: Storm Daniel flood impact in Greece in 2023: mapping crop and livestock exposure from synthetic-aperture radar (SAR)
Flood exposure of environmental assets
Risk reduction through managed retreat? Investigating enabling conditions and assessing resettlement effects on community resilience in Metro Manila
Brief communication: Lessons learned and experiences gained from building up a global survey on societal resilience to changing droughts
Regional seismic risk assessment based on ground conditions in Uzbekistan
Unveiling transboundary challenges in river flood risk management: learning from the Ciliwung River basin
Quantitative study of storm surge risk assessment in an undeveloped coastal area of China based on deep learning and geographic information system techniques: a case study of Double Moon Bay
Adaptive Behavior of Over a Million Individual Farmers Under Consecutive Droughts: A Large-Scale Agent-Based Modeling Analysis in the Bhima Basin, India
Review article: Insuring the green economy against natural hazards – charting research frontiers in vulnerability assessment
Multisectoral analysis of drought impacts and management responses to the 2008–2015 record drought in the Colorado Basin, Texas
Impacts from cascading multi-hazards using hypergraphs: a case study from the 2015 Gorkha earthquake in Nepal
Simulating multi-hazard event sets for life cycle consequence analysis
Analysis of the effects of urban micro-scale vulnerabilities on tsunami evacuation using an agent-based model – case study in the city of Iquique, Chile
Factors of influence on flood risk perceptions related to Hurricane Dorian: an assessment of heuristics, time dynamics, and accuracy of risk perceptions
Anticipating a risky future: long short-term memory (LSTM) models for spatiotemporal extrapolation of population data in areas prone to earthquakes and tsunamis in Lima, Peru
A new regionally consistent exposure database for Central Asia: population and residential buildings
Study on seismic risk assessment model of water supply systems in mainland China
Mapping current and future flood exposure using a 5 m flood model and climate change projections
A New Method for Calculating Highway Blocking due to High Impact Weather Conditions
Brief communication: On the environmental impacts of the 2023 floods in Emilia-Romagna (Italy)
A regional-scale approach to assessing non-residential building, transportation and cropland exposure in Central Asia
Towards a global impact-based forecasting model for tropical cyclones
Identifying vulnerable populations in urban society: a case study in a flood-prone district of Wuhan, China
An assessment of potential improvements in social capital, risk awareness, and preparedness from digital technologies
Spatial accessibility of emergency medical services under inclement weather: a case study in Beijing, China
Review article: Current approaches and critical issues in multi-risk recovery planning of urban areas exposed to natural hazards
Estimating emergency costs for earthquakes and floods in Central Asia based on modelled losses
Compound flood impacts from Hurricane Sandy on New York City in climate-driven storylines
Regional-scale landslide risk assessment in Central Asia
Cost estimation for the monitoring instrumentation of landslide early warning systems
The role of response efficacy and self-efficacy in disaster preparedness actions for vulnerable households
Scientists as storytellers: the explanatory power of stories told about environmental crises
Gabriela Guimarães Nobre, Jamie Towner, Bernardino Nhantumbo, Célio João da Conceição Marcos Matuele, Isaias Raiva, Massimiliano Pasqui, Sara Quaresima, and Rogério Manuel Lemos Pereira Bonifácio
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4661–4682, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4661-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4661-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Ready, Set & Go!system, developed by the World Food Programme and partners, employs seasonal forecasts to tackle droughts in Mozambique. With the Maputo Declaration, efforts to expand early warning systems are aligning with global initiatives for universal protection by 2027. Through advanced forecasting and anticipatory action, it could cover 76 % of districts against severe droughts, reaching 87 % national coverage for the first months of the rainy season.
Elisabeth Schoepfer, Jörn Lauterjung, Torsten Riedlinger, Harald Spahn, Juan Camilo Gómez Zapata, Christian D. León, Hugo Rosero-Velásquez, Sven Harig, Michael Langbein, Nils Brinckmann, Günter Strunz, Christian Geiß, and Hannes Taubenböck
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4631–4660, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4631-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4631-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
In this paper, we provide a brief introduction of the paradigm shift from managing disasters to managing risks, followed by single-hazard to multi-risk assessment. We highlight four global strategies that address disaster risk reduction and call for action. Subsequently, we present a conceptual approach for multi-risk assessment which was designed to serve potential users like disaster risk managers, urban planners or operators of critical infrastructure to increase their capabilities.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Luciano Pavesi, Elena Volpi, and Aldo Fiori
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4507–4522, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4507-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4507-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Several sources of uncertainty affect flood risk estimation for reliable assessment for investment, insurance and risk management. Here, we consider the uncertainty of large-scale flood hazard modeling, providing a range of risk values that show significant variability depending on geomorphic factors and land use types. This allows for identifying the critical points where single-value estimates may underestimate the risk and the areas of vulnerability for prioritizing risk reduction efforts.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Tzu-Hsin Karen Chen, Kuan-Hui Elaine Lin, Thung-Hong Lin, Gee-Yu Liu, Chin-Hsun Yeh, and Diana Maria Ceballos
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4457–4471, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4457-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4457-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This study shows migration patterns to be a critical factor in seismic fatalities. Analyzing the Chi-Chi earthquake in Taiwan, we find that lower income and a higher indigenous population at migrants' origins are correlated with higher fatalities at their destinations. This underscores the need for affordable and safe housing on the outskirts of megacities, where migrants from lower-income and historically marginalized groups are more likely to reside due to precarious employment conditions.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Kushagra Pandey, Jens A. de Bruijn, Hans de Moel, W. J. Wouter Botzen, and Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4409–4429, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4409-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4409-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
As sea levels rise, coastal areas will experience more frequent flooding, and salt water will start seeping into the soil, which is a serious issue for farmers who rely on good soil quality for their crops. Here, we studied coastal Mozambique to understand the risks from sea level rise and flooding by looking at how salt intrusion affects farming and how floods damage buildings. We find that 15 %–21 % of coastal households will adapt and 13 %–20 % will migrate to inland areas in the future.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Saskia Arndt and Stefan Heiland
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4369–4383, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4369-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4369-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This study provides an overview of the current status of climate change adaptation in plans for water management, spatial planning and landscape planning in the Spree river basin. Only 39 % of 28 plans analysed specify objectives and measures for adaptation to climate change. To fill this gap, more frequent updates of plans, a stronger focus on multifunctional measures, and the adaptation of best-practice examples for systematic integration of climate change impacts and adaptation are needed.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Laura T. Massano, Giorgia Fosser, Marco Gaetani, and Cécile Caillaud
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4293–4315, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4293-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4293-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Traditional wine-growing regions are threatened by expected climate change. Climate models and observations are used to calculate bioclimatic indices based on both temperature and precipitation. These indices are correlated with grape productivity in two wine-growing regions in Italy. This analysis paves the way for using climate models to study how climate change will affect wine production in the future.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
María-Paz Reyes-Hardy, Luigia Sara Di Maio, Lucia Dominguez, Corine Frischknecht, Sébastien Biass, Leticia Freitas Guimarães, Amiel Nieto-Torres, Manuela Elissondo, Gabriela Pedreros, Rigoberto Aguilar, Álvaro Amigo, Sebastián García, Pablo Forte, and Costanza Bonadonna
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4267–4291, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4267-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4267-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The Central Volcanic Zone of the Andes (CVZA) spans four countries with 59 volcanoes. We identify those with the most intense and frequent eruptions and the highest potential impact that require risk mitigation actions. Using multiple risk factors, we encourage the use of regional volcanic risk assessments to analyse the level of preparedness especially of transboundary volcanoes. We hope that our work will motivate further collaborative studies and promote cooperation between CVZA countries.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Mario A. Salgado-Gálvez, Mario Ordaz, Benjamín Huerta, Osvaldo Garay, Carlos Avelar, Ettore Fagà, Mohsen Kohrangi, Paola Ceresa, Georgios Triantafyllou, and Ulugbek T. Begaliev
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3851–3868, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3851-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3851-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Central Asia is prone to earthquake losses, which can heavily impact different types of assets. This paper presents the details of a probabilistic earthquake risk model which made use of a regionally consistent approach to assess feasible earthquake losses in five countries. Results are presented in terms of commonly used risk metrics, which are aimed at facilitating a policy dialogue regarding different disaster risk management strategies, from risk mitigation to disaster risk financing.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Zhuyu Yang, Bruno Barroca, Ahmed Mebarki, Katia Laffréchine, Hélène Dolidon, and Lionel Lilas
