Articles | Volume 17, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2245-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2245-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
12 Dec 2017
Research article |
| 12 Dec 2017
Tsunami evacuation plans for future megathrust earthquakes in Padang, Indonesia, considering stochastic earthquake scenarios
Ario Muhammad
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Civil Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TR, UK
Department of Civil Engineering, University of Narotama, Surabaya, 60117, Indonesia
Katsuichiro Goda
Department of Civil Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TR, UK
Nicholas A. Alexander
Department of Civil Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TR, UK
Widjo Kongko
Agency for the Assessment & Application of Technology (BPPT), Yogyakarta, 55281, Indonesia
Abdul Muhari
Directorate General for Marine Spatial Management, Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries, Jakarta, 10110, Indonesia
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Cited
19 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Are current tsunami evacuation approaches safe enough? A. Muhammad et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-021-02000-5
- Tsunami risk communication and management: Contemporary gaps and challenges I. Rafliana et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102771
- Visitors’ awareness of the tsunami evacuation plan in Pasar Raya Padang, Indonesia B. Kemal et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/140/1/012091
- Comparing the evacuation speed through a ramp and a stair in a tsunami evacuation drill in Padang M. Badrul et al. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202133107014
- Methodology to incorporate seismic damage and debris to evaluate strategies to reduce life safety risk for multi-hazard earthquake and tsunami M. Amini et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05937-8
- An observation of the walking speed of evacuees during a simulated tsunami evacuation in Padang, Indonesia . Yosritzal et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/140/1/012090
- Eco-drainage system planning with SWMM model: a case study of Sawah Liat drainage, Kuranji watershed in Padang City, Indonesia A. Junaidi et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/419/1/012159
- The spatial modelling of tsunami disaster threats and disaster mitigation plans in Purworejo Regency, Central Java Province F. Daniswara et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1586/1/012009
- Alternative ways to handle missing values problem: A case study in earthquake dataset M. Fakhruddin et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1796/1/012123
- Impact of earthquake source complexity and land elevation data resolution on tsunami hazard assessment and fatality estimation A. Muhammad & K. Goda https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2017.12.009
- Future perspectives of earthquake-tsunami catastrophe modelling: From single-hazards to cascading and compounding multi-hazards K. Goda & R. De Risi https://doi.org/10.3389/fbuil.2022.1022736
- A taxonomy of pedestrian evacuation infrastructure for urban areas; an assessment of resilience towards natural hazards A. Fathianpour et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1101/2/022054
- Complex tsunami hazards in eastern Indonesia from seismic and non-seismic sources: Deterministic modelling based on historical and modern data I. Pranantyo et al. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40562-021-00190-y
- Determination of tsunami run-up and golden time in the megathrust subduction zone of the sunda strait segment I. Sarikanti Ponangsera et al. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202133107007
- Resilient evacuation infrastructure; an assessment of resilience toward natural hazards A. Fathianpour et al. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJDRBE-10-2022-0103
- Natural Disaster Education in School: A Bibliometric Analysis with a Detailed Future Insight Overview A. Saregar et al. https://doi.org/10.12973/ijem.8.4.743
- Determining location of tsunami disaster temporary evacuation shelter (TES) utilizes network analysis in City of Makassar, South Sulawesi Province F. Ismiati et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/500/1/012062
- Analysis of Tsunami Evacuation Triggers in Indonesia K. SUJATMIKO & Y. OKUMURA https://doi.org/10.2208/kaigan.77.2_I_1045
- Integrated tsunami risk framework considering agent-based evacuation modelling: The case of Saga, Kochi Prefecture, Japan A. Muhammad et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104193
19 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Are current tsunami evacuation approaches safe enough? A. Muhammad et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-021-02000-5
- Tsunami risk communication and management: Contemporary gaps and challenges I. Rafliana et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102771
- Visitors’ awareness of the tsunami evacuation plan in Pasar Raya Padang, Indonesia B. Kemal et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/140/1/012091
- Comparing the evacuation speed through a ramp and a stair in a tsunami evacuation drill in Padang M. Badrul et al. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202133107014
- Methodology to incorporate seismic damage and debris to evaluate strategies to reduce life safety risk for multi-hazard earthquake and tsunami M. Amini et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05937-8
- An observation of the walking speed of evacuees during a simulated tsunami evacuation in Padang, Indonesia . Yosritzal et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/140/1/012090
- Eco-drainage system planning with SWMM model: a case study of Sawah Liat drainage, Kuranji watershed in Padang City, Indonesia A. Junaidi et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/419/1/012159
- The spatial modelling of tsunami disaster threats and disaster mitigation plans in Purworejo Regency, Central Java Province F. Daniswara et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1586/1/012009
- Alternative ways to handle missing values problem: A case study in earthquake dataset M. Fakhruddin et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1796/1/012123
- Impact of earthquake source complexity and land elevation data resolution on tsunami hazard assessment and fatality estimation A. Muhammad & K. Goda https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2017.12.009
- Future perspectives of earthquake-tsunami catastrophe modelling: From single-hazards to cascading and compounding multi-hazards K. Goda & R. De Risi https://doi.org/10.3389/fbuil.2022.1022736
- A taxonomy of pedestrian evacuation infrastructure for urban areas; an assessment of resilience towards natural hazards A. Fathianpour et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1101/2/022054
- Complex tsunami hazards in eastern Indonesia from seismic and non-seismic sources: Deterministic modelling based on historical and modern data I. Pranantyo et al. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40562-021-00190-y
- Determination of tsunami run-up and golden time in the megathrust subduction zone of the sunda strait segment I. Sarikanti Ponangsera et al. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202133107007
- Resilient evacuation infrastructure; an assessment of resilience toward natural hazards A. Fathianpour et al. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJDRBE-10-2022-0103
- Natural Disaster Education in School: A Bibliometric Analysis with a Detailed Future Insight Overview A. Saregar et al. https://doi.org/10.12973/ijem.8.4.743
- Determining location of tsunami disaster temporary evacuation shelter (TES) utilizes network analysis in City of Makassar, South Sulawesi Province F. Ismiati et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/500/1/012062
- Analysis of Tsunami Evacuation Triggers in Indonesia K. SUJATMIKO & Y. OKUMURA https://doi.org/10.2208/kaigan.77.2_I_1045
- Integrated tsunami risk framework considering agent-based evacuation modelling: The case of Saga, Kochi Prefecture, Japan A. Muhammad et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104193
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 Jun 2026
Short summary
This study develops tsunami evacuation plan in Padang, Indonesia, known as one of the most affected areas due to the future tsunami events generated from the Sunda subduction zone. The evacuation plan is constructed using probabilistic earthquake source modelling considering all the uncertainty of the future events. The results show that probabilistic approach may produce comprehensive tsunami hazard assessments which can be used for building more reliable and robust evacuation plans.
This study develops tsunami evacuation plan in Padang, Indonesia, known as one of the most...
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