Articles | Volume 18, issue 7
Research article
10 Jul 2018
Research article |  | 10 Jul 2018

Application of a physically based model to forecast shallow landslides at a regional scale

Teresa Salvatici, Veronica Tofani, Guglielmo Rossi, Michele D'Ambrosio, Carlo Tacconi Stefanelli, Elena Benedetta Masi, Ascanio Rosi, Veronica Pazzi, Pietro Vannocci, Miriana Petrolo, Filippo Catani, Sara Ratto, Hervè Stevenin, and Nicola Casagli

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Cited articles

Aleotti, P.: A warning system for rainfall-induced shallow failures, Eng. Geol., 73, 247–265,, 2004. 
Amoozegar, A.: Compact constant head permeameter for measuring saturated hydraulic conductivity of the vadose zone, Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J., 53, 1356–1361, 1989. 
Arnone, E., Noto, L. V., Lepore, C., and Bras, R. L.: Physically- based and distributed approach to analyse rainfall-triggered land- slides at watershed scale, Geomorphology, 133, 3–4, 121–131, 2011. 
Baroni, G., Facchi, A., Gandolfi, C., Ortuani, B., Horeschi, D., and van Dam, J. C.: Uncertainty in the determination of soil hydraulic parameters and its influence on the performance of two hydrological models of different complexity, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 251–270,, 2010. 
Baum, R., Savage, W., and Godt, J.: Trigrs: A FORTRAN program for transient rainfall infiltration and grid-based regional slope – stability analysis, Open-file Report, US Geol. Survey, 2002, USGS Open-File Report 02-424, Reston, VA, available at: (last access: 7 December 2016), 2002. 
Short summary
In this paper, we present the application of the physically based HIRESSS model (High Resolution Stability Simulator) to forecast the occurrence of shallow landslides in a portion of the Aosta Valley region (Italy). An in-depth study of the geotechnical and hydrological properties of the hillslopes controlling shallow landslides formation was conducted, in order to generate an input map of parameters. The main aim of this study is to set up a regional landslide early warning system.
Final-revised paper