Articles | Volume 17, issue 12
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2271–2287, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2271-2017
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2271–2287, 2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2271-2017

Research article 13 Dec 2017

Research article | 13 Dec 2017

Sea-level rise along the Emilia-Romagna coast (Northern Italy) in 2100: scenarios and impacts

Luisa Perini et al.

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Cited articles

Adloff, F., Somot, S., Sevault, F., Jordà, G., Aznar, R., Déqué, M., Herrmann, M., Marcos, M., Dubois, C., Padorno, E., Alvarez-Fanjul, E., and Gomis, D.: Mediterranean Sea response to climate change in an ensemble of twenty first century scenarios, Clim. Dynam., 45, 2775–2802, 2015.
Antonioli, F., Ferranti, L., Fontana, A., Amorosi, A., Bondesan, A., Braitenberg, C., Dutton, A., Fontolan, G., Furlani, S., Lambeck, K., Mastronuzzi, G., Monaco, C., Spada, G., and Stocchi, P.: Holocene relative sea-level changes and vertical movements along the Italian and Istrian coastlines, Quatern. Int., 206, 102–133, 2009.
Armaroli, C., Ciavola, P., Masina, M., and Perini, L.: Run-up computation behind emerged breakwaters for marine strom risk assessment, J. Coastal Res., 56, 1612–1616, 2009.
Armaroli, C., Ciavola, P., Perini, L., Calabrese, L., Lorito, S., Valentini, A., and Masina, M.: Critical storm thresholds for significant morphological changes and damage along the Emilia-Romagna coastline, Italy, Geomorphology, 143, 34–51, 2012.
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Short summary
The Emilia-Romagna coastal plain is a low-land, highly urbanised area that will be significantly impacted by climate change. To plan adequate mitigation measures, reliable sea-level scenarios are needed. Here we suggests a method for evaluating the combined effects of sea-level rise and land subsidence in the year 2100, in terms of the increase in floodable areas during sea storms. The results allow for a regional assessment and indicate a significant local variability in the factors involved.
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