Can an early-warning system help minimize the impacts of coastal storms? A case study of the 2012 Halloween storm, northern Italy

Harley, M. D.; Valentini, A.; Armaroli, C.; Perini, L.; Calabrese, L.; Ciavola, P.

doi:10.5194/nhess-16-209-2016

Articles | Volume 16, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-209-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Monitoring and modelling to guide coastal adaptation to extreme...

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-209-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 16, issue 1

Research article

|

21 Jan 2016

Research article |

| 21 Jan 2016

Can an early-warning system help minimize the impacts of coastal storms? A case study of the 2012 Halloween storm, northern Italy

M. D. Harley, A. Valentini, C. Armaroli, L. Perini, L. Calabrese, and P. Ciavola

Viewed

Total article views: 4,210 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

HTML	PDF	XML	Total	BibTeX	EndNote
2,276	1,694	240	4,210	160	171

HTML: 2,276
PDF: 1,694
XML: 240
Total: 4,210
BibTeX: 160
EndNote: 171

Views and downloads (calculated since 22 May 2015)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
May 2015	18	16	2	36
Jun 2015	14	14	1	29
Jul 2015	19	14	0	33
Aug 2015	14	7	0	21
Sep 2015	7	8	1	16
Oct 2015	6	5	1	12
Nov 2015	11	8	3	22
Dec 2015	2	2	0	4
Jan 2016	98	34	4	136
Feb 2016	69	20	2	91
Mar 2016	55	16	0	71
Apr 2016	19	19	1	39
May 2016	15	11	0	26
Jun 2016	11	5	2	18
Jul 2016	6	4	3	13
Aug 2016	5	4	2	11
Sep 2016	6	5	1	12
Oct 2016	10	7	1	18
Nov 2016	10	11	1	22
Dec 2016	7	4	0	11
Jan 2017	15	8	0	23
Feb 2017	10	10	1	21
Mar 2017	17	9	2	28
Apr 2017	21	11	0	32
May 2017	24	11	2	37
Jun 2017	18	3	1	22
Jul 2017	18	13	0	31
Aug 2017	9	7	3	19
Sep 2017	14	15	4	33
Oct 2017	6	7	2	15
Nov 2017	17	13	0	30
Dec 2017	10	8	1	19
Jan 2018	14	12	2	28
Feb 2018	11	10	2	23
Mar 2018	12	6	1	19
Apr 2018	8	7	2	17
May 2018	7	6	0	13
Jun 2018	15	11	2	28
Jul 2018	17	9	3	29
Aug 2018	20	13	3	36
Sep 2018	18	6	3	27
Oct 2018	22	18	4	44
Nov 2018	17	13	3	33
Dec 2018	20	17	0	37
Jan 2019	11	12	1	24
Feb 2019	6	7	4	17
Mar 2019	12	12	0	24
Apr 2019	6	7	0	13
May 2019	7	8	3	18
Jun 2019	8	7	1	16
Jul 2019	10	9	3	22
Aug 2019	2	4	1	7
Sep 2019	13	4	2	19
Oct 2019	12	8	2	22
Nov 2019	9	9	2	20
Dec 2019	7	12	2	21
Jan 2020	12	10	6	28
Feb 2020	9	3	0	12
Mar 2020	3	4	3	10
Apr 2020	3	4	1	8
May 2020	12	5	1	18
Jun 2020	20	9	3	32
Jul 2020	25	23	19	67
Aug 2020	12	12	9	33
Sep 2020	9	5	0	14
Oct 2020	11	9	1	21
Nov 2020	13	8	2	23
Dec 2020	9	7	5	21
Jan 2021	37	29	0	66
Feb 2021	7	5	0	12
Mar 2021	15	15	6	36
Apr 2021	23	15	1	39
May 2021	13	11	2	26
Jun 2021	14	11	0	25
Jul 2021	13	11	3	27
Aug 2021	7	14	0	21
Sep 2021	14	16	1	31
Oct 2021	5	33	0	38
Nov 2021	10	31	2	43
Dec 2021	13	18	3	34
Jan 2022	11	14	1	26
Feb 2022	8	3	1	12
Mar 2022	6	11	2	19
Apr 2022	16	9	5	30
May 2022	10	8	1	19
Jun 2022	8	3	1	12
Jul 2022	10	13	0	23
Aug 2022	18	8	0	26
Sep 2022	8	8	0	16
Oct 2022	28	21	2	51
Nov 2022	39	35	1	75
Dec 2022	45	32	0	77
Jan 2023	23	30	1	54
Feb 2023	22	15	0	37
Mar 2023	21	45	1	67
Apr 2023	13	58	0	71
May 2023	34	18	3	55
Jun 2023	45	23	1	69
Jul 2023	31	21	0	52
Aug 2023	19	16	3	38
Sep 2023	12	15	0	27
Oct 2023	24	17	1	42
Nov 2023	13	8	0	21
Dec 2023	22	9	4	35
Jan 2024	42	20	3	65
Feb 2024	29	27	1	57
Mar 2024	32	30	1	63
Apr 2024	23	11	7	41
May 2024	28	19	9	56
Jun 2024	20	13	1	34
Jul 2024	27	13	4	44
Aug 2024	18	7	5	30
Sep 2024	13	7	1	21
Oct 2024	41	10	0	51
Nov 2024	20	9	3	32
Dec 2024	19	17	1	37
Jan 2025	20	12	4	36
Feb 2025	25	13	2	40
Mar 2025	29	9	1	39
Apr 2025	22	16	0	38
May 2025	27	13	2	42
Jun 2025	52	37	0	89
Jul 2025	16	22	3	41
Aug 2025	35	23	3	61
Sep 2025	33	17	3	53
Oct 2025	28	26	3	57
Nov 2025	17	19	0	36

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 22 May 2015)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
May 2015	18	16	2	36
Jun 2015	14	14	1	29
Jul 2015	19	14	0	33
Aug 2015	14	7	0	21
Sep 2015	7	8	1	16
Oct 2015	6	5	1	12
Nov 2015	11	8	3	22
Dec 2015	2	2	0	4
Jan 2016	98	34	4	136
Feb 2016	69	20	2	91
Mar 2016	55	16	0	71
Apr 2016	19	19	1	39
May 2016	15	11	0	26
Jun 2016	11	5	2	18
Jul 2016	6	4	3	13
Aug 2016	5	4	2	11
Sep 2016	6	5	1	12
Oct 2016	10	7	1	18
Nov 2016	10	11	1	22
Dec 2016	7	4	0	11
Jan 2017	15	8	0	23
Feb 2017	10	10	1	21
Mar 2017	17	9	2	28
Apr 2017	21	11	0	32
May 2017	24	11	2	37
Jun 2017	18	3	1	22
Jul 2017	18	13	0	31
Aug 2017	9	7	3	19
Sep 2017	14	15	4	33
Oct 2017	6	7	2	15
Nov 2017	17	13	0	30
Dec 2017	10	8	1	19
Jan 2018	14	12	2	28
Feb 2018	11	10	2	23
Mar 2018	12	6	1	19
Apr 2018	8	7	2	17
May 2018	7	6	0	13
Jun 2018	15	11	2	28
Jul 2018	17	9	3	29
Aug 2018	20	13	3	36
Sep 2018	18	6	3	27
Oct 2018	22	18	4	44
Nov 2018	17	13	3	33
Dec 2018	20	17	0	37
Jan 2019	11	12	1	24
Feb 2019	6	7	4	17
Mar 2019	12	12	0	24
Apr 2019	6	7	0	13
May 2019	7	8	3	18
Jun 2019	8	7	1	16
Jul 2019	10	9	3	22
Aug 2019	2	4	1	7
Sep 2019	13	4	2	19
Oct 2019	12	8	2	22
Nov 2019	9	9	2	20
Dec 2019	7	12	2	21
Jan 2020	12	10	6	28
Feb 2020	9	3	0	12
Mar 2020	3	4	3	10
Apr 2020	3	4	1	8
May 2020	12	5	1	18
Jun 2020	20	9	3	32
Jul 2020	25	23	19	67
Aug 2020	12	12	9	33
Sep 2020	9	5	0	14
Oct 2020	11	9	1	21
Nov 2020	13	8	2	23
Dec 2020	9	7	5	21
Jan 2021	37	29	0	66
Feb 2021	7	5	0	12
Mar 2021	15	15	6	36
Apr 2021	23	15	1	39
May 2021	13	11	2	26
Jun 2021	14	11	0	25
Jul 2021	13	11	3	27
Aug 2021	7	14	0	21
Sep 2021	14	16	1	31
Oct 2021	5	33	0	38
Nov 2021	10	31	2	43
Dec 2021	13	18	3	34
Jan 2022	11	14	1	26
Feb 2022	8	3	1	12
Mar 2022	6	11	2	19
Apr 2022	16	9	5	30
May 2022	10	8	1	19
Jun 2022	8	3	1	12
Jul 2022	10	13	0	23
Aug 2022	18	8	0	26
Sep 2022	8	8	0	16
Oct 2022	28	21	2	51
Nov 2022	39	35	1	75
Dec 2022	45	32	0	77
Jan 2023	23	30	1	54
Feb 2023	22	15	0	37
Mar 2023	21	45	1	67
Apr 2023	13	58	0	71
May 2023	34	18	3	55
Jun 2023	45	23	1	69
Jul 2023	31	21	0	52
Aug 2023	19	16	3	38
Sep 2023	12	15	0	27
Oct 2023	24	17	1	42
Nov 2023	13	8	0	21
Dec 2023	22	9	4	35
Jan 2024	42	20	3	65
Feb 2024	29	27	1	57
Mar 2024	32	30	1	63
Apr 2024	23	11	7	41
May 2024	28	19	9	56
Jun 2024	20	13	1	34
Jul 2024	27	13	4	44
Aug 2024	18	7	5	30
Sep 2024	13	7	1	21
Oct 2024	41	10	0	51
Nov 2024	20	9	3	32
Dec 2024	19	17	1	37
Jan 2025	20	12	4	36
Feb 2025	25	13	2	40
Mar 2025	29	9	1	39
Apr 2025	22	16	0	38
May 2025	27	13	2	42
Jun 2025	52	37	0	89
Jul 2025	16	22	3	41
Aug 2025	35	23	3	61
Sep 2025	33	17	3	53
Oct 2025	28	26	3	57
Nov 2025	17	19	0	36

Latest update: 20 Nov 2025

Short summary

The performance of a state-of-the-art early-warning system for the coastline of Emilia-Romagna in northern Italy is rigorously assessed with regards to a major storm event that occurred in October 2012. It is found that such a system has great potential as a new tool for coastal management, following several improvements to the forecast model chain. What-if scenarios in terms of the construction of artificial dunes prior to this event suggest that this may have helped minimize storm impacts.