Articles | Volume 24, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4431-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4431-2024
Research article
 | 
09 Dec 2024
Research article |  | 09 Dec 2024

Where will the next flank eruption at Etna occur? An updated spatial probabilistic assessment

Laura Sandri, Alexander Garcia, Cristina Proietti, Stefano Branca, Gaetana Ganci, and Annalisa Cappello

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Cited articles

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In this paper we propose a probability map that shows where most likely future flank eruptions will occur at Etna volcano (in Sicily, Italy). The map updates previous studies since it is based on a much longer record of past flank eruption fissures that opened in the last 4000 years on Etna. We also propose sensitivity tests to evaluate how much the assumptions made change the final probability evaluation.
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