Monitoring and modelling to guide coastal adaptation to extreme storm events in a changing climate
Monitoring and modelling to guide coastal adaptation to extreme storm events in a changing climate
Editor(s): J. Brown, P. Ciavola, G. Masselink, R. McCall, A. Plater, and S. Tinti
The main objective of this special issue on "Monitoring and modelling to guide coastal adaptation to extreme storm events in a changing climate" is to bring together research with the same interest in providing science based decision support for effective adaptation to the consequences of storm impacts both now and under future climate scenarios at the coast.

Storms across the globe and their associated consequences in the coastal zone (flooding and erosion), combined with the long-term geomorphic evolution of our coastlines, are a threat to life and assets, both economical and environmental. In a changing climate with a rising global sea level and potentially increased storminess (or at least changing patterns of storm tracks) the future risk of coastal storm impacts is likely to increase. Coastal managers and policy makers therefore need to make effective and timely decisions on the use of resources for the immediate and longer term. A clearer picture of what may happen in the future will enable coastal communities and industries to adapt effectively to a changing coastal environment to sustain resilience over the long-term. Two aims of the current research community to help achieve this goal are to:

- assess and provide levels of probability on the impacts of climate change at the coast - increase our understanding of the consequence of extreme storm impacts to help provide evidence-based policy advice

To enable regional-scale and long-term study of the changing patterns within a coastal system, modelling approaches are often adopted. However, for the projections to be credible the monitoring of different coastal types is required to determine their validity, constrain the uncertainty in model predictions, and identify important processes and interactions that need to be captured within numerical or conceptual models.

Multidisciplinary research and stakeholder engagement is necessary to ensure improved understanding of coastal storm impacts is translated into effective planning for societal benefit. This session therefore welcomes research focused on monitoring and/or modelling extreme events to improve future coastal resilience from all fields of study and the end user community.

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12 Feb 2016
Preface: Monitoring and modelling to guide coastal adaptation to extreme storm events in a changing climate
J. M. Brown, P. Ciavola, G. Masselink, R. McCall, and A. J. Plater
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 463–467, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-463-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-463-2016, 2016
21 Jan 2016
Can an early-warning system help minimize the impacts of coastal storms? A case study of the 2012 Halloween storm, northern Italy
M. D. Harley, A. Valentini, C. Armaroli, L. Perini, L. Calabrese, and P. Ciavola
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 209–222, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-209-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-209-2016, 2016
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19 Jan 2016
Evaluation of coastal vulnerability to flooding: comparison of two different methodologies adopted by the Emilia-Romagna region (Italy)
L. Perini, L. Calabrese, G. Salerno, P. Ciavola, and C. Armaroli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 181–194, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-181-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-181-2016, 2016
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18 Nov 2015
Climate change adaptation frameworks: an evaluation of plans for coastal Suffolk, UK
J. Armstrong, R. Wilby, and R. J. Nicholls
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2511–2524, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2511-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2511-2015, 2015
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14 Oct 2015
Coupling scenarios of urban growth and flood hazards along the Emilia-Romagna coast (Italy)
I. Sekovski, C. Armaroli, L. Calabrese, F. Mancini, F. Stecchi, and L. Perini
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2331–2346, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2331-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2331-2015, 2015
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08 Oct 2015
Assessment and comparison of extreme sea levels and waves during the 2013/14 storm season in two UK coastal regions
M. P. Wadey, J. M. Brown, I. D. Haigh, T. Dolphin, and P. Wisse
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2209–2225, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2209-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-2209-2015, 2015
30 Jul 2015
Role of intertidal wetlands for tidal and storm tide attenuation along a confined estuary: a model study
S. Smolders, Y. Plancke, S. Ides, P. Meire, and S. Temmerman
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1659–1675, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1659-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1659-2015, 2015
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09 Jul 2015
Impacts of storm chronology on the morphological changes of the Formby beach and dune system, UK
P. Dissanayake, J. Brown, and H. Karunarathna
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1533–1543, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1533-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1533-2015, 2015
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02 Jul 2015
Identification of storm surge vulnerable areas in the Philippines through the simulation of Typhoon Haiyan-induced storm surge levels over historical storm tracks
J. P. Lapidez, J. Tablazon, L. Dasallas, L. A. Gonzalo, K. M. Cabacaba, M. M. A. Ramos, J. K. Suarez, J. Santiago, A. M. F. Lagmay, and V. Malano
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1473–1481, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1473-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1473-2015, 2015
02 Jul 2015
Application of flood risk modelling in a web-based geospatial decision support tool for coastal adaptation to climate change
P. J. Knight, T. Prime, J. M. Brown, K. Morrissey, and A. J. Plater
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1457–1471, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1457-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1457-2015, 2015
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24 Jun 2015
Assessing the vulnerability of infrastructure to climate change on the Islands of Samoa
S. H. M. Fakhruddin, M. S. Babel, and A. Kawasaki
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1343–1356, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1343-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1343-2015, 2015
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15 Jun 2015
Estimating the long-term historic evolution of exposure to flooding of coastal populations
A. J. Stevens, D. Clarke, R. J. Nicholls, and M. P. Wadey
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1215–1229, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1215-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1215-2015, 2015
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21 May 2015
Representing hydrodynamically important blocking features in coastal or riverine lidar topography
B. R. Hodges
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1011–1023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1011-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1011-2015, 2015
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01 Apr 2015
Flood warnings in coastal areas: how do experience and information influence responses to alert services?
G. Pescaroli and M. Magni
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 703–714, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-703-2015,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-703-2015, 2015
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