Articles | Volume 21, issue 8
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2643–2678, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021

Special issue: Venice flooding: understanding, prediction capabilities, and...

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2643–2678, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2643-2021

Review article 01 Sep 2021

Review article | 01 Sep 2021

Sea-level rise in Venice: historic and future trends (review article)

Davide Zanchettin et al.

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Extreme floods of Venice: characteristics, dynamics, past and future evolution (review article)
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Cited articles

Ablain, M., Becker, M., Benveniste, J., Cazenave, A., Champollion, N., Ciccarelli, S., Jevrejeva, S., Le Cozannet, G., Nicoletta, L., Loisel, H., Long, N., Maisongrande, P., Mallet, C., Marcos, M., Menendez, M., Meyssignac, B., Plater, A., Raucoules, D., Taramelli, A., Vignudelli, S., Valentini, E., Woodworth, P., and Woppelmann, G.: White paper: Monitoring the evolution of coastal zones under various forcing factors using space-based observing systems, International Space Science Institute (ISS), Bern, Switzerland, available at: https://hal-brgm.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01413107 (last access: 5 August 2021), 2016. a
Adloff, F., Somot, S., Sevault, F., Jordà, G., Aznar, R., Déqué, M., Herrmann, M., Marcos, M., Dubois, C., Padorno, E., Alvarez-Fanjul, E., and Gomis, D.: Mediterranean Sea response to climate change in an ensemble of twenty first century scenarios, Clim. Dynam., 45, 2775–2802, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2507-3, 2015. a
Adloff, F., Jordà, G., Somot, S., Sevault, F., Arsouze, T., Meyssignac, B., Li, L., and Planton, S.: Improving sea level simulation in Mediterranean regional climate models, Clim. Dynam., 51, 1167–1178, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3842-3, 2018. a, b, c, d, e
Alessio, S. M.: Digital signal processing and spectral analysis for scientists: concepts and applications, Springer, Cham, Switzerland, 2016. a
Allen, M. and Smith, L.: Monte Carlo SSA: Detecting irregular oscillations in the presence of colored noise, J. Climate, 9, 3373–3404, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<3373:MCSDIO>2.0.CO;2, 1996. a
Short summary
Relative sea level in Venice rose by about 2.5 mm/year in the past 150 years due to the combined effect of subsidence and mean sea-level rise. We estimate the likely range of mean sea-level rise in Venice by 2100 due to climate changes to be between about 10 and 110 cm, with an improbable yet possible high-end scenario of about 170 cm. Projections of subsidence are not available, but historical evidence demonstrates that they can increase the hazard posed by climatically induced sea-level rise.
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