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3723–3753, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3723-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3723-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
To integrate resilience assessment into practical management, this study designs a step-by-step guide that enables managers of critical infrastructure (CI) to create specific indicator systems tailored to real cases. This guide considers the consequences of hazards to CI and the cost–benefit analysis and side effects of implementable actions. The assessment results assist managers, as they are based on a multi-criterion framework that addresses several factors valued in practical management.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Natalie Piazza, Luca Malanchini, Edoardo Nevola, and Giorgio Vacchiano
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3579–3595, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3579-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3579-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Natural disturbances are projected to intensify in the future, threatening our forests and their functions such as wood production, protection against natural hazards, and carbon sequestration. By assessing risks to forests from wind and fire damage, alongside the vulnerability of carbon, it is possible to prioritize forest stands at high risk. In this study, we propose a novel methodological approach to support climate-smart forest management and inform better decision-making.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Peng Zou, Gang Luo, Yuzhang Bi, and Hanhua Xu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3497–3517, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3497-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3497-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The pile–slab retaining wall, an innovative rockfall shield, is widely used in China's western mountains. However, its dynamic impact response and resistance remain unclear due to structural complexity. A comprehensive dynamic analysis of the structure, under various impacts, was done using the finite-element method. The maximum impact energy that the structure can withstand is 905 kJ, and various indexes were obtained.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Cassiano Bastos Moroz and Annegret H. Thieken
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3299–3314, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3299-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3299-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We evaluate the influence of urban processes on the impacts of the 2023 disaster that hit the North Coast of São Paulo, Brazil. The impacts of the disaster were largely associated with rapid urban expansion over the last 3 decades, with a recent occupation of risky areas. Moreover, lower-income neighborhoods were considerably more severely impacted, which evidences their increased exposure to such events. These results highlight the strong association between disaster risk and urban poverty.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Fangyu Tian, Yun Su, Xudong Chen, and Le Tao
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-159, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-159, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for NHESS
Short summary
Short summary
This study developed a model of extreme drought-induced famine processes and response mechanisms in ancient China. Spatial distribution of drought and famine during the Chenghua Drought and the Wanli Drought was constructed. By categorizing drought-affected counties into three types, a comparative analysis of the differences in famine severity and response effectiveness between the Chenghua and Wanli droughts was conducted.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Andra-Cosmina Albulescu and Iuliana Armaș
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2895–2922, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2895-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2895-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This study delves into the dynamics of vulnerability within a multi-hazard context, proposing an enhanced impact-chain-based framework that analyses the augmentation of vulnerability. The case study refers to the flood events and the COVID-19 pandemic that affected Romania (2020–2021). The impact chain shows that (1) the unforeseen implications of impacts, (2) the wrongful action of adaptation options, and (3) inaction can form the basis for increased vulnerability.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Marie-Luise Zenker, Philip Bubeck, and Annegret H. Thieken
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2837–2856, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2837-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2837-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Despite the visible flood damage, mental health is a growing concern. Yet, there is limited data in Germany on mental health impacts after floods. A survey in a heavily affected region revealed that 28 % of respondents showed signs of post-traumatic stress disorder 1 year later. Risk factors include gender, serious injury or illness due to flooding, and feeling left alone to cope with impacts. The study highlights the need for tailored mental health support for flood-affected populations.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Mohsen Ghafory-Ashtiany and Hooman Motamed
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2707–2726, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2707-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2707-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Iranian insurers have been offering earthquake coverage since the 1990s. However, despite international best practices, they still do not use modern methods for risk pricing and management. As such, they seem to be accumulating seismic risk over time. This paper examines the viability of this market in Iran by comparing the local market practices with international best practices in earthquake risk pricing (catastrophe modeling) and insurance risk management (European Solvency II regime).
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Javier Revilla Diez, Roxana Leitold, Van Tran, and Matthias Garschagen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2425–2440, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2425-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2425-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Micro-businesses, often overlooked in adaptation research, show surprising willingness to contribute to collective adaptation despite limited finances and local support. Based on a study in Ho Chi Minh City in Vietnam, approximately 70 % are ready for awareness campaigns, and 39 % would provide financial support if costs were shared. These findings underscore the need for increased involvement of micro-businesses in local adaptation plans to enhance collective adaptive capacity.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Kang He, Qing Yang, Xinyi Shen, Elias Dimitriou, Angeliki Mentzafou, Christina Papadaki, Maria Stoumboudi, and Emmanouil N. Anagnostou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2375–2382, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2375-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2375-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
About 820 km2 of agricultural land was inundated in central Greece due to Storm Daniel. A detailed analysis revealed that the crop most affected by the flooding was cotton; the inundated area of more than 282 km2 comprised ~ 30 % of the total area planted with cotton in central Greece. In terms of livestock, we estimate that more than 14 000 ornithoids and 21 500 sheep and goats were affected. Consequences for agriculture and animal husbandry in Greece are expected to be severe.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Gabriele Bertoli, Chiara Arrighi, and Enrica Caporali
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-105, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-105, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for NHESS
Short summary
Short summary
Environmental assets are crucial to sustain and fulfil life on Earth through ecosystem services. Assessing their flood risk is thus seminal, besides required by several norms. Even though, this field is not yet sufficiently developed. We explored the exposure component of the flood risk, and developed an evaluating methodology based on the ecosystem services provided by the environmental assets, to discern assets and areas more important than others with metrics suitable to large scale studies.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Hannes Lauer, Carmeli Marie C. Chaves, Evelyn Lorenzo, Sonia Islam, and Jörn Birkmann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2243–2261, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2243-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2243-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
In many urban areas, people face high exposure to hazards. Resettling them to safer locations becomes a major strategy, not least because of climate change. This paper dives into the success factors of government-led resettlement in Manila and finds surprising results which challenge the usual narrative and fuel the conversation on resettlement as an adaptation strategy. Contrary to expectations, the location – whether urban or rural – of the new home is less important than safety from floods.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Marina Batalini de Macedo, Marcos Roberto Benso, Karina Simone Sass, Eduardo Mario Mendiondo, Greicelene Jesus da Silva, Pedro Gustavo Câmara da Silva, Elisabeth Shrimpton, Tanaya Sarmah, Da Huo, Michael Jacobson, Abdullah Konak, Nazmiye Balta-Ozkan, and Adelaide Cassia Nardocci
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2165–2173, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2165-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2165-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
With climate change, societies increasingly need to adapt to deal with more severe droughts and the impacts they can have on food production. To make better adaptation decisions, drought resilience indicators can be used. To build these indicators, surveys with experts can be done. However, designing surveys is a costly process that can influence how experts respond. In this communication, we aim to deal with the challenges encountered in the development of surveys to help further research.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Vakhitkhan Alikhanovich Ismailov, Sharofiddin Ismatullayevich Yodgorov, Akhror Sabriddinovich Khusomiddinov, Eldor Makhmadiyorovich Yadigarov, Bekzod Uktamovich Aktamov, and Shuhrat Bakhtiyorovich Avazov
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2133–2146, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2133-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2133-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
For the basis of seismic risk assessment, maps of seismic intensity increment and an improved map of seismic hazard have been developed, taking into account the engineering-geological conditions of the territory of Uzbekistan and the seismic characteristics of soils. For seismic risk map development, databases were created based on geographic information system platforms, allowing us to systematize and evaluate the regional distribution of information.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Harkunti Pertiwi Rahayu, Khonsa Indana Zulfa, Dewi Nurhasanah, Richard Haigh, Dilanthi Amaratunga, and In In Wahdiny
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2045–2064, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2045-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2045-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Transboundary flood risk management in the Ciliwung River basin is placed in a broader context of disaster management, environmental science, and governance. This is particularly relevant for areas of research involving the management of shared water resources, the impact of regional development on flood risk, and strategies to reduce economic losses from flooding.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Lichen Yu, Hao Qin, Shining Huang, Wei Wei, Haoyu Jiang, and Lin Mu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2003–2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2003-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2003-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This paper proposes a quantitative storm surge risk assessment method for data-deficient regions. A coupled model is used to simulate five storm surge scenarios. Deep learning is used to extract building footprints. Economic losses are calculated by combining adjusted depth–damage functions with inundation simulation results. Zoning maps illustrate risk levels based on economic losses, aiding in disaster prevention measures to reduce losses in coastal areas.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Maurice W. M. L. Kalthof, Jens de Bruijn, Hans de Moel, Heidi Kreibich, and Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1588, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1588, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Our study explores how farmers in India's Bhima basin respond to consecutive droughts. We simulated all farmers' individual choices—like changing crops or digging wells—and their effects on profits, yields, and water resources. Results show these adaptations, while improving incomes, ultimately increase drought vulnerability and damages. Such insights emphasize the need for alternative adaptations and highlight the value of socio-hydrology models in shaping policies to lessen drought impacts.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Harikesan Baskaran, Ioanna Ioannou, Tiziana Rossetto, Jonas Cels, Mathis Joffrain, Nicolas Mortegoutte, Aurelie Fallon Saint-Lo, and Catalina Spataru
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-82, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-82, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for NHESS
Short summary
Short summary
There is a global need for insuring green economy assets against natural hazard events. But their complexity and low exposure history, means the data required for vulnerability evaluation by the insurance industry is scarce. A systematic literature review is conducted in this study, to determine the suitability of current, published literature for this purpose. Knowledge gaps are charted, and a representative asset-hazard taxonomy is proposed, to guide future, quantitative research.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Stephen B. Ferencz, Ning Sun, Sean W. D. Turner, Brian A. Smith, and Jennie S. Rice
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1871–1896, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1871-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1871-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Drought has long posed an existential threat to society. Population growth, economic development, and the potential for more extreme and prolonged droughts due to climate change pose significant water security challenges. Better understanding the impacts and adaptive responses resulting from extreme drought can aid adaptive planning. The 2008–2015 record drought in the Colorado Basin, Texas, United States, is used as a case study to assess impacts and responses to severe drought.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Alex Dunant, Tom R. Robinson, Alexander Logan Densmore, Nick J. Rosser, Ragindra Man Rajbhandari, Mark Kincey, Sihan Li, Prem Raj Awasthi, Max Van Wyk de Vries, Ramesh Guragain, Erin Harvey, and Simon Dadson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1374, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1374, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Our study introduces a new method using hypergraph theory to assess risks from interconnected natural hazards. Traditional models often overlook how these hazards can interact and worsen each other's effects. By applying our method to the 2015 Nepal earthquake, we successfully demonstrated its ability to predict broad damage patterns, despite slightly overestimating impacts. Being able to anticipate the effects of complex, interconnected hazards is critical for disaster preparedness.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Leandro Iannacone, Kenneth Otárola, Roberto Gentile, and Carmine Galasso
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1721–1740, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1721-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1721-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The paper presents a review of the available classifications for hazard interactions in a multi-hazard context, and it incorporates such classifications from a modeling perspective. The outcome is a sequential Monte Carlo approach enabling efficient simulation of multi-hazard event sets (i.e., sequences of events throughout the life cycle). These event sets can then be integrated into frameworks for the quantification of consequences for the purposes of life cycle consequence (LCCon) analysis.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Rodrigo Cienfuegos, Gonzalo Álvarez, Jorge León, Alejandro Urrutia, and Sebastián Castro
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1485–1500, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1485-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1485-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This study carries out a detailed analysis of possible tsunami evacuation scenarios in the city of Iquique in Chile. Evacuation modeling and tsunami modeling are integrated, allowing for an estimation of the potential number of people that the inundation may reach under different scenarios by emulating the dynamics and behavior of the population and their decision-making regarding the starting time of the evacuation.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Laurine A. de Wolf, Peter J. Robinson, W. J. Wouter Botzen, Toon Haer, Jantsje M. Mol, and Jeffrey Czajkowski
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1303–1318, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1303-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1303-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
An understanding of flood risk perceptions may aid in improving flood risk communication. We conducted a survey among 871 coastal residents in Florida who were threatened to be flooded by Hurricane Dorian. Part of the original sample was resurveyed after Dorian failed to make landfall to investigate changes in risk perception. We find a strong influence of previous flood experience and social norms on flood risk perceptions. Furthermore, flood risk perceptions declined after the near-miss event.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Christian Geiß, Jana Maier, Emily So, Elisabeth Schoepfer, Sven Harig, Juan Camilo Gómez Zapata, and Yue Zhu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1051–1064, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1051-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1051-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We establish a model of future geospatial population distributions to quantify the number of people living in earthquake-prone and tsunami-prone areas of Lima and Callao, Peru, for the year 2035. Areas of high earthquake intensity will experience a population growth of almost 30 %. The population in the tsunami inundation area is estimated to grow by more than 60 %. Uncovering those relations can help urban planners and policymakers to develop effective risk mitigation strategies.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Chiara Scaini, Alberto Tamaro, Baurzhan Adilkhan, Satbek Sarzhanov, Vakhitkhan Ismailov, Ruslan Umaraliev, Mustafo Safarov, Vladimir Belikov, Japar Karayev, and Ettore Faga
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 929–945, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-929-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-929-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Central Asia is highly exposed to multiple hazards, including earthquakes, floods and landslides, for which risk reduction strategies are currently under development. We provide a regional-scale database of assets at risk, including population and residential buildings, based on existing information and recent data collected for each Central Asian country. The population and number of buildings are also estimated for the year 2080 to support the definition of disaster risk reduction strategies.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Tianyang Yu, Banghua Lu, Hui Jiang, and Zhi Liu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 803–822, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-803-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-803-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
A basic database for seismic risk assessment of 720 urban water supply systems in mainland China is established. The parameters of the seismic risk curves of 720 cities are calculated. The seismic fragility curves of various facilities in the water supply system are given based on the logarithmic normal distribution model. The expected seismic loss and the expected loss rate index of 720 urban water supply systems in mainland China in the medium and long term are given.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Connor Darlington, Jonathan Raikes, Daniel Henstra, Jason Thistlethwaite, and Emma K. Raven
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 699–714, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-699-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-699-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The impacts of climate change on local floods require precise maps that clearly demarcate changes to flood exposure; however, most maps lack important considerations that reduce their utility in policy and decision-making. This article presents a new approach to identifying current and projected flood exposure using a 5 m model. The results highlight advancements in the mapping of flood exposure with implications for flood risk management.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Duanyang Liu, Tian Jing, Mingyue Yan, Ismail Gultepe, Yunxuan Bao, Hongbin Wang, and Fan Zu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2023-230, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2023-230, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for NHESS
Short summary
Short summary
The highway-blocking events are characterized by diurnal variation. A classification method of severity levels of highway blocking is developed into five levels. The severity levels of highway blocking due to high-impact weather are evaluated. A method for calculating the degree of highway load in China is proposed. A quantitative assessment of the losses of highway blocking due to dense fog is conducted. The highway losses caused by dense fog are concentrated in North, East and Southwest China.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Chiara Arrighi and Alessio Domeneghetti
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 673–679, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-673-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-673-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
In this communication, we reflect on environmental flood impacts by analysing the reported environmental consequences of the 2023 Emilia-Romagna floods. The most frequently reported damage involves water resources and water-related ecosystems. Indirect effects in time and space, intrinsic recovery capacity, cascade impacts on socio-economic systems, and the lack of established monitoring activities appear to be the most challenging aspects for future research.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Chiara Scaini, Alberto Tamaro, Baurzhan Adilkhan, Satbek Sarzhanov, Zukhritdin Ergashev, Ruslan Umaraliev, Mustafo Safarov, Vladimir Belikov, Japar Karayev, and Ettore Fagà
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 355–373, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-355-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-355-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Central Asia is prone to multiple hazards such as floods, landslides and earthquakes, which can affect a wide range of assets at risk. We develop the first regionally consistent database of assets at risk for non-residential buildings, transportation and croplands in Central Asia. The database combines global and regional data sources and country-based information and supports the development of regional-scale disaster risk reduction strategies for the Central Asia region.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Mersedeh Kooshki Forooshani, Marc van den Homberg, Kyriaki Kalimeri, Andreas Kaltenbrunner, Yelena Mejova, Leonardo Milano, Pauline Ndirangu, Daniela Paolotti, Aklilu Teklesadik, and Monica L. Turner
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 309–329, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-309-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-309-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We improve an existing impact forecasting model for the Philippines by transforming the target variable (percentage of damaged houses) to a fine grid, using only features which are globally available. We show that our two-stage model conserves the performance of the original and even has the potential to introduce savings in anticipatory action resources. Such model generalizability is important in increasing the applicability of such tools around the world.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Jia Xu, Makoto Takahashi, and Weifu Li
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 179–197, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-179-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-179-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Through the development of micro-individual social vulnerability indicators and cluster analysis, this study assessed the level of social vulnerability of 599 residents from 11 communities in the Hongshan District of Wuhan. The findings reveal three levels of social vulnerability: high, medium, and low. Quantitative assessments offer specific comparisons between distinct units, and the results indicate that different types of communities have significant differences in social vulnerability.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Tommaso Piseddu, Mathilda Englund, and Karina Barquet
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 145–161, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-145-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-145-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Contributions to social capital, risk awareness, and preparedness constitute the parameters to test applications in disaster risk management. We propose an evaluation of four of these: mobile positioning data, social media crowdsourcing, drones, and satellite imaging. The analysis grants the opportunity to investigate how different methods to evaluate surveys' results may influence final preferences. We find that the different assumptions on which these methods rely deliver diverging results.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Yuting Zhang, Kai Liu, Xiaoyong Ni, Ming Wang, Jianchun Zheng, Mengting Liu, and Dapeng Yu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 63–77, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-63-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-63-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This article is aimed at developing a method to quantify the influence of inclement weather on the accessibility of emergency medical services (EMSs) in Beijing, China, and identifying the vulnerable areas that could not get timely EMSs under inclement weather. We found that inclement weather could reduce the accessibility of EMSs by up to 40%. Furthermore, towns with lower baseline EMSs accessibility are more vulnerable when inclement weather occurs.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Soheil Mohammadi, Silvia De Angeli, Giorgio Boni, Francesca Pirlone, and Serena Cattari
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 79–107, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-79-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-79-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This paper critically reviews disaster recovery literature from a multi-risk perspective. Identified key challenges encompass the lack of approaches integrating physical reconstruction and socio-economic recovery, the neglect of multi-risk interactions, the limited exploration of recovery from a pre-disaster planning perspective, and the low consideration of disaster recovery as a non-linear process in which communities need change over time.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Emilio Berny, Carlos Avelar, Mario A. Salgado-Gálvez, and Mario Ordaz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 53–62, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-53-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-53-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This paper presents a methodology to estimate the total emergency costs based on modelled damages for earthquakes and floods, together with the demographic and building characteristics of the study area. The methodology has been applied in five countries in central Asia, the first time that these estimates are made available for the study area and are intended to be useful for regional and local stakeholders and decision makers.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Henrique M. D. Goulart, Irene Benito Lazaro, Linda van Garderen, Karin van der Wiel, Dewi Le Bars, Elco Koks, and Bart van den Hurk
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 29–45, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-29-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-29-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We explore how Hurricane Sandy (2012) could flood New York City under different scenarios, including climate change and internal variability. We find that sea level rise can quadruple coastal flood volumes, while changes in Sandy's landfall location can double flood volumes. Our results show the need for diverse scenarios that include climate change and internal variability and for integrating climate information into a modelling framework, offering insights for high-impact event assessments.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Francesco Caleca, Chiara Scaini, William Frodella, and Veronica Tofani
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 13–27, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-13-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-13-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Landslide risk analysis is a powerful tool because it allows us to identify where physical and economic losses could occur due to a landslide event. The purpose of our work was to provide the first regional-scale analysis of landslide risk for central Asia, and it represents an advanced step in the field of risk analysis for very large areas. Our findings show, per square kilometer, a total risk of about USD 3.9 billion and a mean risk of USD 0.6 million.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Marta Sapena, Moritz Gamperl, Marlene Kühnl, Carolina Garcia-Londoño, John Singer, and Hannes Taubenböck
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3913–3930, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3913-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3913-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
A new approach for the deployment of landslide early warning systems (LEWSs) is proposed. We combine data-driven landslide susceptibility mapping and population maps to identify exposed locations. We estimate the cost of monitoring sensors and demonstrate that LEWSs could be installed with a budget ranging from EUR 5 to EUR 41 per person in Medellín, Colombia. We provide recommendations for stakeholders and outline the challenges and opportunities for successful LEWS implementation.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Dong Qiu, Binglin Lv, Yuepeng Cui, and Zexiong Zhan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3789–3803, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3789-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3789-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
This paper divides preparedness behavior into minimal and adequate preparedness. In addition to studying the main factors that promote families' disaster preparedness, we also study the moderating effects of response efficacy and self-efficacy on preparedness actions by vulnerable families. Based on the findings of this study, policymakers can target interventions and programs that can be designed to remedy the current lack of disaster preparedness education for vulnerable families.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Jenni Barclay, Richie Robertson, and M. Teresa Armijos
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3603–3615, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3603-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3603-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Stories create avenues for sharing the meanings and social implications of scientific knowledge. We explore their value when told between scientists during a volcanic eruption. They are important vehicles for understanding how risk is generated during volcanic eruptions and create new knowledge about these interactions. Stories explore how risk is negotiated when scientific information is ambiguous or uncertain, identify cause and effect, and rationalize the emotional intensity of a crisis.
This article is included in the Encyclopedia of Geosciences
Cited articles
ABPmer: OMReg – A database of completed coastal habitat creation schemes
and other adaptation projects, https://www.omreg.net/, last access: 17 November 2021.
Adnitt, C., Vural, M., Yamashita, H., and Preston, J.: Legislation, in:
Saltmarsh Restoration Handbook – UK & Ireland, edited by: Hudson, R.,
Kenworthy, J., and Best, M., Environment Agency, Bristol, UK, 37–49, https://catchmentbasedapproach.org/learn/saltmarsh-restoration-handbook (last access: 23 February 2022), 2021.
Bergold, J. and Thomas, S.: Participatory Research Methods: A Methodological
Approach in Motion, Hist. Soc. Res., 37, 191–222, https://doi.org/10.17169/fqs-13.1.1801, 2012.
Blunkell, C. T.: Local participation in coastal adaptation decisions in the UK: between promise and reality, Local Environ., 22, 492–507, https://doi.org/10.1080/13549839.2016.1233525, 2017.
Burgess-Gamble, L., Ngai, R., Wilkinson, M., Nisbet, T., Pontee, N., Harvey,
R., Kipling, K., Addy, S., Rose, S., Maslen, S., Jay, H., Nicholson, A.,
Page, T., Jonczyk, J., and Quinn, P.: Working with Natural Processes –
Evidence Directory, Environment Agency, Bristol, UK, https://www.gov.uk/flood-and-coastal-erosion-risk-management-research-reports/working-with-natural-processes-to-reduce-flood-risk#reports (last access: 30 November 2021), 2017.
Burston, J.: Report to the Secretary of State for Transport, Report DPI/D2510/18/9, The Planning Inspectorate, https://www.kingschambers.com/assets/files/Donna Nook Inspector's Report.pdf (last access: 10 February 2022), 2018.
Chambers, R.: Forward, in: Who changes? Institutionalizing participation in
development, edited by: Blackburn, J. and Holland, J., Intermediate
Technology, London, UK, ISBN 978-1853394201, 1998.
Chirol, C., Haigh, I. D., Pontee, N., Thompson, C. E., and Gallop, S. L.:
Parametrizing tidal creek morphology in mature saltmarshes using semi-automated extraction from lidar, Proc. SPIE, 209, 291–311, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2017.11.012, 2018.
Christie, E., Möller, I., Spencer, T., and Yates, M.: Modeling wave
attenuation due to saltmarsh vegetation using a modified SWAN model, Coast.
Eng. Proc., 1, 73, https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v36.papers.73, 2018.
Coleman, D. J., Schuerch, M., Temmerman, S., Guntenspergen, G., Smith, C. G.
and Kirwan, M. L.: Reconciling models and measurements of marsh vulnerability to sea level rise, Limnol. Oceanogr. Lett., 7, 140–149, https://doi.org/10.1002/lol2.10230, 2022.
Cornwall, A.: Historical perspectives on participation in development, Commonw. Comp. Polit., 44, 62–83, https://doi.org/10.1080/14662040600624460, 2006.
Cox, T., Maris, T., De Vleeschauwer, P., De Mulder, T., Soetaert, K., and
Meire, P.: Flood control areas as an opportunity to restore estuarine habitat, Ecol. Eng., 28, 55–63, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2006.04.001, 2006.
Dale J., Burgess, H. M., Burnside, N. G., Kilkie, P., Nash, D. J., and Cundy, A. B.: The evolution of embryonic creek systems in a recently inundated large open coast managed realignment site, Anthropocene Coasts, 1, 16–33, https://doi.org/10.1139/anc-2017-0005, 2018.
Dale, J., Burgess, H. M., Berg, M. J., Strong, C. J., and Burnside, N. G.:
Morphological evolution of a non-engineered managed realignment site
following tidal inundation, Estuar. Coast. Shelf. S., 260, 107510, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2021.107510, 2021.
De Vriend, H. J., Wang, Z. B., Ysebaert, T., Herman, P. M. J., and Ding, P.:
Eco-Morphological Problems in the Yangtze Estuary and the Western Scheldt,
Wetlands, 31, 1033–1042, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13157-011-0239-7, 2011.
Doody, J. P.: Coastal squeeze and managed realignment in southeast England,
does it tell us anything about the future?, Ocean Coast. Manage., 79, 34–41,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2012.05.008, 2013.
Esteves, L. S.: Managed Realignment: A Viable Long-Term Coastal Management
Strategy?, Springer, Dordrecht, ISBN 978-9401790284, 2014.
Esteves, L. S. and Thomas, K.: Managed realignment in practice in the UK:
results from two independent surveys, J. Coast. R., 70, 407–413, https://doi.org/10.2112/si70-069.1, 2014.
Fagherazzi, S. and Wiberg, P. L.: Importance of wind conditions, fetch, and
water levels on wave-generated shear stresses in shallow intertidal basins,
J. Geophys. Res.-Earth, 114, F03022, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JF001139, 2009.
Fairchild, T. P., Bennett, W. G., Smith, G., Day, B., Skov, M. W., Möller, I., Beaumont, N., Karunarathna, H., and Griffin, J. N.: Coastal
wetlands mitigate storm flooding and associated costs in estuaries, Environ.
Res. Lett., 16, 074034, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac0c45, 2021.
Few, R., Brown, K., and Tompkins, E. L.: Public participation and climate
change adaptation: avoiding the illusion of inclusion, Clim. Policy, 7, 46–59, https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2007.9685637, 2007.
Fischbach, J. R., Johnson, D. R., and Groves, D. G.: Flood damage reduction
benefits and costs in Louisiana's 2017 Coastal Master Plan, Environ. Res.
Commun., 1, 111001, https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ab4b25, 2019.
