Articles | Volume 20, issue 12
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3577–3592, 2020
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3577–3592, 2020

Research article 18 Dec 2020

Research article | 18 Dec 2020

Style of faulting of expected earthquakes in Italy as an input for seismic hazard modeling

Silvia Pondrelli et al.

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Cited articles

Allmendinger, R. W., Cardozo, N., and Fisher, D.: Structural geology algorithms: Vectors and tensors in structural geology, Cambridge University Press, 302 pp., 2012. 
Anzidei, M., Maramai, A., and Montone, P. (Eds.): The Emilia (northern Italy) seismic sequence of May–June 2012: preliminary data and results, Ann. Geophys., 55, 4, 515–842,, 2012. 
Akkar, S., Sandıkkaya,  M. A., and Bommer, J. J.: Empirical ground-motion models for point- and extended-source crustal earthquake scenarios in Europe and the Middle East, B. Earthq. Eng., 12, 359–387,, 2014. 
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Bindi, D., Pacor, F., Luzi, L., Puglia, R., Massa, M., Ameri, G., and Paolucci, R.: Ground motion prediction equations derived from the Italian strong motion database, B. Earthq. Eng., 9, 1899–1920,, 2011. 
Short summary
We used 100 years of seismicity in Italy to predict the hypothetical tectonic style of future earthquakes, with the purpose of using this information in a new seismic hazard model. To squeeze all possible information out of the available data, we created a chain of criteria to be applied in the input and output selection processes. The result is a list of cases from very clear ones, e.g., extensional tectonics in the central Apennines, to completely random tectonics for future seismic events.
Final-revised paper