Articles | Volume 21, issue 2
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 703–722, 2021
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 703–722, 2021

Research article 22 Feb 2021

Research article | 22 Feb 2021

Timescales of emergence of chronic flooding in the major economic center of Guadeloupe

Gonéri Le Cozannet et al.

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Preprint under review for NHESS
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Cited articles

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Short summary
Chronic flooding occurring at high tides under calm weather conditions is an early impact of sea-level rise. This hazard is a reason for concern on tropical islands, where coastal infrastructure is commonly located in low-lying areas. We focus here on the Guadeloupe archipelago, in the French Antilles, where chronic flood events have been reported for about 10 years. We show that the number of such events will increase drastically over the 21st century under continued growth of CO2 emissions.
Final-revised paper