Articles | Volume 22, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3167-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3167-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
06 Oct 2022
Research article |
| 06 Oct 2022
| 06 Oct 2022
Partitioning the contributions of dependent offshore forcing conditions in the probabilistic assessment of future coastal flooding
BRGM, 3 av. C. Guillemin, 45060 Orléans CEDEX 2, France
Deborah Idier
BRGM, 3 av. C. Guillemin, 45060 Orléans CEDEX 2, France
Remi Thieblemont
BRGM, 3 av. C. Guillemin, 45060 Orléans CEDEX 2, France
Goneri Le Cozannet
BRGM, 3 av. C. Guillemin, 45060 Orléans CEDEX 2, France
François Bachoc
Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse, 118 Rte de Narbonne, 31400 Toulouse, France
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Short summary
We quantify the influence of wave–wind characteristics, offshore water level and sea level rise (projected up to 2200) on the occurrence of flooding events at Gâvres, French Atlantic coast. Our results outline the overwhelming influence of sea level rise over time compared to the others. By showing the robustness of our conclusions to the errors in the estimation procedure, our approach proves to be valuable for exploring and characterizing uncertainties in assessments of future flooding.
We quantify the influence of wave–wind characteristics, offshore water level and sea level rise...
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