Articles | Volume 17, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2271-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-2271-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
13 Dec 2017
Research article |
| 13 Dec 2017
Sea-level rise along the Emilia-Romagna coast (Northern Italy) in 2100: scenarios and impacts
Luisa Perini
Servizio Geologico, Sismico e dei Suoli, Regione Emilia-Romagna, Bologna, Italy
Lorenzo Calabrese
Servizio Geologico, Sismico e dei Suoli, Regione Emilia-Romagna, Bologna, Italy
Paolo Luciani
Servizio Geologico, Sismico e dei Suoli, Regione Emilia-Romagna, Bologna, Italy
Marco Olivieri
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
Gaia Galassi
Dipartimento di Scienze Pure e Applicate (DiSPeA), Università degli Studi di Urbino Carlo Bo, Urbino, Italy
Dipartimento di Scienze Pure e Applicate (DiSPeA), Università degli Studi di Urbino Carlo Bo, Urbino, Italy
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Cited
30 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Episodic vs. Sea Level Rise Coastal Flooding Scenarios at the Urban Scale: Extreme Event Analysis and Adaptation Strategies S. Spadotto et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17131991
- Temporal and spatial analysis of relative sea-level changes across the Emilia-Romagna coastal plain (northern Adriatic Sea) M. Meli et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2025.109143
- Ecosystem services for supporting coastal and marine resources management, an example from the Adriatic sea (Central Mediterranean sea) L. Basconi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2023.106486
- Dynamics of Coastal Aquifers: Conceptualization and Steady-State Calibration of Multilayer Aquifer System—Southern Coast of Emilia Romagna C. Cherubini et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15132384
- Potential Sea Level Rise Inundation in the Mediterranean: From Susceptibility Assessment to Risk Scenarios for Policy Action A. Rizzo et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14030416
- Cost–benefit analysis of coastal flood defence measures in the North Adriatic Sea M. Amadio et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-265-2022
- Sediment and bottom water eDNA metabarcoding to support coastal management A. Tagliabue et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2023.106785
- Effectiveness Assessment of an Innovative Ejector Plant for Port Sediment Management M. Pellegrini et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse9020197
- Long-term projections of coastal drainage under climate change and relative sea-level rise for coastal basins of Ravenna, northeastern Italy M. Meli et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103310
- Relative Sea-Level Rise and Potential Submersion Risk for 2100 on 16 Coastal Plains of the Mediterranean Sea F. Antonioli et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w12082173
- Validation of the coastal storm risk assessment framework along the Emilia-Romagna coast C. Armaroli & E. Duo https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2017.08.014
- Beach Monitoring and Morphological Response in the Presence of Coastal Defense Strategies at Riccione (Italy) C. Romagnoli et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse9080851
- Resist or retreat? Beach erosion and the climate crisis in Italy: Scenarios, impacts and challenges F. Celata & E. Gioia https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103335
- Coupled Wave-2D Hydrodynamics Modeling at the Reno River Mouth (Italy) under Climate Change Scenarios M. Gaeta et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w10101380
- Vertical land movements assessment integrating Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar, in-situ data, and engineering-geological model: The case study of the reclaimed farmland of the Po River Delta (Italy) L. Pedretti et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2026.108544
- Regional Plan against Coastal Erosion: A Conceptual Model for Sicily G. Randazzo & S. Lanza https://doi.org/10.3390/land9090307
- Modeling coastal inundation for adaptation to climate change at local scale: the case of Marche Region (central Italy) A. Baldoni et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1334625
- Wind-wave characteristics and extremes along the Emilia-Romagna coast U. Pranavam Ayyappan Pillai et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3413-2022
- Disentangling the effects of sandy beach management on intertidal macrobenthic fauna: A path analysis approach F. Bozzeda et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2025.109254
- A coastal hospitality sector database for vulnerability assessments in Veneto and Emilia-Romagna, Italy V. Sales https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2025.111921
- Multi-risk assessment in the NW coast of the Island of Malta (central Mediterranean Sea) N. Sarkar et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07767-2
- Dune reconstruction and revegetation as a potential measure to decrease coastal erosion and flooding under extreme storm conditions T. Fernández-Montblanc et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.105075
- Gli uomini pesce di Wu Ming 1 (2024) F. Visentin et al. https://doi.org/10.3280/rgioa1-2026oa22434
- Development of a coastal vulnerability index using analytical hierarchy process and application to Ravenna province (Italy) I. Sekovski et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.104982
- Dune belt restoration effectiveness assessed by UAV topographic surveys (northern Adriatic coast, Italy) R. Faelga et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-4841-2023
- A Digital Twin modelling framework for the assessment of seagrass Nature Based Solutions against storm surges U. Pillai et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157603
- Sea-Level Change along the Emilia-Romagna Coast from Tide Gauge and Satellite Altimetry M. Meli et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13010097
- Forest fire effects on groundwater in a coastal aquifer (Ravenna, Italy) B. Giambastiani et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13165
- How long the Mo.S.E. barriers will be effective in protecting all urban settlements within the Venice Lagoon? The wind setup constraint R. Mel et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2021.103923
