Articles | Volume 17, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-225-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-225-2017
Research article
 | 
21 Feb 2017
Research article |  | 21 Feb 2017

Dealing with deep uncertainties in landslide modelling for disaster risk reduction under climate change

Susana Almeida, Elizabeth Ann Holcombe, Francesca Pianosi, and Thorsten Wagener

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Cited articles

Anderson, M. G.: A feasibility study in mathematical modelling of slope hydrology and stability, Report to Geotechnical Control Office Civil Engineering Services Department, Hong Kong, 1990.
Anderson, M. G. and Holcombe, L.: Sustainable landslide risk reduction in poorer countries, P. I. Civil Eng.-Eng. Su., 159, 23–30, https://doi.org/10.1680/ensu.2006.159.1.23, 2006.
Anderson, M. G. and Lloyd, D. M.: Using a Combined Slope Hydrology Stability Model to Develop Cut Slope Design Charts, P. I. Civil Eng. Pt. 2, 91, 705–718, https://doi.org/10.1680/iicep.1991.17486, 1991.
Anderson, M. G., Kemp, M. J., and Lloyd, D. M.: Hydrological design manual for slope stability in the tropics, Transport Research Laboratory, Crowthorne, UK, 58 pp., 1997.
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Short summary
Landslides threaten communities globally, yet predicting their occurrence is challenged by uncertainty about slope properties and climate change. We present an approach to identify the dominant drivers of slope instability and the critical thresholds at which slope failure may occur. This information helps decision makers to target data acquisition to improve landslide predictability, and supports policy development to reduce landslide occurrence and impacts in highly uncertain environments.
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