Articles | Volume 22, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2381-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2381-2022
Research article
 | 
19 Jul 2022
Research article |  | 19 Jul 2022

Developing a framework for the assessment of current and future flood risk in Venice, Italy

Julius Schlumberger, Christian Ferrarin, Sebastiaan N. Jonkman, Manuel Andres Diaz Loaiza, Alessandro Antonini, and Sandra Fatorić

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This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).
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Cited articles

Ahn, J., Na, Y., and Park, S  W.: Development of Two-Dimensional Inundation Modelling Process using MIKE21 Model, KSCE J. Civ. Eng., 23, 3968–3977, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12205-019-1586-9, 2019. a, b
Amadio, M., Mysiak, J., Carrera, L., and Koks, E.: Improving flood damage assessment models in Italy, Nat. Hazards, 82, 2075–2088, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2286-0, 2016. a
Aqua Grande: AquaGranda – A Digital Community Memory, https://www.aquagrandainvenice.it/en/about (last access: 12 May 2021), 2020. a
ArcGis: Map Venice in 2D and 3D, https://learn.arcgis.com/en/projects/map-venice-in-2d-and-3d/ (last access: 8 April 2021), 2020. a
Arrighi, C., Brugioni, M., Castelli, F., Franceschini, S., and Mazzanti, B.: Urban micro-scale flood risk estimation with parsimonious hydraulic modelling and census data, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 1375–1391, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-13-1375-2013, 2013. a
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Flooding has serious impacts on the old town of Venice. This paper presents a framework combining a flood model with a flood-impact model to support improving protection against future floods in Venice despite the recently built MOSE barrier. Applying the framework to seven plausible flood scenarios, it was found that individual protection has a significant damage-mediating effect if the MOSE barrier does not operate as anticipated. Contingency planning thus remains important in Venice.
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