Foucault, M.: The Order of Things – An archaeology of the human sciences,
Travistock Publications, London, UK, ISBN 978-0415267373, 1970.
Fox-Kemper, B., Hewitt, H. T., Xiao, C., Aðalgeirsdóttir, G.,
Drijfhout, S. S., Edwards, T. L., Golledge, N. R., Hemer, M., Kopp, R. E.,
Krinner, G., Mix, A., Notz, D., Nowicki, S., Nurhati, I. S., Ruiz, L.,
Sallée, J.-B., Slangen, A. B. A., and Yu, Y.: Ocean, Cryosphere and Sea
Level Change, in: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis,
Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Masson-Delmotte, V.,
Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S. L., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N.,
Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M. I., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., E., L.,
Matthews, J. B. R., Maycock, T. K., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R.,
and Zhou, B., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 1211–1362, https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.011, 2021.
French, J. R.: Hydrodynamic Modelling of Estuarine Flood Defence Realignment
as an Adaptive Management Response to Sea-Level Rise, J. Coast. R., 24,
1–12, https://doi.org/10.2112/05-0534.1, 2008.
Gedan, K. B., Silliman, B. R., and Bertness, M. D.: Centuries of Human-Driven Change in Salt Marsh Ecosystems, Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci., 1, 117–141, https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.marine.010908.163930, 2009.
Goeldner-Gianella, L.: Perceptions and Attitudes Toward De-polderisation in
Europe: A Comparison of Five Opinion Surveys in France and the UK, J. Coast. R., 23, 1218–1230, https://doi.org/10.2112/04-0416R.1, 2007.
Gourgue, O., van Belzen, J., Schwarz, C., Vandenbruwaene, W., Vanlede, J.,
Belliard, J. P., Fagherazzi, S., Bouma, T. J., van de Koppel, J., and
Temmerman, S.: Biogeomorphic modeling to assess the resilience of tidal-marsh restoration to sea level rise and sediment supply, Earth Surf. Dynam., 10, 531–553, https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-10-531-2022, 2022.
Hinkel, J., Lincke, D., Vafeidis, A. T., Perrette, M., Nicholls, R. J., Tol,
R. S. J., Marzeion, B., Fettweis, X., Ionescu, C., and Levermann, A.: Coastal flood damage and adaptation costs under 21st century sea-level rise, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 111, 3292–3297, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222469111, 2014.
Hofstede, J. L. A.: On the feasibility of managed retreat in the Wadden Sea
of Schleswig-Holstein, J. Coast. Conserv., 23, 1069–1079, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11852-019-00714-x, 2019.
Hood, W. G.: Predicting the number, orientation and spacing of dike breaches
for tidal marsh restoration, Ecol. Eng., 83, 319–327, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2015.07.002, 2015.
Huguet, J.-R., Bertin, X., and Arnaud, G.: Managed realignment to mitigate
storm-induced flooding: A case study in La Faute-sur-mer, France, Coast. Eng., 134, 168–176, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2017.08.010, 2018.
Iwaniec, D. M., Cook, E. M., Davidson, M. J., Berbés-Blázquez, M.,
Georgescu, M., Krayenhoff, E. S., Middel, A., Sampson, D. A., and Grimm, N. B.: The co-production of sustainable future scenarios, Landsc. Urban Plan., 197, 103744, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2020.103744, 2020.
Kauffman, G. J.: Governance, Policy, and Economics of Intergovernmental
River Basin Management, Water Resour. Manage., 29, 5689–5712, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-1141-5, 2015.
Kelly, R. and Kelly, U.: Community engagement on climate adaptation – an
evidence review, Environment Agency, Bristol, UK, ISBN 978-1849114295, 2017.
Kiesel, J., Schuerch, M., Möller, I., Spencer, T., and Vafeidis, A.:
Attenuation of high water levels over restored saltmarshes can be limited.
Insights from Freiston Shore, Lincolnshire, UK, Ecol. Eng., 136, 89–100,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoleng.2019.06.009, 2019.
Kiesel, J., Schuerch, M., Christie, E. K., Möller, I., Spencer, T., and
Vafeidis, A. T.: Effective design of managed realignment schemes can reduce
coastal flood risks, Estuar. Coast. Shelf. Sci., 242, 106844, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2020.106844, 2020.
Kiesel, J., MacPherson, L. R., Schuerch, M., and Vafeidis, A. T.: Can Managed Realignment Buffer Extreme Surges? The Relationship Between Marsh Width, Vegetation Cover and Surge Attenuation, Estuar. Coast., 45, 345–362,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-021-00984-5, 2022.
Kirwan, M. L., Temmerman, S., Skeehan, E. E., Guntenspergen, G. R., and
Fagherazzi, S.: Overestimation of marsh vulnerability to sea level rise,
Nat. Clim. Change, 6, 253–260, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2909, 2016.
Leuven, J. R. F. W., Pierik, H. J., Vegt, M. v. d., Bouma, T. J., and
Kleinhans, M. G.: Sea-level-rise-induced threats depend on the size of
tide-influenced estuaries worldwide, Nat. Clim. Change, 9, 986–992, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0608-4, 2019.
Liski, A. H., Ambros, P., Metzger, M. J., Nicholas, K. A., Wilson, A. M. W.,
and Krause, T.: Governance and stakeholder perspectives of managed re-alignment: adapting to sea level rise in the Inner Forth estuary, Scotland, Reg. Environ. Change, 19, 2231–2243, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-019-01505-8, 2019.
Liu, Z., Fagherazzi, S., and Cui, B.: Success of coastal wetlands restoration is driven by sediment availability, Commun. Earth Environ., 2, 44,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00117-7, 2021.
Loder, N. M., Irish, J. L., Cialone, M. A., and Wamsley, T. V.: Sensitivity
of hurricane surge to morphological parameters of coastal wetlands, Estuar.
Coast. Shelf Sci., 84, 625–636, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2009.07.036, 2009.
Lotze, H. K., Lenihan, H. S., Bourque, B. J., Bradbury, R. H., Cooke, R. G.,
Kay, M. C., Kidwell, S. M., Kirby, M. X., Peterson, C. H., and Jackson, J. B. C.: Depletion, Degradation, and Recovery Potential of Estuaries and Coastal Seas, Science, 312, 1806–1809, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1128035, 2006.
Luke, A., Sanders, B. F., Goodrich, K. A., Feldman, D. L., Boudreau, D.,
Eguiarte, A., Serrano, K., Reyes, A., Schubert, J. E., AghaKouchak, A.,
Basolo, V., and Matthew, R. A.: Going beyond the flood insurance rate map:
insights from flood hazard map co-production, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 1097–1120, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-1097-2018, 2018.
MacDonald, M. A., de Ruyck, C., Field, R. H., Bedford, A., and Bradbury, R.
B.: Benefits of coastal managed realignment for society: Evidence from
ecosystem service assessments in two UK regions, Estuar. Coast. Shelf. Sci.,
244, 105609, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2017.09.007, 2020.
McInnes, R. J., Everard, M., and Yamashita, H.: People's perceptions towards
the Steart Marshes Creation Project through stakeholder interviews and
questionnaires, in: Coastal Wetlands Restoration, Routledge, New York, USA,
46–60, ISBN 978-036786309, 2021.
