Articles | Volume 22, issue 10
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3167–3182, 2022
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3167–3182, 2022
Research article
06 Oct 2022
Research article | 06 Oct 2022

Partitioning the contributions of dependent offshore forcing conditions in the probabilistic assessment of future coastal flooding

Jeremy Rohmer et al.

Related authors

Improving interpretation of sea-level projections through a machine-learning-based local explanation approach
Jeremy Rohmer, Remi Thieblemont, Goneri Le Cozannet, Heiko Goelzer, and Gael Durand
The Cryosphere, 16, 4637–4657,,, 2022
Short summary
Statistical estimation of spatial wave extremes for tropical cyclones from small data samples: validation of the STM-E approach using long-term synthetic cyclone data for the Caribbean Sea
Ryota Wada, Jeremy Rohmer, Yann Krien, and Philip Jonathan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 431–444,,, 2022
Short summary
Deep uncertainties in shoreline change projections: an extra-probabilistic approach applied to sandy beaches
Rémi Thiéblemont, Gonéri Le Cozannet, Jérémy Rohmer, Alexandra Toimil, Moisés Álvarez-Cuesta, and Iñigo J. Losada
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2257–2276,,, 2021
Short summary
Non-stationary extreme value analysis applied to seismic fragility assessment for nuclear safety analysis
Jeremy Rohmer, Pierre Gehl, Marine Marcilhac-Fradin, Yves Guigueno, Nadia Rahni, and Julien Clément
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 1267–1285,,, 2020
Short summary
T.J. B. Dewez, D. Girardeau-Montaut, C. Allanic, and J. Rohmer
Int. Arch. Photogramm. Remote Sens. Spatial Inf. Sci., XLI-B5, 799–804,,, 2016

Related subject area

Sea, Ocean and Coastal Hazards
Observations of extreme wave runup events on the US Pacific Northwest coast
Chuan Li, H. Tuba Özkan-Haller, Gabriel García Medina, Robert A. Holman, Peter Ruggiero, Treena M. Jensen, David B. Elson, and William R. Schneider
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 107–126,,, 2023
Short summary
Warning water level determination and its spatial distribution in coastal areas of China
Shan Liu, Xianwu Shi, Qiang Liu, Jun Tan, Yuxi Sun, Qingrong Liu, and Haoshuang Guo
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 127–138,,, 2023
Short summary
A global open-source database of flood-protection levees on river deltas (openDELvE)
Jaap H. Nienhuis, Jana R. Cox, Joey O'Dell, Douglas A. Edmonds, and Paolo Scussolini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 4087–4101,,, 2022
Short summary
Hazard assessment and hydrodynamic, morphodynamic, and hydrological response to Hurricane Gamma and Hurricane Delta on the northern Yucatán Peninsula
Alec Torres-Freyermuth, Gabriela Medellín, Jorge A. Kurczyn, Roger Pacheco-Castro, Jaime Arriaga, Christian M. Appendini, María Eugenia Allende-Arandía, Juan A. Gómez, Gemma L. Franklin, and Jorge Zavala-Hidalgo
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 4063–4085,,, 2022
Short summary
Estimating dune erosion at the regional scale using a meta-model based on neural networks
Panagiotis Athanasiou, Ap van Dongeren, Alessio Giardino, Michalis Vousdoukas, Jose A. A. Antolinez, and Roshanka Ranasinghe
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3897–3915,,, 2022
Short summary

Cited articles

Abily, M., Bertrand, N., Delestre, O., Gourbesville, P., and Duluc, C. M.: Spatial Global Sensitivity Analysis of High Resolution classified topographic data use in 2D urban flood modelling, Environ. Modell. Softw., 77, 183–195, 2016. 
Anderson, B., Borgonovo, E., Galeotti, M., and Roson, R.: Uncertainty in climate change modelling: can global sensitivity analysis be of help?, Risk Anal., 34, 271–293, 2014. 
Ardhuin, F., Rogers, W. E., Babanin, A. V., Filipot, J., Magne, R., Roland, A., Van der Westhuysen, A., Queffeulou, P., Lefevre, J., Aouf, L., and Collard, F.: Semiempirical dissipation source functions for ocean waves. Part I: Definition, calibration, and validation, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 40, 917–941, 2010. 
Athanasiou, P., van Dongeren, A., Giardino, A., Vousdoukas, M. I., Ranasinghe, R., and Kwadijk, J.: Uncertainties in projections of sandy beach erosion due to sea level rise: an analysis at the European scale, Sci. Rep., 10, 11895,, 2020. 
Bamber, J. L. and Aspinall, W. P.: An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets, Nat. Clim. Change, 3, 424–427, 2013. 
Short summary
We quantify the influence of wave–wind characteristics, offshore water level and sea level rise (projected up to 2200) on the occurrence of flooding events at Gâvres, French Atlantic coast. Our results outline the overwhelming influence of sea level rise over time compared to the others. By showing the robustness of our conclusions to the errors in the estimation procedure, our approach proves to be valuable for exploring and characterizing uncertainties in assessments of future flooding.
Final-revised paper