Articles | Volume 17, issue 12
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2245–2270, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2245-2017
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2245–2270, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2245-2017

Research article 12 Dec 2017

Research article | 12 Dec 2017

Tsunami evacuation plans for future megathrust earthquakes in Padang, Indonesia, considering stochastic earthquake scenarios

Ario Muhammad et al.

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Cited articles

Abrahamson, N., Gregor, N., and Addo, K.: BC hydro ground motion prediction equations for subduction earthquakes, Earthq. Spectra, 32, 23–44, https://doi.org/10.1193/051712EQS188MR, 2016.
Applied Technology Council: Seismic Evaluation and Retrofit of Concrete Buildings, Report ATC 40, Virginia, USA, November 1996.
ASCE (American Society of Civil Engineers): Minimum design loads for buildings and other structures, American Society of Civil Engineers, Virginia, USA, 2006.
Aulia, Y. G.: Capacity assessment of tsunami evacuation shelters in Padang city, Thesis, Universitas Andalas, Padang, Indonesia, 2016 (in Bahasa).
Baker, J. W. and Cornell, C. A.: Correlation of response spectral values for multicomponent ground motions, B. Seismol. Soc. Am., 96, 215–227, 2006.
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Short summary
This study develops tsunami evacuation plan in Padang, Indonesia, known as one of the most affected areas due to the future tsunami events generated from the Sunda subduction zone. The evacuation plan is constructed using probabilistic earthquake source modelling considering all the uncertainty of the future events. The results show that probabilistic approach may produce comprehensive tsunami hazard assessments which can be used for building more reliable and robust evacuation plans.
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