McKinley, E., Pagès, J. F., Alexander, M., Burdon, D., and Martino, S.
Uses and management of saltmarshes: A global survey. Estuar. Coast. Shelf
Sci., 243, 106840, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2020.106840, 2020a.
McKinley, E., Pagès, J. F., Ballinger, R. C., and Beaumont, N. Forgotten
landscapes: Public attitudes and perceptions of coastal saltmarshes, Ocean
Coast. Manage., 187, 105117, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2020.105117, 2020b.
Mees, H., Alexander, M., Gralepois, M., Matczak, P., and Mees, H.: Typologies of citizen co-production in flood risk governance, Envion. Sci. Poliy, 89, 330–339, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2018.08.011, 2018.
Möller, I.: Quantifying saltmarsh vegetation and its effect on wave height dissipation: Results from a UK East coast saltmarsh, Estuar. Coast.
Shelf Sci., 69, 337–351, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2006.05.003, 2006.
Möller, I.: Applying Uncertain Science to Nature-Based Coastal Protection: Lessons From Shallow Wetland-Dominated Shores, Front. Environ.
Sci., 7, 49, https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2019.00049, 2019.
Möller, I., Kudella, M., Rupprecht, F., Spencer, T., Paul, M., van Wesenbeeck, B. K., Wolters, G., Jensen, K., Bouma, T. J., Miranda-Lange, M., and Schimmels, S.: Wave attenuation over coastal salt marshes under storm
surge conditions, Nat. Geosci., 7, 727–731, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2251, 2014.
Morris, R. K. A.: Managed realignment as a tool for compensatory habitat
creation – A re-appraisal, Ocean Coast. Manage., 73, 82–91, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2012.12.013, 2013.
Mossman, H. L., Davy, A. J., and Grant, A.: Does managed coastal realignment
create saltmarshes with `equivalent biological characteristics' to natural
reference sites?, J. Appl. Ecol., 49, 1446–1456,
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2664.2012.02198.x, 2012.
Myatt, L. B., Scrimshaw, M. D., and Lester, J. N.: Public perceptions and
attitudes towards a forthcoming managed realignment scheme: Freiston Shore,
Lincolnshire, UK, Ocean Coast. Manage., 46, 565–582, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0964-5691(03)00035-8, 2003a.
Myatt, L. B., Scrimshaw, M. D., and Lester, J. N.: Public Perceptions and
Attitudes Towards a Current Managed Realignment Scheme: Brancaster West Marsh, North Norfolk, U.K., J. Coast. Res., 19, 278–286, 2003b.
Myatt-Bell, L. B., Scrimshaw, M. D., Lester, J. N., and Potts, J. S.: Public
perception of managed realignment: Brancaster West Marsh, North Norfolk, UK,
Mar. Policy, 26, 45–57, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0308-597X(01)00033-1, 2002.
Norström, A. V., Cvitanovic, C., Löf, M. F., West, S., Wyborn, C.,
Balvanera, P., Bednarek, A. T., Bennett, E. M., Biggs, R., de Bremond, A.,
Campbell, B. M., Canadell, J. G., Carpenter, S. R., Folke, C., Fulton, E.
A., Gaffney, O., Gelcich, S., Jouffray, J.-B., Leach, M., Le Tissier, M.,
Martín-López, B., Louder, E., Loutre, M.-F., Meadow, A. M., Nagendra, H., Payne, D., Peterson, G. D., Reyers, B., Scholes, R., Speranza, C. I., Spierenburg, M., Stafford-Smith, M., Tengö, M., van der Hel, S., van Putten, I., and Österblom, H.: Principles for knowledge co-production in sustainability research, Nat. Sustain., 3, 182–190,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-019-0448-2, 2020.
Nursey-Bray, M. J., Vince, J., Scott, M., Haward, M., O'Toole, K., Smith,
T., Harvey, N., and Clarke, B.: Science into policy? Discourse, coastal
management and knowledge, Environ. Sci. Policy, 38, 107–119, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2013.10.010, 2014.
Oliver, S.: Land Abandoned to the Sea: The Managed Realignment of Coastal
Area, Bloomsbury Publishing, London, UK, ISBN 978-1788310857, 2021.
Oosterlee, L., Cox, T. J. S., Temmerman, S., and Meire, P.: Effects of tidal
re-introduction design on sedimentation rates in previously embanked tidal
marshes, Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci., 244, 106428, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2019.106428, 2020.
Owens, S.: Siting, sustainable development and social priorities, J. Risk
Res., 7, 101–114, https://doi.org/10.1080/1366987042000158686, 2004.
Pain, R. and Francis, P.: Reflections on Participatory Research, Area, 35,
46–54, https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-4762.00109, 2003.
Park, P.: The discovery of participatory research as a new scientific paradigm: Personal and intellectual accounts, Am. Sociol., 23, 29–42,
https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02691929, 1992.
Paquier, A.-E., Haddad, J., Lawler, S., and Ferreira, C. M.: Quantification of the Attenuation of Storm Surge Components by a Coastal Wetland of the US Mid Atlantic, Estuar. Coasts, 40, 930–946, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-016-0190-1, 2017.
Pasquier, U., Few, R., Goulden, M. C., Hooton, S., He, Y., and Hiscock, K.
M.: “We can't do it on our own!” – Integrating stakeholder and scientific
knowledge of future flood risk to inform climate change adaptation planning in a coastal region, Environ. Sci. Policy, 103, 50–57, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2019.10.016, 2020.
Pétillon, J., Erfanzadeh, R., Garbutt, A., Maelfait, J.-P., and Hoffmann, M.: Inundation Frequency Determines the Post-Pioneer Successional Pathway in a Newly Created Salt Marsh, Wetlands, 30, 1097–1105, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13157-010-0115-x, 2010.
Pimbert, M.: Natural resources, people and participation, in: Participatory
Learning and Action 50: Critical reflections, future directions, edited by:
Chambers, R., Kenton, N., and Ashley, H., Institute for Environment and
Development, 131–139, https://pubs.iied.org/sites/default/files/pdfs/migrate/9440IIED.pdf (last access: 9 July 2022), 2004.
Pollard, J., Spencer, T., and Brooks, S.: The interactive relationship
between coastal erosion and flood risk, Prog. Phys. Geogr., 43, 574–585, https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133318794498, 2019.
Pontee, N.: Defining coastal squeeze: A discussion, Ocean Coast. Manage., 84,
204–207, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2013.07.010, 2013.
Pontee, N. I.: Impact of managed realignment design on estuarine water levels, P. I. Civ. Eng.-Mar. En., 168, 48–61, https://doi.org/10.1680/jmaen.13.00016,
2015.
Reed, D., van Wesenbeeck, B., Herman, P. M. J., and Meselhe, E.: Tidal
flat-wetland systems as flood defenses: Understanding biogeomorphic controls, Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci., 213, 269–282, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2018.08.017, 2018.
Reed, M. S., Graves, A., Dandy, N., Posthumus, H., Hubacek, K., Morris, J.,
Prell, C., Quinn, C. H., and Stringer, L. C.: Who's in and why? A typology
of stakeholder analysis methods for natural resource management, J. Environ.
Manage., 90, 1933–1949, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2009.01.001, 2009.
