Articles | Volume 23, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2289-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2289-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
23 Jun 2023
Research article |
| 23 Jun 2023
| 23 Jun 2023
Assessing long-term tephra fallout hazard in southern Italy from Neapolitan volcanoes
Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geoambientali, Università degli Studi di Bari, Bari, Italy
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
Manuel Stocchi
Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geoambientali, Università degli Studi di Bari, Bari, Italy
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
Beatriz Martínez Montesinos
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
Laura Sandri
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
Jacopo Selva
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra, dell'Ambiente e delle Risorse, Università degli Studi di Napoli, Federico II, Naples, Italy
Roberto Sulpizio
Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geoambientali, Università degli Studi di Bari, Bari, Italy
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
Istituto di Geologia Ambientale e Geoingegneria, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Rome, Italy
Biagio Giaccio
Istituto di Geologia Ambientale e Geoingegneria, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Rome, Italy
Massimiliano Moscatelli
Istituto di Geologia Ambientale e Geoingegneria, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Rome, Italy
Edoardo Peronace
Istituto di Geologia Ambientale e Geoingegneria, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Rome, Italy
Marco Nocentini
Istituto di Geologia Ambientale e Geoingegneria, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Rome, Italy
Dipartimento per il Servizio Geologico d'Italia, Istituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale, Rome, Italy
Roberto Isaia
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Osservatorio Vesuviano, Naples, Italy
Manuel Titos Luzón
Signal Processing and Machine Learning, University of Granada, Granada, Spain
Pierfrancesco Dellino
Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e Geoambientali, Università degli Studi di Bari, Bari, Italy
Giuseppe Naso
Dipartimento di Protezione Civile, Rome, Italy
Antonio Costa
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
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Cited
6 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Probabilistic, scenario-based hazard assessment for pyroclastic density currents at Tungurahua volcano, Ecuador A. Aravena et al. 10.1007/s00445-024-01768-y
- Assessing volumes of tephra fallout deposits: a simplified method for data scarcity cases R. Sulpizio et al. 10.1007/s00445-024-01753-5
- PROMETHEUS: Probability in the Mediterranean of Tephra dispersal for various grain sizes. A tool for the evaluation of the completeness of the volcanic record in medial-distal archives E. Billotta et al. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2024.108031
- New constraints on the Middle-Late Pleistocene Campi Flegrei explosive activity and Mediterranean tephrostratigraphy (∼160 ka and 110–90 ka) G. Fernandez et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108623
- Lahar events in the last 2000 years from Vesuvius eruptions – Part 3: Hazard assessment over the Campanian Plain L. Sandri et al. 10.5194/se-15-459-2024
- A simple two-state model interprets temporal modulations in eruptive activity and enhances multivolcano hazard quantification J. Selva et al. 10.1126/sciadv.abq4415
5 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Probabilistic, scenario-based hazard assessment for pyroclastic density currents at Tungurahua volcano, Ecuador A. Aravena et al. 10.1007/s00445-024-01768-y
- Assessing volumes of tephra fallout deposits: a simplified method for data scarcity cases R. Sulpizio et al. 10.1007/s00445-024-01753-5
- PROMETHEUS: Probability in the Mediterranean of Tephra dispersal for various grain sizes. A tool for the evaluation of the completeness of the volcanic record in medial-distal archives E. Billotta et al. 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2024.108031
- New constraints on the Middle-Late Pleistocene Campi Flegrei explosive activity and Mediterranean tephrostratigraphy (∼160 ka and 110–90 ka) G. Fernandez et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108623
- Lahar events in the last 2000 years from Vesuvius eruptions – Part 3: Hazard assessment over the Campanian Plain L. Sandri et al. 10.5194/se-15-459-2024
Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
A new methodology to calculate a probabilistic long-term tephra fallout hazard assessment in southern Italy from the Neapolitan volcanoes is provided. By means of thousands of numerical simulations we quantify the mean annual frequency with which the tephra load at the ground exceeds critical thresholds in 50 years. The output hazard maps account for changes in eruptive regimes of each volcano and are also comparable with those of other natural disasters in which more sources are integrated.
A new methodology to calculate a probabilistic long-term tephra fallout hazard assessment in...
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