Articles | Volume 23, issue 6
Research article
23 Jun 2023
Research article |  | 23 Jun 2023

Assessing long-term tephra fallout hazard in southern Italy from Neapolitan volcanoes

Silvia Massaro, Manuel Stocchi, Beatriz Martínez Montesinos, Laura Sandri, Jacopo Selva, Roberto Sulpizio, Biagio Giaccio, Massimiliano Moscatelli, Edoardo Peronace, Marco Nocentini, Roberto Isaia, Manuel Titos Luzón, Pierfrancesco Dellino, Giuseppe Naso, and Antonio Costa

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Cited articles

Albert, P. G., Giaccio, B., Isaia, R., Costa, A., Niespolo, E., Nomade, S., Pereira, A., Renne, P. R., Hinchliffe, A., Mark, D. F., Brown, R. J., and Smith, V. C.: Evidence for a large-magnitude eruption from Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) at 29 ka, Geology, 47, 595–599,, 2019. a
Alderton, D. and Elias, S. A.: Encyclopedia of Geology (Second edition), Academic Press, Elsevier, ISBN 978-0-323-85447-4, 2020. a
Andronico, D. and Cioni, R.: Contrasting styles of Mount Vesuvius activity in the period between the Avellino and Pompeii Plinian eruptions, and some implications for assessment of future hazards, B. Volcanol., 64, 372–391,, 2002. a
Arrighi, S., Principe, C., and Rosi, M.: Violent strombolian and subplinian eruptions at Vesuvius during post-1631 activity, B. Volcanol., 63, 126–150,, 2001. a, b
Aspinall, W., Auker, M., Hincks, T., Mahony, S., Pooley, J., Nadim, F., Syre, E., Sparks, R., and Bank, T.: Volcano hazard and exposure in Track II countries and risk mitigation measures – GFDRR volcano Risk Study, 309, The world bank, NGI Report 20100806, 309 pp., 2011. a
Short summary
A new methodology to calculate a probabilistic long-term tephra fallout hazard assessment in southern Italy from the Neapolitan volcanoes is provided. By means of thousands of numerical simulations we quantify the mean annual frequency with which the tephra load at the ground exceeds critical thresholds in 50 years. The output hazard maps account for changes in eruptive regimes of each volcano and are also comparable with those of other natural disasters in which more sources are integrated.
Final-revised paper