Resio, D. T. and Westerink, J. J.: Modeling the physics of storm surges, Phys. Today, 61, 33–38, https://doi.org/10.1063/1.2982120, 2008.
Roca, E. and Villares, M.: Public perceptions of managed realignment strategies: The case study of the Ebro Delta in the Mediterranean basin,
Ocean Coast. Manage., 60, 38–47, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2012.01.002, 2012.
Rupp-Armstrong, S. and Nicholls, R. J.: Coastal and Estuarine Retreat: A
Comparison of the Application of Managed Realignment in England and Germany,
J. Coast. R., 23, 1418–1430, https://doi.org/10.2112/04-0426.1, 2007.
Schernewski, G., Bartel, C., Kobarg, N., and Karnauskaite, D.: Retrospective
assessment of a managed coastal realignment and lagoon restoration measure:
the Geltinger Birk, Germany, J. Coast. Conserv., 22, 157–167, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11852-017-0496-6, 2018.
Schuerch, M., Spencer, T., Temmerman, S., Kirwan, M. L., Wolff, C., Lincke,
D., McOwen, C. J., Pickering, M. D., Reef, R., Vafeidis, A. T., Hinkel, J.,
Nicholls, R. J., and Brown, S.: Future response of global coastal wetlands to sea-level rise, Nature, 561, 231–234, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0476-5, 2018.
Shepard, C. C., Crain, C. M., and Beck, M. W.: The Protective Role of Coastal Marshes: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis, PLOS ONE, 6, e27374,
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0027374, 2011.
Singh, C., Iyer, S., New, M. G., Few, R., Kuchimanchi, B., Segnon, A. C., and Morchain, D.: Interrogating `effectiveness' in climate change adaptation: 11 guiding principles for adaptation research and practice, Clim. Dev., https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2021.1964937, in press, 2021.
Smolders, S., Plancke, Y., Ides, S., Meire, P., and Temmerman, S.: Role of
intertidal wetlands for tidal and storm tide attenuation along a confined
estuary: a model study, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1659–1675, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1659-2015, 2015.
Spencer, T., Friess, D. A., Möller, I., Brown, S. L., Garbutt, R. A., and French, J. R.: Surface elevation change in natural and re-created intertidal habitats, eastern England, UK, with particular reference to Freiston Shore, Wetl. Ecol. Manage., 20, 9–33, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11273-011-9238-y, 2012.
Stark, J., Van Oyen, T., Meire, P., and Temmerman, S.: Observations of tidal
and storm surge attenuation in a large tidal marsh, Limnol. Oceanogr., 60,
1371–1381, https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.10104, 2015.
Stark, J., Plancke, Y., Ides, S., Meire, P., and Temmerman, S.: Coastal flood protection by a combined nature-based and engineering approach: Modeling the effects of marsh geometry and surrounding dikes, Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci., 175, 34–45, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2016.03.027, 2016.
Temmerman, S. and Kirwan, M. L.: Building land with a rising sea, Science,
349, 588–589, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aac8312, 2015.
Temmerman, S., Meire, P., Bouma, T. J., Herman, P. M. J., Ysebaert, T., and
De Vriend, H. J.: Ecosystem-based coastal defence in the face of global change, Nature, 504, 79–83, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature12859, 2013.
Tessler, Z. D., Vörösmarty, C. J., Grossberg, M., Gladkova, I., and
Aizenman, H.: A global empirical typology of anthropogenic drivers of environmental change in deltas, Sustain. Sci., 11, 525–537, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-016-0357-5, 2016.
Tompkins, E. L., Few, R., and Brown, K.: Scenario-based stakeholder engagement: Incorporating stakeholders preferences into coastal planning for
climate change, J. Environ. Manage., 88, 1580–1592, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2007.07.025, 2008.
Townend, I. and Pethick, J.: Estuarine flooding and managed retreat, Philos.
T. Roy. Soc. A, 360, 1477–1495, https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2002.1011, 2002.
Vafeidis, A. T., Schuerch, M., Wolff, C., Spencer, T., Merkens, J. L., Hinkel, J., Lincke, D., Brown, S., and Nicholls, R. J.: Water-level attenuation in global-scale assessments of exposure to coastal flooding: a
sensitivity analysis, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 973–984, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-973-2019, 2019.
van Zelst, V. T. M., Dijkstra, J. T., van Wesenbeeck, B. K., Eilander, D.,
Morris, E. P., Winsemius, H. C., Ward, P. J., and de Vries, M. B.: Cutting
the costs of coastal protection by integrating vegetation in flood defences,
Nat. Commun., 12, 6533, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26887-4, 2021.
Vousdoukas, M. I., Ranasinghe, R., Mentaschi, L., Plomaritis, T. A.,
Athanasiou, P., Luijendijk, A., and Feyen, L.: Sandy coastlines under threat
of erosion, Nat. Clim. Change, 10, 260–263, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0697-0,
2020.
Wamsley, T. V., Cialone, M. A., Smith, J. M., Ebersole, B. A., and Grzegorzewski, A. S.: Influence of landscape restoration and degradation on
storm surge and waves in southern Louisiana, Nat. Hazards, 51, 207–224,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-009-9378-z, 2009.
Wamsley, T. V., Cialone, M. A., Smith, J. M., Atkinson, J. H., and Rosati, J. D.: The potential of wetlands in reducing storm surge, Ocean Eng., 37, 59–68, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2009.07.018, 2010.
Wolters, M., Garbutt, A., and Bakker, J. P.: Salt-marsh restoration: evaluating the success of de-embankments in north-west Europe, Biol. Conserv., 123, 249–268, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2004.11.013, 2005.
Yamashita, H.: Studying social perceptions of risks and benefits of coastal
wetland restorations: Its importance and complexities, in: Coastal Wetlands
Restoration, Routledge, 1–16, ISBN 978-0367863081, 2021.
Yamashita, H., Mossman, H., McGrath, T., Taylor, E., Hayashi, A., Austin, W., and Maynard., C.: Communication and Engagement, in: Saltmarsh Restoration Handbook – UK & Ireland, edited by: Hudson, R., Kenworthy, J., and Best, M., Environment Agency, Bristol, UK, https://catchmentbasedapproach.org/learn/saltmarsh-restoration-handbook (last access: 23 February 2022), 2021.
Yang, S. L., Shi, B. W., Bouma, T. J., Ysebaert, T., and Luo, X. X.: Wave
Attenuation at a Salt Marsh Margin: A Case Study of an Exposed Coast on the
Yangtze Estuary, Estuar. Coast., 35, 169–182, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-011-9424-4, 2012.
Download
Please read the editorial note first before accessing the article.
- Article
(2190 KB) - Full-text XML
Short summary
Coastal nature-based solutions to adapt to sea-level rise, such as managed realignments (MRs), are becoming increasingly popular amongst scientists and coastal managers. However, local communities often oppose these projects, partly because scientific evidence for their efficiency is limited. Here, we propose a framework to work with stakeholders and communities to define success variables of MR projects and co-produce novel knowledge on the projects’ efficiency to mitigate coastal flood risks.
Coastal nature-based solutions to adapt to sea-level rise, such as managed realignments (MRs),...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint