Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 209–222, 2016

Special issue: Monitoring and modelling to guide coastal adaptation to extreme...

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 209–222, 2016
Research article
21 Jan 2016
Research article | 21 Jan 2016

Can an early-warning system help minimize the impacts of coastal storms? A case study of the 2012 Halloween storm, northern Italy

M. D. Harley et al.

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Cited articles

Armaroli, C. and Ciavola, P.: Dynamics of a nearshore bar system in the northern Adriatic: A video-based morphological classification, Geomorphology, 126, 201–216, 2011.
Armaroli, C., Ciavola, P., Masina, M., and Perini, L.: Run-up computation behind emerged breakwaters for marine storm risk assessment, J. Coast. Res., 56, 1612–1616, 2009.
Armaroli, C., Ciavola, P., Perini, L., Calabrese, L., Lorito, S., Valentini, A., and Masina, M.: Critical storm thresholds for significant morphological changes and damage along the Emilia-Romagna coastline, Italy, Geomorphology, 143–144, 34–51,, 2012.
Armaroli, C., Grottoli, E., Harley, M. D., and Ciavola, P.: Beach morphodynamics and types of foredune erosion generated by storms along the Emilia-Romagna coastline, Italy, Geomorphology, 199, 22–35, 2013.
Baart, F., Van Gelder, P., and Van Koningsveld, M.: Confidence in real-time forecasting of morphological storm impacts, J. Coast. Res., SI64, 1835–1839, 2011.
Short summary
The performance of a state-of-the-art early-warning system for the coastline of Emilia-Romagna in northern Italy is rigorously assessed with regards to a major storm event that occurred in October 2012. It is found that such a system has great potential as a new tool for coastal management, following several improvements to the forecast model chain. What-if scenarios in terms of the construction of artificial dunes prior to this event suggest that this may have helped minimize storm impacts.
Final-revised paper