- From Hazard to Consequences: Evaluation of Direct and Indirect Impacts of Flooding Along the Emilia-Romagna Coastline, Italy C. Armaroli et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2019.00203
30 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Episodic vs. Sea Level Rise Coastal Flooding Scenarios at the Urban Scale: Extreme Event Analysis and Adaptation Strategies S. Spadotto et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w17131991
- Temporal and spatial analysis of relative sea-level changes across the Emilia-Romagna coastal plain (northern Adriatic Sea) M. Meli et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2025.109143
- Ecosystem services for supporting coastal and marine resources management, an example from the Adriatic sea (Central Mediterranean sea) L. Basconi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2023.106486
- Dynamics of Coastal Aquifers: Conceptualization and Steady-State Calibration of Multilayer Aquifer System—Southern Coast of Emilia Romagna C. Cherubini et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15132384
- Potential Sea Level Rise Inundation in the Mediterranean: From Susceptibility Assessment to Risk Scenarios for Policy Action A. Rizzo et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w14030416
- Cost–benefit analysis of coastal flood defence measures in the North Adriatic Sea M. Amadio et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-265-2022
- Sediment and bottom water eDNA metabarcoding to support coastal management A. Tagliabue et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2023.106785
- Effectiveness Assessment of an Innovative Ejector Plant for Port Sediment Management M. Pellegrini et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse9020197
- Long-term projections of coastal drainage under climate change and relative sea-level rise for coastal basins of Ravenna, northeastern Italy M. Meli et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103310
- Relative Sea-Level Rise and Potential Submersion Risk for 2100 on 16 Coastal Plains of the Mediterranean Sea F. Antonioli et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w12082173
- Validation of the coastal storm risk assessment framework along the Emilia-Romagna coast C. Armaroli & E. Duo https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2017.08.014
- Beach Monitoring and Morphological Response in the Presence of Coastal Defense Strategies at Riccione (Italy) C. Romagnoli et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse9080851
- Resist or retreat? Beach erosion and the climate crisis in Italy: Scenarios, impacts and challenges F. Celata & E. Gioia https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2024.103335
- Coupled Wave-2D Hydrodynamics Modeling at the Reno River Mouth (Italy) under Climate Change Scenarios M. Gaeta et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/w10101380
- Vertical land movements assessment integrating Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar, in-situ data, and engineering-geological model: The case study of the reclaimed farmland of the Po River Delta (Italy) L. Pedretti et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2026.108544
- Regional Plan against Coastal Erosion: A Conceptual Model for Sicily G. Randazzo & S. Lanza https://doi.org/10.3390/land9090307
- Modeling coastal inundation for adaptation to climate change at local scale: the case of Marche Region (central Italy) A. Baldoni et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2024.1334625
- Wind-wave characteristics and extremes along the Emilia-Romagna coast U. Pranavam Ayyappan Pillai et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3413-2022
- Disentangling the effects of sandy beach management on intertidal macrobenthic fauna: A path analysis approach F. Bozzeda et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2025.109254
- A coastal hospitality sector database for vulnerability assessments in Veneto and Emilia-Romagna, Italy V. Sales https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2025.111921
- Multi-risk assessment in the NW coast of the Island of Malta (central Mediterranean Sea) N. Sarkar et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-025-07767-2
- Dune reconstruction and revegetation as a potential measure to decrease coastal erosion and flooding under extreme storm conditions T. Fernández-Montblanc et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.105075
- Gli uomini pesce di Wu Ming 1 (2024) F. Visentin et al. https://doi.org/10.3280/rgioa1-2026oa22434
- Development of a coastal vulnerability index using analytical hierarchy process and application to Ravenna province (Italy) I. Sekovski et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.104982
- Dune belt restoration effectiveness assessed by UAV topographic surveys (northern Adriatic coast, Italy) R. Faelga et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-20-4841-2023
- A Digital Twin modelling framework for the assessment of seagrass Nature Based Solutions against storm surges U. Pillai et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157603
- Sea-Level Change along the Emilia-Romagna Coast from Tide Gauge and Satellite Altimetry M. Meli et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13010097
- Forest fire effects on groundwater in a coastal aquifer (Ravenna, Italy) B. Giambastiani et al. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13165
- How long the Mo.S.E. barriers will be effective in protecting all urban settlements within the Venice Lagoon? The wind setup constraint R. Mel et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2021.103923
- From Hazard to Consequences: Evaluation of Direct and Indirect Impacts of Flooding Along the Emilia-Romagna Coastline, Italy C. Armaroli et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2019.00203
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 01 Jun 2026
Short summary
The Emilia-Romagna coastal plain is a low-land, highly urbanised area that will be significantly impacted by climate change. To plan adequate mitigation measures, reliable sea-level scenarios are needed. Here we suggests a method for evaluating the combined effects of sea-level rise and land subsidence in the year 2100, in terms of the increase in floodable areas during sea storms. The results allow for a regional assessment and indicate a significant local variability in the factors involved.
The Emilia-Romagna coastal plain is a low-land, highly urbanised area that will be significantly...
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