Articles | Volume 17, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2271-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2271-2017
Research article
 | 
13 Dec 2017
Research article |  | 13 Dec 2017

Sea-level rise along the Emilia-Romagna coast (Northern Italy) in 2100: scenarios and impacts

Luisa Perini, Lorenzo Calabrese, Paolo Luciani, Marco Olivieri, Gaia Galassi, and Giorgio Spada

Related authors

Numerical modelling framework for assessing dune effectiveness against coastal inundation
Italo R. Lopes, Ivan Federico, Michalis Vousdoukas, Luisa Perini, Salvatore Causio, Giovanni Coppini, Maurilio Milella, Nadia Pinardi, and Lorenzo Mentaschi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1695,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1695, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).
Short summary
Hydrologic control on natural land subsidence in the shallow coastal aquifer of the Ravenna coast, Italy
Marco Antonellini, Beatrice Maria Sole Giambastiani, Nicolas Greggio, Luciana Bonzi, Lorenzo Calabrese, Paolo Luciani, Luisa Perini, and Paolo Severi
Proc. IAHS, 382, 263–268, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-263-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-382-263-2020, 2020

Related subject area

Sea, Ocean and Coastal Hazards
Advancing nearshore and onshore tsunami hazard approximation with machine learning surrogates
Naveen Ragu Ramalingam, Kendra Johnson, Marco Pagani, and Mario L. V. Martina
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1655–1679, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1655-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1655-2025, 2025
Short summary
Untangling the waves: decomposing extreme sea levels in a non-tidal basin, the Baltic Sea
Marvin Lorenz, Katri Viigand, and Ulf Gräwe
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1439–1458, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1439-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1439-2025, 2025
Short summary
Accelerating compound flood risk assessments through active learning: A case study of Charleston County (USA)
Lucas Terlinden-Ruhl, Anaïs Couasnon, Dirk Eilander, Gijs G. Hendrickx, Patricia Mares-Nasarre, and José A. Á. Antolínez
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1353–1375, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1353-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1353-2025, 2025
Short summary
Tsunami detection methods for ocean-bottom pressure gauges
Cesare Angeli, Alberto Armigliato, Martina Zanetti, Filippo Zaniboni, Fabrizio Romano, Hafize Başak Bayraktar, and Stefano Lorito
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1169–1185, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1169-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1169-2025, 2025
Short summary
Using random forests to forecast daily extreme sea level occurrences at the Baltic Coast
Kai Bellinghausen, Birgit Hünicke, and Eduardo Zorita
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1139–1162, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1139-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1139-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Adloff, F., Somot, S., Sevault, F., Jordà, G., Aznar, R., Déqué, M., Herrmann, M., Marcos, M., Dubois, C., Padorno, E., Alvarez-Fanjul, E., and Gomis, D.: Mediterranean Sea response to climate change in an ensemble of twenty first century scenarios, Clim. Dynam., 45, 2775–2802, 2015.
Antonioli, F., Ferranti, L., Fontana, A., Amorosi, A., Bondesan, A., Braitenberg, C., Dutton, A., Fontolan, G., Furlani, S., Lambeck, K., Mastronuzzi, G., Monaco, C., Spada, G., and Stocchi, P.: Holocene relative sea-level changes and vertical movements along the Italian and Istrian coastlines, Quatern. Int., 206, 102–133, 2009.
Armaroli, C., Ciavola, P., Masina, M., and Perini, L.: Run-up computation behind emerged breakwaters for marine strom risk assessment, J. Coastal Res., 56, 1612–1616, 2009.
Armaroli, C., Ciavola, P., Perini, L., Calabrese, L., Lorito, S., Valentini, A., and Masina, M.: Critical storm thresholds for significant morphological changes and damage along the Emilia-Romagna coastline, Italy, Geomorphology, 143, 34–51, 2012.
Download
Short summary
The Emilia-Romagna coastal plain is a low-land, highly urbanised area that will be significantly impacted by climate change. To plan adequate mitigation measures, reliable sea-level scenarios are needed. Here we suggests a method for evaluating the combined effects of sea-level rise and land subsidence in the year 2100, in terms of the increase in floodable areas during sea storms. The results allow for a regional assessment and indicate a significant local variability in the factors involved.
Share
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint