Articles | Volume 22, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3501-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3501-2022
Research article
 | 
24 Oct 2022
Research article |  | 24 Oct 2022

What weather variables are important for wet and slab avalanches under a changing climate in a low-altitude mountain range in Czechia?

Markéta Součková, Roman Juras, Kryštof Dytrt, Vojtěch Moravec, Johanna Ruth Blöcher, and Martin Hanel

Related authors

A 500-year annual runoff reconstruction for 14 selected European catchments
Sadaf Nasreen, Markéta Součková, Mijael Rodrigo Vargas Godoy, Ujjwal Singh, Yannis Markonis, Rohini Kumar, Oldrich Rakovec, and Martin Hanel
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 14, 4035–4056, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-4035-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-14-4035-2022, 2022
Short summary

Related subject area

Other Hazards (e.g., Glacial and Snow Hazards, Karst, Wildfires Hazards, and Medical Geo-Hazards)
Glide-snow avalanches: a mechanical, threshold-based release area model
Amelie Fees, Alec van Herwijnen, Michael Lombardo, Jürg Schweizer, and Peter Lehmann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3387–3400, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3387-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3387-2024, 2024
Short summary
Improving fire severity prediction in south-eastern Australia using vegetation-specific information
Kang He, Xinyi Shen, Cory Merow, Efthymios Nikolopoulos, Rachael V. Gallagher, Feifei Yang, and Emmanouil N. Anagnostou
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3337–3355, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3337-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3337-2024, 2024
Short summary
Review article: A scoping review of human factors in avalanche decision-making
Audun Hetland, Rebecca Anne Hetland, Tarjei Tveito Skille, and Andrea Mannberg
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1628,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1628, 2024
Short summary
How hard do avalanche practitioners tap during snow stability tests?
Håvard B. Toft, Samuel V. Verplanck, and Markus Landrø
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2757–2772, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2757-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2757-2024, 2024
Short summary
A large-scale validation of snowpack simulations in support of avalanche forecasting focusing on critical layers
Florian Herla, Pascal Haegeli, Simon Horton, and Patrick Mair
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2727–2756, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2727-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2727-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Baggi, S. and Schweizer, J.: Characteristics of wet-snow avalanche activity: 20 years of observations from a high alpine valley (Dischma, Switzerland), Nat. Hazards, 50, 97–108, 2009. a, b, c, d, e, f, g
Ballesteros-Cánovas, J. A., Trappmann, D., Madrigal-González, J., Eckert, N., and Stoffel, M.: Climate warming enhances snow avalanche risk in the Western Himalayas, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 115, 3410–3415, 2018. a, b
Bellaire, S., van Herwijnen, A., Mitterer, C., and Schweizer, J.: On forecasting wet-snow avalanche activity using simulated snow cover data, Cold Reg. Sci. Technol., 144, 28–38, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2017.09.013, 2017. a, b
Beniston, M., Farinotti, D., Stoffel, M., Andreassen, L. M., Coppola, E., Eckert, N., Fantini, A., Giacona, F., Hauck, C., Huss, M., Huwald, H., Lehning, M., López-Moreno, J.-I., Magnusson, J., Marty, C., Morán-Tejéda, E., Morin, S., Naaim, M., Provenzale, A., Rabatel, A., Six, D., Stötter, J., Strasser, U., Terzago, S., and Vincent, C.: The European mountain cryosphere: a review of its current state, trends, and future challenges, The Cryosphere, 12, 759–794, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-759-2018, 2018. a
Biecek, P. and Burzykowski, T.: Explanatory model analysis: explore, explain, and examine predictive models, CRC Press, New York, https://doi.org/10.1201/9780429027192, 2021. a
Download
Short summary
Avalanches are natural hazards that threaten people and infrastructure. With climate change, avalanche activity is changing. We analysed the change in frequency and size of avalanches in the Krkonoše Mountains, Czechia, and detected important variables with machine learning tools from 1979–2020. Wet avalanches in February and March have increased, and slab avalanches have decreased and become smaller. The identified variables and their threshold levels may help in avalanche decision-making.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint