Articles | Volume 21, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1639-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1639-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
28 May 2021
Research article |
| 28 May 2021
| 28 May 2021
Thematic vent opening probability maps and hazard assessment of small-scale pyroclastic density currents in the San Salvador volcanic complex (El Salvador) and Nejapa-Chiltepe volcanic complex (Nicaragua)
Andrea Bevilacqua
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Pisa, Pisa, Italy
Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra, Università di Firenze,
Firenze, Italy
Laboratoire Magmas et Volcans, Université Clermont Auvergne, CNRS, IRD, OPGC, Clermont-Ferrand, France
Augusto Neri
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Pisa, Pisa, Italy
Eduardo Gutiérrez
Dirección del Observatorio Ambiental, MARN, San Salvador, El Salvador
deceased
Demetrio Escobar
Dirección del Observatorio Ambiental, MARN, San Salvador, El Salvador
Melida Schliz
Instituto de Geología y Geofísica, UNAN, Managua, Nicaragua
Alessandro Aiuppa
Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra e del Mare, Università di
Palermo, Palermo, Italy
Raffaello Cioni
Dipartimento di Scienze della Terra, Università di Firenze,
Firenze, Italy
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We evaluate through first-order kinetic energy models, the minimum volume and mass of a pyroclastic density current generated at the Aso caldera that might affect any of five distal infrastructure sites. These target sites are all located 115–145 km from the caldera, but in well-separated directions. Our constraints of volume and mass are then compared with the scale of Aso-4, the largest caldera-forming eruption of Aso.
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Short summary
We present novel probability maps for the opening position of new vents in the San Salvador (El Salvador) and Nejapa-Chiltepe (Nicaragua) volcanic complexes. In particular, we present thematic maps, i.e., we consider different hazardous phenomena separately. To illustrate the significant effects of considering the expected eruption style in the construction of vent opening maps, we focus on the analysis of small-scale pyroclastic density currents using an approach based on numerical modeling.
We present novel probability maps for the opening position of new vents in the San Salvador (El...
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