Articles | Volume 22, issue 10
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3167–3182, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3167-2022
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3167–3182, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3167-2022
Research article
06 Oct 2022
Research article | 06 Oct 2022

Partitioning the contributions of dependent offshore forcing conditions in the probabilistic assessment of future coastal flooding

Jeremy Rohmer et al.

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Short summary
We quantify the influence of wave–wind characteristics, offshore water level and sea level rise (projected up to 2200) on the occurrence of flooding events at Gâvres, French Atlantic coast. Our results outline the overwhelming influence of sea level rise over time compared to the others. By showing the robustness of our conclusions to the errors in the estimation procedure, our approach proves to be valuable for exploring and characterizing uncertainties in assessments of future flooding.
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